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Reposted by Max Bergmann

CSIS Europe, Russia, and Eurasia Program @erep.csis.org · 4h

A significant reduction of US forces in Europe could leave the continent exposed to Russian aggression.

@maxbergmann.bsky.social @ottosvendsen.bsky.social offer a bold plan to close capability gaps and sustain deterrence with limited US involvement. Learn more below:
www.csis.org/analysis/how...

How Europe Can Defend Itself with Less America

A potential U.S. force posture reduction in Europe will leave the continent vulnerable to further Russian aggression. Europe needs a bold action plan to mitigate capability gaps and ensure deterrence ...

www.csis.org

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Max Bergmann @maxbergmann.bsky.social · 5h

Might be of interest to @robinsonmeyer.bsky.social, @jessedjenkins.com... love their podcast but want more Europe content!

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Max Bergmann @maxbergmann.bsky.social · 5h

This was a great conversation and highly recommend to depressed climate wonks in the US. Despite some performative anti-green politics, the EU has no choice but to move forward with the transition.

Ben McWilliams @bmcwilliams.bsky.social · 11h

🗣️ A pleasure chatting with @maxbergmann.bsky.social and @donatienneruy.bsky.social on the state of play for European climate policy.

CSIS Europe, Russia, and Eurasia Program @erep.csis.org · 1d

🎧 On the #Eurofile: Czech election results, European security, and a climate agenda under pressure.

@donatienneruy.bsky.social & @maxbergmann.bsky.social break down the latest on EU climate and energy policy with @bmcwilliams.bsky.social.

Tune in below.
www.csis.org/podcasts/eur...

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Reposted by Max Bergmann

Eric Adamson @eadamson91.bsky.social · 12h

The 🇸🇪 Armed Forces are following a Russian submarine in the Baltic Sea.

The submarine is "visible above the water, so we are getting lots of questions and want to be transparent," says an Armed Forces spokesperson.

The submarine is in international waters and has not violated Swedish territory.

Försvarsmakten följer rysk ubåt i Östersjön: ”Syns tydligt över ytan”

En rysk ubåt gick under gårdagen in i Östersjön via Stora Bält, enligt ett pressmeddelande från Försvarsmakten.

omni.se

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Reposted by Max Bergmann

Sander Tordoir @sandertordoir.bsky.social · 8h

Enjoyed discussing Europe’s response to geo-economic tensions and global imbalances with Charles Lichfield and Beth Baltzan in the IMF atrium at the Annual Meetings.

Europe is the only bloc that is doing real rebalancing - which provides opportunities and risks.

www.youtube.com/watch?app=de...

How trade, dollar dominance, and debt intersect to shape global policy choices

YouTube video by AtlanticCouncil

www.youtube.com

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Reposted by Max Bergmann

Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias.bsky.social · 20h

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Max Bergmann @maxbergmann.bsky.social · 1d

All true… but I did hear an EEU sr diplomat say recently ‘while everyone was telling us we were right about Russia, we need to tell the French they were right about strategic autonomy.’

Nicolai von Ondarza @nvondarza.bsky.social · 1d

The story for his major EU initiatives is also not great:
- Sorbonne speech/agenda (largely wiffed away)
- Conference on the Future of Europe (went nowhere)
- European Intervention Initiative (mostly dead?)
- European Political Community (alive as diplomatic speed dating)

Stanley Pignal @spignal.bsky.social · 1d

Macron did three notable economic reforms since 2017:
- modest changes to the labour code
- levying wealth tax just on real estate
- move pension age from 62 to 64

Now the pension age increase will be "paused" and there will be a tax on the rich.

Doesn't leave an awful lot for 8+ years in power.

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Reposted by Max Bergmann

Finbarr Bermingham @fbermingham.bsky.social · 1d

New - Europe’s 3-body problem: collapsing global order sparks hunt for new trajectory

I got to write about one of my favourite Chinese sci-fi novels. Europe, realising it can’t fix systemic chaos, is instead trying to shift its own orbit.

Europe’s 3-body problem: collapsing global order sparks hunt for new trajectory

Some are sceptical the EU’s talk of ‘economic security’ can translate into action, but there are early signs that may be changing.

www.scmp.com

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Reposted by Max Bergmann

Sander Tordoir @sandertordoir.bsky.social · 4d

The inability of the US and Europe to build an own supply of rare earth refining - knowing for years it was a huge vulnerability - must be one of the most catastrophic policy failures of the decade.

One reason it‘s hard: the West cannot free trade its way out when China controls the price mechanism

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Reposted by Max Bergmann

Sander Tordoir @sandertordoir.bsky.social · 4d

„So much for a small yard with a high fence—we now confront a big square with a Great Wall.“

Would think CFR‘s Froman just has coined the key new metaphor, after China dramatically escalated export controls.

Sander Tordoir @sandertordoir.bsky.social · 4d

The inability of the US and Europe to build an own supply of rare earth refining - knowing for years it was a huge vulnerability - must be one of the most catastrophic policy failures of the decade.

One reason it‘s hard: the West cannot free trade its way out when China controls the price mechanism

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Max Bergmann @maxbergmann.bsky.social · 4d

So…I’m totally okay with this! But someone please tell Trump about the height limit and that he can just tell congress to get rid of it! www.washingtonpost.com/politics/202...

Trump eyes a triumphal arch to mark America’s 250th anniversary

The arch would be constructed across from the Lincoln Memorial, on a small patch of federal land currently occupied by a traffic circle.

www.washingtonpost.com

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Reposted by Max Bergmann

Gesine Weber @gesineweber.bsky.social · 4d

Maybe something to add to our vocabulary: playing it Lecornu = pulling back, making everyone panic, causing a mess, and then coming back as if nothing had happened

(Would nicely complement « to Merkel » = not doing anything meaningful and acting slowly, as used during her time in German)

Georgina Wright @georginaewright.bsky.social · 4d

Annnnnd… He’s back 🤣. President names Sébastien Lecornu PM (again).

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Stanley Pignal @spignal.bsky.social · 5d

I've been a bit sceptical of the "exodus of US-based academics to Europe" thing, but this is a notable move.

Florian Scheuer @florianscheuer.bsky.social · 5d

I am delighted to share that Nobel laureates Esther Duflo and Abhijit Banerjee will join our Department of Economics @econ.uzh.ch at the University of Zurich on July 1, 2026, as Lemann Foundation Professors of Economics.

🧵 1/7

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Reposted by Max Bergmann

Christian Odendahl @codendahl.bsky.social · 5d

"A 55% plunge in BEV sales to China was in stark contrast to a 213.5% jump in North America and a 60% increase in Europe."

Seems to work without subsidies for the well-off to buy EVs.

Reuters @reuters.com · 5d

Volkswagen's third-quarter sales lifted by Europe and EVs reut.rs/3J0crLF

Volkswagen's third-quarter sales lifted by Europe and EVs

Volkswagen Group reported a 1% increase in third-quarter global deliveries on Friday as new models helped sales in Western Europe.

reut.rs

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Max Bergmann @maxbergmann.bsky.social · 5d

Lastly, reforming European defense will be a huge bureaucratic slog, with MODs and national defense industrial complexes all opposed. Efficiency, after all, creates losers. Therefore to launch a reform effort, EU Council should commission a Draghi-style report on defense reform. 5/

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Max Bergmann @maxbergmann.bsky.social · 5d

Europe will also need to invest jointly in developing deep stockpiles to deter Russia, as well as work quickly to build up its enabling capabilities. This includes much greater intelligence coordination. 4/

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Max Bergmann @maxbergmann.bsky.social · 5d

Spain rightly has argued that hitting an arbitrary spending target won't secure Europe. So we offer a tangible way to leverage the size and scale of Spain and Italy - use their large armies to make up for a decline of US forces. 3/

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Max Bergmann @maxbergmann.bsky.social · 5d

Namely, Europe needs to integrate its efforts and leverage its size and scale. We call for the revival of the rapid reaction force concept. But make it a permeant force (ala US army in Germany). Also make it a Italian-Spanish backed Euro force. They have large armies put them to use! 2/

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Max Bergmann @maxbergmann.bsky.social · 5d

🚨New report ahead of US force posture review. There needs to be a revolution in European military affairs. It's great Europeans are spending more. But they are neglecting the deeper reforms needed for Europe to defend itself with (potentially much) less America. We offer some ideas... 1/

CSIS Europe, Russia, and Eurasia Program @erep.csis.org · 6d

NEW: How Europe Can Defend Itself with Less America
Our latest report identifies key military gaps that would be created by a significant reduction of US forces in Europe–and how Europeans can step up to address them.

✍️ @maxbergmann.bsky.social @ottosvendsen.bsky.social
www.csis.org/analysis/how...

How Europe Can Defend Itself with Less America

A potential U.S. force posture reduction in Europe will leave the continent vulnerable to further Russian aggression. Europe needs a bold action plan to mitigate capability gaps and ensure deterrence ...

www.csis.org

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Reposted by Max Bergmann

Joel Wertheimer @wertwhile.bsky.social · 6d

Feel like people aren't afraid enough of AI video generation capabilities www.instagram.com/reel/DPEqBL0...

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Reposted by Max Bergmann

msnegovaya.bsky.social @msnegovaya.bsky.social · 6d

🚨 New episode! @maxbergmann.bsky.social talks with @erep.csis.org's Tina Dolbaia & @vasabjit.bsky.social about their timely paper on Russia–India ties and global geopolitics. Please tune in!

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Reposted by Max Bergmann

Nils Redeker @nilsredeker.bsky.social · 6d

This is the way. The German car industry’s problem isn’t 2035 - it’s the demand crash happening right now.

And while we can’t stop U.S. tariffs or Chinese subsidies, we certainly can ramp up demand at home.

Sander Tordoir @sandertordoir.bsky.social · 7d

German auto summit tomorrow.

The sole focus on the EU combustion engine phase-out, which is 10 years away, is baffling because German cars have a demand problem today

Berlin worries a new EV subsidy scheme would be fiscally too expensive.

But demand-side support is a fiscal no-brainer here.

1/

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Reposted by Max Bergmann

Sander Tordoir @sandertordoir.bsky.social · 7d

Highly highly doubt that panic football industrial policy down the line will be cheaper than putting in place 3 or so billion in EV consumer subsidies today and then coordinating with other EU countries.

Sander Tordoir @sandertordoir.bsky.social · 7d

If Germany doesn’t put in place a pro-competitive industrial policy for cars, centred on market building, the country may well end up down the line giving messy bailouts, regulatory rollbacks in response to mounting political and union pressure - only for the sector to wither anyway.

Sander Tordoir @sandertordoir.bsky.social · 7d

German auto summit tomorrow.

The sole focus on the EU combustion engine phase-out, which is 10 years away, is baffling because German cars have a demand problem today

Berlin worries a new EV subsidy scheme would be fiscally too expensive.

But demand-side support is a fiscal no-brainer here.

1/

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Reposted by Max Bergmann

CSIS | Center for Strategic & International Studies @csis.org · 7d

"Ukraine’s defense landscape today reflects a hybrid structure, combining the centralized, Soviet-inherited military industrial base with a uniquely dynamic, wartime-forged innovation ecosystem."

Read the full report from @ai.csis.org: www.csis.org/analysis/how...

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Reposted by Max Bergmann

CSIS Europe, Russia, and Eurasia Program @erep.csis.org · 7d

🎧 NEW: @vasabjit.bsky.social + Tina Dolbaia join Russian Roulette to discuss the Russia-India relationship, how it's been impacted by the full-scale invasion of Ukraine, and what to watch for going forward.

Tune into the latest episode with @maxbergmann.bsky.social & @msnegovaya.bsky.social ⬇️

Vasabjit Banerjee @vasabjit.bsky.social · 7d

My podcast interaction with @erep.csis.org on Russia-India relations just dropped.

www.youtube.com/watch?v=Pfrn...

The Russia-India Relationship with Tina Dolbaia and Vasabjit Banerjee

YouTube video by Center for Strategic & International Studies

www.youtube.com

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