Lucia Foster
Lucia Foster
@lucia-econ.bsky.social
Views/opinions are my own.
Reposted by Lucia Foster
Jason Faberman and I presented "everything you ever wanted to know about firm and worker dynamics" at a conference in honor of the great John Haltiwanger. Slides here: rdeckernet.github.io/website/deck...
rdeckernet.github.io
November 8, 2025 at 2:07 PM
Reposted by Lucia Foster
Hi all, please spread the word and we hope everyone can make good use of this new data drop: cmfdata.org

The full surviving establishment-level Census of Manufactures manuscripts and digitized data from 1850, 1860, 1870, and 1880!
Historical Census of Manufactures Microdata - Historical Census of Manufactures Microdata
CMFdata.org
November 6, 2025 at 5:18 PM
Reposted by Lucia Foster
Congratulations to Philippe Aghion, Peter Howitt and Joel Mokyr for a well deserved Nobel Prize. It was nice to see the US Census Bureau's Business Dynamic Statistics featured in the motivating evidence in the scientific writeup: www.nobelprize.org/uploads/2025...
October 13, 2025 at 1:32 PM
Reposted by Lucia Foster
this chart is a nice encapsulation of the economic trajectory over the past 2 weeks... Expectations less awful, but present reality getting slightly worse.
7/ Outside of my usual bailiwick but the survey also asks firms about demand for their products. Interesting that expectations have improved marginally but actual demand is getting slightly worse.
May 22, 2025 at 3:03 PM
Reposted by Lucia Foster
📈📉New Census Working Paper: "Financing, Ownership, and Performance: A Novel, Longitudinal Firm-Level Database" by J. David Brown, Steven J. Davis, Lucia Foster (@lucia-econ.bsky.social), John Haltiwanger (@jchaltiwangerum.bsky.social), and John Sabelhaus www.census.gov/library/work...
December 11, 2024 at 10:02 PM
Reposted by Lucia Foster
Glad to see folks here talking about the recent surge in entrepreneurship. While much is still unknown, we already have a lot of color on this striking development. Short thread of joint work w/ @jchaltiwangerum.bsky.social
We live in amazing times.
November 25, 2024 at 2:24 AM
Reposted by Lucia Foster
I’ve seen some folks on here sharing the Census Bureau business application data.

One thought for anybody looking at this data - it’s probably worth focusing on the “high-propensity” segment - ie high propensity to become a business with payroll.
November 25, 2024 at 12:46 AM
Reposted by Lucia Foster
Ryan Decker and I have studied the surge in new business applications finding that it has led to a surge in new employer businesses. See:
www.brookings.edu/articles/sur...
Surging business formation in the pandemic: Causes and consequences?
www.brookings.edu
November 25, 2024 at 1:30 AM
Reposted by Lucia Foster
NAS Report on AI and the Future of Work Released today:
www.nationalacademies.org/our-work/aut...
November 21, 2024 at 4:32 PM
Reposted by Lucia Foster
The US Census Bureau's Business Trends and Outlook Survey shows that AI adoption by US firms has risen to 6% the highest on record. (Data goes back to late 2023.)

Additionally, the share of firms *planning* to use AI has risen north of 9%.
November 18, 2024 at 2:20 PM
Reposted by Lucia Foster
The international empirics of management | Read the latest article by Nick Bloom, Renata Lemos, @raffasadun.bsky.social , @danielascur.bsky.social and @johnvanreenen.bsky.social for PNAS

poid.lse.ac.uk/PUBLI...
The international empirics of management
A country's national income broadly depends on the quantity and quality of workers and capital. But how well these factors are managed within and between firms may be a key determinant of a country's productivity and its GDP. Although social scientists have long studied the role of management practices in shaping business performance, their primary tool has been individual case studies. While useful for theory-building, such qualitative work is hard to scale and quantify. We present a large, scalable dataset measuring structured management practices at the business level across multiple countries. We measure practices related to performance monitoring, target-setting, and human resources. We document a set of key stylized facts, which we label 'the international empirics of management'. In all countries, firms with more structured practices tend to also have superior economic performance: they are larger in scale, are more profitable, have higher labor productivity and are more likely to export. This consistency was not obvious ex-ante, and being able to quantify these relationships is valuable. We also document significant variation in practices across and within countries, which is important in explaining differences in the wealth of nations. The positive relationship between firm size and structured management practices is stronger in countries with more open and free markets, suggesting that stronger competition may allow firms with more structured management practices to grow larger, thereby potentially raising aggregate national income.
poid.lse.ac.uk
November 10, 2024 at 11:00 AM
Reposted by Lucia Foster
New Economic and Social Science Research Published in the CES Working Paper Series 🧵 content.govdelivery.com/accounts/USC...
New Economic and Social Science Research Published in the CES Working Paper Series
content.govdelivery.com
October 4, 2024 at 7:41 PM
Reposted by Lucia Foster
I made a starter pack of government economists.

go.bsky.app/K7fAcMi
September 18, 2024 at 12:34 AM
New paper "Early Career Paths of Economists Inside and Outside of Academia" in Journal of Economic Perspectives with Danielle Sandler and @erikamcentarfer.bsky.social in pubs.aeaweb.org/doi/pdfplus/...
pubs.aeaweb.org
November 6, 2023 at 5:03 PM
Reposted by Lucia Foster
Foster, Lucia, Erika McEntarfer, and Danielle H. Sandler in the Journal of Economic Perspectives: "Early Career Paths of Economists inside and outside of Academia"
www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=...
Early Career Paths of Economists inside and outside of Academia
(Fall 2023) - Economics job candidates face considerable professional and financial uncertainties when deciding between academic and nonacademic career paths. Using novel panel data, we provide a broa...
www.aeaweb.org
November 3, 2023 at 3:46 PM