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Georgina Wright @georginaewright.bsky.social · 43m

Thank you for the interesting interview! Always a joy to chat to you.

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Reposted by Georgina Wright

Nicolas Berrod @nicolasberrod.bsky.social · 19h

🔴 Voici le nouveau #gouvernement 👇

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Georgina Wright @georginaewright.bsky.social · 2d

Which Macron decided to call..

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Georgina Wright @georginaewright.bsky.social · 2d

Trying to find some good in this (v poor) decision… but I agree, I’m on thin ground. V thin.

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Reposted by Georgina Wright

Georgina Wright @georginaewright.bsky.social · 2d

Lecornu may well get a budget through. But the damage for French politics is… real.

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Georgina Wright @georginaewright.bsky.social · 2d

Lecornu may well get a budget through. But the damage for French politics is… real.

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Georgina Wright @georginaewright.bsky.social · 2d

Centre-Left have said they’d be open to it — but suspect Macron was afraid they’d reverse some of his policies.

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Georgina Wright @georginaewright.bsky.social · 2d

Sure, but repeatedly appointing ppl from same camp is hardly a winning strategy. It’s just going to anger everyone 10fold.

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Georgina Wright @georginaewright.bsky.social · 2d

IMHO, Macron should not have named Lecornu PM tonight.

Georgina Wright @georginaewright.bsky.social · 2d

And for those wondering. I don’t think this is good news. Not a question of Lecornu’s credentials - which based on his yrs in gov, are solid - but rather what this does to French politics. Few wanted another “Macron” figure. Many will see this as another snub of the 2024 elections.

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Georgina Wright @georginaewright.bsky.social · 2d

Yes….

Georgina Wright @georginaewright.bsky.social · 2d

He talks of a “new” governmental team that embodies “renewal” & “diversity of strengths”. Hm.

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Georgina Wright @georginaewright.bsky.social · 2d

And for those wondering. I don’t think this is good news. Not a question of Lecornu’s credentials - which based on his yrs in gov, are solid - but rather what this does to French politics. Few wanted another “Macron” figure. Many will see this as another snub of the 2024 elections.

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Georgina Wright @georginaewright.bsky.social · 2d

Annnnnd… He’s back 🤣. President names Sébastien Lecornu PM (again).

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Georgina Wright @georginaewright.bsky.social · 2d

Hmm. French MEPs aren’t huge fans
of VDL — and they certainly don’t like her style of leadership. So I think this has less to do with Macron, and more to do with VDL herself.

Nicolai von Ondarza @nvondarza.bsky.social · 3d

Taken together, I am seeing a French political class which is not only uploading its internal political crisis to the EU level, but also transposing its anger at Macron to an anger at the EU level pro-European centre.

Not a good combination.

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Reposted by Georgina Wright

Armida van Rij @armida.bsky.social · 4d

Great to contribute to this weeks TTP. I make the point France's political permacrisis is bad news for European rearmament efforts.

I'm in excellent company too @georginaewright.bsky.social @dschwarzer.bsky.social.

Carnegie Europe @carnegieeurope.bsky.social · 4d

❔| #TTP: Does France's Political Crisis Weaken Europe's Geopolitical Hand?

While the EU tries to navigate international challenges, France is experiencing historic political disarray. What impact will instability in Paris have on Europe's strategic capacity? ⤵️
carnegieendowment.org/europe/strat...

Taking the Pulse: Does France's Political Crisis Weaken Europe's Geopolitical Hand?

While the EU tries to navigate a myriad international challenges, France is experiencing historic political disarray. What impact will instability in Paris have on Europe's geostrategic capacity?

carnegieendowment.org

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Georgina Wright @georginaewright.bsky.social · 4d

Outgoing French PM Sébastien Lecornu gave an interview this evening on French TV. Main points:
1. Macron cd nominate a new PM in next 48h (it won't be Lecornu). This also means no elections.
2. He thinks a budget can be adopted (enough common ground)
3. Thinks no budget by end of yr wd be dramatic

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Georgina Wright @georginaewright.bsky.social · 6d

I did not see Macron asking Lecornu to try and form another government as a 4th option — but here we are. On Wednesday, Lecornu will inform Macron whether this has been possible…

Georgina Wright @georginaewright.bsky.social · 7d

What happens next? Three options for Macron:
1) names another PM (preferably, for longevity reasons, not from his camp)
2) calls snap elections
3) resigns.

1st or 2nd more likely than 3rd, though resignation rumours continue to swirl.

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Georgina Wright @georginaewright.bsky.social · 7d

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Georgina Wright @georginaewright.bsky.social · 7d

What France's collapse means for EU trade policy - my quick take: www.politico.eu/article/fran...

French Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu resigns — live updates

France’s fifth government in three years resigns just 12 hours after being appointed.

www.politico.eu

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Georgina Wright @georginaewright.bsky.social · 7d

Yes... Not saying he should name RN PM. But interesting to think of what wd happen if he did.

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Georgina Wright @georginaewright.bsky.social · 7d

2) They can't get anything through Parliament. In which case, they blame other parties from not cooperating (and helpfully forget their abstentions/opposition past 2 yrs)
3) If Macron fails to name a RN PM, they will say he's ignoring will of majority.

All good for their 2027 presidential bid.

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Georgina Wright @georginaewright.bsky.social · 7d

An interesting thought exercise is whether Macron names someone from far-right Rassemblement National as PM - I can see 2 outcomes, all beneficial to them/2027 presidential election:
1) They do a good job (refraining from passing any "extreme" policies to reassure French electorate).

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Georgina Wright @georginaewright.bsky.social · 7d

What happens next? Three options for Macron:
1) names another PM (preferably, for longevity reasons, not from his camp)
2) calls snap elections
3) resigns.

1st or 2nd more likely than 3rd, though resignation rumours continue to swirl.

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Georgina Wright @georginaewright.bsky.social · 7d

French PM resigns & no-one shd be surprised. Majority of MPs saw his appointment as lacking legitimacy (Macron party is far from biggest in parliament). Lecornu took several weeks to appoint a government - which, upon announcement last night, was almost identical to last. Huge anger in response.

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Georgina Wright @georginaewright.bsky.social · 17d

I absolutely agree. There is tendency to rely on the "if only voters understood what we were actually saying, then.." -- and it's too easy. But I also genuinely think they tend to be worse communicators if you compare them to other parties. So bad comms doesn't excuse everything, but..