Secret Calendar
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secretcalendar.bsky.social
Secret Calendar
@secretcalendar.bsky.social
150 followers 160 following 670 posts
Rejoining the EU would be unprecedented, but don’t let that stop you telling us how long the wait will be. Have you got a Secret Calendar in your, err, head that no one else can see? Share your informed take and I’ll stick it here!
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Farage is so much more dangerous than the Tories because most of the mess we have now has its roots in the previous clown show, and most people know that.
this is utterly hilarious, turns out that it was the Tories who took the word "enemy" out of the crucial witness statement in the collapsed China spy case

over to you, Kemi Badenoch?

www.thetimes.com/uk/politics/...
Adviser removed ‘enemy’ from China spy case witness statement
Matthew Collins says he deleted the word from the final draft in 2023 because it did not reflect the Conservative government’s view
www.thetimes.com
3. Even if they were not the top anti-Reform option the last time to seat was contested you might this time be able to keep Reform out by voting for someone with no red lines on the CU, SM and EU.
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The toxic Blue Labour cult that have convinced themselves from a distance that they understand the distant working classes are hammering their own party (and are oddly closely related to the 1980s Bennite faction that thought similar, and had a similar effect)
I wrote for @theipaper.com about the Caerphilly by election and why Reform is no longer Starmer's only problem

inews.co.uk/opinion/refo...
The MRP models that the “vote tactically” websites use might end up being tremendous fun this time.
Westminster Voting Intention:

RFM: 29% (-1)
LAB: 19% (-1)
CON: 18% (-1)
LDM: 16% (+1)
GRN: 12% (+3)
SNP: 3% (=)

Via Techne UK, 22-23 Oct.
Changes w/ 17-18 Sep.
Perhaps this is almost inevitable in British politics? Lots of people at the CPS seem to think he was great to work for.
“That tells us:
1. Starmer has terrible judgement
2. He allows a culture of briefing against each other
3. He has no loyalty to anyone
It’s appalling, disgraceful behaviour from a PM who turns out to be alarmingly like Boris in his treatment of people” 3/5
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The key take from the election is that ‘anyone but Reform’ is effective. Just not for those parties aping Reform.
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800 words please on why this proves the Labour and Conservative strategy to primarily target Reform voters is working perfectly.
Caerphilly, Senedd constituency by-election result:

PC: 47.4% (+19.0)
REF: 36.0% (+34.2)
LAB: 11.0% (-34.9)
CON: 2.0% (-15.3)
GRN: 1.5% (+1.5)
LDEM: 1.5% (-1.2)
GWL: 0.3% (+0.3)
UKIP: 0.2% (+0.2)

Plaid Cymru GAIN from Labour.
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It wasn’t even close @reuters.com

11% more votes to PC v ReFuk. Higher turn out than previously.

And old Farage slunk off when he realised they hadn’t won…of course he did
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Hey @reuters.com What a journalistic FAIL. Bottom of the class

You’d never in a million years think that Plaid Cymru won from your headlining - not ReFuk

Who writes this junk?
It took Finland less than three years, but Jersey4eva says a decade or more for us. Sorry about that.
Excellent #secretknowledge that France and Germany are off, so let’s not bother.
If the govt had a “Brexit is bad but our red lines are great” policy, Plaid is exactly the sort of party that you’d expect to benefit.
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But we all know now the right wing British press and media are shite. They are responsible for our country's decline too.
“The grown-ups are back in charge.”
Caerphilly Senedd By-Election Result:

🌼 PLC: 47.4% (+19.0)
➡️ REF: 36.0% (+34.2)
🌹 LAB: 11.0% (-34.9)
🌳 CON: 2.0% (-15.3)
🌍 GRN: 1.5% (New)
🔶 LDM: 1.5% (-1.2)
🐉 GWL: 0.3% (New)
💷 UKIP: 0.2% (New)

Plaid Cymru GAIN from Labour.
Changes w/ 2021.
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That scene of the Welsh BBC correspondent being the only person interviewing Caerphilly's new Plaid AM while the rest of the media interviewed Reform's loser in the background was far too on the nose.
Nice cameo appearance from Sir ‘Not until I’m long dead’.
The window for EU enlargement is now wide open.

Today in London, we met our Western Balkan partners to deepen our cooperation on security, energy, economy.

Enlarging the EU is a geostrategic investment in the security of whole Europe.

Together we can get it over the line.
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In London you say…
The window for EU enlargement is now wide open.

Today in London, we met our Western Balkan partners to deepen our cooperation on security, energy, economy.

Enlarging the EU is a geostrategic investment in the security of whole Europe.

Together we can get it over the line.
But do take your point that nothing will be known for certain until we ask for something- which people on here claiming absolutely certainty of what the EU’s (450m people!) red lines will be should perhaps remember.
I agree with a lot of this. Certainly we are unfortunately a nation with ‘issues’ at present and also your staircase comments are fair. Worth noting, though, that we were actually offered both May’s deal (CU) and Johnson’s deal (CU&SM for NI only).
That would explain Labour’s view, although the EU were happy for Türkiye to do this, and also to offer May this in 2018 as per Barnier’s ‘staircase’? In fact, it seemed to be their hard preference (“we can change the font, maybe?”) until Varadkar went to Thornton Manor.
They clearly aren’t going to argue with the troglodyte element within their base for Free Movement but the CU (admittedly smaller likely impact) should be politically easier given eg it was May’s deal. Yet Labour bracketed them together before the election and are now stuck without either.