Georgina Sturge
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georginasturge.bsky.social
Georgina Sturge
@georginasturge.bsky.social
Statistics expert and writer, formerly of the House of Commons Library. New book 'Sum of Us' out now 🙌📊 Also author of critically acclaimed 'Bad Data' (2022).
Yeh that claim seems to be about refused asylum refusals specifically, although I haven't yet found published data to back it up. But looking at the Eurostat data on all returns following an order to leave, it was 44/100 last year and a slightly higher 50% over the past three years.
November 14, 2025 at 2:49 PM
It would certainly be a challenge. The top refused nationalities in Denmark in recent years have been Iranian, Georgian, Syrian, Afghan, and Iraqi. It's only to Georgia that general return rates are anywhere close to 95%.
November 14, 2025 at 12:45 PM
Eurostat figures show a much lower ratio of all returns relative to orders to return: around 50% over the past three years. I should stress that these are *not* just refused asylum seekers, figures for that specific group are not on Eurostat. But 95% for that group would be quite something.
November 14, 2025 at 11:32 AM
Milk before water and teabag or after?
November 12, 2025 at 10:16 AM
Read more in my latest piece on the faint signs of recovery in UK statistics

georginasturge.substack.com/p/are-there-...
Are there cautious signs of recovery for UK statistics?
The all-important Labour Force Survey shows some signs of bouncing back
georginasturge.substack.com
October 23, 2025 at 7:58 AM
More in my latest substack post, along with reflections on the government’s economic data woes.

open.substack.com/pub/georgina...
Black holes and Reevelations
Bad data giveth and bad data taketh away
open.substack.com
October 10, 2025 at 12:03 PM
There’s no clear pattern of opposition to digital ID in seats with a high Labour share (almost all of which Labour won). Seems like this has become a great unifier, or perhaps that’s just people reacting badly to anything announced by Keir Starmer at the moment…?
October 10, 2025 at 12:03 PM