Mike Spagat
@michael-spagat.bsky.social
Economist who studies war. Chair of Every Casualty Counts and former Chair of Action on Armed Violence. Obsessed with measurement.
Reposted by Mike Spagat
The black box of combat deaths: why Israel must release its Gaza casualty data
Excellent analysis for @aoav.bsky.social by @michael-spagat.bsky.social, as ever.
aoav.org.uk/2025/the-bla...
Excellent analysis for @aoav.bsky.social by @michael-spagat.bsky.social, as ever.
aoav.org.uk/2025/the-bla...
The black box of combat deaths: why Israel must release its Gaza casualty data - AOAV
Israel’s refusal to release the underlying data behind its claimed Gaza combatant deaths creates a dangerous transparency gap, Professor Mike Spagat argues, undermining efforts to establish the true h...
aoav.org.uk
August 22, 2025 at 2:26 PM
The black box of combat deaths: why Israel must release its Gaza casualty data
Excellent analysis for @aoav.bsky.social by @michael-spagat.bsky.social, as ever.
aoav.org.uk/2025/the-bla...
Excellent analysis for @aoav.bsky.social by @michael-spagat.bsky.social, as ever.
aoav.org.uk/2025/the-bla...
Reposted by Mike Spagat
Technical debates over famine definitions miss the point while children in Gaza starve
Powerful op-ed piece by @michael-spagat.bsky.social here for
@aoav.bsky.social
aoav.org.uk/2025/technic...
Powerful op-ed piece by @michael-spagat.bsky.social here for
@aoav.bsky.social
aoav.org.uk/2025/technic...
Technical debates over famine definitions miss the point while children in Gaza starve - AOAV
While pro-Israel media accuse aid agencies of lowering the bar to declare famine in Gaza, the real issue is that methodological nit-picking obscures the urgent need for a ceasefire to allow proper ass...
aoav.org.uk
August 20, 2025 at 3:49 PM
Technical debates over famine definitions miss the point while children in Gaza starve
Powerful op-ed piece by @michael-spagat.bsky.social here for
@aoav.bsky.social
aoav.org.uk/2025/technic...
Powerful op-ed piece by @michael-spagat.bsky.social here for
@aoav.bsky.social
aoav.org.uk/2025/technic...
Reposted by Mike Spagat
New paper estimates 75,200 violent deaths in Gaza from Oct 7, 2023 to Jan 5, 2025.
Note potential sources of "downward bias."
Estimate of nonviolent deaths is much lower than others. If correct, an amazing testament to Gaza's health workers and family support.
Note potential sources of "downward bias."
Estimate of nonviolent deaths is much lower than others. If correct, an amazing testament to Gaza's health workers and family support.
June 24, 2025 at 3:49 PM
New paper estimates 75,200 violent deaths in Gaza from Oct 7, 2023 to Jan 5, 2025.
Note potential sources of "downward bias."
Estimate of nonviolent deaths is much lower than others. If correct, an amazing testament to Gaza's health workers and family support.
Note potential sources of "downward bias."
Estimate of nonviolent deaths is much lower than others. If correct, an amazing testament to Gaza's health workers and family support.
1. New Paper
"Violent and Nonviolent Death Tolls in the Gaza War: New Primary Evidence"
by me, Jon Pedersen, Khalil Shikaki, Michael Robbins, Eran Bendavid, Håvard Hegre and Debarati Guha-Sapir
"Violent and Nonviolent Death Tolls in the Gaza War: New Primary Evidence"
by me, Jon Pedersen, Khalil Shikaki, Michael Robbins, Eran Bendavid, Håvard Hegre and Debarati Guha-Sapir
June 24, 2025 at 12:46 PM
1. New Paper
"Violent and Nonviolent Death Tolls in the Gaza War: New Primary Evidence"
by me, Jon Pedersen, Khalil Shikaki, Michael Robbins, Eran Bendavid, Håvard Hegre and Debarati Guha-Sapir
"Violent and Nonviolent Death Tolls in the Gaza War: New Primary Evidence"
by me, Jon Pedersen, Khalil Shikaki, Michael Robbins, Eran Bendavid, Håvard Hegre and Debarati Guha-Sapir
Reposted by Mike Spagat
Opinion | The Science I Would Be Doing if I Weren’t in ICE Detention
www.nytimes.com
May 13, 2025 at 12:49 PM
A great article about what must have been a great event on casualty recording.
@everycasualty.bsky.social
aoav.org.uk/2025/casualt...
@everycasualty.bsky.social
aoav.org.uk/2025/casualt...
Casualty recording: a fundamental tool to preserve lives. Notes from the final plenary of the NDM-UN28 - AOAV
This final plenary at NDM-UN28 highlighted how accurate and disaggregated casualty recording is essential to evidence-based, lifesaving, and rights-driven mine action responses.
aoav.org.uk
May 3, 2025 at 11:14 AM
A great article about what must have been a great event on casualty recording.
@everycasualty.bsky.social
aoav.org.uk/2025/casualt...
@everycasualty.bsky.social
aoav.org.uk/2025/casualt...
Reposted by Mike Spagat
The Naval Academy reviewed the slides of a speaker that it had hosted without controversy in the recent past. They asked him to change his speech to not include mention of their purge of their library. He declined, and his talks were cancelled.
April 20, 2025 at 1:17 PM
The Naval Academy reviewed the slides of a speaker that it had hosted without controversy in the recent past. They asked him to change his speech to not include mention of their purge of their library. He declined, and his talks were cancelled.
Reposted by Mike Spagat
‘Like the other 11 children, Abdo starved to death in the weeks after President Trump froze all U.S. foreign assistance, said local aid workers and a doctor’.
www.nytimes.com/2025/04/19/w...
www.nytimes.com/2025/04/19/w...
As Famine Rages in Sudan, U.S. Aid Remains Scarce (Gift Article)
The stark consequences of the rollback are evident in few places as clearly as in Sudan, where a brutal civil war has combined with a staggering humanitarian catastrophe.
www.nytimes.com
April 19, 2025 at 4:11 PM
‘Like the other 11 children, Abdo starved to death in the weeks after President Trump froze all U.S. foreign assistance, said local aid workers and a doctor’.
www.nytimes.com/2025/04/19/w...
www.nytimes.com/2025/04/19/w...