it's a bit of a messy draft class but that's why I like the tiered system that Michael Donodeo, @jacobstl.bsky.social, and @seidler.bsky.social used on our BP Draft Big Board. It goes 50 deep and has tons of great insights:

Here are some NCAA reads as MLB heats up. Posted some notes on Patrick Forbes, Chase Shores, and Wehiwa Aloy.

Free to read with a basic BPro subscription:
www.baseballprospectus.com/prospects/ar...

really nice breakdown of a St. Louis Cardinals team that is in, frankly, a weird spot, courtesy of @jacobstl.bsky.social.

www.baseballprospectus.com/news/article...

My 2025 Cardinals season preview for Baseball Prospectus: www.baseballprospectus.com/news/article...

2025 Season Preview: St. Louis Cardinals
by Jacob Edelman (@jacobstl.bsky.social)

New Shiny App is live. You can select any hitter and see how their wOBAcon would change, had every batted ball been hit in your selected parks:

jacobestl.shinyapps.io/wOBAPlotApp/

really strong article from @jacobstl.bsky.social on the potential impact on the Rays lineup from moving from the Trop to Steinbrenner field, including three players who should benefit:

Tyler O'Neill's xwOBAcon and EV90 by month

Apr: .536 / 106.7
May: .453 / 106.8
Jun: .463 / 106.5
Jul: .445 / 108.5
Aug: .482 / 106.2
Sep: .522 / 107.5

One of the biggest exit-velo freaks in the league

Willy Adames wRC+ with:

Bases empty: 94
Men on: 144
RISP: 187

Giants ranked 23rd in wRC+ with men on and 25th with RISP. This will be huge for them

RHP Ryan Watson (SFG) is a R5 reliever to watch.

FF had great results (29% Whiff%/.278 xwOBA) despite avg movement. Gets a ton of extension (7 ft avg) and is throwing from a low slot (5.5) for a 6'5" pitcher

SW/CB are high-whiff offerings that play off each other nicely.

Working on an xIVB/xHB model that uses arm angle, vertical release angle, and horizontal release angle.

For FF, unexpected IVB is much more crucial to Whiff% than HB. The xwOBAcon plot shows how both are essential for suppressing damage.

Hey Everyone,

I know I’ve been pretty aggressive about promoting our subscriptions and our value proposition of late. But I just talked with our (lovely) ownership, and the fact of the matter is we've seen our subscriber base shrink the last two years.

Ivan Herrera just had the 3rd-highest wRC+ among rookie catchers in the last 10 years (min 70 G)

Here's a quick thread on why he's one of the most valuable Cardinals assets 🧵

Jose Barrero, signed by the Cardinals to a MiLB deal, just recently hit the hardest tracked ball of his career at 111.6 mph in the Dominican Winter League.

I made a starter pack of some of my favourite baseball accounts

Check them out!

go.bsky.app/N6pYxQa

Wrote about some Cardinals prospects www.baseballprospectus.com/prospects/ar... @baseballprospectus.com

Michael Conforto is a great under-the-radar bat this offseason. Here are his xwOBAcon and 90th% bat speeds by month:

Apr: .370 (78.3)
May: .442 (77.1)
Jun: .386 (77.0)
Jul: .322 (77.9)
Aug: .520 (79.8)
Sep: .499 (80.6)

Had a 137 wRC+ in those final two months.