Political Gambler
@paulmotty.bsky.social
30 years+ semi or professional gambler. Political analyst for Betfair and bylines at GQ, Politico, Reuters, CityAM.
www.politicalgambler.com
Media enquires: [email protected]
www.politicalgambler.com
Media enquires: [email protected]
Reposted by Political Gambler
PUNCHBOWL: “.. GOP members messaged us over the weekend saying that they, too, are considering retiring in the middle of the term. Here’s one particularly exercised senior House Republican:
@punchbowlnews.bsky.social
@punchbowlnews.bsky.social
November 24, 2025 at 3:37 PM
PUNCHBOWL: “.. GOP members messaged us over the weekend saying that they, too, are considering retiring in the middle of the term. Here’s one particularly exercised senior House Republican:
@punchbowlnews.bsky.social
@punchbowlnews.bsky.social
Reposted by Political Gambler
Crazy shit: the connections. Two very excellent reads:
“Hiding In Plain Sight”, and “They Knew”, both by @sarahkendzior.bsky.social.
From *before* his media stardom days. And the interconnected lines between verifiable international criminals and the donor elite and their politicians. Clarifying.
“Hiding In Plain Sight”, and “They Knew”, both by @sarahkendzior.bsky.social.
From *before* his media stardom days. And the interconnected lines between verifiable international criminals and the donor elite and their politicians. Clarifying.
November 24, 2025 at 4:57 AM
Crazy shit: the connections. Two very excellent reads:
“Hiding In Plain Sight”, and “They Knew”, both by @sarahkendzior.bsky.social.
From *before* his media stardom days. And the interconnected lines between verifiable international criminals and the donor elite and their politicians. Clarifying.
“Hiding In Plain Sight”, and “They Knew”, both by @sarahkendzior.bsky.social.
From *before* his media stardom days. And the interconnected lines between verifiable international criminals and the donor elite and their politicians. Clarifying.
No question about it. The US Christian Right has been infiltrating our right wing politics for 30 years. It is now a global, kleptocratic alliance, including the Russian Orthodox church. See 'The Family' on Netflix.
Two key differences, I think, have so far saved the UK from full-on MAGA madness: our relationship to religion and our regulation of guns. We should be fully prepared for the far right to start prodding both. ~AA
www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...
www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...
Why Tommy Robinson supporters are turning to Christianity
The Church of England is grappling with what to do about followers of the far-right figure embracing faith.
www.bbc.co.uk
November 24, 2025 at 10:54 AM
No question about it. The US Christian Right has been infiltrating our right wing politics for 30 years. It is now a global, kleptocratic alliance, including the Russian Orthodox church. See 'The Family' on Netflix.
Please tell me this is fake 😬
November 23, 2025 at 2:04 PM
Please tell me this is fake 😬
Reposted by Political Gambler
This is an actual Daily Express 'story' about Question Time.
Yes, really.
Yes, really.
November 21, 2025 at 12:02 PM
This is an actual Daily Express 'story' about Question Time.
Yes, really.
Yes, really.
My latest on the betting around Donald Trump's exit date for gambling.com
Does the Epstein scandal mark the beginning of the end?
www.gambling.com/uk/news/dona...
Does the Epstein scandal mark the beginning of the end?
www.gambling.com/uk/news/dona...
Donald Trump Exit Odds: Does Epstein Scandal Mark The Beginning Of The End?
Republican and Democrat lawmakers failed to reach an agreement on the latest funding bill....
www.gambling.com
November 19, 2025 at 3:29 PM
My latest on the betting around Donald Trump's exit date for gambling.com
Does the Epstein scandal mark the beginning of the end?
www.gambling.com/uk/news/dona...
Does the Epstein scandal mark the beginning of the end?
www.gambling.com/uk/news/dona...
Reposted by Political Gambler
No crypto! Just old-fashioned corruption
www.propublica.org/article/kris...
www.propublica.org/article/kris...
Firm Tied to Kristi Noem Secretly Got Money From $220 Million DHS Ad Contracts
The company is run by the husband of Noem’s chief DHS spokesperson and has personal and business ties to Noem and her aides. DHS invoked the “emergency” at the border to skirt competitive bidding rule...
www.propublica.org
November 15, 2025 at 10:03 PM
No crypto! Just old-fashioned corruption
www.propublica.org/article/kris...
www.propublica.org/article/kris...
Who could possibly have predicted this?
November 15, 2025 at 9:21 PM
Who could possibly have predicted this?
Reposted by Political Gambler
If you're furious at the New York Times for the Olivia Nuzzi piece, watch my film Mr. Jones starring James Norton, Vanessa Kirby, on the long history of the NYT abusing power. They refused to let us show their articles covering up Stalin’s famine in Ukraine. youtu.be/wtWSyFNT9qY?...
MR. JONES - Official North American Trailer
YouTube video by Samuel Goldwyn Films
youtu.be
November 14, 2025 at 7:06 PM
If you're furious at the New York Times for the Olivia Nuzzi piece, watch my film Mr. Jones starring James Norton, Vanessa Kirby, on the long history of the NYT abusing power. They refused to let us show their articles covering up Stalin’s famine in Ukraine. youtu.be/wtWSyFNT9qY?...
My thoughts on the betting around Keir Starmer's exit date, for gambling.com
www.gambling.com/uk/news/keir...
www.gambling.com/uk/news/keir...
Keir Starmer Exit Date Odds: Labour Have No Easy Path To Remove Their Leader
How long will Labour leader Sir Keir Starmer last as the UK's prime minister?...
www.gambling.com
November 13, 2025 at 6:25 PM
My thoughts on the betting around Keir Starmer's exit date, for gambling.com
www.gambling.com/uk/news/keir...
www.gambling.com/uk/news/keir...
Reposted by Political Gambler
Verdict of one Labour grandee I just bumped into: “Ed Miliband is the person most likely to be the most next Prime Minister”.
November 13, 2025 at 12:46 PM
Verdict of one Labour grandee I just bumped into: “Ed Miliband is the person most likely to be the most next Prime Minister”.
Can't wait to hear the rational explanation from the sensible, 'its all a conspiracy theory' crowd.
November 13, 2025 at 1:05 PM
Can't wait to hear the rational explanation from the sensible, 'its all a conspiracy theory' crowd.
The broad swathe of mainstream commentators who dismissed TrumpRussia, or indeed the Epstein files, as crazy, fringe conspiracy theories, should hang their heads in shame.
NEW: Jeffrey Epstein said in emails that he had been advising the Russian government on how to deal with Donald Trump, one of several cases in which he wielded his connections to try to influence the course of foreign affairs. w @nahaltoosi
www.politico.com/news/2025/11...
www.politico.com/news/2025/11...
November 12, 2025 at 11:49 PM
The broad swathe of mainstream commentators who dismissed TrumpRussia, or indeed the Epstein files, as crazy, fringe conspiracy theories, should hang their heads in shame.
Reposted by Political Gambler
One thing is clear, the campaign to threaten and sue networks over their coverage definitely worked
"Trump has not been implicated in wrongdoing" -- CNN offers this dubious disclaimer in every interview they do about Epstein
November 12, 2025 at 8:09 PM
One thing is clear, the campaign to threaten and sue networks over their coverage definitely worked
My latest for gambling.com analyses last week's US elections and forward to the midterms. I have one strong long-term bet to recommend.
www.gambling.com/uk/news/us-m...
www.gambling.com/uk/news/us-m...
US Midterm Election Odds 2026: Betting Points To Split Congress
The Dems are expected to take control of the House of Representatives in November 2026....
www.gambling.com
November 12, 2025 at 4:01 PM
My latest for gambling.com analyses last week's US elections and forward to the midterms. I have one strong long-term bet to recommend.
www.gambling.com/uk/news/us-m...
www.gambling.com/uk/news/us-m...
Trump's actual quote, pre-edit, is more damning. This may be the stupidest, confected scandal yet.
Left: Donald Trump’s Jan 6th quote, as presented in the dossier that brought down two BBC bosses
Right: What Donald Trump actually said.
Full story in @thenewworldmag.bsky.social: www.thenewworld.co.uk/james-ball-e...
Right: What Donald Trump actually said.
Full story in @thenewworldmag.bsky.social: www.thenewworld.co.uk/james-ball-e...
November 12, 2025 at 3:48 PM
Trump's actual quote, pre-edit, is more damning. This may be the stupidest, confected scandal yet.
Reposted by Political Gambler
Lots of stuff here that you won't read in most of the legacy media which seems completely uninterested in the backgrounds, associations and possible motivations of those behind the BBC crisis.
Why was the BBC having its homework marked by a lobbyist who hasn't worked as a journalist for 20 years?
Why was the BBC having its homework marked by a lobbyist who hasn't worked as a journalist for 20 years?
🧵On our revelations today about the BBC Coup and the Prescott Dossier.
The leaked ‘BBC Bias’ memo Trump used to attack the BBC was authored by Michael Prescott — a Hanover lobbyist paid by US tech/media giants tied to Trump. Full story: bylinetimes.com/2025/11/11/b... 1/12
The leaked ‘BBC Bias’ memo Trump used to attack the BBC was authored by Michael Prescott — a Hanover lobbyist paid by US tech/media giants tied to Trump. Full story: bylinetimes.com/2025/11/11/b... 1/12
'BBC Bias' Memo Was Authored by Lobbyist Tied to Pro-Trump Tech Giants
The leaked memo that fuelled Trump’s attack on the BBC was written by a lobbyist at a firm paid by US tech giants tied to the President
bylinetimes.com
November 11, 2025 at 9:25 PM
Lots of stuff here that you won't read in most of the legacy media which seems completely uninterested in the backgrounds, associations and possible motivations of those behind the BBC crisis.
Why was the BBC having its homework marked by a lobbyist who hasn't worked as a journalist for 20 years?
Why was the BBC having its homework marked by a lobbyist who hasn't worked as a journalist for 20 years?
Why are intelligent people who followed UK politics/media over the past decade surprised, shocked even, about Trump and the wars on truth and independent journalism?
Is it wilful blindness, or fear?
Is it wilful blindness, or fear?
November 11, 2025 at 1:24 PM
Why are intelligent people who followed UK politics/media over the past decade surprised, shocked even, about Trump and the wars on truth and independent journalism?
Is it wilful blindness, or fear?
Is it wilful blindness, or fear?
The police investigation into how SNP spent £0.6M of private donations, which destabilised Nicola Sturgeon and involved her garden being dug up in front of TV crews, has cost the taxpayer £2.7M. #UKSR
November 7, 2025 at 12:48 PM
The police investigation into how SNP spent £0.6M of private donations, which destabilised Nicola Sturgeon and involved her garden being dug up in front of TV crews, has cost the taxpayer £2.7M. #UKSR
Reposted by Political Gambler
все старое снова новое.
Q-dropping Russian sovereign wealth fund guy praises Putin for using American technology--given away by Trump 5 Jan 2021--to create his Burevestnik missiles with unlimited range, capable of attacking US cities while tagging Elon Musk to make sure he knows the same SMRs can help them colonize Mars.
November 4, 2025 at 10:05 PM
все старое снова новое.
Reposted by Political Gambler
Q-dropping Russian sovereign wealth fund guy praises Putin for using American technology--given away by Trump 5 Jan 2021--to create his Burevestnik missiles with unlimited range, capable of attacking US cities while tagging Elon Musk to make sure he knows the same SMRs can help them colonize Mars.
November 4, 2025 at 9:38 PM
Q-dropping Russian sovereign wealth fund guy praises Putin for using American technology--given away by Trump 5 Jan 2021--to create his Burevestnik missiles with unlimited range, capable of attacking US cities while tagging Elon Musk to make sure he knows the same SMRs can help them colonize Mars.
Reposted by Political Gambler
Notable in today's YouGov that the centre/left bloc - Lab/Green/LD/SNP are on 54%. With Reform/Tories on 43%. That's the biggest differential in a long time.
I think useful to track blocs given instability between parties at the moment.
I think useful to track blocs given instability between parties at the moment.
November 4, 2025 at 10:23 AM
Notable in today's YouGov that the centre/left bloc - Lab/Green/LD/SNP are on 54%. With Reform/Tories on 43%. That's the biggest differential in a long time.
I think useful to track blocs given instability between parties at the moment.
I think useful to track blocs given instability between parties at the moment.
Reposted by Political Gambler
I know it's got a little world of its own, but the Telegraph (and other right-wing papers) standing up for Trump against the BBC is a striking illustration of how far off the deep (state?) end they've gone.
Why Trump speech scandal could be costly for the BBC
Broadcaster should brace itself for US president’s retaliation to ‘doctored’ footage
www.telegraph.co.uk
November 4, 2025 at 10:37 AM
I know it's got a little world of its own, but the Telegraph (and other right-wing papers) standing up for Trump against the BBC is a striking illustration of how far off the deep (state?) end they've gone.
Reposted by Political Gambler
Most people dont realise they are in a race against time to fight back and shut it all down before the oligarchs finish building a complete police state with everything locked down. Gaza was the testing ground for what they are rapidly implementing at home.
In this video, The Intellectualist examines whether economic inequality in the U.S. today is worse than pre-revolutionary France. Using Federal Reserve, CBO data, and economic history, we reveal a shocking answer: the wealth gap in America is worse.
www.youtube.com/watch?v=0uXY...
www.youtube.com/watch?v=0uXY...
Why America's Economic Inequality in 2024 Is Worse Than Pre-Revolutionary France
In this video, The Intellectualist explores a report by the U.S. Congressional Budget Office, Trends in the Distribution of Family Wealth, 1989 to 2019, that...
www.youtube.com
November 1, 2025 at 6:01 PM
Most people dont realise they are in a race against time to fight back and shut it all down before the oligarchs finish building a complete police state with everything locked down. Gaza was the testing ground for what they are rapidly implementing at home.
Reposted by Political Gambler
Add a dose of propaganda to your morning coffee.. This smells of Russian-like “special operation”
November 2, 2025 at 1:44 PM
Add a dose of propaganda to your morning coffee.. This smells of Russian-like “special operation”