@m4m1y47.bsky.social
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If you'd been paying attention, the outlook a year ago was grim but reasonably clear. Today it's MUCH murkier. Trump is weaker and has run most of his more methodical plays. But he remains an unbridled lunatic—which means his aggression careens off in unpredictable, unsustainable ways.
Taking Stock A Year In
Trump's political outlook is much worse, our collective outlook is much murkier.
www.offmessage.net
January 20, 2026 at 6:35 PM
If you'd been paying attention, the outlook a year ago was grim but reasonably clear. Today it's MUCH murkier. Trump is weaker and has run most of his more methodical plays. But he remains an unbridled lunatic—which means his aggression careens off in unpredictable, unsustainable ways.
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Mamdani: I am in support of abolishing ICE… I'm tired of waking up every day and seeing a new image of someone being dragged out of a car, dragged out of their home, dragged out of their life.
January 20, 2026 at 5:08 PM
Mamdani: I am in support of abolishing ICE… I'm tired of waking up every day and seeing a new image of someone being dragged out of a car, dragged out of their home, dragged out of their life.
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"the truth is that the real TDS was – and remains – Trump Denial Syndrome: the refusal to take a proudly illiberal, openly vindictive, brazenly corrupt politician at his word"
Me for the First Draft newsletter on the anniversary of Trump's inauguration:
Me for the First Draft newsletter on the anniversary of Trump's inauguration:
Our Year From Hell
Mehdi on Trump's first 12 months in office, the DOJ targeting Don Lemon, and Mike Pompeo saying the quiet part out loud about the GOP's disregard for Palestinian lives.
zeteo.com
January 20, 2026 at 6:41 PM
"the truth is that the real TDS was – and remains – Trump Denial Syndrome: the refusal to take a proudly illiberal, openly vindictive, brazenly corrupt politician at his word"
Me for the First Draft newsletter on the anniversary of Trump's inauguration:
Me for the First Draft newsletter on the anniversary of Trump's inauguration:
Reposted
"Portland metro area officials are warning residents about reports of federal immigration officers posing as utility workers to lure people out of their homes.'"
www.koin.com
January 20, 2026 at 6:42 PM
"Portland metro area officials are warning residents about reports of federal immigration officers posing as utility workers to lure people out of their homes.'"
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Carney: "American hegemony in particular helped provide public goods, a stable financial system... this bargain no longer works. Let me be direct. We are in the midst of a rupture, not a transition... recently, great powers have begun using economic integration as a weapon. Tariffs as leverage ... "
January 20, 2026 at 3:50 PM
Carney: "American hegemony in particular helped provide public goods, a stable financial system... this bargain no longer works. Let me be direct. We are in the midst of a rupture, not a transition... recently, great powers have begun using economic integration as a weapon. Tariffs as leverage ... "
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Carney: "We stand firmly with Greenland and Denmark and fully support their unique right to determine Greenland's future. Our commitment to NATO's Article 5 is unwavering ... Canada strongly opposes tariffs over Greenland"
January 20, 2026 at 3:55 PM
Carney: "We stand firmly with Greenland and Denmark and fully support their unique right to determine Greenland's future. Our commitment to NATO's Article 5 is unwavering ... Canada strongly opposes tariffs over Greenland"
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CARNEY: “.. You cannot live within the lie of mutual benefit through integration when integration becomes the source of your subordination.” 🔥
Carney: "American hegemony in particular helped provide public goods, a stable financial system... this bargain no longer works. Let me be direct. We are in the midst of a rupture, not a transition... recently, great powers have begun using economic integration as a weapon. Tariffs as leverage ... "
January 20, 2026 at 3:56 PM
CARNEY: “.. You cannot live within the lie of mutual benefit through integration when integration becomes the source of your subordination.” 🔥
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democrats want to keep funding this
January 20, 2026 at 3:58 PM
democrats want to keep funding this
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Patty Murray and Democratic leaders believe that caving to Republicans who are holding the rest of government funding hostage is the only way. When it really isn’t. www.huffpost.com/entry/trump-...
Democrats Support Bill That Would Give ICE $10 Billion
The party has few good options for restraining ICE, which is flush with cash thanks to the passage of President Donald Trump’s One Big Beautiful Bill.
www.huffpost.com
January 20, 2026 at 3:53 PM
Patty Murray and Democratic leaders believe that caving to Republicans who are holding the rest of government funding hostage is the only way. When it really isn’t. www.huffpost.com/entry/trump-...
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i think he's a national leader who should set the national agenda and that includes talking about the armed military force shooting moms in the head
January 20, 2026 at 3:01 PM
i think he's a national leader who should set the national agenda and that includes talking about the armed military force shooting moms in the head
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Federal immigration agents forced open a door and detained a U.S. citizen in his Minnesota home at gunpoint without a warrant, then led him out onto the streets in his underwear in subfreezing conditions, according to his family and videos reviewed by the AP. https://to.pbs.org/4qxlxAh
A U.S. citizen says ICE forced open the door to his Minnesota home and removed him in his underwear after a warrantless search
The Department of Homeland Security says the operation targeted two sex offenders, but Thao disputes this, saying he lives with his family, none of whom are listed as offenders.
to.pbs.org
January 20, 2026 at 3:59 PM
Federal immigration agents forced open a door and detained a U.S. citizen in his Minnesota home at gunpoint without a warrant, then led him out onto the streets in his underwear in subfreezing conditions, according to his family and videos reviewed by the AP. https://to.pbs.org/4qxlxAh
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EVERCORE: “.. This is ‘sell America’ again within a much broader global risk off ..”
@cnbc.com
www.cnbc.com/2026/01/20/s...
@cnbc.com
www.cnbc.com/2026/01/20/s...
January 20, 2026 at 4:03 PM
EVERCORE: “.. This is ‘sell America’ again within a much broader global risk off ..”
@cnbc.com
www.cnbc.com/2026/01/20/s...
@cnbc.com
www.cnbc.com/2026/01/20/s...
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The only way forward is to tear down ICE www.startribune.com/st-paul-mayo...
St. Paul Mayor Kaohly Her ‘livid’ after ICE wrongly targets family friend, escorts him undressed into cold
ChongLy Scott Thao was taken by federal agents from his St. Paul home in the frigid cold only wearing boxers and Crocs.
www.startribune.com
January 20, 2026 at 1:55 PM
The only way forward is to tear down ICE www.startribune.com/st-paul-mayo...
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Fuck ICE
Federal immigration agents forced open a door and detained a U.S. citizen in his Minnesota home at gunpoint without a warrant, then led him out onto the streets in his underwear in subfreezing conditions, according to his family and videos reviewed by The Associated Press.
US citizen says ICE removed him from his Minnesota home in his underwear after warrantless search
Federal immigration agents have detained a U.S. citizen in Minnesota at gunpoint without a warrant. That's according to ChongLy “Scott” Thao, who says agents forced open his door, entered with guns drawn and led him outside in his underwear in freezing conditions.
bit.ly
January 20, 2026 at 1:57 PM
Fuck ICE
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The two most important things you could read today. They're both saying similar things in different ways.
Into the abyss
The correct response to Dachau was not better training for the guards.
Into the abyss
The correct response to Dachau was not better training for the guards.
January 20, 2026 at 1:59 PM
The two most important things you could read today. They're both saying similar things in different ways.
Into the abyss
The correct response to Dachau was not better training for the guards.
Into the abyss
The correct response to Dachau was not better training for the guards.
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Trump is a megalomaniacal, criminal madman, he is the singular force that is destroying the entire world order and the whole American system, and rather than acknowledging him as a crisis, our institutions are still, STILL determined to relentlessly normalize him
January 20, 2026 at 2:05 PM
Trump is a megalomaniacal, criminal madman, he is the singular force that is destroying the entire world order and the whole American system, and rather than acknowledging him as a crisis, our institutions are still, STILL determined to relentlessly normalize him
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A French judge explains how Trump sent people from the US Embassy to try to intimidate her during Marine Le Pen's trial for embezzlement — something they've done to other judges around the world
January 20, 2026 at 2:07 PM
A French judge explains how Trump sent people from the US Embassy to try to intimidate her during Marine Le Pen's trial for embezzlement — something they've done to other judges around the world
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Ellison: This is the essence of dictatorship. It’s the essence of it. And we’ve got to get over the idea that this couldn’t happen here. Not only could it happen here—it’s happening here.
January 19, 2026 at 8:25 PM
Ellison: This is the essence of dictatorship. It’s the essence of it. And we’ve got to get over the idea that this couldn’t happen here. Not only could it happen here—it’s happening here.
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Cops at her front door, holding a phone to her face, asking if that's her Facebook account.
What the fuck are we doing here?
What the fuck are we doing here?
A woman left a comment on Facebook criticizing the Mayor of Miami Beach,.
The Mayor of Miami Beach then sent the cops to her home.
The Mayor of Miami Beach then sent the cops to her home.
January 19, 2026 at 4:37 PM
Cops at her front door, holding a phone to her face, asking if that's her Facebook account.
What the fuck are we doing here?
What the fuck are we doing here?
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every single goddam crisis happening right now is self imposed
January 19, 2026 at 5:48 PM
every single goddam crisis happening right now is self imposed
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Here are three videos of reported drone sightings in the Twin Cities tonight (1/3)
January 20, 2026 at 4:47 AM
Here are three videos of reported drone sightings in the Twin Cities tonight (1/3)
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This is what heroism looks like. It’s the civilian whose only weapons are their voice and knowledge of their rights standing their ground against menacing armed fascists.
I’ve heard young women facing down threatening ICE officers on open dispatch channels in ways you wouldn’t believe. The officers announcing they’re going to be arresting and jailing the observer, and the observer, voice shaking, calmly reasserting their constitutional right over and over.
January 19, 2026 at 9:03 PM
This is what heroism looks like. It’s the civilian whose only weapons are their voice and knowledge of their rights standing their ground against menacing armed fascists.
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i've been reading about stalin. when the great terror hit it was everywhere, all at once, against everyone--every city, every town, every remote fucking village. stephen miller can't even subjugate one mid-sized city.
their power depends on us believing they have power.
resist.
their power depends on us believing they have power.
resist.
Also, please note: they tried very hard to be scary, kept saying “this is where you live, go home” over the loudspeaker. But when you continue to follow them, they don’t arrest you, they run. Their tactics are based in fear and bullying, not any true legal authority.
Here’s a really tense ICE situation in front of my home. One car looped a block 25 times until two reinforcement cars showed up and led me home. Was pretty scary because I was solo - BUT I knew I had backup from thousands of courageous neighbors and observers. Strength in numbers.
January 19, 2026 at 10:45 PM
i've been reading about stalin. when the great terror hit it was everywhere, all at once, against everyone--every city, every town, every remote fucking village. stephen miller can't even subjugate one mid-sized city.
their power depends on us believing they have power.
resist.
their power depends on us believing they have power.
resist.
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Impossible to describe what a raw nerve the rapid response channels are when you’re NOT on patrol. ICE sighted everywhere, all over the neighborhood. Silence and then swarming.
This is not an immigration agency, it is not a law-enforcement agency. It is a state-sponsored terror agency.
This is not an immigration agency, it is not a law-enforcement agency. It is a state-sponsored terror agency.
January 19, 2026 at 11:37 PM
Impossible to describe what a raw nerve the rapid response channels are when you’re NOT on patrol. ICE sighted everywhere, all over the neighborhood. Silence and then swarming.
This is not an immigration agency, it is not a law-enforcement agency. It is a state-sponsored terror agency.
This is not an immigration agency, it is not a law-enforcement agency. It is a state-sponsored terror agency.