Joaquin Carbonell
@joaquinc.bsky.social
Research | Data Science at the California Department of Social Services. All views my own.
CA reduced EBT theft by 83% since Jan 2024:
www.kcra.com/article/cali...
A few reflections on this work
🧵below
Disclaimer: This is my view as a private citizen though I work at CDSS and have been involved in the dept's response to theft for the last 3.5 yrs
1/10
www.kcra.com/article/cali...
A few reflections on this work
🧵below
Disclaimer: This is my view as a private citizen though I work at CDSS and have been involved in the dept's response to theft for the last 3.5 yrs
1/10
California sees major drop in EBT fraud and theft, state leaders say
According to state data shared exclusively with KCRA 3 on Thursday, there has been an 83% decline in theft associated with Electronic Benefits Transfer.
www.kcra.com
January 17, 2026 at 11:54 PM
CA reduced EBT theft by 83% since Jan 2024:
www.kcra.com/article/cali...
A few reflections on this work
🧵below
Disclaimer: This is my view as a private citizen though I work at CDSS and have been involved in the dept's response to theft for the last 3.5 yrs
1/10
www.kcra.com/article/cali...
A few reflections on this work
🧵below
Disclaimer: This is my view as a private citizen though I work at CDSS and have been involved in the dept's response to theft for the last 3.5 yrs
1/10
Reposted by Joaquin Carbonell
Listen, I know the housing shortage is killing a great American city, but that really is one of our most historically significant Safeways www.sfchronicle.com/sf/article/s...
Marina’s reaction to Safeway tower plans: ‘Along comes this behemoth right on the waterfront’
Plans to put a 25-story apartment complex on San Francisco’s Marina district sparked concerts about a future where the city’s waterfront is ringed by tall housing structures.
www.sfchronicle.com
December 5, 2025 at 2:15 PM
Listen, I know the housing shortage is killing a great American city, but that really is one of our most historically significant Safeways www.sfchronicle.com/sf/article/s...
Reposted by Joaquin Carbonell
I am increasingly convinced the optimal number of laptops per child is 0 (or at least much lower than 1).
From the latest Journal of Public Economics issue:
doi.org/10.1016/j.jp...
From the latest Journal of Public Economics issue:
doi.org/10.1016/j.jp...
December 5, 2025 at 3:07 PM
I am increasingly convinced the optimal number of laptops per child is 0 (or at least much lower than 1).
From the latest Journal of Public Economics issue:
doi.org/10.1016/j.jp...
From the latest Journal of Public Economics issue:
doi.org/10.1016/j.jp...
Reposted by Joaquin Carbonell
AI dialogues shifted political support by 2 to 3 points in trials, eclipsing standard ads. Roughly one-third of this effect persisted for a month. However, models optimized for persuasion proved more factually error-prone.
#MLSky
#MLSky
AI chatbots can persuade voters to change their minds
Conversations with AI can sway people’s political views. Concerningly, a chatbot’s facts are not always accurate, especially when it supports right-wing positions.
www.nature.com
December 5, 2025 at 3:04 PM
AI dialogues shifted political support by 2 to 3 points in trials, eclipsing standard ads. Roughly one-third of this effect persisted for a month. However, models optimized for persuasion proved more factually error-prone.
#MLSky
#MLSky
Reposted by Joaquin Carbonell
striking that so many cities are seeing parallel homicide declines this year. i have no good explanation
jasher.substack.com/p/the-fbi-wi...
jasher.substack.com/p/the-fbi-wi...
November 29, 2025 at 11:10 PM
striking that so many cities are seeing parallel homicide declines this year. i have no good explanation
jasher.substack.com/p/the-fbi-wi...
jasher.substack.com/p/the-fbi-wi...
Reposted by Joaquin Carbonell
🧵New paper out:
“Beyond Time: Unveiling the Invisible Burden of Mental Load”
with Barigozzi, Monfardini, Montinari, @elenapisanelli.bsky.social @svevav.bsky.social
🔗 arxiv.org/abs/2505.11426
/1
“Beyond Time: Unveiling the Invisible Burden of Mental Load”
with Barigozzi, Monfardini, Montinari, @elenapisanelli.bsky.social @svevav.bsky.social
🔗 arxiv.org/abs/2505.11426
/1
Beyond Time: Unveiling the Invisible Burden of Mental Load
This paper introduces a novel, scalable methodology to measure individual perceptions of gaps in mental load -- the cognitive and emotional burden associated with organizing household and childcare ta...
arxiv.org
May 20, 2025 at 9:31 PM
🧵New paper out:
“Beyond Time: Unveiling the Invisible Burden of Mental Load”
with Barigozzi, Monfardini, Montinari, @elenapisanelli.bsky.social @svevav.bsky.social
🔗 arxiv.org/abs/2505.11426
/1
“Beyond Time: Unveiling the Invisible Burden of Mental Load”
with Barigozzi, Monfardini, Montinari, @elenapisanelli.bsky.social @svevav.bsky.social
🔗 arxiv.org/abs/2505.11426
/1
Policy research folks take note - CPL's research is very influential in California state policy and this high-impact role will help expand that influence. Consider applying and share with your networks!
Please share with your networks: The California Policy Lab is hiring a policy director to amplify our policy impact in Sacramento. We're looking for a seasoned policy professional with deep experience in California state government. First review date is Oct. 10th: capolicylab.org/careers/poli...
October 1, 2025 at 12:40 PM
Policy research folks take note - CPL's research is very influential in California state policy and this high-impact role will help expand that influence. Consider applying and share with your networks!
One week until this job posting closes.
Do dope research, serve the great state of California.
Join us.
Do dope research, serve the great state of California.
Join us.
Our research shop at the CA Dept of Social Services is #hiring for a Principal Researcher
calcareers.ca.gov/CalHrPublic/...
Posting closes 9/15. Please help us spread the word!
This position will lead high impact research projects and shape/set standards for our research portfolio.
calcareers.ca.gov/CalHrPublic/...
Posting closes 9/15. Please help us spread the word!
This position will lead high impact research projects and shape/set standards for our research portfolio.
Data Engineer
Looking to make a difference? Join our strong and mighty workforce. We offer benefits and growth opportunities and impact the lives of millions of Californians.
calcareers.ca.gov
September 10, 2025 at 2:48 AM
One week until this job posting closes.
Do dope research, serve the great state of California.
Join us.
Do dope research, serve the great state of California.
Join us.
Reposted by Joaquin Carbonell
This is a great research team for those seeking to make impact within government.
Our research shop at the CA Dept of Social Services is #hiring for a Principal Researcher
calcareers.ca.gov/CalHrPublic/...
Posting closes 9/15. Please help us spread the word!
This position will lead high impact research projects and shape/set standards for our research portfolio.
calcareers.ca.gov/CalHrPublic/...
Posting closes 9/15. Please help us spread the word!
This position will lead high impact research projects and shape/set standards for our research portfolio.
Data Engineer
Looking to make a difference? Join our strong and mighty workforce. We offer benefits and growth opportunities and impact the lives of millions of Californians.
calcareers.ca.gov
September 3, 2025 at 12:36 AM
This is a great research team for those seeking to make impact within government.
Reposted by Joaquin Carbonell
An opportunity to join our fantastic research team at the California Department of Social Services!
Our research shop at the CA Dept of Social Services is #hiring for a Principal Data Enigneer
calcareers.ca.gov/CalHrPublic/...
Posting closes 9/8. Please help us spread the word!
This position will build data pipelines for our in-house research and analytics.
calcareers.ca.gov/CalHrPublic/...
Posting closes 9/8. Please help us spread the word!
This position will build data pipelines for our in-house research and analytics.
Data Engineer
Looking to make a difference? Join our strong and mighty workforce. We offer benefits and growth opportunities and impact the lives of millions of Californians.
calcareers.ca.gov
August 20, 2025 at 5:28 AM
An opportunity to join our fantastic research team at the California Department of Social Services!
Our research shop at the CA Dept of Social Services is #hiring for a Principal Researcher
calcareers.ca.gov/CalHrPublic/...
Posting closes 9/15. Please help us spread the word!
This position will lead high impact research projects and shape/set standards for our research portfolio.
calcareers.ca.gov/CalHrPublic/...
Posting closes 9/15. Please help us spread the word!
This position will lead high impact research projects and shape/set standards for our research portfolio.
Data Engineer
Looking to make a difference? Join our strong and mighty workforce. We offer benefits and growth opportunities and impact the lives of millions of Californians.
calcareers.ca.gov
August 19, 2025 at 6:25 PM
Our research shop at the CA Dept of Social Services is #hiring for a Principal Researcher
calcareers.ca.gov/CalHrPublic/...
Posting closes 9/15. Please help us spread the word!
This position will lead high impact research projects and shape/set standards for our research portfolio.
calcareers.ca.gov/CalHrPublic/...
Posting closes 9/15. Please help us spread the word!
This position will lead high impact research projects and shape/set standards for our research portfolio.
Reposted by Joaquin Carbonell
Always happy to uplift job opportunities that can have a positive impact for children and families! Check out the opportunity at the top of this thread👇
Thank you for the shout out, @joaquinc.bsky.social! We always appreciate working with the California Department of Social Services team.
Thank you for the shout out, @joaquinc.bsky.social! We always appreciate working with the California Department of Social Services team.
Work with real ones like @konradfranco.bsky.social @bwilden.bsky.social and many more non-bluesky folks.
Also an opportunity to work with some of our great research partners like @ppicnotes.bsky.social @capolicylab.bsky.social @codeforamerica.org @chapinhall.bsky.social @thepeoplelab.bsky.social
Also an opportunity to work with some of our great research partners like @ppicnotes.bsky.social @capolicylab.bsky.social @codeforamerica.org @chapinhall.bsky.social @thepeoplelab.bsky.social
August 18, 2025 at 3:29 PM
Always happy to uplift job opportunities that can have a positive impact for children and families! Check out the opportunity at the top of this thread👇
Thank you for the shout out, @joaquinc.bsky.social! We always appreciate working with the California Department of Social Services team.
Thank you for the shout out, @joaquinc.bsky.social! We always appreciate working with the California Department of Social Services team.
Our research shop at the CA Dept of Social Services is #hiring for a Principal Data Enigneer
calcareers.ca.gov/CalHrPublic/...
Posting closes 9/8. Please help us spread the word!
This position will build data pipelines for our in-house research and analytics.
calcareers.ca.gov/CalHrPublic/...
Posting closes 9/8. Please help us spread the word!
This position will build data pipelines for our in-house research and analytics.
Data Engineer
Looking to make a difference? Join our strong and mighty workforce. We offer benefits and growth opportunities and impact the lives of millions of Californians.
calcareers.ca.gov
August 15, 2025 at 3:42 PM
Our research shop at the CA Dept of Social Services is #hiring for a Principal Data Enigneer
calcareers.ca.gov/CalHrPublic/...
Posting closes 9/8. Please help us spread the word!
This position will build data pipelines for our in-house research and analytics.
calcareers.ca.gov/CalHrPublic/...
Posting closes 9/8. Please help us spread the word!
This position will build data pipelines for our in-house research and analytics.
Reposted by Joaquin Carbonell
Richest guy in the world telling us we can’t afford to have our government fund cancer research.
March 2, 2025 at 8:28 PM
Richest guy in the world telling us we can’t afford to have our government fund cancer research.
Reposted by Joaquin Carbonell
Feels like a good time to revisit this little bit of American history, or learn it if you didn’t already know it: newsroom.haas.berkeley.edu/research/how...
How Woodrow Wilson’s racist policies eroded the Black civil service - Haas News | Berkeley Haas
Before the election of President Woodrow Wilson, Black Americans worked at all levels of the federal government. But when Wilson assumed office in 1913, he mandated that the federal workforce be segre...
newsroom.haas.berkeley.edu
March 1, 2025 at 10:47 AM
Feels like a good time to revisit this little bit of American history, or learn it if you didn’t already know it: newsroom.haas.berkeley.edu/research/how...
Reposted by Joaquin Carbonell
NYC>Chicago is legitimately a great corridor for high-speed rail, if states of NY, PA, OH, IN & IL could unite for it.
You could hit:
—NYC—20m
—Philly—6m
—Harrisburg—600k
—Pittsburgh—2.4m
—Youngstown—400k
—Cleveland—2.2m
—Toledo—600k
—Ft Wayne—500k
—South Bend—300k
—Chicago—9m
On a ~straight route
You could hit:
—NYC—20m
—Philly—6m
—Harrisburg—600k
—Pittsburgh—2.4m
—Youngstown—400k
—Cleveland—2.2m
—Toledo—600k
—Ft Wayne—500k
—South Bend—300k
—Chicago—9m
On a ~straight route
This is the Beijing-Shanghai corridor, which takes 4 hours and 18 minutes to cover 800 miles. That’s the same distance as NYC to Chicago, which currently takes 20 hours by train.
(Tansu Yegen)
(Tansu Yegen)
February 22, 2025 at 6:12 PM
NYC>Chicago is legitimately a great corridor for high-speed rail, if states of NY, PA, OH, IN & IL could unite for it.
You could hit:
—NYC—20m
—Philly—6m
—Harrisburg—600k
—Pittsburgh—2.4m
—Youngstown—400k
—Cleveland—2.2m
—Toledo—600k
—Ft Wayne—500k
—South Bend—300k
—Chicago—9m
On a ~straight route
You could hit:
—NYC—20m
—Philly—6m
—Harrisburg—600k
—Pittsburgh—2.4m
—Youngstown—400k
—Cleveland—2.2m
—Toledo—600k
—Ft Wayne—500k
—South Bend—300k
—Chicago—9m
On a ~straight route
Reposted by Joaquin Carbonell
Doing the unthinkable: The deep cuts to the #CDC's workforce today are expected to decimate the Epidemic Intelligence Service, a program that has trained public health rapid responders for decades.
Envy of the world. Poof!
www.statnews.com/2025/02/14/t...
Envy of the world. Poof!
www.statnews.com/2025/02/14/t...
CDC cuts expected to devastate Epidemic Intelligence Service, a ‘crown jewel’ of public health
Members of the CDC's Epidemic Intelligence Service were warned Friday that many of them were about to be fired
www.statnews.com
February 14, 2025 at 8:30 PM
Doing the unthinkable: The deep cuts to the #CDC's workforce today are expected to decimate the Epidemic Intelligence Service, a program that has trained public health rapid responders for decades.
Envy of the world. Poof!
www.statnews.com/2025/02/14/t...
Envy of the world. Poof!
www.statnews.com/2025/02/14/t...
Reposted by Joaquin Carbonell
Bureaucracy, famously not important in war
February 11, 2025 at 12:59 PM
Bureaucracy, famously not important in war
Reposted by Joaquin Carbonell
I'd rather continue to fund the banking police (who have returned billions to consumers) rather than giving everyone a check for $2.15
February 11, 2025 at 12:00 AM
I'd rather continue to fund the banking police (who have returned billions to consumers) rather than giving everyone a check for $2.15
Reposted by Joaquin Carbonell
Here's why your education friends had a real rough one today. It's... it's the entire education data collection apparatus of the United States.
www.edweek.org/policy-polit...
www.edweek.org/policy-polit...
February 11, 2025 at 2:06 AM
Here's why your education friends had a real rough one today. It's... it's the entire education data collection apparatus of the United States.
www.edweek.org/policy-polit...
www.edweek.org/policy-polit...
Reposted by Joaquin Carbonell
Posted around NYC, Chicago, DC and other cities. Be creative. Do something!
February 10, 2025 at 7:07 PM
Posted around NYC, Chicago, DC and other cities. Be creative. Do something!
Reposted by Joaquin Carbonell
Everyone should be pointing out what is happening at CFPB. There is zero argument to be made here that this is being done to provide taxpayer value. The agency's budget is minuscule, averaging like $600 million/year, yet it has obtained $20 billion in payments from corporations to Americans
Exclusive | Russell Vought Taking Over as New Acting Head of CFPB
Trump fired the CFPB’s Biden-era leader earlier this week, putting in place Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, who froze the agency’s work.
www.wsj.com
February 10, 2025 at 3:25 PM
Everyone should be pointing out what is happening at CFPB. There is zero argument to be made here that this is being done to provide taxpayer value. The agency's budget is minuscule, averaging like $600 million/year, yet it has obtained $20 billion in payments from corporations to Americans
Reposted by Joaquin Carbonell
New WP with @vincentab.bsky.social @ryancbriggs.net. We use LLMs and RAs to track publication trends in polisci. Here’s how subfields have changed in AJPS and JOP osf.io/v7fe8
February 10, 2025 at 3:47 PM
New WP with @vincentab.bsky.social @ryancbriggs.net. We use LLMs and RAs to track publication trends in polisci. Here’s how subfields have changed in AJPS and JOP osf.io/v7fe8
Reposted by Joaquin Carbonell
Plainly unlawful and unconstitutional. No one can issue such an order; the President and his officers cannot simply ignore an entity created and funded by Congress.
Russell Vought just told CFPB to shut down @rmac.bsky.social & @stacycowley.bsky.social www.nytimes.com/2025/02/08/u...
Federal Financial Watchdog Ordered to Cease Activity
In an email to staff of the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, the agency’s acting director ordered workers to cease “all supervision and examination activity.”
www.nytimes.com
February 9, 2025 at 5:15 AM
Plainly unlawful and unconstitutional. No one can issue such an order; the President and his officers cannot simply ignore an entity created and funded by Congress.