Werner Krause
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krausewe.bsky.social
Werner Krause
@krausewe.bsky.social
2.4K followers 970 following 56 posts
Political Scientist @unipotsdam.bsky.social

- Comparative Politics, Political Parties & Voting Behavior
- Quantitative Methods & R

Prev. Uni Vienna, Humboldt Uni & WZB Berlin

https://krausewe.github.io
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krausewe.bsky.social
Werner Krause @krausewe.bsky.social · May 23
New publication @wepsocial.bsky.social w/ Timothy Hellwig and Lawrence Ezrow!

We argue and show that non-centrist/extreme governments prioritize their core supporters over the median voter when making policy.

However, this strategy is likely to backfire at the next election.

tinyurl.com/ynexbzwh
Reposted by Werner Krause
zweitstimme.bsky.social
🎉 Kicking off the Zweitstimme.org Workshop!

We’re looking forward to two days discussing new work on Elections, Public Opinion & Elite Behaviour.

Today’s sessions:
👉 Panel I – Elites
👉 Panel II – Participation
👉 Panel III – Party Strategies

Huge thanks to @hertieschool.bsky.social for hosting us!
November 20, 2025 at 3:24 PM
Reposted by Werner Krause
mzesunimannheim.bsky.social
❗ Reminder ❗
Apply now for our Visiting Fellowships!
📆 Deadline: 28 November!
Please share widely 👇🙂
mzesunimannheim.bsky.social MZES Uni Mannheim @mzesunimannheim.bsky.social · Sep 22
📣 Attention, postdoctoral researchers!

❗ Apply now for our MZES Visiting Fellowships 😊

💡 Spend 2-4 weeks at the MZES to share ideas
💰 Funding for accommodation, travel, daily allowance
📆 Deadline: 28 November

Full information:
👉 www.mzes.uni-mannheim.de/en/news/deta...
Screenshot of the call for applications for MZES Visiting Fellowships, 22 September 2025. For the full text, please follow the link.
November 17, 2025 at 9:50 AM
krausewe.bsky.social
Excited to present ongoing work from my @dfg.de project "Powerful Polls" @uni-muenster.de on Wednesday (w/ @christinagahn.bsky.social).

Say hello if you are in Münster!

Thanks for the invite & the fabulous organization @danbischof.bsky.social, @elenaleuschner.bsky.social & @mwegemann.bsky.social.
elenaleuschner.bsky.social Elena Leuschner @elenaleuschner.bsky.social · 13d
On Wednesday, the brilliant @krausewe.bsky.social will join us in Münster to present work w @christinagahn.bsky.social on opinion polls and elections! We are so thrilled!

You can join via Zoom: uni-ms.zoom-x.de/j/62265873291

co-organized @danbischof.bsky.social + @mwegemann.bsky.social y.social
November 17, 2025 at 8:59 AM
Reposted by Werner Krause
bjpols.bsky.social
NEW -

Regional Labor Markets, Residential Mobility, and Anti-Immigration Sentiment - https://cup.org/3XiB6yD

- @denis-cohen.bsky.social & @sergipardos.bsky.social

#OpenAccess
BJPolS abstract discussing the impact of anti-immigration sentiment on regional demographic changes and its economic implications, focusing on the German labor market and residential choices in the context of the Global Socio-Economic Panel (GSOEP) study.
November 10, 2025 at 12:10 PM
Reposted by Werner Krause
rsenninger.bsky.social
📄 New WP version out - full overhaul!

The Politics of Evidence Selection (w/ @jesperasring.bsky.social )

Comments welcome!

🔗 osf.io/preprints/so...
November 6, 2025 at 3:30 PM
Reposted by Werner Krause
tabouchadi.bsky.social
We have just published the call for the Nuffield Postdoctoral Prize Research Fellowships in Politics. These are 3-year fully-funded postdocs that will allow you to focus on your research in a great academic environment. (And with excellent food)

www.nuffield.ox.ac.uk/the-college/...
Postdoctoral Prize Research Fellowships in Politics - Nuffield College Oxford University
www.nuffield.ox.ac.uk
November 6, 2025 at 1:27 PM
Reposted by Werner Krause
krausewe.bsky.social
@spiegel.de berichtet über den Streit um das Lieferkettengesetz in der EU, bei dem die EVP eine mögliche Abstimmungsmehrheit mit den Rechtsaußen-Fraktionen nicht ausschließt.

U.a. mit einer Einschätzung von mir zu den Gefahren einer fehlenden Einigung im Mitte-Lager.

www.spiegel.de/politik/deut...
(S+) CDU/CSU und SPD im Streit: Zusammenarbeit mit AfD und Le Pen spaltet EU
Das EU-Mitte-Bündnis aus Konservativen, Liberalen und Sozialdemokraten scheint an einer Richtlinie zu zerbrechen. Ist die Europäische Union bald nicht mehr handlungsfähig?
www.spiegel.de
November 6, 2025 at 12:10 PM
Reposted by Werner Krause
zeit.de
Haben Menschen früher rechter gedacht, als sie gewählt haben? Der Forscher Vicente Valentim sagt, dass wir eine Ursache für den Erfolg extrem rechter Parteien übersehen.
Vicente Valentim: "Angela Merkel lag richtig"
Haben Menschen früher rechter gedacht, als sie gewählt haben? Der Forscher Vicente Valentim sagt, dass wir eine Ursache für den Erfolg extrem rechter Parteien übersehen.
www.zeit.de
November 5, 2025 at 2:45 PM
krausewe.bsky.social
@spiegel.de berichtet über den Streit um das Lieferkettengesetz in der EU, bei dem die EVP eine mögliche Abstimmungsmehrheit mit den Rechtsaußen-Fraktionen nicht ausschließt.

U.a. mit einer Einschätzung von mir zu den Gefahren einer fehlenden Einigung im Mitte-Lager.

www.spiegel.de/politik/deut...
(S+) CDU/CSU und SPD im Streit: Zusammenarbeit mit AfD und Le Pen spaltet EU
Das EU-Mitte-Bündnis aus Konservativen, Liberalen und Sozialdemokraten scheint an einer Richtlinie zu zerbrechen. Ist die Europäische Union bald nicht mehr handlungsfähig?
www.spiegel.de
November 6, 2025 at 12:10 PM
Reposted by Werner Krause
sldelange.bsky.social
With the official prognosis giving one additional seat to PVV and one to FvD compared to the ext poll, the narrative should really not be that the Netherlands/Jetten has beaten the radical right. The far right bloc remains remarkably stable.
October 30, 2025 at 7:01 AM
Reposted by Werner Krause
laurenzennser.bsky.social
🚨New paper out in @jeppjournal.bsky.social: doi.org/10.1080/1350...

@manuelwagner.bsky.social & I re-conceptualize class representation to take into account social mobility between classes and variation in how individuals enter politics.
October 29, 2025 at 9:55 AM
Reposted by Werner Krause
felixhaass.bsky.social
🚨 New article out!

“Right-Wing Terror, Media Backlash, and Voting Preferences for the Far Right” in @bjpols.bsky.social

👉 doi.org/10.1017/S000...

We (Alex De Juan, @juvoss.bsky.social & I) examine how right-wing attacks shape support for the far-right in Germany.

Short summary thread below 👇
Abstract for the article: How does right-wing terrorism affect electoral support for populist radical right parties (PRRPs)? Recent research has produced contrary answers to this question. We argue that only high-intensity attacks, whose motives and targets mirror PRRPs’ nativist agenda, are likely to generate a media backlash that dampens electoral support for PRRPs. We test this argument by combining high-frequency survey and social media data with a natural and survey experimental design. We find that right-wing terror reduced support for the radical right party Alternative für Deutschland after one of the most intense nativist attacks in recent German history. An analysis of all ninety-eight fatal right-wing attacks in Germany between 1990 and 2020 supports our argument. Our findings contribute to an understanding of how political violence triggers partisan detachment and have important implications for media responsibility in the aftermath of terrorist attacks.
October 22, 2025 at 3:14 PM
Reposted by Werner Krause
claesdevreese.bsky.social
As a scholar I rarely offer electoral guidance. But today I do:

DO NOT USE AI CHATBOTS AS YOUR VOTE ADVICE APPLICATION AHEAD OF (THE DUTCH) ELECTIONS

Full of errors, bias and lack of transparency.

@ernesto-deleon.com @favstats.eu @theoaraujo.bsky.social and🙋unpack why

algosoc.org/results/1-in...
1 in 10 Dutch citizens are likely to ask AI for election advice. This is why they shouldn't | AlgoSoc
algosoc.org
October 29, 2025 at 7:24 AM
Reposted by Werner Krause
bjpols.bsky.social
NEW -

Policlim: A Dataset of Climate Change Discourse in the Political Manifestos of Forty-Five Countries from 1990 to 2022 - https://cup.org/43zzLHc

- @marysanford.bsky.social, Silvia Pianta, @nicolasschmid.bsky.social & Giorgio Musto

#OpenAccess
BJPolS abstract from a research paper discussing a machine learning approach to analyze political discourses on climate change among OECD, European, and South American countries.
October 23, 2025 at 9:10 AM
Reposted by Werner Krause
krausewe.bsky.social
Very excited to spend four weeks as an academic visitor @nuffieldcollege.bsky.social, @ox.ac.uk, continuing research on political parties, voters, and elections.

Drop me a message if you wanna meet for a coffee!
October 16, 2025 at 7:59 AM
krausewe.bsky.social
Very excited to spend four weeks as an academic visitor @nuffieldcollege.bsky.social, @ox.ac.uk, continuing research on political parties, voters, and elections.

Drop me a message if you wanna meet for a coffee!
October 16, 2025 at 7:59 AM
Reposted by Werner Krause
stawi-univie.bsky.social
Awards, awards, awards! 🏆✨

At the 11th Annual @oegpw.bsky.social Conference, three members of the Department of Government @univie.ac.at were among the awardees:

🎓 Best PhD – @christinagahn.bsky.social
📘 Best MA – Benjamin Riesch
📗 Best BA – Luca Conte

👏 Huge congrats to all! 🎉

#PoliSky 🧪
Two award recipients stand smiling in front of an ÖGPW banner. Both hold rolled certificates. The banner reads “Österreichische Gesellschaft für Politikwissenschaft – Das Netzwerk für Politikwissenschaft in Österreich. Vernetzen. Fördern.” Slide projected on a screen with the heading “PhD Awards 2025.” On the left, text reads: Christina Gahn, Universität Wien. Supervisor: Thomas Meyer. Title: Debunking the Myth of Targeted and Tailored Political Advertising. On the right, a portrait of Christina Gahn smiling, wearing a dark blue top. A large screen displays a slide titled “Master Awards 2025.” The slide shows a portrait of Benjamin Riesch smiling, with text: Benjamin Riesch, Universität Wien. Supervisor: Laurenz Ennser-Jedenastik. Title: Negative Campaigning in the Austrian National Election. In the foreground, three people stand at a lectern in a lecture hall, with empty chairs and glasses on the table. A large screen shows a slide titled “Bachelor Awards 2025.” The slide includes a portrait of Luca Conte smiling with arms crossed, and text: Luca Conte, Universität Wien. Supervisor: Katharina Pfaff. Title: How Experiencing Climate Change Affects Climate Change Attitudes in Austria. In the foreground, three presenters stand at a lectern in a lecture hall with chairs and glasses on a table.
September 26, 2025 at 10:23 AM
Reposted by Werner Krause
thomasmmeyer.bsky.social
New publication with @kgattermann.bsky.social :
“Does media framing of election results affect whether voters perceive parties as election winners or losers?”
@polstudies.bsky.social
doi.org/10.1177/0032...

A short 🧵:
Sage Journals: Discover world-class research
Subscription and open access journals from Sage, the world's leading independent academic publisher.
doi.org
September 25, 2025 at 8:31 AM
Reposted by Werner Krause
tabouchadi.bsky.social
Now out in @cpsjournal.bsky.social. In our new article, @denis-cohen.bsky.social @thmskrr.bsky.social and I show that where local rent prices increase more, residents with lower incomes become more likely to support the radical right AfD.

journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
September 25, 2025 at 5:58 AM
Reposted by Werner Krause
mattgrossmann.bsky.social
Economic crises tend to help the right because voters assign greater importance to issues owned by the right. When center-right parties preside over a crisis, voters often drift further rightward to nationalist parties rather than defect to the left
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
American Journal of Political Science | MPSA Journal | Wiley Online Library
How do voters respond to economic crises: Do they turn against the incumbent, reward a certain political camp, polarize to the extremes, or perhaps continue to vote much like before? Analyzing extens...
onlinelibrary.wiley.com
September 9, 2025 at 11:37 AM
Reposted by Werner Krause
turnbulldugarte.com
Radical right accommodation really does not work.

New paper out with this exceptionally talented team
@katharinalawall.bsky.social @robjohns75.bsky.social @drjennings.bsky.social @sarahobolt.bsky.social @zachdickson.bsky.social @danjdevine.bsky.social & @jack-bailey.co.uk

doi.org/10.31235/osf...
September 5, 2025 at 6:50 AM
Reposted by Werner Krause
chjncke.bsky.social
Spannendes neues Heft vom @idz-jena.bsky.social zum Thema “Uncivil Society”.

@hajogu.bsky.social und ich schreiben darin über Teilergebnisse unserer aktuellen Forschung:

“Konflikt oder Kooperation? Extrem rechte Einflussnahme in der Zivilgesellschaft”: www.idz-jena.de/wsddet/wsd17...
August 25, 2025 at 2:17 PM
Reposted by Werner Krause
gessler.bsky.social
@deeesharp.bsky.social & I are looking for a collaborator on a project w/ @offenegesellschaft.bsky.social on empathy-based interventions against affective polarization @uni-hamburg.de
j0b.de/veca

75% PhD position, 1st yr project funded & can be converted to a position w/ teaching afterwards
📆31/08
Ausschreibung
www.uni-hamburg.de
August 14, 2025 at 3:30 PM
Reposted by Werner Krause
bjpols.bsky.social
NEW -

Media Platforming and the Normalisation of Extreme Right Views - cup.org/4mmVIAL

"exposure to uncritical interviews increases agreement with extreme statements and perceptions of broader support in the population"

- @dianebolet.bsky.social & @florianfoos.bsky.social

#OpenAccess
BJPolS abstract discussing the effects of extensive media exposure on public perceptions and normalization. It references specific research surveys conducted on Sky News UK and Australia, analyzing changes in public attitudes and policy effects due to media strategies.
August 12, 2025 at 9:05 AM
Reposted by Werner Krause
simonhix.bsky.social
Please share this thread. It is important that political scientists, in Europe and across the world, understand why EPSS exists and why we are encouraging people to attend our inaugural conference, in Belfast next June.
epssnet.bsky.social EPSS @epssnet.bsky.social · Aug 7
EPSA have announced that they will hold a conference in July 2026.

😵‍💫 We understand that there might be some confusion about EPSS and EPSA.

👉🏽 So we thought we would clarify some things.

A short 🧵
August 7, 2025 at 4:48 PM