IMF raises growth forecast, warns
2m
The International Monetary Fund upgraded its global growth forecast to 3.2% and, at its Washington annual meetings, warned that complacent markets, trade tariffs and an AI-driven equity bubble posed risks.
by John H. Cochrane Reposted by Lars P. Feld
by Paulo Gala
Our WEO analysis also shows that reducing policy uncertainty and lowering tariffs could lift global output by up to 0.7% in the near term. Clear trade rules and cooperation are more critical than ever. www.imf.org/en/Publicati...
World Economic Outlook, October 2025: Global Economy in Flux, Prospects Remain Dim
The latest World Economic Outlook reports a slowdown in global growth with risks remaining tilted to the downside. As new policies slowly come to focus, adjustment to the emerging landscape should be ...
www.imf.org
Our October WEO report is out. Global growth is expected to slow to 3.2% this year and 3.1% next year, defying fears of a sharper slowdown after the US tariff surge. Yet, this resilience masks deeper fragilities in trade, AI, and fiscal policy. imf.org/en/Blogs/Art...
To secure growth, countries must focus on what works: clear trade rules, fiscal discipline, robust policy frameworks, and investments in productivity. The alternative is slower, more volatile economic activity. www.imf.org/en/Publicati...
Just Published: Stock market development boosts economic growth, where the positive effects are bigger for advanced economies (emerging countries) with stronger (weaker) institutions. authors.elsevier.com/sd/art...
Other forces are at play: AI investment is booming, echoing the dot-com era, while China's property sector struggles and fiscal pressures mount. These dynamics create a complex, uneven recovery.
The debt crisis is a development & investment crisis. In the Global South, debt repayments crowd out investment in education, healthcare & climate resilience. We call on the World Bank & IMF to acknowledge the impacts of the global debt crisis & take action to drive inclusive & sustainable growth.
by Matti Virén
Read our open letter ➡️ data.one.org/2025-debt-op...
More in the Guardian ➡️ www.theguardian.com/business/202... 2/2
More in the Guardian ➡️ www.theguardian.com/business/202... 2/2
Urgent calls for debt relief as study shows health and education cuts in developing world
Influential economists want replenishment of funds and new ways to define countries in need before this week’s IMF and World Bank meetings
www.theguardian.com
Reposted by Adam S. Posen
Global economy chugging along, the euro area growing slightly above 1% this year and next...
Russia's GDP growth downgraded quite a bit especially 2025, but also 2026, 0.6% and 1.0%, respectively.
China GDP 2025 and 2026 4.8% and 4.2%, growth continues to decelerate.
www.imf.org/en/Publicati...
Russia's GDP growth downgraded quite a bit especially 2025, but also 2026, 0.6% and 1.0%, respectively.
China GDP 2025 and 2026 4.8% and 4.2%, growth continues to decelerate.
www.imf.org/en/Publicati...
