Dave Gant
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Dave Gant
@papagant.bsky.social
President
804 Technology
Siemens DISW Supplier Diversity –
Small Business Supplier of the year 2017 & 2023

Daily Staffing, Employment and Economic trends
Reposted by Dave Gant
“.. based on the data we have to date; it looks like manufacturing is experiencing more of a slump than is generally recognized ..”

@deanbaker13.bsky.social
cepr.net/publications...
December 21, 2025 at 5:53 PM
The warning that we had with this last Gov shutdown is coming to light. I will always say that Gov data is critical to how we see our economy and how business plan. The holes below are causing people to not believe in the validity of the numbers and feeds the uncertainty in our economy.
Some empty spaces in the #CPI table. The shutdown effect.

@byheatherlong.bsky.social
December 18, 2025 at 3:20 PM
Reposted by Dave Gant
Labor markets weakness is all about uncertainty, not AI.
www.richmondfed.org/research/nat...
December 17, 2025 at 9:35 PM
Reposted by Dave Gant
Maybe the most prominent reference to “stagflation” risks that we’ve seen in a while.

Via Apollo today:

www.apolloacademy.com/fed-sees-sta...
December 17, 2025 at 5:59 PM
Interesting data coming out of the jobs numbers. The number of PT workers is increasing as we end the year. This is often seen as "holiday" money this time of year but the increase has been relatively steady with a large jump this year. Forecasts impending layoffs.

#jobs #economy
The number of Americans working part-time jobs for economic reasons has surged to the highest level since early 2021, indicating that employers may be delaying an inevitable wave of layoffs
www.spglobal.com/market-intel...
w/ @danielzhao.bsky.social @aaronsojourner.org @prestonmui.bsky.social
December 17, 2025 at 5:55 PM
Reposted by Dave Gant
Percentage of Americans holding multiple jobs:

a 25-year high. 👀

(via Schwab)
December 16, 2025 at 6:06 PM
Reposted by Dave Gant
You could spin a couple different narratives out of these two charts.
December 16, 2025 at 3:39 PM
64K jobs added in Nov feels good but with the revisions and unemployment numbers, we are at a net of almost 0 jobs added this year. It is a political problem but the narrative of dozens of new Mfg plants being built comes from the past 4 years, not today.

www.politico.com/news/2025/12...
#jobs
Jobless rate rises, adding to Trump's economic messaging woes
A further deterioration of the labor market would deepen the challenges Trump faces with voters who are increasingly dissatisfied with his economic stewardship.
www.politico.com
December 16, 2025 at 3:12 PM
Reposted by Dave Gant
“.. The US economy is in a hiring recession. Almost no jobs have been added since April.

“Wage gains are slowing.

“710,000 more people are unemployed now versus November 2024.”

@byheatherlong.bsky.social
December 16, 2025 at 2:59 PM
New landscape in 2026 for H1 Visas. Staffing has relied on this process for years to bring top talent to our clients but that will be changing over the coming years. Here is an excellent breakout of the changes.

www.staffingindustry.com/editorial/cw...
#jobs #H1B
Employers face new H-1B landscape heading into 2026
Details from SIA’s H-1B Visa FAQ report show how the sudden fee spike and vetting expansion are fueling compliance risks and legal challenges.
www.staffingindustry.com
December 15, 2025 at 8:24 PM
Reposted by Dave Gant
+$$$$ billions to pay more ICE & CBP

Cuts to staffing for veteran health care tho.
www.forbes.com/sites/sarado...
December 14, 2025 at 4:34 PM
Pretty good summary of the Fed's outlook on jobs. There is concern there and it will have an impact on future rate cuts. Rate cuts generally help staffing and hiring but there is skepticism with this one because of economic uncertainty.

www.staffingindustry.com/news/global-...
#jobs #fed
Fed cuts rate, cites concerns about jobs
Interest rate cuts have boosted the staffing industry in the past, though today’s environment has elevated uncertainty.
www.staffingindustry.com
December 12, 2025 at 4:45 PM
Reposted this earlier but here is a little context. US weekly jobless claims post largest increase in nearly 4-1/2 years. Numbers around this time of year are always volatile but this is a large jump. We know that layoffs are up and so this is not unexpected but it is tough news.
Big jump up in new unemployment insurance claims in week ending (WE) 12/6, +44K (+23%) to moderate 236K from low 192K, more than unravelling prior week's -25K.

Makes prior week look like a Thanksgiving blip. Keep an eye on it.
#NumbersDay
December 11, 2025 at 4:20 PM
Reposted by Dave Gant
Big jump up in new unemployment insurance claims in week ending (WE) 12/6, +44K (+23%) to moderate 236K from low 192K, more than unravelling prior week's -25K.

Makes prior week look like a Thanksgiving blip. Keep an eye on it.
#NumbersDay
December 11, 2025 at 1:51 PM
Reposted by Dave Gant
Powell: "Conditions in the labor market appear to be gradually cooling, and inflation remains somewhat elevated."
December 10, 2025 at 7:34 PM
Reposted by Dave Gant
Powell: "Inflation for goods has picked up, reflecting the effects of tariffs."
December 10, 2025 at 7:38 PM
Vanguard is seeing positive signs for the economy in 26. If they are right... then 2026 will show some continued improvement in jobs and we have hit the bottom. Staffing is seeing some positive trends but most markets still remain flat.

www.prnewswire.com/news-release...
#economy #jobs
Vanguard Releases 2026 Economic and Market Outlook
/PRNewswire/ -- Vanguard today released its annual outlook on the global economy and financial markets. This year's report, "AI exuberance: Economic upside,...
www.prnewswire.com
December 10, 2025 at 4:42 PM
Job openings inched up in Oct but are still quite low. There has been a steady slowing since March of 22 and job seekers are still hoping that we have hit the low point. Looking for gains to pick up in 26 as staffing has seen some optimistic trends.

apnews.com/article/empl...
#jobs #openings
U.S. job openings barely budged in October, coming in just below 7.7 million
U.S. job openings barely budged in October, coming in at 7.7 million amid uncertainty over the direction of the American economy.
apnews.com
December 9, 2025 at 7:42 PM
There is a lot to take in with this report but the bottom line is that the US economy forecast from UCLA that is generally accurate, shows a softening in 2026 with AI investment a driving force and Tariffs an inflationary factor. CA to outpace the US

www.anderson.ucla.edu/about/center...
#economy
UCLA Anderson Forecast Home
www.anderson.ucla.edu
December 8, 2025 at 8:01 PM
When added to the last unemployment numbers this is the most optimistic news we have had in a while for jobs..

www.usatoday.com/story/money/...
December 5, 2025 at 4:43 PM
Healthcare staffing shortage is growing and the solutions are difficult to find. Staffing companies have been trying to help for years but the stress of the job lately along with an aging workforce makes it a challenge.

www.forbes.com/sites/saibal...
#jobs #healthcare
The Healthcare Workforce Shortage Is Growing; States Are Rushing To Fix It
Studies indicate that the country will have a shortage of nearly 86,000 physicians by 2036.
www.forbes.com
December 4, 2025 at 4:35 PM
Digging into these numbers but the private sector lost 32000 jobs in Nov, led by small business (under 50 employees) cutting 120K. Shows a significant weakness in the smallest of our employers in the US.

www.nbcnews.com/business/eco...
#jobs #unemployment #smallbusiness
Small businesses cut 120,000 jobs in November, ADP says
Economists had been expecting to see a slight overall gain in jobs. The data reflects a difficult business environment for smaller employers.
www.nbcnews.com
December 3, 2025 at 5:00 PM
Not always easy to get employees to embrace new technology. Companies are now using bonuses to get employees to embrace AI.

www.staffingindustry.com/news/global-...
#jobs #AI
Companies try bonuses to get workers to use AI
Some organizations are paying cash, awarding points or doling out merch to expand adoption of the technology.
www.staffingindustry.com
December 2, 2025 at 10:11 PM
Manufacturing has shrunk in the US for 9 straight months. This past month had the largest contraction in 4 months. Trade policy and production costs are behind the slowdown and that does not feel like it is going away.

www.staffingindustry.com/news/global-...
#manufacturing #jobs #recession
US manufacturing shrinks by most in 4 months
The Institute for Supply Management’s manufacturing index fell by 0.5 of a point to a reading of 48.2.
www.staffingindustry.com
December 1, 2025 at 7:07 PM
Consumer confidence drops 6.8 points to lowest rate since April. Tariffs are the main culprit but inflation and job instability are factors.

www.forbes.com/sites/zachar...
#jobs #tariffs #inflation
Consumer Confidence Index Plummets in November to Lowest Level Since April
Only 20.1% of consumers said business conditions were good in the U.S., according to the Conference Board’s report.
www.forbes.com
November 28, 2025 at 4:39 PM