Massive dub for Bernie here

My rule of thumb for figuring out which states in the South have potential is based on two things: 1) Black voting age pop and 2) rates of college degrees among whites. If you have above average amounts of both (NC and GA) there’s room for hope. If you have neither (AR and TN) things are rough

“Progslop” is the assertion southern white people would vote for socialists if they heard their message about universal healthcare.

“Modslop” is the assertion Dems could win southern white people if they spent their whole campaigns reacting to Republican talking points.

He’s officially running for governor 🤮 and unless something weird happens I don’t think he’ll abandon that campaign in time to defend his congressional seat (assuming he even wants to)

Updating - total reported turnout in the TN7 special is now 168k, or 93% of the total votes cast in the November, 2022 midterm general election, a race the GOP won by 22 pts. The GOP has some serious issues right now.

Me looking at Andy Ogles rn:

GOP gerrymandered Nashville into three different districts. Dem got 85% of the early vote total in her part Davidson County but most of the county is elsewhere

Van Epps vs Behn was exactly the matchup Republicans wanted in this election.

Sure, but that’s a tough argument to make when the leftist primary winner only gets 27% among D primary voters. You would expect an electrifying candidate to have a stronger plurality.

(Would have)

A single digit win by Epps may also drive questions about whether one of the three more moderate Dem candidates (who collectively won 73% of the D primary vote) have gotten over the finish line.

IIRC, the Founders thought that most presidential elections would be decided in the House. In that scenario, US govt would seem more parliamentary in nature (albeit without anything akin to a parliamentary vote of no confidence)