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Trending stock market related posts on Bluesky.
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Bonds dread tariffs, inflation, deficits. #econsky
“.. Bond investors are now mulling the outlook for global growth, examining inflation risks amid President Donald Trump’s trade war and surging government debt from Tokyo to London ..”

@bloomberg.com
www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
December 10, 2025 at 4:51 PM
Rates steady, trade war triage. #econsky
December 10, 2025 at 4:51 PM
SpaceX IPO slingshots Musk trillionward #econsky
Elon Musk could more than double his $460.6 billion fortune if SpaceX succeeds in going public at a valuation of $1.5 trillion.

See how the giant listing would push the world's richest man close to trillionaire status: bloom.bg/4ptbZFH

📷️: Stefani Reynolds/Bloomberg
December 10, 2025 at 4:41 PM
Midterms maul stocks: weakest, wildest. #econsky
‘Midterm years have historically been challenging for equities, with the S&P 500 averaging only a 4.6% gain and a 17.5% maximum drawdown since 1950—the most volatile and weakest year in the presidential cycle.’ thedailyshot.com/2025/12/10/s...
December 10, 2025 at 4:31 PM
Highs, Fed cuts, 2026 correction. #finsky
“.. When the Fed cuts rates while $SPY is trading near all-time highs (within 1%), the market usually falls sharply 2–3 months later. That aligns closely with our model’s prediction of a serious correction beginning in February 2026.”

(via OptionGeek)
December 10, 2025 at 4:02 PM
Birth-death overhaul trims benchmark revisions. #econsky
Missed this at the time but the Sep jobs report announced changes to the net birth-death model effective with the Jan 2026 report release that seems promising. Should improve the accuracy of the model and hopefully reduce size of benchmark revisions

Q9: www.bls.gov/web/empsit/cesbdqa.htm
December 10, 2025 at 3:41 PM
Hassett likely; applause not included. #econsky
A measure of the market's confidence in Trump's decisions:
- 84% of market economists expect Trump to tap Kevin Hassett to lead the Fed.
- Only 11% think that's a good idea (and that's only relative to Trump's existing shortlist).

www.cnbc.com/amp/2025/12/...
December 10, 2025 at 3:32 PM
Tariffs slap $1,700 household tax. #econsky
PIIE: “.. If tariffs stay at current levels, they will impose an annual tax increase of $1,700 for an average household .. the largest tax increase on US households since 1982 as a share of GDP ..”

www.piie.com/commentary/t...
December 10, 2025 at 3:31 PM
Three-year extension mints insurer-hospital windfalls. #finsky
You can extend for a year. In a year, hopefully we have some reform. If not, you can extend another year.

Extending 3 yrs now is going to triple the stock prices of big insurance carriers and hospital networks. They will LOVE IT. Prices will continue to skyrocket
And what happens if ACA credits aren’t extended, Mark? 🙄
December 10, 2025 at 3:02 PM
Nvidia denies ghosts; markets side-eye. #econsky
I was willing to give them the benefit of the doubt but uhhhh this doesn't inspire confidence that they didn't know

*NVIDIA STATEMENT ON DEEPSEEK
*NVIDIA: HAVEN'T RECEIVED TIPS OF 'PHANTOM DATACENTERS'
*NVIDIA: SMUGGLING SEEMS FARFETCHED
*NVIDIA SAYS IT PURSUES ANY TIPS IT RECEIVES
December 10, 2025 at 2:51 PM
ChatGPT gets Photoshop, Acrobat superpowers #finsky
December 10, 2025 at 2:41 PM
Real pay up, still pandemic-lagged. #econsky
As of September, wages & salaries for private-sector workers were up slightly from a year ago (0.6%), after adjusting for inflation.
But wages were still slightly *below* what they were when pandemic began.
(This is per Employment Cost Index; other measures show net real wages above March 2020).
December 10, 2025 at 2:41 PM
Inflação esfria; IPCA cumpre meta. #econsky
🇧🇷 Inflação desacelera e fecha novembro em 0,18%, menor alta para o mês desde 2018. No acumulado de 12 meses, o IPCA caiu para 4,46%, ficando dentro da meta do BC.

A alta foi puxada por passagens aéreas (11,9%) e energia elétrica residencial (1,27%). O resultado veio levemente melhor que o esperado.
December 10, 2025 at 2:11 PM
Five Fed dissents? 1983 throwback. #econsky
Fed Day.

There haven't been five dissents since 1983.
December 10, 2025 at 1:51 PM
Deal frays as Jakarta backtracks. #econsky
FT: The trade deal between Indonesia and the U.S. is at risk of unravelling as Washington officials view that Jakarta is going back on the terms of the agreement.

@financialtimes.com
www.ft.com/content/4d40...
US-Indonesia trade deal at risk of collapse
Washington believes Jakarta is reneging on terms of agreement signed in July
www.ft.com
December 10, 2025 at 1:41 PM
Lenders grim: 2026 farm squeeze. #econsky
“.. Agricultural lenders expect less than half of farm borrowers to be profitable in 2026, with liquidity, income and inflation as their top concerns ..”

@reuters.com
www.reuters.com/business/us-...
December 10, 2025 at 12:51 PM
China underbuys beans, deal wobbles. #econsky
“.. Greer’s comment at the hearing came on the heels of a report by NBC News showing that the pace of China’s purchase of soybeans in recent weeks was well short of reaching the agreed amount by the end of the calendar year.”

@cnbc.com
www.cnbc.com/2025/12/09/t...
December 10, 2025 at 12:41 PM
Tariffs plow under Deere output. #finsky
JOHN DEERE: "Our US market has been the one under the most pressure . . . based on what’s happened with trade flows, what’s happened with tariffs .." We'll build "half as many tractors this year as we did two years ago."

@financialtimes.com $DE
www.ft.com/content/523a...
Donald Trump’s tariffs intensify strain on US farmers, Deere warns
Farming equipment giant is scaling back production at flagship tractor plant in Iowa
www.ft.com
December 10, 2025 at 12:41 PM
Falling rates pick housing locks. #econsky
Existing home market unlocking as mortgage rates fall
December 10, 2025 at 12:31 PM
Blame real yields, not inflation. #econsky
Is it?

The rise in 30 year Treasury yields as of late is primarily a <real yield> story.
December 10, 2025 at 12:31 PM
Cut priced; Powell plots course. #econsky
🏦 Fed Day is here: A 25-basis point rate cut looks certain, but all eyes are on Powell’s guidance — and the dot plot for 2026 reut.rs/4oRPedD
Ready, Fed, go
Another rate cut is priced in, but the real story is happening in 2026.
reut.rs
December 10, 2025 at 12:02 PM
EU accelerates Russian gas phaseout. #econsky
🇪🇺 The ambassadors of EU member states have approved the bloc's plan to phase out all Russian gas imports by the autumn of 2027, - Sky News

The EU will halt Russian liquefied natural gas imports by the end of 2026 and pipeline gas by the end of September 2027.
December 10, 2025 at 11:41 AM
ECB bumps Eurozone growth forecast—again. #econsky
Breaking news: European Central Bank president Christine Lagarde told a Financial Times conference on Wednesday that the central bank would probably lift its growth forecast for the Eurozone economy for the second time in a row next week on.ft.com/3KD3rx2
December 10, 2025 at 11:41 AM
Aussie 10s on absolute heater #econsky
Australia 10yr yield on a real heater.. 4.1% to 4.8% in a matter of weeks
December 10, 2025 at 11:11 AM