Geraint Lewis
@geraintlewis.bsky.social
Reposted by Geraint Lewis
✨ A few years back I stood outside Wells Cathedral for a full day and photographed the impact of the light on the front facade. I was amazed at the outcome - at how a single entity could morph and change under the changing light. 🌅 #thread
November 28, 2025 at 7:13 AM
✨ A few years back I stood outside Wells Cathedral for a full day and photographed the impact of the light on the front facade. I was amazed at the outcome - at how a single entity could morph and change under the changing light. 🌅 #thread
Reposted by Geraint Lewis
"Imagine you’re having a quiet evening at home when suddenly there’s a knock on the door.
You open it to find a boisterous crowd carrying a horse’s skull mounted on a pole and draped in ribbons – the Mari Lwyd has arrived."
You open it to find a boisterous crowd carrying a horse’s skull mounted on a pole and draped in ribbons – the Mari Lwyd has arrived."
Horse skulls and harmony singing: winter customs bringing people in Wales together
Modern versions of the Mari Lwyd and plygain traditions contribute to a shared sense of identity and belonging, in Wales and the wider world
bylines.cymru
November 30, 2025 at 2:40 PM
"Imagine you’re having a quiet evening at home when suddenly there’s a knock on the door.
You open it to find a boisterous crowd carrying a horse’s skull mounted on a pole and draped in ribbons – the Mari Lwyd has arrived."
You open it to find a boisterous crowd carrying a horse’s skull mounted on a pole and draped in ribbons – the Mari Lwyd has arrived."
Reposted by Geraint Lewis
"The most obvious cause for Britain's difficulties is Brexit," says Salman Rushdie. "Yet nobody of any political party is willing to say that."
The author on life, death, the 'dumb' BBC and how a brutal stabbing in 2022 gave him "another act"
www.thenewsagents.co.uk/article/salm...
The author on life, death, the 'dumb' BBC and how a brutal stabbing in 2022 gave him "another act"
www.thenewsagents.co.uk/article/salm...
Salman Rushdie: ‘The BBC continues to be really stupid – and there's no cure for stupidity’ | The News Agents
Author Salman Rushdie, who The News Agents describe as a man who "spent probably half of his life under the threat of death" discusses his new book, the root cause of problems in UK society, and the…
www.thenewsagents.co.uk
November 30, 2025 at 12:00 PM
"The most obvious cause for Britain's difficulties is Brexit," says Salman Rushdie. "Yet nobody of any political party is willing to say that."
The author on life, death, the 'dumb' BBC and how a brutal stabbing in 2022 gave him "another act"
www.thenewsagents.co.uk/article/salm...
The author on life, death, the 'dumb' BBC and how a brutal stabbing in 2022 gave him "another act"
www.thenewsagents.co.uk/article/salm...
Reposted by Geraint Lewis
Unaccountably, as always with these pieces, the sub-editors seem to have cut off the conclusion, which was surely “and my judgment has thus been proven so bad no one should ever listen to me on anything again”.
The economic damage Brexit has caused is undeniable - even Brexiteers are now admitting it.
https://www.thetimes.com/business/economics/article/we-brexiteers-must-acknowledge-the-costs-of-leaving-europe-p3mhqd66f
https://www.thetimes.com/business/economics/article/we-brexiteers-must-acknowledge-the-costs-of-leaving-europe-p3mhqd66f
We Brexiteers must acknowledge the costs of leaving Europe
Breaking free from the EU has undoubtedly deepened the UK’s malaise, and it’s no use denying it
www.thetimes.com
November 30, 2025 at 12:05 PM
Unaccountably, as always with these pieces, the sub-editors seem to have cut off the conclusion, which was surely “and my judgment has thus been proven so bad no one should ever listen to me on anything again”.
Reposted by Geraint Lewis
🔥 The mood in Brexit-world is changing...
November 29, 2025 at 10:19 PM
🔥 The mood in Brexit-world is changing...
Reposted by Geraint Lewis
V good thread
This OBR/Treasury row on who said what, when... is very muddy and complicated.
A few points:
• idea that the OBR said on Oct 31 Reeves was already meeting her target by £4b isn't really the full picture - fcast excluded the welfare u-turns since March (some media have pointed that out, others not)
A few points:
• idea that the OBR said on Oct 31 Reeves was already meeting her target by £4b isn't really the full picture - fcast excluded the welfare u-turns since March (some media have pointed that out, others not)
November 30, 2025 at 9:03 AM
V good thread
Reposted by Geraint Lewis
The null hypothesis is that AI fails to do something. To falsify the null, we need the strongest, not weakest, attempt to prove AI success
The null is easy to not falsify: if you want AI to fail, it will fail with bad prompts or bad models or a failure to try to figure approaches that work for LLMs
The null is easy to not falsify: if you want AI to fail, it will fail with bad prompts or bad models or a failure to try to figure approaches that work for LLMs
November 30, 2025 at 1:11 AM
The null hypothesis is that AI fails to do something. To falsify the null, we need the strongest, not weakest, attempt to prove AI success
The null is easy to not falsify: if you want AI to fail, it will fail with bad prompts or bad models or a failure to try to figure approaches that work for LLMs
The null is easy to not falsify: if you want AI to fail, it will fail with bad prompts or bad models or a failure to try to figure approaches that work for LLMs
Reposted by Geraint Lewis
China has pressing reasons to make digital health care work: its rapidly ageing population will bring with it a wave of chronic diseases that the current system is ill-equipped to handle
Dr Chatbot is popping up all over China
What the country learns as a result could change treatments everywhere
econ.st
November 30, 2025 at 5:40 AM
China has pressing reasons to make digital health care work: its rapidly ageing population will bring with it a wave of chronic diseases that the current system is ill-equipped to handle
Reposted by Geraint Lewis
What happened is precisely what the world's leading macroeconomists predicted would happen.
November 29, 2025 at 8:05 PM
What happened is precisely what the world's leading macroeconomists predicted would happen.
Reposted by Geraint Lewis
The PCUK argument leans heavily on public opinion and says almost nothing about the statistical evidence. That's a spectacular sign of a bad argument.
November 28, 2025 at 12:00 PM
The PCUK argument leans heavily on public opinion and says almost nothing about the statistical evidence. That's a spectacular sign of a bad argument.
Reposted by Geraint Lewis
The tide is turning. Even the Telegraph is now admitting the damage the Brexit deal has done to the economy.
November 29, 2025 at 6:15 PM
The tide is turning. Even the Telegraph is now admitting the damage the Brexit deal has done to the economy.
Reposted by Geraint Lewis
Do not miss this superb thread from Emma Monk, which - amongst other things - demonstrates the parlous state of our lying media.
#Leveson2 please.
#Leveson2 please.
Wow - this guy must be really, REALLY bad with money if an extra £208 per month will “ruin” his retirement.
Let’s take a look at his situation based on what he told the @Telegraph
Because this does NOT add up!
No, this is not a “poor pensioner” scrabbling around for pennies…
🧵1/9
Let’s take a look at his situation based on what he told the @Telegraph
Because this does NOT add up!
No, this is not a “poor pensioner” scrabbling around for pennies…
🧵1/9
November 29, 2025 at 10:27 AM
Do not miss this superb thread from Emma Monk, which - amongst other things - demonstrates the parlous state of our lying media.
#Leveson2 please.
#Leveson2 please.
Reposted by Geraint Lewis
The problem is many men over 50 will have something that looks like prostate cancer if you look hard enough, but in most cases the cancer won't progress, or will progress so slowly it would never cause harm in their lifetime, and it's hard to know which ones you can ignore.
November 28, 2025 at 3:31 PM
The problem is many men over 50 will have something that looks like prostate cancer if you look hard enough, but in most cases the cancer won't progress, or will progress so slowly it would never cause harm in their lifetime, and it's hard to know which ones you can ignore.
Reposted by Geraint Lewis
"A poll by Prostate Cancer Research of 3,000 adults shows that 90 per cent believe it is important for the UK to introduce screening."
Is that what we do now? Clinicals trial are too hard. Let's just do an opinion poll instead.
Is that what we do now? Clinicals trial are too hard. Let's just do an opinion poll instead.
November 28, 2025 at 2:59 PM
"A poll by Prostate Cancer Research of 3,000 adults shows that 90 per cent believe it is important for the UK to introduce screening."
Is that what we do now? Clinicals trial are too hard. Let's just do an opinion poll instead.
Is that what we do now? Clinicals trial are too hard. Let's just do an opinion poll instead.
Reposted by Geraint Lewis
First sentence: "Millions of men are set to be denied routine prostate screening"
How about: "Millions of men are set to avoid harm and NHS to avoid wasted money through poorly evidenced screening programme"?
How about: "Millions of men are set to avoid harm and NHS to avoid wasted money through poorly evidenced screening programme"?
This is what happens when as a single condition health charity you’re overly focused on those who die of your condition and you don’t consider outcomes for those who don’t, or the opportunity costs involved for NHS. PCUK are particularly guilty but they’re not alone.
www.thetimes.com/article/4487...
www.thetimes.com/article/4487...
Start prostate cancer testing regardless of advice, Wes Streeting told
NHS advisers are expected to rule against a mass programme for the disease, which causes more than 12,000 deaths a year
www.thetimes.com
November 28, 2025 at 2:56 PM
First sentence: "Millions of men are set to be denied routine prostate screening"
How about: "Millions of men are set to avoid harm and NHS to avoid wasted money through poorly evidenced screening programme"?
How about: "Millions of men are set to avoid harm and NHS to avoid wasted money through poorly evidenced screening programme"?
Reposted by Geraint Lewis
% who say each 2025 Budget policy was the 'right thing to do' (1/3)
Increase gambling taxes: 82%
Freeze rail fares: 82%
Reducing energy bills by £150 a year by reducing green levies: 75%
Increasing minimum wage: 71%
Mansion tax: 67%
Decreasing biz rates for retail/hospitality/leisure: 64%
Increase gambling taxes: 82%
Freeze rail fares: 82%
Reducing energy bills by £150 a year by reducing green levies: 75%
Increasing minimum wage: 71%
Mansion tax: 67%
Decreasing biz rates for retail/hospitality/leisure: 64%
November 27, 2025 at 8:01 PM
% who say each 2025 Budget policy was the 'right thing to do' (1/3)
Increase gambling taxes: 82%
Freeze rail fares: 82%
Reducing energy bills by £150 a year by reducing green levies: 75%
Increasing minimum wage: 71%
Mansion tax: 67%
Decreasing biz rates for retail/hospitality/leisure: 64%
Increase gambling taxes: 82%
Freeze rail fares: 82%
Reducing energy bills by £150 a year by reducing green levies: 75%
Increasing minimum wage: 71%
Mansion tax: 67%
Decreasing biz rates for retail/hospitality/leisure: 64%
Reposted by Geraint Lewis
Robotaxis will tranform cities more than we yet realise: my latest for @economist.com
— The tech will get cheaper. Dire traffic jams unless cities learn to love congestion taxes
— Denser city centres (few parking lots), but also more sprawl
— Cycling gets safer
www.economist.com/finance-and...
— The tech will get cheaper. Dire traffic jams unless cities learn to love congestion taxes
— Denser city centres (few parking lots), but also more sprawl
— Cycling gets safer
www.economist.com/finance-and...
November 27, 2025 at 6:48 PM
Robotaxis will tranform cities more than we yet realise: my latest for @economist.com
— The tech will get cheaper. Dire traffic jams unless cities learn to love congestion taxes
— Denser city centres (few parking lots), but also more sprawl
— Cycling gets safer
www.economist.com/finance-and...
— The tech will get cheaper. Dire traffic jams unless cities learn to love congestion taxes
— Denser city centres (few parking lots), but also more sprawl
— Cycling gets safer
www.economist.com/finance-and...
Reposted by Geraint Lewis
“Also for legal reasons, we’re not able to tell you what that line is.”
From a media law perspective: BS.
There is no "legal" reason for not publishing that line.
www.theguardian.com/media/2025/n...
From a media law perspective: BS.
There is no "legal" reason for not publishing that line.
www.theguardian.com/media/2025/n...
BBC tells staff they cannot quote Trump line removed from Reith Lecture
Journalists not allowed to repeat Rutger Bregman’s corruption claims against US president in coverage of edit
www.theguardian.com
November 27, 2025 at 1:32 PM
“Also for legal reasons, we’re not able to tell you what that line is.”
From a media law perspective: BS.
There is no "legal" reason for not publishing that line.
www.theguardian.com/media/2025/n...
From a media law perspective: BS.
There is no "legal" reason for not publishing that line.
www.theguardian.com/media/2025/n...
Reposted by Geraint Lewis
NEW: Net migration falls sharply to 204,000 in the year to June.
That’s a fall from 649,000 in the year to June 2024. It is a drop of nearly 80% from its 2023 peak.
That’s a fall from 649,000 in the year to June 2024. It is a drop of nearly 80% from its 2023 peak.
November 27, 2025 at 9:49 AM
NEW: Net migration falls sharply to 204,000 in the year to June.
That’s a fall from 649,000 in the year to June 2024. It is a drop of nearly 80% from its 2023 peak.
That’s a fall from 649,000 in the year to June 2024. It is a drop of nearly 80% from its 2023 peak.
Reposted by Geraint Lewis
This is what he said about the Truss/Kwarteng budget: 'This was the best Budget I have ever heard a British Chancellor deliver, by a massive margin.'
November 27, 2025 at 8:09 AM
This is what he said about the Truss/Kwarteng budget: 'This was the best Budget I have ever heard a British Chancellor deliver, by a massive margin.'
Reposted by Geraint Lewis
And a very good morning as Allister Heath delivers his verdict on the budget.
November 27, 2025 at 8:00 AM
And a very good morning as Allister Heath delivers his verdict on the budget.
Reposted by Geraint Lewis
On Truss & Kwarteng in ‘22. Allister Heath, Telegraph: “the best budget I have ever heard a British chancellor deliver". Alex Brummer, Mail: “a genuine Tory package elbowing to one side the Treasury's fiscal conservatism".
These men will now be paid actual money for their analysis of today’s budget.
These men will now be paid actual money for their analysis of today’s budget.
November 26, 2025 at 4:32 PM
On Truss & Kwarteng in ‘22. Allister Heath, Telegraph: “the best budget I have ever heard a British chancellor deliver". Alex Brummer, Mail: “a genuine Tory package elbowing to one side the Treasury's fiscal conservatism".
These men will now be paid actual money for their analysis of today’s budget.
These men will now be paid actual money for their analysis of today’s budget.
Reposted by Geraint Lewis
this is amazing news - the HPV vaccine promises to eliminate cervical cancer in countries where uptake is high.
November 26, 2025 at 6:57 PM
this is amazing news - the HPV vaccine promises to eliminate cervical cancer in countries where uptake is high.
Reposted by Geraint Lewis
Ironic that this government was elected with a landslide majority on a one word slogan of "change". Given how worried it is that delivering anything even close to that label would upset too many people.
November 26, 2025 at 1:00 PM
Ironic that this government was elected with a landslide majority on a one word slogan of "change". Given how worried it is that delivering anything even close to that label would upset too many people.
Reposted by Geraint Lewis
There's no obvious big picture sitting above this budget beyond muddling through.
November 26, 2025 at 12:24 PM
There's no obvious big picture sitting above this budget beyond muddling through.