Jeff
@jefft.bsky.social
Seattle-based. Interested in housing. Really more of a reply guy than a poster, but the good kind of reply guy.
The SAAR existing home sales numbers keep showing residual seasonality too. Winter has outperformed seasonal expectations for at least 3, maybe 4-5 years in a row.
November 26, 2025 at 4:30 PM
The SAAR existing home sales numbers keep showing residual seasonality too. Winter has outperformed seasonal expectations for at least 3, maybe 4-5 years in a row.
That has inspired me to request one at 39th and Oregon. It's a total cluster with cross traffic trying to get to/from the bowling alley and trader Joe's on that block of 39th, while drivers bomb through on Oregon downhill from the junction toward Fauntleroy, or up a blind hill vice versa.
November 26, 2025 at 5:20 AM
That has inspired me to request one at 39th and Oregon. It's a total cluster with cross traffic trying to get to/from the bowling alley and trader Joe's on that block of 39th, while drivers bomb through on Oregon downhill from the junction toward Fauntleroy, or up a blind hill vice versa.
Even well outside the so called superstar cities.
November 25, 2025 at 7:00 PM
Even well outside the so called superstar cities.
If Disney is going to keep blowing billions on episodic space operas, I think we can all agree they should get started on the Vorkosigan Saga.
November 24, 2025 at 10:49 PM
If Disney is going to keep blowing billions on episodic space operas, I think we can all agree they should get started on the Vorkosigan Saga.
Oh yeah we have tons of mini-roundabouts. Here's one two blocks away.
Does Milwaukee also have ones with neither stop signs nor traffic circles?
Does Milwaukee also have ones with neither stop signs nor traffic circles?
November 24, 2025 at 3:58 PM
Oh yeah we have tons of mini-roundabouts. Here's one two blocks away.
Does Milwaukee also have ones with neither stop signs nor traffic circles?
Does Milwaukee also have ones with neither stop signs nor traffic circles?
How about no-way stops? Tons of uncontrolled intersections in my neighborhood including along some pretty steep hills.
I almost got T-boned biking through this intersection by a woman bombing down the hill in her SUV. She seemed to have assumed she didn't need to look since she had no stop sign.
I almost got T-boned biking through this intersection by a woman bombing down the hill in her SUV. She seemed to have assumed she didn't need to look since she had no stop sign.
November 24, 2025 at 6:55 AM
How about no-way stops? Tons of uncontrolled intersections in my neighborhood including along some pretty steep hills.
I almost got T-boned biking through this intersection by a woman bombing down the hill in her SUV. She seemed to have assumed she didn't need to look since she had no stop sign.
I almost got T-boned biking through this intersection by a woman bombing down the hill in her SUV. She seemed to have assumed she didn't need to look since she had no stop sign.
I'm pretty happy now with the safety of the highlighted route from approx 35th & Andover to Belltown.
Weirdly taking the lane on Blanchard from there to Westlake feels ok too. Maybe it's just riding against the rush hour flow in the morning?
SLU and Fairview (during construction) are the worst.
Weirdly taking the lane on Blanchard from there to Westlake feels ok too. Maybe it's just riding against the rush hour flow in the morning?
SLU and Fairview (during construction) are the worst.
November 24, 2025 at 3:56 AM
I'm pretty happy now with the safety of the highlighted route from approx 35th & Andover to Belltown.
Weirdly taking the lane on Blanchard from there to Westlake feels ok too. Maybe it's just riding against the rush hour flow in the morning?
SLU and Fairview (during construction) are the worst.
Weirdly taking the lane on Blanchard from there to Westlake feels ok too. Maybe it's just riding against the rush hour flow in the morning?
SLU and Fairview (during construction) are the worst.
My theory: three eras.
MTV
LAN Parties
TikTok
MTV
LAN Parties
TikTok
November 23, 2025 at 7:46 PM
My theory: three eras.
MTV
LAN Parties
TikTok
MTV
LAN Parties
TikTok
Yeah I mean I'm very lucky our house and yard are big enough for our family, with a driveway big enough to park our camper.
But it's also kinda wild that a neighborhood mostly comprised of such "big enough" houses and yards can still rate above the 85th %ile for density!
But it's also kinda wild that a neighborhood mostly comprised of such "big enough" houses and yards can still rate above the 85th %ile for density!
November 21, 2025 at 7:01 PM
Yeah I mean I'm very lucky our house and yard are big enough for our family, with a driveway big enough to park our camper.
But it's also kinda wild that a neighborhood mostly comprised of such "big enough" houses and yards can still rate above the 85th %ile for density!
But it's also kinda wild that a neighborhood mostly comprised of such "big enough" houses and yards can still rate above the 85th %ile for density!
Opendoor up 5% like the builders today, but the 5-day chart... Lol.
November 21, 2025 at 4:12 PM
Opendoor up 5% like the builders today, but the 5-day chart... Lol.
Inspired by someone pointing out the exciting possibility of Lander succeeding Nadler, I checked with Gemini if such an anagramatic succession had ever taken place before. The Fast version supplied confident wrong answers.
November 21, 2025 at 4:52 AM
Inspired by someone pointing out the exciting possibility of Lander succeeding Nadler, I checked with Gemini if such an anagramatic succession had ever taken place before. The Fast version supplied confident wrong answers.
At least c. 2018 when I ran this exercise, it came out to a shortage of about 7 million homes. I should revisit with 2024 ACS data in ipums.
Of course we are also 25% richer than in 2006, so I think the that should be a floor for the shortage estimate.
Of course we are also 25% richer than in 2006, so I think the that should be a floor for the shortage estimate.
November 20, 2025 at 11:43 PM
At least c. 2018 when I ran this exercise, it came out to a shortage of about 7 million homes. I should revisit with 2024 ACS data in ipums.
Of course we are also 25% richer than in 2006, so I think the that should be a floor for the shortage estimate.
Of course we are also 25% richer than in 2006, so I think the that should be a floor for the shortage estimate.
Goddammit why do they have to bundle the settings for this simple good thing they've for years (generating calendar events from flight itinerary emails) with all this other AI suggested crap.
November 20, 2025 at 4:25 PM
Goddammit why do they have to bundle the settings for this simple good thing they've for years (generating calendar events from flight itinerary emails) with all this other AI suggested crap.
Lol sorry.
Also I know in practice this still doesn't actually yield what most people mean by walkability.
Also I know in practice this still doesn't actually yield what most people mean by walkability.
November 20, 2025 at 3:19 PM
Lol sorry.
Also I know in practice this still doesn't actually yield what most people mean by walkability.
Also I know in practice this still doesn't actually yield what most people mean by walkability.
Oh wow I see it now. Jesus.
November 18, 2025 at 2:47 AM
Oh wow I see it now. Jesus.
OMG so many ways to trip and stub one's toes, if this ever gets crowded or if they ever dim the lights.
November 17, 2025 at 6:06 PM
OMG so many ways to trip and stub one's toes, if this ever gets crowded or if they ever dim the lights.
This guy's position is literally just "the road between my house and my office should be a superhighway all the way to my office parking garage. Every other street in town should be a quiet pleasant place for me to stay and fine and shop."
And it's actually already basically true!!
And it's actually already basically true!!
November 17, 2025 at 5:24 PM
This guy's position is literally just "the road between my house and my office should be a superhighway all the way to my office parking garage. Every other street in town should be a quiet pleasant place for me to stay and fine and shop."
And it's actually already basically true!!
And it's actually already basically true!!
It's also funny because... Sacramento HAS bent over backwards to make this guy's commute a breeze! Route 160 cuts straight to/from his office on a couplet of massive 4-lane one-way stroads that take 6 minutes to traverse from the American River at morning rush hour! He just lives 18 miles away!
November 17, 2025 at 5:18 PM
It's also funny because... Sacramento HAS bent over backwards to make this guy's commute a breeze! Route 160 cuts straight to/from his office on a couplet of massive 4-lane one-way stroads that take 6 minutes to traverse from the American River at morning rush hour! He just lives 18 miles away!
Incredible. 6 minutes at morning rush hour. No sign of traffic.
November 17, 2025 at 5:02 PM
Incredible. 6 minutes at morning rush hour. No sign of traffic.
In the spirit of the original post, I've got to go with this, especially after seeing their 20th anniversary play-through show a couple years ago.
November 17, 2025 at 6:46 AM
In the spirit of the original post, I've got to go with this, especially after seeing their 20th anniversary play-through show a couple years ago.
I simply don't believe this takes him 20 minutes. It's already split into one-way couplets.
November 17, 2025 at 5:50 AM
I simply don't believe this takes him 20 minutes. It's already split into one-way couplets.