Niclas Poitiers
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niclaspoitiers.bsky.social
Niclas Poitiers
@niclaspoitiers.bsky.social
Research Fellow at Bruegel, working on European Trade and Industrial Policy
Reposted by Niclas Poitiers
Germany's unlikely new China hawk - president of central bank, has found his wings. Nagel says EU should be ready to retaliate against Beijing

If retaliation is a last resort, “I would say, okay, we have to be strong and have to take a bold decision"
Bundesbank Head Says EU Must Be Ready to Retaliate Against China
Bundesbank President Joachim Nagel said he hopes that Europe can overcome trade difficulties with China, but should be ready to take firm action if necessary.
www.bloomberg.com
October 25, 2025 at 8:31 AM
This was always a central flaw in the European chips policy: it chased the flashy smartphone chips whereas what Europe industry really depends on is much more mundane
October 24, 2025 at 6:16 AM
Reposted by Niclas Poitiers
European Council summits are often treated by outside observers as foreign policy-style summits, especially when issues like frozen Russian assets are discussed. But really this is like domestic legislating. There's always haggling. This is how the EU sausage gets made.
October 23, 2025 at 7:46 PM
Reposted by Niclas Poitiers
High time to get rid of the 'bazooka' framing. The ACI is not a magic weapon. It's a new procedural way of threatening retaliation and then imposing it. The effect really depends on the threats the EU is willing to make. Currently we're mainly deterring ourselves with the military analogies.
At the moment it is seen as the nuclear option, but officials want to get rid of that reputation. It's just one tool in the armoury - I know they don't like the references to "trade bazooka" because it makes member states nervous about using ACI.
October 22, 2025 at 12:28 PM
Reposted by Niclas Poitiers
Ukraine's central bank has held the country's exchange rate relatively stable in the last year after the initial volatility caused by Russia’s full-scale invasion. But that might be about to change.

Read more: kyivindependent.com/will-ukraine...
October 21, 2025 at 7:01 PM
Reposted by Niclas Poitiers
🏠 Heat pumps are a key enabler of buildings decarbonisation. After a jump during the energy crisis, their deployment has slowed-down. Reversing this is key for climate, security and competitiveness, as Europe is a leading manufacturer of the technology. See: european-clean-tech-tracker.bruegel.org
October 21, 2025 at 10:33 AM
Reposted by Niclas Poitiers
⚡9.-Klässler:innen 2024 vs. 2018:

Mathe -24⬇️
Bio -24⬇️
Chemie -24⬇️
Physik -23⬇️

Die neuen Ergebnisse des IQB-Bildungstrends.

Ganz grob gesprochen: 9.-Klässler:innen liegen heute etwa auf Niveau der 8.-Klässler:innen noch vor 6 Jahren.
1/3
October 17, 2025 at 5:32 AM
Reposted by Niclas Poitiers
Bloomberg: EU considering forcing Chinese firms to hand over tech to European companies if they want to operate locally. as part of a legislative proposal called the Industrial Accelerator Act - expected in November
EU Considers Forced Tech Transfers for New Chinese Investments
The European Union is considering forcing Chinese firms to hand over technology to European companies if they want to operate locally, in an aggressive new push to make the bloc’s industry more competitive.
www.bloomberg.com
October 14, 2025 at 1:35 PM
Reposted by Niclas Poitiers
🎉 Congratulations to former Bruegel Fellow Philippe Aghion for being awarded the @riksbank.se Nobel Prize in Economic Sciences

💡 In 2009, Aghion co-authored a Policy Brief on 'No green growth without innovation', co-authored with Reinhilde Veugelers and David Hémous
🔗 buff.ly/yXNJqEg
No green growth without innovation
This Policy Brief is a reissue of a Policy Brief published by Bruegel in November 2009
buff.ly
October 13, 2025 at 1:22 PM
Reposted by Niclas Poitiers
Looking back at yesterday's motions of censure against the EU Commission, they really drove down how France's political crisis is spilling over into the EU:

-> Both the far-left and the far-right motions of censures came from French MEPs, uploading their fight against 'centrists'
October 10, 2025 at 6:57 AM
Reposted by Niclas Poitiers
As #France is without government once more, it is worth remembering that its total bilateral support for #Ukraine is less than that of Sweden, Denmark and the Netherlands.

Not combined. Individually, and in €bn not % of GDP.
October 7, 2025 at 3:23 PM
Reposted by Niclas Poitiers
So much of the coverage of the EU is hyper-micro. It's all about the sausage making. So story out of Copenhagen European Council is "dithering," "all talk, no action," nothing fully agreed, etc. It's an effing meeting! Take a step back... they are moving on Eurobonds/frozen Russian assets. 1/
October 2, 2025 at 1:51 PM
Reposted by Niclas Poitiers
💢 COVID-19’s economic impact on low-income countries: preparing for the next shock

⛓️💥 How can vulnerable countries better withstand shocks in an era of heightened uncertainty?

🖊️ @niclaspoitiers.bsky.social and Costanza Greppi Maturana
🔗 buff.ly/Tj41aPW
#EconSky
COVID-19’s economic impact on low-income countries: preparing for the next shock
COVID-19 hit low-income exporters hard, exposing risks from weak diversification and straining trade, supply systems and financial stability
buff.ly
September 26, 2025 at 12:00 PM
Reposted by Niclas Poitiers
💡 𝗜𝗻𝗻𝗼𝘃𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻 𝗶𝘀 𝗸𝗲𝘆 𝘁𝗼 𝗿𝗲𝘀𝗶𝗹𝗶𝗲𝗻𝘁 𝘀𝘂𝗽𝗽𝗹𝘆 𝗰𝗵𝗮𝗶𝗻𝘀!

Stronger research investment, better knowledge transfer, + policies linking trade, tax + innovation are key to resilience.

📽️More: www.youtube.com/watch?v=t6P7...

#SupplyChains #Innovation #EUResearch @horizoneu.bsky.social
Rethinking Global Supply Chains | Complexity matters
YouTube video by Kiel Institute for the World Economy
www.youtube.com
September 26, 2025 at 10:11 AM
Reposted by Niclas Poitiers
Whether it wants to or not, the EU is quickly being drawn into a mode of needing to contribute to the security of its members.

Here we have von der Leyen proclaiming that "We" will respond to every provocation and signaling the further investments in the EU's & NATO's Eastern flank:
Europe stands with Estonia in the face of Russia’s latest violation of our airspace.

We will respond to every provocation with determination while investing in a stronger Eastern flank.
September 19, 2025 at 3:26 PM
Reposted by Niclas Poitiers
🎙️ EU foreign direct investment, explained

@rebeccawire.bsky.social discusses with @niclaspoitiers.bsky.social & Damien Levie from European Commission's DG Trade on what is at stake as talks start on how to revise the FDI rules. #EconSky

Listen to the podcast:
EU foreign direct investment, explained
How can the EU coordinate national screening procedures in key sectors when outside investors want to buy in?
buff.ly
September 17, 2025 at 10:00 AM
Reposted by Niclas Poitiers
Important stuff here by @jeremycliffe.bsky.social on the regional elections in NRW, Germany.

You’ll see a lot of stories about a “far right surge” (the FT has one this morning).

But that happened a couple of years ago. These results record voter shifts that already happened. 1/
North Rhine-Westphalia, Germany's most populous state, held local elections today. Support for AfD up but at 15% well below party's national polling. And lower among the young: 5th place on 11% among under-25s, who also delivered a smaller swing towards the party than did older generations.
September 15, 2025 at 5:57 AM
Reposted by Niclas Poitiers
JOB POSTING 💼 As we keep expanding our work on energy, climate and clean tech, we at Bruegel - Improving economic policy are now searching for a climate economist to complement our team. Please share/apply! www.bruegel.org/careers/clim...
Climate economist
Deadline for applications: applications will be reviewed on a rolling basis
www.bruegel.org
September 10, 2025 at 9:27 AM
Reposted by Niclas Poitiers
🌱 Towards a Green Procurement Union: trade-offs and strategic choices
📅 24 Sep 2025 13:00-14:00 CET

On a new Bruegel paper about public procurement and green transition w/ @niclaspoitiers.bsky.social, Anna Cavazzini, @francesconicoli.bsky.social, Oliver K. Saltoft & Marta Toporek

🔗 buff.ly/MIEhPwz
September 9, 2025 at 12:00 PM
Reposted by Niclas Poitiers
🚗 Electric vehicle sales grow steadily across Europe.

In June, 26% of newly registered cars were electric (compares to 20% in Jun24).

Italy and Spain lag the average. Germany edges in front. Belgium, Netherlands and Denmark are far ahead.

european-clean-tech-tracker.bruegel.org/technology/e...
September 8, 2025 at 9:14 AM
Reposted by Niclas Poitiers
Some reflections from @bruegel.org #BAM. I am sorry for #Draghi, #Letta, and others trying to wake up #European leaders. Complacency reigns as the economic and political situation deteriorates. We are responsible for our mess and cannot expect any support, on the contrary.
September 5, 2025 at 6:19 PM
Reposted by Niclas Poitiers
@niclaspoitiers.bsky.social, a trade expert at Bruegel, a Belgian think tank, said the EACO description was “a bit harsh” but acknowledged “there’s some truth to it”.

“It doesn’t matter whether it’s fair, the point is deterrence. If it’s not a credible threat... it’s not a deterrent"
August 29, 2025 at 9:32 AM
Reposted by Niclas Poitiers
NEW: The first evidence of a solar take-off in Africa☀️✈️

x33 rise in Algeria solar panel imports in the 12 mths to June 2025, compared to previous 12 mths.
x8 in Zambia
x7 in Botswana
x6 in Sudan
x3 in each of Liberia, DRC, Benin, Angola, Ethiopia

🧵
August 26, 2025 at 7:23 AM
Reposted by Niclas Poitiers
NEW: EU and US publish joint statement on trade deal.

Language relating to China in this short thread:

policy.trade.ec.europa.eu/news/joint-s...
Joint Statement on a United States-European Union framework on an agreement on reciprocal, fair and balanced trade
The United States and the European Union are pleased to announce that they have agreed on a Framework on an Agreement on Reciprocal, Fair, and Balanced Trade ('Framework Agreement').
policy.trade.ec.europa.eu
August 21, 2025 at 11:13 AM
Reposted by Niclas Poitiers
"Trump has switched the United States’ role from global insurer to extractor of profit". The recent piece by @adamposen.bsky.social in #ForeignAffairs lucidly spells out the consequences: damaging for everyone, including the US, but less so for #China.
www.foreignaffairs.com/united-state...
The New Economic Geography
Who profits in a post-American world?
www.foreignaffairs.com
August 20, 2025 at 10:19 AM