Non Jenkins
@nonjenkins.bsky.social
Cymraes, musician, nofwraig, retired. Angerddol dros botensial🏴. Deeds not words. Can, not Can’t. Where there’s a will there’s a way. Bydd wych. Bydd ddewr. Bydd driw. There’s a big difference between ‘can’t’ and ‘won’t’.Persist! Ymlaen!
Pinned
Non Jenkins
@nonjenkins.bsky.social
· May 10
There's a big difference between 'can't' and 'won't'…
Mae yna wahaniaeth mawr rhwng ‘methu' a 'gwrthod', rhwng 'ffaelu' a ‘pallu'…
*Where there’s a ‘will’ there’s a way…*
Mae yna wahaniaeth mawr rhwng ‘methu' a 'gwrthod', rhwng 'ffaelu' a ‘pallu'…
*Where there’s a ‘will’ there’s a way…*
Reposted by Non Jenkins
I have made some predictions for what we can expect in Welsh politics in 2026.
I would love to know what you predictions are...
willhaywardwales.substack.com/p/the-big-we...
I would love to know what you predictions are...
willhaywardwales.substack.com/p/the-big-we...
The big Welsh politics predictions for 2026
We are in for an interesting year...
willhaywardwales.substack.com
January 4, 2026 at 9:31 AM
I have made some predictions for what we can expect in Welsh politics in 2026.
I would love to know what you predictions are...
willhaywardwales.substack.com/p/the-big-we...
I would love to know what you predictions are...
willhaywardwales.substack.com/p/the-big-we...
Reposted by Non Jenkins
Reform UK's director for Wales has been removed from Cwmbran Community Council for failing to attend meetings.
David Thomas is also goes by the names "DJ Dowster" and "Dr Squeegees" (I am not joking).
Find out more about Dr Squeegees here:
willhaywardwales.substack.com/p/special-re...
David Thomas is also goes by the names "DJ Dowster" and "Dr Squeegees" (I am not joking).
Find out more about Dr Squeegees here:
willhaywardwales.substack.com/p/special-re...
Special report: Who are Reform in Wales?
We dived into the wild world of Reform UK in Cymru
willhaywardwales.substack.com
January 5, 2026 at 5:31 PM
Reform UK's director for Wales has been removed from Cwmbran Community Council for failing to attend meetings.
David Thomas is also goes by the names "DJ Dowster" and "Dr Squeegees" (I am not joking).
Find out more about Dr Squeegees here:
willhaywardwales.substack.com/p/special-re...
David Thomas is also goes by the names "DJ Dowster" and "Dr Squeegees" (I am not joking).
Find out more about Dr Squeegees here:
willhaywardwales.substack.com/p/special-re...
Reposted by Non Jenkins
This is a clip from inside the Welsh Parliament.
So much to say about this.
For one thing, Mike Hedges is having an absolute mare here.
Jenny Rathbone's facial reactions when he starts praising the USA are incredible. 😮
Andrew RT Davies being the spectre at the feast stuck behind a pillar. 👻
So much to say about this.
For one thing, Mike Hedges is having an absolute mare here.
Jenny Rathbone's facial reactions when he starts praising the USA are incredible. 😮
Andrew RT Davies being the spectre at the feast stuck behind a pillar. 👻
January 6, 2026 at 5:18 PM
This is a clip from inside the Welsh Parliament.
So much to say about this.
For one thing, Mike Hedges is having an absolute mare here.
Jenny Rathbone's facial reactions when he starts praising the USA are incredible. 😮
Andrew RT Davies being the spectre at the feast stuck behind a pillar. 👻
So much to say about this.
For one thing, Mike Hedges is having an absolute mare here.
Jenny Rathbone's facial reactions when he starts praising the USA are incredible. 😮
Andrew RT Davies being the spectre at the feast stuck behind a pillar. 👻
Reposted by Non Jenkins
Labour's plans for the 2026 Senedd election have been leaked to my news letter.
Some of it makes sense.
Some is bizarre.
Some is frustrating.
Much is enraging.
willhaywardwales.substack.com/p/exclusive-...
Some of it makes sense.
Some is bizarre.
Some is frustrating.
Much is enraging.
willhaywardwales.substack.com/p/exclusive-...
Exclusive: Welsh Labour’s election plan leaked
We have obtained Eluned Morgan’s plan for the 2026 election
willhaywardwales.substack.com
January 8, 2026 at 5:57 PM
Labour's plans for the 2026 Senedd election have been leaked to my news letter.
Some of it makes sense.
Some is bizarre.
Some is frustrating.
Much is enraging.
willhaywardwales.substack.com/p/exclusive-...
Some of it makes sense.
Some is bizarre.
Some is frustrating.
Much is enraging.
willhaywardwales.substack.com/p/exclusive-...
Reposted by Non Jenkins
Bwriadau pleidleisio Senedd / Senedd Voting Intention (YouGov - nid MRP/ not MRP method) / (28/11 - 10/12)
PC: 33%
REF: 30%
LLAF/LAB: 10%
CEID/CON: 10%
GWYRDD/GRN: 9%
DEM RHYDD/LD: 6%
ERAILL/OTH: 2%
N=1,891
Ein dadansoddiad ni / Our analysis: blogs.cardiff.ac.uk/thinking-wal...
PC: 33%
REF: 30%
LLAF/LAB: 10%
CEID/CON: 10%
GWYRDD/GRN: 9%
DEM RHYDD/LD: 6%
ERAILL/OTH: 2%
N=1,891
Ein dadansoddiad ni / Our analysis: blogs.cardiff.ac.uk/thinking-wal...
Consolidation, Not Conversion: Understanding Wales’s Ongoing Realignment
Showcasing current research, comments and analysis on the law, politics, history, culture, government and political economy of Wales from the Wales Governance Centre.
blogs.cardiff.ac.uk
December 17, 2025 at 6:44 AM
Bwriadau pleidleisio Senedd / Senedd Voting Intention (YouGov - nid MRP/ not MRP method) / (28/11 - 10/12)
PC: 33%
REF: 30%
LLAF/LAB: 10%
CEID/CON: 10%
GWYRDD/GRN: 9%
DEM RHYDD/LD: 6%
ERAILL/OTH: 2%
N=1,891
Ein dadansoddiad ni / Our analysis: blogs.cardiff.ac.uk/thinking-wal...
PC: 33%
REF: 30%
LLAF/LAB: 10%
CEID/CON: 10%
GWYRDD/GRN: 9%
DEM RHYDD/LD: 6%
ERAILL/OTH: 2%
N=1,891
Ein dadansoddiad ni / Our analysis: blogs.cardiff.ac.uk/thinking-wal...
Reposted by Non Jenkins
New 🏴 data paints picture of consolidation within two blocs: a Welsh-identifying/progressive bloc (with Plaid as largest party) and a British-identifying/conservative bloc (with Reform as largest).
Adds to evidence that 2026 is shaping up to be 2-horse race between Plaid Cymru and Reform UK 🧵
Adds to evidence that 2026 is shaping up to be 2-horse race between Plaid Cymru and Reform UK 🧵
Bwriadau pleidleisio Senedd / Senedd Voting Intention (YouGov - nid MRP/ not MRP method) / (28/11 - 10/12)
PC: 33%
REF: 30%
LLAF/LAB: 10%
CEID/CON: 10%
GWYRDD/GRN: 9%
DEM RHYDD/LD: 6%
ERAILL/OTH: 2%
N=1,891
Ein dadansoddiad ni / Our analysis: blogs.cardiff.ac.uk/thinking-wal...
PC: 33%
REF: 30%
LLAF/LAB: 10%
CEID/CON: 10%
GWYRDD/GRN: 9%
DEM RHYDD/LD: 6%
ERAILL/OTH: 2%
N=1,891
Ein dadansoddiad ni / Our analysis: blogs.cardiff.ac.uk/thinking-wal...
Consolidation, Not Conversion: Understanding Wales’s Ongoing Realignment
Showcasing current research, comments and analysis on the law, politics, history, culture, government and political economy of Wales from the Wales Governance Centre.
blogs.cardiff.ac.uk
December 17, 2025 at 8:16 AM
New 🏴 data paints picture of consolidation within two blocs: a Welsh-identifying/progressive bloc (with Plaid as largest party) and a British-identifying/conservative bloc (with Reform as largest).
Adds to evidence that 2026 is shaping up to be 2-horse race between Plaid Cymru and Reform UK 🧵
Adds to evidence that 2026 is shaping up to be 2-horse race between Plaid Cymru and Reform UK 🧵
Reposted by Non Jenkins
For those interested, raw data download is here along with some basic cross tabs: github.com/jaclarner/Ca...
December 17, 2025 at 9:24 AM
For those interested, raw data download is here along with some basic cross tabs: github.com/jaclarner/Ca...
‘What makes the (Welsh Lab Gov) refusal to hold a Welsh inquiry all the worse is that one of the findings of the UK inquiry was that many of the mistakes made in Wales were well after the first lockdown - when they were overwhelmingly in charge of the response’ @willhaycardiff.bsky.social newsletter
November 23, 2025 at 11:43 AM
‘What makes the (Welsh Lab Gov) refusal to hold a Welsh inquiry all the worse is that one of the findings of the UK inquiry was that many of the mistakes made in Wales were well after the first lockdown - when they were overwhelmingly in charge of the response’ @willhaycardiff.bsky.social newsletter
Reposted by Non Jenkins
Nathan Gill's social media bio...
They claim to love the country they would sell down the river for a stuffed brown envelope.
He was the head of Reform in Wales.
How do you think Reform would react if any other party leader had been found to have committed such crimes?
They claim to love the country they would sell down the river for a stuffed brown envelope.
He was the head of Reform in Wales.
How do you think Reform would react if any other party leader had been found to have committed such crimes?
November 21, 2025 at 2:47 PM
Nathan Gill's social media bio...
They claim to love the country they would sell down the river for a stuffed brown envelope.
He was the head of Reform in Wales.
How do you think Reform would react if any other party leader had been found to have committed such crimes?
They claim to love the country they would sell down the river for a stuffed brown envelope.
He was the head of Reform in Wales.
How do you think Reform would react if any other party leader had been found to have committed such crimes?
Reposted by Non Jenkins
Can you imagine how Reform UK would react if a Welsh leader of any other party had been sentenced for 10 years for taking bribes?
Nathan Gill once said he "would never apologise for being patriotic".
Tbf he never said to which country...
Nathan Gill once said he "would never apologise for being patriotic".
Tbf he never said to which country...
November 21, 2025 at 3:50 PM
Can you imagine how Reform UK would react if a Welsh leader of any other party had been sentenced for 10 years for taking bribes?
Nathan Gill once said he "would never apologise for being patriotic".
Tbf he never said to which country...
Nathan Gill once said he "would never apologise for being patriotic".
Tbf he never said to which country...
Reposted by Non Jenkins
Bribery is a "malignancy" at the heart of British public life, says judge.
The law responds with "stern punishment"
The law responds with "stern punishment"
November 21, 2025 at 12:51 PM
Bribery is a "malignancy" at the heart of British public life, says judge.
The law responds with "stern punishment"
The law responds with "stern punishment"
Reposted by Non Jenkins
🚨 NEW in @bjpols.bsky.social : When Partygate hit Westminster, trust in Scottish politicians increased. Our experiments reveal a "contrast effect" - scandals at one level can make the other look better by comparison. Who lost most trust in Westminster? Scottish unionists. Read now #OpenAccess 👇
November 11, 2025 at 9:00 AM
🚨 NEW in @bjpols.bsky.social : When Partygate hit Westminster, trust in Scottish politicians increased. Our experiments reveal a "contrast effect" - scandals at one level can make the other look better by comparison. Who lost most trust in Westminster? Scottish unionists. Read now #OpenAccess 👇
‘Multilingualism protects against accelerated aging in cross-sectional and longitudinal analyses of 27 European countries’ @erictopol.bsky.social
@plaidcymru.bsky.social @mabonapgwynfor.bsky.social @rhunapiorwerth.bsky.social @cefincampbell.bsky.social
@plaidcymru.bsky.social @mabonapgwynfor.bsky.social @rhunapiorwerth.bsky.social @cefincampbell.bsky.social
The heath benefits of multilingualism appear to be far beyond prior expectations
erictopol.substack.com/p/multilingu...
erictopol.substack.com/p/multilingu...
Multilingualism and Extending Healthspan
Evidence for a new independent lifestyle factor linked to healthy aging
erictopol.substack.com
November 10, 2025 at 5:11 PM
‘Multilingualism protects against accelerated aging in cross-sectional and longitudinal analyses of 27 European countries’ @erictopol.bsky.social
@plaidcymru.bsky.social @mabonapgwynfor.bsky.social @rhunapiorwerth.bsky.social @cefincampbell.bsky.social
@plaidcymru.bsky.social @mabonapgwynfor.bsky.social @rhunapiorwerth.bsky.social @cefincampbell.bsky.social
This,This, Hwn!👇🏻
‘In Wales, a country where our politicians can rarely go more than an hour without mentioning the Future Generations Act, Does a nation where 45% of those aged under 4 live in poverty really give a crap about future generations?’
@willhaycardiff.bsky.social newsletter 🔥👏
‘In Wales, a country where our politicians can rarely go more than an hour without mentioning the Future Generations Act, Does a nation where 45% of those aged under 4 live in poverty really give a crap about future generations?’
@willhaycardiff.bsky.social newsletter 🔥👏
November 9, 2025 at 7:21 PM
This,This, Hwn!👇🏻
‘In Wales, a country where our politicians can rarely go more than an hour without mentioning the Future Generations Act, Does a nation where 45% of those aged under 4 live in poverty really give a crap about future generations?’
@willhaycardiff.bsky.social newsletter 🔥👏
‘In Wales, a country where our politicians can rarely go more than an hour without mentioning the Future Generations Act, Does a nation where 45% of those aged under 4 live in poverty really give a crap about future generations?’
@willhaycardiff.bsky.social newsletter 🔥👏
Reposted by Non Jenkins
This is shockingly uninformed about how polling works
Caerphilly: What went wrong for Labour
Mike Hedges AM puts forward his analysis of the recent by-election win by Plaid Cymru. In July 2024 Labour won 27 of the 32 parliamentary seats in Wales and won the general election with a large majority, forming first Labour Government since 2010. Hidden…
Mike Hedges AM puts forward his analysis of the recent by-election win by Plaid Cymru. In July 2024 Labour won 27 of the 32 parliamentary seats in Wales and won the general election with a large majority, forming first Labour Government since 2010. Hidden…
Caerphilly: What went wrong for Labour
Mike Hedges AM puts forward his analysis of the recent by-election win by Plaid Cymru. In July 2024 Labour won 27 of the 32 parliamentary seats in Wales and won the general election with a large majority, forming first Labour Government since 2010. Hidden behind that result was a decline in turnout of 9% and a reduced percentage of the vote, down to 37% from 40.9%, with the popular vote reducing from to 487,636 from 632,035.
labourhub.org.uk
October 29, 2025 at 10:30 AM
This is shockingly uninformed about how polling works
Sarah Rees, @plaidcymru.bsky.social said:
“When even seasoned trade union leaders are saying keeping out Reform means voting for Plaid Cymru, it's clear the tide is turning.
"If voters in Wales want to protect our hard won rights, Plaid Cymru is the party that stands up for them and for Wales.”🏴
“When even seasoned trade union leaders are saying keeping out Reform means voting for Plaid Cymru, it's clear the tide is turning.
"If voters in Wales want to protect our hard won rights, Plaid Cymru is the party that stands up for them and for Wales.”🏴
‘Referring to the October 23 Senedd by-election in Caerphilly, Kevin Courtney of TUC Cymru backed campaign group Stand Up To Racism told the conference:
“To stop Reform in Caerphilly that means voting Plaid Cymru’”
@plaidcymru.bsky.social
nation.cymru/news/union-m...
“To stop Reform in Caerphilly that means voting Plaid Cymru’”
@plaidcymru.bsky.social
nation.cymru/news/union-m...
Union members should take a lead in exposing misinformation spread by Reform UK, says head of TUC Cymru
Martin Shipton Trade unionists should take a lead in combatting misinformation being spread by far right groups including Reform UK in Wales, the general secretary of TUC Cymru has said. Speaking at a...
nation.cymru
September 24, 2025 at 1:27 PM
Sarah Rees, @plaidcymru.bsky.social said:
“When even seasoned trade union leaders are saying keeping out Reform means voting for Plaid Cymru, it's clear the tide is turning.
"If voters in Wales want to protect our hard won rights, Plaid Cymru is the party that stands up for them and for Wales.”🏴
“When even seasoned trade union leaders are saying keeping out Reform means voting for Plaid Cymru, it's clear the tide is turning.
"If voters in Wales want to protect our hard won rights, Plaid Cymru is the party that stands up for them and for Wales.”🏴
‘Referring to the October 23 Senedd by-election in Caerphilly, Kevin Courtney of TUC Cymru backed campaign group Stand Up To Racism told the conference:
“To stop Reform in Caerphilly that means voting Plaid Cymru’”
@plaidcymru.bsky.social
nation.cymru/news/union-m...
“To stop Reform in Caerphilly that means voting Plaid Cymru’”
@plaidcymru.bsky.social
nation.cymru/news/union-m...
Union members should take a lead in exposing misinformation spread by Reform UK, says head of TUC Cymru
Martin Shipton Trade unionists should take a lead in combatting misinformation being spread by far right groups including Reform UK in Wales, the general secretary of TUC Cymru has said. Speaking at a...
nation.cymru
September 24, 2025 at 1:26 PM
‘Referring to the October 23 Senedd by-election in Caerphilly, Kevin Courtney of TUC Cymru backed campaign group Stand Up To Racism told the conference:
“To stop Reform in Caerphilly that means voting Plaid Cymru’”
@plaidcymru.bsky.social
nation.cymru/news/union-m...
“To stop Reform in Caerphilly that means voting Plaid Cymru’”
@plaidcymru.bsky.social
nation.cymru/news/union-m...
Reposted by Non Jenkins
Reposted by Non Jenkins
Two unpopular governments at both ends of the M4 🇬🇧🏴
September 17, 2025 at 11:54 AM
Two unpopular governments at both ends of the M4 🇬🇧🏴
Reposted by Non Jenkins
The Westminster implications are staggering too. On these numbers, Labour would likely be reduced to just 3 Welsh seats, Plaid would win around 6, and Reform could take most of the remaining 23 seats out of Wales's 32 constituencies 🧵 End
September 16, 2025 at 4:47 PM
The Westminster implications are staggering too. On these numbers, Labour would likely be reduced to just 3 Welsh seats, Plaid would win around 6, and Reform could take most of the remaining 23 seats out of Wales's 32 constituencies 🧵 End
Reposted by Non Jenkins
Reform's success creates its own problems for government formation. By cannibalising Conservative support, they may find themselves without natural coalition partners, while their vote could be inefficiently distributed across constituencies 🧵
September 16, 2025 at 4:47 PM
Reform's success creates its own problems for government formation. By cannibalising Conservative support, they may find themselves without natural coalition partners, while their vote could be inefficiently distributed across constituencies 🧵
Reposted by Non Jenkins
Latest ITV BarnCymru 🏴 poll confirms trend seen over last 6 months - neck and neck race between Plaid Cymru and Reform UK for largest party, with Labour falling to even more distant third. Evidence growing of distinct realignment in Wales 🧵
September 16, 2025 at 4:47 PM
Latest ITV BarnCymru 🏴 poll confirms trend seen over last 6 months - neck and neck race between Plaid Cymru and Reform UK for largest party, with Labour falling to even more distant third. Evidence growing of distinct realignment in Wales 🧵
Reposted by Non Jenkins
Any political party that says they can fix the Welsh NHS without tackling its labyrinth of an organisational structure is, in my opinion, not serious about tacking the problem.
September 15, 2025 at 9:03 AM
Any political party that says they can fix the Welsh NHS without tackling its labyrinth of an organisational structure is, in my opinion, not serious about tacking the problem.
Reposted by Non Jenkins
This means that even when we are asking basic questions about what the current situation is within healthcare, we can’t be sure if we are getting the right answer.
September 15, 2025 at 9:03 AM
This means that even when we are asking basic questions about what the current situation is within healthcare, we can’t be sure if we are getting the right answer.
Reposted by Non Jenkins
The Wales Centre for Public Policy made a graphic showing how this works:
September 15, 2025 at 9:03 AM
The Wales Centre for Public Policy made a graphic showing how this works: