jblumenthal.bsky.social
@jblumenthal.bsky.social
But to return, and view the cheerful skies…
-Virgil

So it goes.
-Vonnegut
Tim Kaine needs to take a nap and retire.
November 16, 2025 at 5:01 PM
Reposted
Even Republicans aren't into the "Department of War" rebranding. Only 42% approve, which is low in such a polarized environment.

Plus Democrats and Independents are solidly opposed.

Americans want a professional, not unhinged military.

Graph and data from here: goodauthority.org/news/most-am...
November 15, 2025 at 2:52 PM
Reposted
Keep in mind the national map is slightly biased towards Republicans, so moving the map towards the Democrats means a national map that is less biased overall, not more of a Democratic gerrymander
November 15, 2025 at 3:49 PM
Reposted
Meanwhile, Maryland is moving ahead. With California and Virginia negating Texas and North Carolina, and a possible Missouri referendum putting their re-redistricting on hold (there is also a lawsuit), the national map may wind up moving the median district in the Democrats' direction
November 15, 2025 at 3:47 PM
Reposted
We saw Indiana Republicans decline to hold a re-redistricting session in the wake of last week's elections. Part of their calculation may be that they are unwilling to try to expand their map in an electoral environment favorable to Democrats
November 15, 2025 at 3:42 PM
Reposted
This matters to Republican gerrymandering here in Florida. Rep. Moskowitz's district is believed to be the most vulnerable to re-redistricting, but it is located in South Florida where Republicans might need to shore up their districts, not try to reach for more
November 15, 2025 at 3:39 PM
Reposted
The overall effect on the 2026 midterm election is perhaps obvious, but what is not so obvious is that we may expect Hispanic areas to swing more to Democrats. Part of the Texas partisan gerrymander is predicated on heavily Hispanic districts remaining at Republican support levels similar to 2024
November 15, 2025 at 3:37 PM
Reposted
We also have exit poll data in multiple states, and national polling, generally. So multiple pieces of information pointing that 2024 was an aberration, not a trend, among Hispanic voters
November 15, 2025 at 3:32 PM