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Ilkley Views
@gabr24.bsky.social
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‘The chill wind from the White House is already rippling through New Broadcasting House.’

@lewisgoodall.com reacts after the BBC edited out an anti-Trump line from a historian’s lecture.
November 25, 2025 at 4:01 PM
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This was a Budget born of political and intellectual weakness, not strength

Labour has to realise that moving the pieces on the board is not e enough. Affluence is essential for social democracy. And there isn't a plan to create it.

Latest from me 👇

substack.com/home/post/p-...
A budget born of weakness, not of strength
Labour needs affluence to remake society. Yet it seems curiously uninterested in creating it.
substack.com
November 27, 2025 at 5:21 PM
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We were honoured to have economist Jayati Ghosh join a high-level discussion we hosted with OxfamSA at the G20 in Johannesburg ast week.

In this clip, Jayati explains why a global minimum tax on the super-rich is essential to tackling rising wealth inequality and wealth extremism. #TaxTheSuperRich
November 25, 2025 at 5:03 PM
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Something that Trump’s hapless crew seem completely unable to understand.
We still need to get from a situation where Russia pretends to negotiate to a situation where they need to negotiate.

Extract from my press remarks following today’s informal Foreign Affairs Council ↓
November 26, 2025 at 5:56 PM
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Climate scientist @kevinclimate.bsky.social says “we need to eliminate fossil fuels”.

Societal and ecological collapse at 3-4C warming.

For <2C, the UK has 7 years of current CO2 emissions.

Drax and CCS are delay tech.

Heat pumps, good public transport, and deep cuts of aviation are essential.
November 27, 2025 at 9:47 AM
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🍂 Get the facts on the 2025 Autumn Budget with the Commons Library.

Their impartial summary covers yesterday's main policy announcements, including changes to taxes and spending, forecasts for the public finances and more.

Read now: commonslibrary.parliament.uk/research-bri...
November 27, 2025 at 3:55 PM
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Distributional analysis published alongside the Budget shows that the poorest will benefit most from the measures - particularly due to welfare and public service improvements.

Source: www.gov.uk/government/p...
November 26, 2025 at 2:12 PM
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What did I tell you?
November 27, 2025 at 12:50 PM
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'This isn't an opinion. This is counting.'
- A 100,000 drop in net migration costs us £7bn
- Scrapping the two-child benefit cap costs us £3bn

What gets more attention?

James O’Brien says 'we have become a ludicrous country'.
November 27, 2025 at 11:29 AM
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2016 happened. Russia did support Trump’s campaign. Good reporters were on it at the time. I wrote it up within the larger context of global oligarchy and neo-fascism in "Road to Unfreedom."
9 years ago,House Speaker Paul Ryan, and Speaker to be Kevin McCarthy had a recorded conversation in which McCarthy says, "There are two people that I think Putin pays, (Representative Dana) Rohrbacher and Trump. Swear to God."
www.youtube.com/watch?v=oio0...
Washington Post: House majority leader said in 2016, "Putin pays" Trump
YouTube video by CBS News
www.youtube.com
November 26, 2025 at 9:16 PM
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Proud to see the Chancellor directly referencing my research (with @ruthpatrick0.bsky.social & Mary Reader) on the two-child limit.

As we wrote then "The two-child limit hasn’t discouraged poorer families from having children; it has simply made families poorer"

www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...
November 26, 2025 at 8:21 PM
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Plus sides to today: Two-child benefit scrapped. Largely progressive tax implications. Good market reaction. No big spending cuts. Nightmare prospect of cutting funding to net zero etc avoided. It's a left-wing budget. Those who say there's no difference between Labour and Tories are bananas.
November 26, 2025 at 5:51 PM
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Rachel Reeves’ 2025 Budget has already collapsed under the weight of its own contradictions. In this video, I explain why tax rises on ordinary people, baseless growth forecasts, and a refusal to tax wealth fairly mean this Budget will fail. youtu.be/xvdFsOT6WPk?...
Why Rachel Reeves just failed the British public
YouTube video by Richard J Murphy
youtu.be
November 26, 2025 at 4:16 PM
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UK Budget – is this the end of democracy? youtu.be/g0lEbH2kEw8
UK Budget – The End of Democracy?
YouTube video by Garys Economics
youtu.be
November 23, 2025 at 11:06 AM
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The Chancellor has scrapped the two-child limit, benefitting more than half a million families.

In April 2025, out of families impacted by the limit:

- 6 in 10 had 3 children.
- 6 in 10 had at least one person in work.
- And 6 in 10 are receiving a health or disability benefit.
November 26, 2025 at 1:45 PM
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On the one hand, this is the perfect end to an amazingly chaotic Budget process. On the other, it makes it much easier to cover than having to actually listen to the speech.
BREAKING The entire Budget has leaked early

- £22BN of headroom
- £26bn tax rises
- Freeze on tax thresholds
- Pay per mileage confirmed
- Changes to capital gains
November 26, 2025 at 12:11 PM
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Profoundly infuriating. Every single barrel of oil pumped moves us deeper into dangerous climate change. The science is absolutely clear about this: the carbon budget to limit to 1.5°C is practically gone. Tipping points loom. We need rapid fossil fuel PHASE OUT.

www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...
More North Sea exploration to be allowed in new Labour plan
The chancellor will unveil the North Sea Strategy in her Budget speech, the BBC understands.
www.bbc.co.uk
November 26, 2025 at 12:19 PM
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Was there any coverage of the recent record warmth in both the Arctic and Antarctic? Multiple global datasets now confirm these records, and I think it's really quite striking.

Here's some very quick plots showing NOAAGlobalTempv6 data from October too. And see my earlier posts.
November 22, 2025 at 2:20 AM
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Are a small number of legacy disciplines dragging the whole of government down? A provocation:

medium.com/@jamestplunk...

Government seems increasingly unable to cope with the pace and complexity of today's world. Why? 1/n
The disciplines theory of government
Are legacy disciplines dragging the whole operation down?
medium.com
November 20, 2025 at 8:34 AM
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Just posting an author share link after popular demand: authors.elsevier.com/c/1m6Dd9C~Iu...

Living beyond limits: Consequences of missing the decisive decade for preserving our planet’s life-supporting systems
November 25, 2025 at 4:28 PM
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This is not a plan for peace. It is a plan for Russian victory and Ukrainian capitulation, argues Christian Caryl.
Don’t Call This a ‘Peace Plan’
If the U.S.-Russia plan for Ukraine goes forward, Donald Trump will be remembered as the Neville Chamberlain of the 21st century.
foreignpolicy.com
November 25, 2025 at 2:30 PM
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Erich Fromm once wrote a book called Fear Of Freedom.

Here David Graeber relates some of Fromm's ideas to the modern world of work.
November 25, 2025 at 9:28 PM