Erik Voeten
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erikvoeten.bsky.social
Erik Voeten
@erikvoeten.bsky.social
Georgetown prof. Expect content on international politics, climate, soccer, and other random stuff. Views my own. Website: https://erikvoeten.georgetown.domains/
Reposted by Erik Voeten
We are on the brink of a once in a generation transformation in world politics. @erikvoeten.bsky.social @segoddard.bsky.social and I talk neo-royalism as one future.
Give a list: goodauthority.org/news/the-new...
Check out the article it is based on here:
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
November 21, 2025 at 1:27 PM
The new neo-royalist world order. Stacie Goddard and
@abenewman.bsky.social explain how cliques are ruling the world. A new @goodauth.bsky.social podcast interview with yours truly based on the new @iojournal.bsky.social open access article that came out today!

goodauthority.org/news/the-new...
The new neo-royalist world order
Stacie Goddard and Abe Newman explain how cliques are ruling the world.
goodauthority.org
November 20, 2025 at 9:24 PM
Reposted by Erik Voeten
@erikvoeten.bsky.social has built his career on one goal: make ideas flow more freely.

In this week’s Etched in Marble, we talked about writing, editing, & how to carry arguments beyond academia without losing their complexity.

🪶 New post: catherineeunicedevries.substack.com/p/etched-in-...

🧵
Etched in Marble: Erik Voeten on Time, Clarity, and Moving Ideas Beyond Academia
Writers on the Forces That Shape Us and the Writing That Endures
catherineeunicedevries.substack.com
November 20, 2025 at 8:29 AM
Reposted by Erik Voeten
🧵New piece from me @goodauth.bsky.social on risks of striking Venezuela, focused on the added risk from Trump team of loyalists. Hint: it has to do with centralized role of Rubio, the nation's top diplomat, and the incompetence of advisers like SecDef Hegseth. 1/
goodauthority.org/news/trump-m...
Trump may strike Venezuela. His team makes that very risky.
Take a close look at who is advising the president on U.S. policy.
goodauthority.org
November 3, 2025 at 1:10 PM
Reposted by Erik Voeten
1/When @himself.bsky.social and I wrote about the future of US economic coercion we hoped that the tools could be used for global collective goods like climate. Now US “evaluating sanctions on officials sponsoring activist-driven climate policies”’
on.ft.com/4qJF3Ko
US accused of ‘bully-boy’ tactics to sink climate deal
Officials say ‘threats’ used to derail net zero deal for shipping industry ripped up rules of global diplomacy
on.ft.com
November 3, 2025 at 12:07 PM
As a Dutch friend, I agree with this and I don't think it means that votes will be "lost." It is up to the other parties to figure out how to attract those voters who really care about animal rights, pensions, Christianity and so on.
I have just written a Substack piece with some scenarios of what would have happened in the recent Dutch election if there had been 4% electoral threshold (with apologies to my Dutch friends for banging on about this!) substack.com/home/post/p-...
What Would happen if The Netherlands had a 4% Electoral Threshold?
Political scientists of electoral systems love The Netherlands.
substack.com
October 31, 2025 at 7:21 PM
The Dutch election is more of a reshuffling than a major realignment of the electorate but fragmentation of the far right will still likely bring a centrist government coalition. My quick takeaways @goodauth.bsky.social goodauthority.org/news/three-t...
October 31, 2025 at 11:53 AM
Three quick takeaways from the Dutch elections: @goodauth.bsky.social goodauthority.org/news/three-t...
Three takeaways from the too-close-to-call Dutch election
A young charismatic liberal leader may well become the next Dutch prime minister.
goodauthority.org
October 30, 2025 at 8:56 PM
Read Anjali Dayal on the UN and also listen to her podcast To Save Us from Hell open.spotify.com/show/2WBQHl2...
October 24, 2025 at 3:20 PM
New out in @apsrjournal.bsky.social. We show how the AfD in Germant was able to use opposition to the green transition to attract voters in highly polluting occupations and communities that rely on those occupations.
October 24, 2025 at 3:10 PM
Reposted by Erik Voeten
The annoying spam texts destroying the Democratic brand:

$678M raised through those spam tactics

$282M to one consulting firm: Mothership Strategies.

$11M to actual campaigns (1.6%)

The party isn’t just treating donors like marks—it’s being fleeced itself yet continues to back Mothership.
The Mothership Vortex: An Investigation Into the Firm at the Heart of the Democratic Spam Machine
How a single consulting firm extracted $282 million from a network of spam PACs while delivering just $11 million to actual campaigns.
open.substack.com
August 3, 2025 at 5:02 PM
New UN ideal point estimates available. These are for the first time based on years rather than UNGA sessions. For more, see here: dataverse.harvard.edu/dataset.xhtm...
dataverse.harvard.edu
July 28, 2025 at 3:03 PM
Reposted by Erik Voeten
This is fantastic. Very excited by this development in European Political Science.

Please come and join us. Get involved. Sign up to the listserv. Etc
🚨 Big News for European Political Science 🚨

We’re thrilled to announce the launch of the European Political Science Society (EPSS): a new, member-led, not-for-profit association built to support our scholarly community.

🔗 epssnet.org

Here’s a thread with everything you need to know.

🧵
June 26, 2025 at 5:10 PM
Reposted by Erik Voeten
🚨Global public action (climate!) is most effective when countries do it together yet we're in a period of IO backlash rooted in left-behind places

Does it mean all left-behind regions hate IOs the same?

@patrickbayer.bsky.social & I have a paper accepted @bjpols.bsky.social abt this🧵

osf.io/rtymv
June 17, 2025 at 11:13 AM
I have a new short piece in Foreign Affairs with @profmichaelross.bsky.social arguing that "the United States’ emergence as the world’s leading oil and gas producer is a critical and often neglected element of today’s global disorder." www.foreignaffairs.com/united-state...
Petrostate America
The downsides of energy independence.
www.foreignaffairs.com
June 12, 2025 at 3:23 PM
(Finally) out in the Journal of Politics: Do Domestic Climate Rulings Make Climate Commitments More Credible? Evidence from Stock Market Returns." A quick thread on paper and process www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/epdf/10....
University of Chicago Press Journals: Cookie absent
www.journals.uchicago.edu
June 10, 2025 at 3:30 PM
Reposted by Erik Voeten
BREAKING from @science.org: The Trump admin is seeking to kill nearly all climate research at NOAA, its climate science agency.

Its near-final budget proposal would end all NOAA research labs, academic institutes, and regional climate centers. And it wants to fully end the NOAA Research division.
Trump seeks to end climate research at premier U.S. climate agency
White House aims to end NOAA’s research office; NASA also targeted
www.science.org
April 11, 2025 at 3:20 PM
Trump’s policies are terrible for even the people who support him. Episode 34276 www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
Texas Oil Executives Are Frustrated at Trump for Crushing Crude Prices
The angry mutterings at the Permian Basin Petroleum Association’s “Spring Swing” golf tournament this week weren’t all about missed putts or lost balls. The Texas oilmen on the fairways had a more ser...
www.bloomberg.com
April 10, 2025 at 11:13 AM
Important and yet another illustration of both how pointless and harmful these tariffs are.
What are countries like Côte d'Ivoire supposed to do? 90% of their exports to the U.S. are cocoa beans and natural rubber - can you build those behind the tariff wall?

No.

My latest for @piie.com on the disaster these #tariffs may mean for many resource-dependent developing economies.
The new tariffs do not mirror tariffs developing countries impose on the US, nor account for different economic conditions & fiscal realities shaping tariff regimes in poorer countries—& ignore basic realities of institutional capacity, resource endowment, & geography. By @cullenhendrix.bsky.social:
April 4, 2025 at 4:09 PM
Reposted by Erik Voeten
Whenever the news comes that people are turning on Trump there's some guy who will come out of the woodwork and say "Well, his base wont care", but it's important to remember that it took way more than Trump's base to get him elected and all those people are souring on him.
Another great data visualization by @jburnmurdoch.ft.com (the article says that the non-MAGA group is larger but not by how much, which would be useful to know). Trump chaos is alienating Republicans www.ft.com/content/26d1...
April 4, 2025 at 1:42 PM
Another great data visualization by @jburnmurdoch.ft.com (the article says that the non-MAGA group is larger but not by how much, which would be useful to know). Trump chaos is alienating Republicans www.ft.com/content/26d1...
April 4, 2025 at 1:37 PM
On Fox News, the tariffs are already having positive effects. No mention of a stock market crash.
April 3, 2025 at 5:13 PM
Maybe Trump is a closet degrowth leftist? His entire economic plan implies dramatic reductions in consumption. #DegrowthDonnie
April 3, 2025 at 1:19 PM
Reposted by Erik Voeten
Donald Trump has committed the most profound, harmful and unnecessary economic error in the modern era. Almost everything he said—on history, economics and the technicalities of trade—was utterly deluded econ.st/3YbbFjq
April 3, 2025 at 9:19 AM
Reposted by Erik Voeten
Puzzled by where Trump's numbers on tariffs charged on US exports come from?

Do they seem oddly high? Especially given all this talk about how trade is too liberalized?

What are actual tariffs charged on US exports? 1/

@econsky
April 2, 2025 at 11:28 PM