Laura Solanko
@laurasolanko.bsky.social
Senior Advisor at BOFIT, mostly focus on the Russian economy
www.bofit.fi
http://authors.repec.org/pro/pso253/
www.bofit.fi
http://authors.repec.org/pro/pso253/
Selkeä ja suoraviivainen juttu Venäjän taloudesta ja sotaisasta naapuristamme.
"Vaappuva vaara - Pakotteet runtelevat Venäjää, mutta Putinia ei boikoteilla kaadeta. "
www.hs.fi/visio/art-20...
"Vaappuva vaara - Pakotteet runtelevat Venäjää, mutta Putinia ei boikoteilla kaadeta. "
www.hs.fi/visio/art-20...
Ukrainan sota | Venäjän heikko talous on uhka Suomelle, sanoo Suomen pankin asiantuntija
Pakotteet runtelevat Venäjää, mutta Putinia ei boikoteilla kaadeta. Sen sijaan Venäjästä on tulossa nopeasti Kiinan vasalli, varoittaa Suomen Pankin Laura Solanko.
www.hs.fi
January 26, 2026 at 7:48 AM
Selkeä ja suoraviivainen juttu Venäjän taloudesta ja sotaisasta naapuristamme.
"Vaappuva vaara - Pakotteet runtelevat Venäjää, mutta Putinia ei boikoteilla kaadeta. "
www.hs.fi/visio/art-20...
"Vaappuva vaara - Pakotteet runtelevat Venäjää, mutta Putinia ei boikoteilla kaadeta. "
www.hs.fi/visio/art-20...
Mitä Venäjän taloudesta pitäisi tietää juuri nyt?
Kokosin blogiin tärkeimmät
⬇️
www.eurojatalous.fi/fi/blogit/20...
Kokosin blogiin tärkeimmät
⬇️
www.eurojatalous.fi/fi/blogit/20...
Venäjän sota ja talouden rajat – neljä väitettä nykytilasta – Euro ja talous
Sotakoneiston ylläpitäminen kuluttaa työvoimaa, pääomia ja valtiontaloutta. Laajat pakotteet vahingoittavat taloutta päivittäin, ja öljytulot laskevat lisäten painetta.
www.eurojatalous.fi
January 21, 2026 at 6:17 AM
Mitä Venäjän taloudesta pitäisi tietää juuri nyt?
Kokosin blogiin tärkeimmät
⬇️
www.eurojatalous.fi/fi/blogit/20...
Kokosin blogiin tärkeimmät
⬇️
www.eurojatalous.fi/fi/blogit/20...
A very good insight, indeed.
Which economy is more productive - Germany or the US? It seems the answer would be clear, but it's not.
The mood in Germany is so deeply negative, even aggressively pessimistic, that I thought we had fallen behind by a lot. But here are the facts - they surprised me as well:
The mood in Germany is so deeply negative, even aggressively pessimistic, that I thought we had fallen behind by a lot. But here are the facts - they surprised me as well:
January 13, 2026 at 1:53 PM
A very good insight, indeed.
I do think short analysis is really worth a read, especially for us in the European continent.
www.justsecurity.org/125365/ukrai...
www.justsecurity.org/125365/ukrai...
Ukraine’s Zelenskyy Has Options in Response to Latest U.S.-Russian 'Peace Plan'
The plan is a mess, but Ukrainians are right to try to work with the draft rather than reject it out of hand.
www.justsecurity.org
November 23, 2025 at 1:20 AM
I do think short analysis is really worth a read, especially for us in the European continent.
www.justsecurity.org/125365/ukrai...
www.justsecurity.org/125365/ukrai...
Reposted by Laura Solanko
If you drill down in the Chinese customs data, you find that Chinese companies have increased their unit prices of sanctioned goods globally by about 10%. But when they sell these goods to Russia, unit prices are up by almost 90%. Risky business requires its rewards, and Russians have to pay.🇷🇺🇨🇳
4/
4/
November 21, 2025 at 7:09 PM
If you drill down in the Chinese customs data, you find that Chinese companies have increased their unit prices of sanctioned goods globally by about 10%. But when they sell these goods to Russia, unit prices are up by almost 90%. Risky business requires its rewards, and Russians have to pay.🇷🇺🇨🇳
4/
4/
Reposted by Laura Solanko
‼️The strike on the kindergarten on Kharkiv (48 kids aged 1,5 to 5 years) was done by the country that chairs the UN Security Council this month (Russia).
We are living in an absurd world.
We are living in an absurd world.
October 24, 2025 at 12:09 PM
‼️The strike on the kindergarten on Kharkiv (48 kids aged 1,5 to 5 years) was done by the country that chairs the UN Security Council this month (Russia).
We are living in an absurd world.
We are living in an absurd world.
Reposted by Laura Solanko
Russia's PMIs 09/25
Manufacturing 48.2 (previous 48.7)
Services 47.0 (50.0)
Composite output 46.6 (49.1)
Everything has been below 50 since June indicating how there is no growth in the Russian economy anymore.
Manufacturing 48.2 (previous 48.7)
Services 47.0 (50.0)
Composite output 46.6 (49.1)
Everything has been below 50 since June indicating how there is no growth in the Russian economy anymore.
October 5, 2025 at 3:33 PM
Russia's PMIs 09/25
Manufacturing 48.2 (previous 48.7)
Services 47.0 (50.0)
Composite output 46.6 (49.1)
Everything has been below 50 since June indicating how there is no growth in the Russian economy anymore.
Manufacturing 48.2 (previous 48.7)
Services 47.0 (50.0)
Composite output 46.6 (49.1)
Everything has been below 50 since June indicating how there is no growth in the Russian economy anymore.
Reposted by Laura Solanko
Danish government on Thursday chose the Franco-Italian SAMP-T long-range surface-to-air weapon system over the best-selling US Patriot alternative, and said it would choose a Norwegian, German or French medium-range option for a total of DKr58bn ($9.1bn)
Actions have consequences🇩🇰 on.ft.com/3VfGkdz
Actions have consequences🇩🇰 on.ft.com/3VfGkdz
Denmark chooses European air defences over US Patriots
Copenhagen places record order as relations with Trump administration come under strain over Greenland
on.ft.com
September 13, 2025 at 11:04 AM
Danish government on Thursday chose the Franco-Italian SAMP-T long-range surface-to-air weapon system over the best-selling US Patriot alternative, and said it would choose a Norwegian, German or French medium-range option for a total of DKr58bn ($9.1bn)
Actions have consequences🇩🇰 on.ft.com/3VfGkdz
Actions have consequences🇩🇰 on.ft.com/3VfGkdz
Reposted by Laura Solanko
BOFIT Weekly Review 36/2025 China
SCO summit announcements include construction of a new Russia-China gas pipeline and establishing a new development bank
Read more: www.bofit.fi/en/monitorin...
#China #economy #BOFITWeeklyReview
SCO summit announcements include construction of a new Russia-China gas pipeline and establishing a new development bank
Read more: www.bofit.fi/en/monitorin...
#China #economy #BOFITWeeklyReview
September 5, 2025 at 9:56 AM
BOFIT Weekly Review 36/2025 China
SCO summit announcements include construction of a new Russia-China gas pipeline and establishing a new development bank
Read more: www.bofit.fi/en/monitorin...
#China #economy #BOFITWeeklyReview
SCO summit announcements include construction of a new Russia-China gas pipeline and establishing a new development bank
Read more: www.bofit.fi/en/monitorin...
#China #economy #BOFITWeeklyReview
Reposted by Laura Solanko
BOFIT Policy Brief 13/2025 by @laurasolanko.bsky.social: Macroeconomic policies in Russia 1995–2025 – from barter arrangements to an emerging war economy
Read more 🔗 publications.bof.fi/handle/10024...
#Russia #FiscalPolicy #MonetaryPolicy
Read more 🔗 publications.bof.fi/handle/10024...
#Russia #FiscalPolicy #MonetaryPolicy
September 5, 2025 at 8:26 AM
BOFIT Policy Brief 13/2025 by @laurasolanko.bsky.social: Macroeconomic policies in Russia 1995–2025 – from barter arrangements to an emerging war economy
Read more 🔗 publications.bof.fi/handle/10024...
#Russia #FiscalPolicy #MonetaryPolicy
Read more 🔗 publications.bof.fi/handle/10024...
#Russia #FiscalPolicy #MonetaryPolicy
En excellent analysis
As we wait: the morning after the day before and before the day after
tldrussia.substack.com/p/tldrussia-...
tldrussia.substack.com/p/tldrussia-...
TL;DRussia Special Edition
18 August 2025: The morning after the day before and before the day after
tldrussia.substack.com
August 18, 2025 at 7:55 PM
En excellent analysis
Do you feel news about the real state of the Russian economy are a bit confusing? In that case, let me suggest checking latest @bofit.suomenpankki.fi Weekly for a fact-based update covering 1H2025 data.
Economic conditions continue to worsen- but the economy has not fallen into recession.
Economic conditions continue to worsen- but the economy has not fallen into recession.
BOFIT Weekly Review 33/2025
Economic conditions in Russia continue to weaken
Read more 🔗 www.bofit.fi/en/monitorin...
#Russia #economy #BOFITWeeklyReview
Economic conditions in Russia continue to weaken
Read more 🔗 www.bofit.fi/en/monitorin...
#Russia #economy #BOFITWeeklyReview
August 15, 2025 at 1:28 PM
Do you feel news about the real state of the Russian economy are a bit confusing? In that case, let me suggest checking latest @bofit.suomenpankki.fi Weekly for a fact-based update covering 1H2025 data.
Economic conditions continue to worsen- but the economy has not fallen into recession.
Economic conditions continue to worsen- but the economy has not fallen into recession.
Reposted by Laura Solanko
An entire news crew working for Al Jazeera was killed by Israel as they sought to bring the world firsthand reporting from #Gaza.
Among them was prominent journalist Anas Al-Sharif, who had been previously smeared and threatened by the IDF.
#NotATarget
Full statement: cpj.org/2025/08/isra...
Among them was prominent journalist Anas Al-Sharif, who had been previously smeared and threatened by the IDF.
#NotATarget
Full statement: cpj.org/2025/08/isra...
Israel kills Al Jazeera journalists in targeted Gaza City airstrike - Committee to Protect Journalists
New York, August 10, 2025—The Committee to Protect Journalists is appalled to learn of the killing today of Al Jazeera journalist Anas Al-Sharif, Mohammed Qreiqeh, camera operators Ibrahim Zaher and M...
cpj.org
August 11, 2025 at 1:27 AM
An entire news crew working for Al Jazeera was killed by Israel as they sought to bring the world firsthand reporting from #Gaza.
Among them was prominent journalist Anas Al-Sharif, who had been previously smeared and threatened by the IDF.
#NotATarget
Full statement: cpj.org/2025/08/isra...
Among them was prominent journalist Anas Al-Sharif, who had been previously smeared and threatened by the IDF.
#NotATarget
Full statement: cpj.org/2025/08/isra...
Reposted by Laura Solanko
New oil price cap adds to Russia’s economic distress
Read the latest blog post by @laurasolanko.bsky.social 🔗 www.bofbulletin.fi/en/blogs/202...
#sanctions #Russia #oil #pricecap #bofbulletin @suomenpankki.fi
Read the latest blog post by @laurasolanko.bsky.social 🔗 www.bofbulletin.fi/en/blogs/202...
#sanctions #Russia #oil #pricecap #bofbulletin @suomenpankki.fi
August 8, 2025 at 8:43 AM
New oil price cap adds to Russia’s economic distress
Read the latest blog post by @laurasolanko.bsky.social 🔗 www.bofbulletin.fi/en/blogs/202...
#sanctions #Russia #oil #pricecap #bofbulletin @suomenpankki.fi
Read the latest blog post by @laurasolanko.bsky.social 🔗 www.bofbulletin.fi/en/blogs/202...
#sanctions #Russia #oil #pricecap #bofbulletin @suomenpankki.fi
Viime vuonna Venäjän federaatiobudjetin sotilasmenot olivat yli 7 % BKT:sta, kun vuonna 2021 osuus oli 3,6 %.
Lisäksi sotaan liittyviä menoja katetaan aluebudjettien, budjetin ulkopuolisten rahastojen ja pankkisektorin kautta. Todelliset sotaan liittyvät menot ovatkin SIPRIn lukua suuremmat.
Lisäksi sotaan liittyviä menoja katetaan aluebudjettien, budjetin ulkopuolisten rahastojen ja pankkisektorin kautta. Todelliset sotaan liittyvät menot ovatkin SIPRIn lukua suuremmat.
BOFIT Viikkokatsaus 29/2025 Venäjä
Maailman sotilasmenot ovat kasvussa
Lue lisää: www.bofit.fi/fi/seuranta/...
#Venäjä #talous #BOFITViikkokatsaus
Maailman sotilasmenot ovat kasvussa
Lue lisää: www.bofit.fi/fi/seuranta/...
#Venäjä #talous #BOFITViikkokatsaus
July 17, 2025 at 12:15 PM
Viime vuonna Venäjän federaatiobudjetin sotilasmenot olivat yli 7 % BKT:sta, kun vuonna 2021 osuus oli 3,6 %.
Lisäksi sotaan liittyviä menoja katetaan aluebudjettien, budjetin ulkopuolisten rahastojen ja pankkisektorin kautta. Todelliset sotaan liittyvät menot ovatkin SIPRIn lukua suuremmat.
Lisäksi sotaan liittyviä menoja katetaan aluebudjettien, budjetin ulkopuolisten rahastojen ja pankkisektorin kautta. Todelliset sotaan liittyvät menot ovatkin SIPRIn lukua suuremmat.
Shadow fleets create shadow ship registries
"The government of Malawi has confirmed that a newly established ship registry,... is a fraudulent operation."
www.lloydslist.com/LL1153926/Ma...
"The government of Malawi has confirmed that a newly established ship registry,... is a fraudulent operation."
www.lloydslist.com/LL1153926/Ma...
Malawi becomes latest fraudulent registry as fake fleet grows 170%
The addition of four sanctioned tankers to a fake Malawi flag has taken the number of fraudulently registered ships to nearly 300, a 170% increase in the past 24 months
www.lloydslist.com
June 23, 2025 at 8:48 AM
Shadow fleets create shadow ship registries
"The government of Malawi has confirmed that a newly established ship registry,... is a fraudulent operation."
www.lloydslist.com/LL1153926/Ma...
"The government of Malawi has confirmed that a newly established ship registry,... is a fraudulent operation."
www.lloydslist.com/LL1153926/Ma...
Reposted by Laura Solanko
BOFIT Russia and China statistics on our website are updated #Russia #China #economy #statistics #PowerBI www.bofit.fi/en/monitorin...
June 17, 2025 at 12:31 PM
BOFIT Russia and China statistics on our website are updated #Russia #China #economy #statistics #PowerBI www.bofit.fi/en/monitorin...
Reposted by Laura Solanko
BOFIT Weekly Review 23/2025 Russia
Russian growth overall slows, in some branches and regions output has declined
Read more 🔗 www.bofit.fi/en/monitorin...
#Russia #economy #BOFITWeeklyReview
Russian growth overall slows, in some branches and regions output has declined
Read more 🔗 www.bofit.fi/en/monitorin...
#Russia #economy #BOFITWeeklyReview
June 6, 2025 at 8:31 AM
BOFIT Weekly Review 23/2025 Russia
Russian growth overall slows, in some branches and regions output has declined
Read more 🔗 www.bofit.fi/en/monitorin...
#Russia #economy #BOFITWeeklyReview
Russian growth overall slows, in some branches and regions output has declined
Read more 🔗 www.bofit.fi/en/monitorin...
#Russia #economy #BOFITWeeklyReview
Reposted by Laura Solanko
BOFIT Policy Brief 10/2025 by Heli Simola @suomenpankki.fi: Russia’s ever-increasing economic dependence on China
Read more 🔗 publications.bof.fi/handle/10024...
#Russia #China #trade #investment
Read more 🔗 publications.bof.fi/handle/10024...
#Russia #China #trade #investment
May 19, 2025 at 8:31 AM
BOFIT Policy Brief 10/2025 by Heli Simola @suomenpankki.fi: Russia’s ever-increasing economic dependence on China
Read more 🔗 publications.bof.fi/handle/10024...
#Russia #China #trade #investment
Read more 🔗 publications.bof.fi/handle/10024...
#Russia #China #trade #investment
Reposted by Laura Solanko
www.hs.fi/talous/art-2... Parasta öljyn halpenemisessa on haitta Venäjälle. @laurasolanko.bsky.social @bofit.suomenpankki.fi @suomenpankki.fi
Kauppasota | Tullikriisi iski öljyn hintaan ja yksi suurista kärsijöistä on Venäjä, joka ”joutuu syömään loppuun puskurinsa”
Tullikriisin aiheuttama öljyn hinnan lasku pahentaa Venäjän talouden ahdinkoa. Myös Kiinan tullit voivat iskeä Venäjään.
www.hs.fi
April 12, 2025 at 6:59 PM
www.hs.fi/talous/art-2... Parasta öljyn halpenemisessa on haitta Venäjälle. @laurasolanko.bsky.social @bofit.suomenpankki.fi @suomenpankki.fi
Reposted by Laura Solanko
BOFIT Viikkokatsaus 14/2025 Kiina
Yhdysvaltojen tullit hidastavat merkittävästi maailmantalouden kasvua
Lue lisää 🔗 www.bofit.fi/fi/seuranta/...
#Kiina #talous #BOFITViikkokatsaus
Yhdysvaltojen tullit hidastavat merkittävästi maailmantalouden kasvua
Lue lisää 🔗 www.bofit.fi/fi/seuranta/...
#Kiina #talous #BOFITViikkokatsaus
April 3, 2025 at 10:39 AM
BOFIT Viikkokatsaus 14/2025 Kiina
Yhdysvaltojen tullit hidastavat merkittävästi maailmantalouden kasvua
Lue lisää 🔗 www.bofit.fi/fi/seuranta/...
#Kiina #talous #BOFITViikkokatsaus
Yhdysvaltojen tullit hidastavat merkittävästi maailmantalouden kasvua
Lue lisää 🔗 www.bofit.fi/fi/seuranta/...
#Kiina #talous #BOFITViikkokatsaus
So, from now on US average effective tariff rate will be 22.5 %.
In a year or two this decision will generate valuable material for research on international trade. Honestly, I can't think about any other positive sides to this.
budgetlab.yale.edu/research/whe...
In a year or two this decision will generate valuable material for research on international trade. Honestly, I can't think about any other positive sides to this.
budgetlab.yale.edu/research/whe...
Where We Stand: The Fiscal, Economic, and Distributional Effects of All U.S. Tariffs Enacted in 2025 Through April 2
budgetlab.yale.edu
April 3, 2025 at 7:14 AM
So, from now on US average effective tariff rate will be 22.5 %.
In a year or two this decision will generate valuable material for research on international trade. Honestly, I can't think about any other positive sides to this.
budgetlab.yale.edu/research/whe...
In a year or two this decision will generate valuable material for research on international trade. Honestly, I can't think about any other positive sides to this.
budgetlab.yale.edu/research/whe...
Reposted by Laura Solanko
🚨 KITE Insta-Analysis: New "reciprocal" US tariffs are serious. We ran both status quo (tariffs until April 2 incl. retaliation) and newly announced reciprocal tariff regime through the KITE model. (Non-) spoiler: 🇺🇸 hits itself the hardest. NB: Short-run, extremely ad-hoc. 1/n
April 2, 2025 at 9:38 PM
🚨 KITE Insta-Analysis: New "reciprocal" US tariffs are serious. We ran both status quo (tariffs until April 2 incl. retaliation) and newly announced reciprocal tariff regime through the KITE model. (Non-) spoiler: 🇺🇸 hits itself the hardest. NB: Short-run, extremely ad-hoc. 1/n
Reposted by Laura Solanko
Tuoreen @bofitresearch.bsky.social ennusteen mukaan Venäjän talouskasvu jää tänä vuonna 2 prosentin tuntumaan.
Talouden kasvu on nojannut valtion menojen lisäämiseen ja sotateollisuuden tuotannon kasvattamiseen ja sitä on entistä vaikeampi pitää yllä.
www.suomenpankki.fi/fi/ajankohta...
Talouden kasvu on nojannut valtion menojen lisäämiseen ja sotateollisuuden tuotannon kasvattamiseen ja sitä on entistä vaikeampi pitää yllä.
www.suomenpankki.fi/fi/ajankohta...
March 24, 2025 at 11:36 AM
Tuoreen @bofitresearch.bsky.social ennusteen mukaan Venäjän talouskasvu jää tänä vuonna 2 prosentin tuntumaan.
Talouden kasvu on nojannut valtion menojen lisäämiseen ja sotateollisuuden tuotannon kasvattamiseen ja sitä on entistä vaikeampi pitää yllä.
www.suomenpankki.fi/fi/ajankohta...
Talouden kasvu on nojannut valtion menojen lisäämiseen ja sotateollisuuden tuotannon kasvattamiseen ja sitä on entistä vaikeampi pitää yllä.
www.suomenpankki.fi/fi/ajankohta...
Check out the new BOFIT Russia forecast for 2025-2027 n
The latest BOFIT Forecast for Russia is published. We forecast a slowdown in Russian annual GDP growth to around 2 % this year and about 1 % in 2026 and 2027.
Read more 🔗 www.bofit.fi/en/forecasti...
#Russia #economy #forecast
Read more 🔗 www.bofit.fi/en/forecasti...
#Russia #economy #forecast
March 24, 2025 at 11:11 AM
Check out the new BOFIT Russia forecast for 2025-2027 n