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britainelects.com
Britain Elects
@britainelects.com
27K followers 5 following 650 posts
Britain's leading aggregator for polling, forecasts and election results. Run by @bwalker.uk. Est. 2013 with the late, great, Lily Jayne Summers.
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Reposted by Britain Elects
andrewteale.me.uk
It's by-election TUESDAY!
2 polls are taking place today: a RUK defence on Derbyshire CC, and a Lab defence elsewhere in Amber Valley district
All the salient points you need to know can be found in Andrew's Previews for @britainelects.com
andrewspreviews.substack.com/p/previewing...
Previewing the two Derbyshire by-elections of Tuesday 20th January 2026
"All the right votes, but not necessarily in the right order"
andrewspreviews.substack.com
January 20, 2026 at 8:41 AM
Reposted by Britain Elects
ballotbox.scot
New Scottish Parliament poll, Norstat 13-16 Jan (vs 22-25 Sep):

List:
SNP ~ 29% (nc)
Lab ~ 17% (-1)
RUK ~ 16% (-2)
Con ~ 12% (-1)
Grn ~ 11% (+3)
LD ~ 9% (-1)
Alba ~ 4% (nc)

Constituency:
SNP ~ 35% (+1)
Lab ~ 19% (+2)
RUK ~ 17% (-3)
Con ~ 11% (+1)
LD ~ 9% (-2)
Grn ~ 7% (nc)
January 17, 2026 at 10:40 PM
britainelects.com
📊 Ref lead of 5pts
Westminster voting intention

REF: 24% (-)
LAB: 19% (-)
CON: 18% (-2)
GRN: 17% (+3)
LDEM: 14% (-2)

via @YouGov, 18 - 19 Jan
Chgs. w/ 12 Jan
britainelects.com
Britain Elects | Substack
Cutting through the noise with Ben Walker. Click to read Britain Elects, a Substack publication with thousands of subscribers.
britainelects.com
January 20, 2026 at 10:28 AM
britainelects.com
📊 Ref lead of 8pts
Westminster voting intention

REF: 29% (-5)
LAB: 21% (-1)
CON: 19% (+2)
LDEM: 11% (-)
GRN: 11% (+3)

via @Survation, 10 - 14 Jan
Chgs. w/ 25 Sep
britainelects.com
Britain Elects | Substack
Cutting through the noise with Ben Walker. Click to read Britain Elects, a Substack publication with thousands of subscribers.
britainelects.com
January 17, 2026 at 3:59 PM
britainelects.com
📊 Ref lead of 8pts
Westminster voting intention

REF: 28% (-1)
CON: 20% (+2)
LAB: 19% (-)
LDEM: 15% (-1)
GRN: 13% (+1)

via @TechneUK, 14 - 15 Jan
Chgs. w/ 23 Oct
britainelects.com
Britain Elects | Substack
Cutting through the noise with Ben Walker. Click to read Britain Elects, a Substack publication with thousands of subscribers.
britainelects.com
January 17, 2026 at 2:50 PM
britainelects.com
📊 Ref lead of 9pts
Westminster voting intention

REF: 28% (-4)
CON: 19% (+1)
GRN: 18% (+1)
LAB: 15% (-)
LDEM: 12% (-)

via @FindoutnowUK, 14 Jan
Chgs. w/ 08 Jan
britainelects.com
Britain Elects | Substack
Cutting through the noise with Ben Walker. Click to read Britain Elects, a Substack publication with thousands of subscribers.
britainelects.com
January 17, 2026 at 11:49 AM
britainelects.com
✅ Labour HOLD

Heworth (York) council by-election result:

LAB: 36.7% (-27.3)
REF: 20.1% (+20.1)
GRN: 19.8% (+4.5)
LDEM: 17.7% (+10.2)
CON: 4.0% (-9.1)
IND: 1.6% (+1.6)

+/- 2023

andrewteale.me.uk/previews
Andrew’s Previews | Andrew Teale | Substack
"All the right votes, but not necessarily in the right order". Click to read Andrew’s Previews, by Andrew Teale, a Substack publication with thousands of subscribers.
andrewteale.me.uk
January 16, 2026 at 12:48 AM
britainelects.com
❗ Reform GAIN from Liberal Democrat

Bridgemary (Gosport) council by-election result:

REF: 42.5% (+42.5)
LDEM: 40.5% (-8.0)
CON: 14.6% (-23.7)
LAB: 2.5% (-10.8)

+/- 2024

andrewteale.me.uk/previews
Andrew’s Previews | Andrew Teale | Substack
"All the right votes, but not necessarily in the right order". Click to read Andrew’s Previews, by Andrew Teale, a Substack publication with thousands of subscribers.
andrewteale.me.uk
January 16, 2026 at 12:43 AM
britainelects.com
Conservative MPs, former or current, who have defected to Reform since the General Election, and how their seats would vote today
www.newstatesman.com/politics/uk-...
January 15, 2026 at 5:53 PM
Reposted by Britain Elects
andrewteale.me.uk
It's by-election Thursday!
- 2 polls today, defences 1 Lab 1 LD
If you like explosives and/or chocolate, or fancy a tour of some unheralded parts of England, then this week's edition of Andrew's Previews is for you:
Previewing the Gosport and York local by-elections of 15th January 2026
"All the right votes, but not necessarily in the right order"
open.substack.com
January 15, 2026 at 7:06 AM
britainelects.com
Robert Jenrick MP (Newark) has been suspended from the Conservative Party by party leader Kemi Badenoch x.com/KemiBadenoch...
x.com
January 15, 2026 at 11:09 AM
britainelects.com
📊 Ref lead of 4pts

Westminster voting intention

REF: 24% (-2)
CON: 20% (+1)
LAB: 19% (+2)
LDEM: 16% (-)
GRN: 14% (-1)

via @YouGov, 11 - 12 Jan
Chgs. w/ 04 Jan
britainelects.com
Britain Elects | Substack
Cutting through the noise with Ben Walker. Click to read Britain Elects, a Substack publication with thousands of subscribers.
britainelects.substack.com
January 13, 2026 at 10:00 AM
britainelects.com
📊 Ref lead of 14pts
Westminster voting intention

REF: 32% (+1)
CON: 18% (+1)
GRN: 17% (-)
> LAB: 15% (-)
LDEM: 12% (-)

via @FindoutnowUK, 07 - 08 Jan
Chgs. w/ 31 Dec
britainelects.com
Britain Elects | Substack
Cutting through the noise with Ben Walker. Click to read Britain Elects, a Substack publication with thousands of subscribers.
britainelects.com
January 8, 2026 at 5:32 PM
britainelects.com
Best party on the economy (Con vs. Lab only):

Neither/Unsure: 57% (-1)
Conservative: 23% (+1)
Labour: 20% (-1)

+/- with before the Budget.
www.newstatesman.com/politics/uk-...
It's official: Labour is now in third place
The party is no longer the default anti-Farage choice
www.newstatesman.com
January 7, 2026 at 11:45 PM
britainelects.com
The @bwalker.uk view | Your Party's voters have gone to another party.

So what next?
www.newstatesman.com/politics/uk-...
Your Party's future lies with Muslim voters
The nascent left-wing party could be the next RESPECT
www.newstatesman.com
January 7, 2026 at 7:46 PM
britainelects.com
📊 Ref lead of 8pts
Westminster voting intention

REF: 31% (+3)
CON: 23% (+1)
LAB: 19% (-2)
LDEM: 12% (-1)
GRN: 10% (+1)

via @Moreincommon_, 02 - 05 Jan
Chgs. w/ 23 Dec
britainelects.com
Britain Elects | Substack
Cutting through the noise with Ben Walker. Click to read Britain Elects, a Substack publication with thousands of subscribers.
britainelects.com
January 7, 2026 at 4:45 PM
britainelects.com
Three years of poll data. Labour down almost half on its General Election performance

www.newstatesman.com/politics/uk-...
January 6, 2026 at 5:30 PM
britainelects.com
Our poll tracker now says: Labour is in third www.newstatesman.com/politics/uk-...
It's official: Labour is now in third place
The party is no longer the default anti-Farage choice
www.newstatesman.com
January 6, 2026 at 3:53 PM
britainelects.com
📊 Ref lead of 7pts
Westminster voting intention

REF: 26% (+1)
CON: 19% (-)
LAB: 17% (-3)
LDEM: 16% (+1)
GRN: 15% (-)

via @YouGov, 04 - 05 Apr
Chgs. w/ 22 Dec
britainelects.com
Britain Elects | Substack
Cutting through the noise with Ben Walker. Click to read Britain Elects, a Substack publication with thousands of subscribers.
britainelects.com
January 6, 2026 at 2:55 PM
britainelects.com
📊 Ref lead of 8pts
Westminster voting intention

REF: 29% (-1)
LAB: 21% (+1)
CON: 20% (-1)
LDEM: 12% (-2)
GRN: 11% (+1)

via @Moreincommon_, 12 - 16 Dec
Chgs. w/ 08 Dec
britainelects.com
Britain Elects | Substack
Cutting through the noise with Ben Walker. Click to read Britain Elects, a Substack publication with thousands of subscribers.
britainelects.com
December 17, 2025 at 9:54 AM
britainelects.com
📊 Ref lead of 10pts
Westminster voting intention

REF: 28% (+1)
LAB: 18% (-1)
CON: 17% (-1)
GRN: 17% (+2)
LDEM: 14% (-)

via @YouGov, 14 - 15 Dec
Chgs. w/ 08 Dec
britainelects.com
Britain Elects | Substack
Cutting through the noise with Ben Walker. Click to read Britain Elects, a Substack publication with thousands of subscribers.
britainelects.com
December 16, 2025 at 10:53 AM
Reposted by Britain Elects
andrewteale.me.uk
A ward with an interesting electoral history. See andrewteale.me.uk/iwbs for the figures and Andrew's Previews (link in OP) for the commentary.
December 12, 2025 at 1:29 PM
britainelects.com
❗ Reform GAIN from Labour

Whitburn and Blackburn (West Lothian) council by-election result:

REF: 32.0% (+32.0)
SNP: 28.0% (-10.7)
LAB: 17.1% (-20.3)
IND: 13.2% (+13.2)
CON: 3.5% (-15.0)
LDEM: 2.8% (+0.4)
GRN: 2.7% (-0.3)
IND: 0.7% (+0.7)

+/- 2022

andrewteale.me.uk/previews
Andrew’s Previews | Andrew Teale | Substack
"All the right votes, but not necessarily in the right order". Click to read Andrew’s Previews, by Andrew Teale, a Substack publication with thousands of subscribers.
andrewteale.me.uk
December 12, 2025 at 12:14 PM
britainelects.com
Fort William and Ardnamurchan (Highland) council by-election result, first prefs:

LDEM: 40.4% (+3.0)
SNP: 29.1% (-4.4)
REF: 9.6% (+9.6)
GRN: 9.4% (-0.2)
CON: 7.6% (-2.4)
LAB: 3.8% (+3.8)

No Ind (-9.3) as prev.

+/- 2022

Seat change: LDem GAIN from SNP

andrewteale.me.uk/previews
Andrew’s Previews | Andrew Teale | Substack
"All the right votes, but not necessarily in the right order". Click to read Andrew’s Previews, by Andrew Teale, a Substack publication with thousands of subscribers.
andrewteale.me.uk
December 12, 2025 at 12:05 PM
britainelects.com
✅ Conservative HOLD

Eaglescliffe West (Stockton-on-Tees) council by-election result:

CON: 60.9% (+4.4)
REF: 24.0% (+17.6)
GRN: 7.6% (-0.2)
LAB: 7.5% (-21.8)

+/- 2023

Estimated turnout: ~40% (-3)

andrewteale.me.uk/previews
Andrew’s Previews | Andrew Teale | Substack
"All the right votes, but not necessarily in the right order". Click to read Andrew’s Previews, by Andrew Teale, a Substack publication with thousands of subscribers.
andrewteale.me.uk
December 12, 2025 at 12:01 PM