Federica Genovese
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fgenovese.bsky.social
Federica Genovese
@fgenovese.bsky.social

Political scientist at University of Oxford • Leverhulme Trust awardee • cross-national policy, political economy, politics of climate and crises • mom of 2 • she/her

https://www.federica-genovese.com/

Economics 37%
Political science 33%

Huge if true.

But also, this was supposed to be the way from day 1 (or rather February 24, 2022). This decision by the Commission could have been so meaningful, so powerful for the energy transition, if done immediately:

The irony is that this doesnt even need a bailout plan. You only need to unlock youth mobility & allow students from Europe (and anywhere else) in more easily. They'll fund your modern unis, will cross-subsidize the NHS, etc.

Also I hear strangling your core constituencies is not politically smart.
If it were steel works we would have a government bailout plan, yet losing thousands of jobs at unis is met with a shrug. & unlike steelworks universities were profitable when they had foreign students.
You are killing the golden goose… one of our best exports…

HOW IS THIS HELPING GROWTH?!
Every sympathy for University of Essex (and pressures facing them) but this is very bad news for Southend.

giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/... Essex university to cut 400 jobs as overseas student numbers plummet
Grim news and vacuous messaging from Essex: 200 academic posts (in unspecified subjects) to go this year & 200 professional staff posts in the next 2 years. Closure of Southend campus will be a blow regionally as well. The vision and ambition that saw Essex et al established is sorely needed now.
Essex to close Southend campus and cut 400 jobs
University says it has been forced into making ‘decisions we could have never previously imagined’ after steep drop in international student numbers
www.timeshighereducation.com
If it were steel works we would have a government bailout plan, yet losing thousands of jobs at unis is met with a shrug. & unlike steelworks universities were profitable when they had foreign students.
You are killing the golden goose… one of our best exports…

HOW IS THIS HELPING GROWTH?!
Every sympathy for University of Essex (and pressures facing them) but this is very bad news for Southend.

giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/... Essex university to cut 400 jobs as overseas student numbers plummet
Essex university to cut 400 jobs as overseas student numbers plummet
Roles to be lost are part of wave of redundancy programmes across UK’s higher education sector
giftarticle.ft.com

The energy transition, or rather transformation, in China is not driven by true climate leadership — but it is still a phenomenal manifestation that renewable energy is mighty, not meek.

An academic institution solving a collection action problem and making a decisive move on a (at minimum) controversial yet visible member? In 2025??

www.aeaweb.org/news/aea-sta...
Statement from the American Economic Association
www.aeaweb.org

Yeah, and no one likes stagflation either. If only the country could have avoided it by not isolating itself from the rest of the trading world

Oh yes, that too.

But i also think we have 20th century incrementalist institutions working in an unforgiving 21st century media environment.

People certainly hate inflation and certainly vote retrospectively based on purchasing power and how they experience cost of life.

_But_ this is different from *information*, tales and narratives about the economy.

Media-constructed perceptions of how the world is doing, *that* is potent stuff.
A thought. In 2022-24 incumbents did terribly everywhere and the most common explanation was voters hating inflation.
Today inflation is much lower. And Merz, Starmer & Trump are all deeply unpopular.
He's done it! Merz is now less popular than Olaf Scholz at his lowest low.

Nobody could have predicted this, of course. www.n-tv.de/politik/Kanz...

Reposted by Federica Genovese

Putin’s envoy showing Witkoff and Kushner Moscow real estate opportunities
Pinched this video from @cjsnowdon.bsky.social on Twitter because Bluesky has to see it.

Nothing can prepare you for the punchline here.

Congrats Max!
A thought. In 2022-24 incumbents did terribly everywhere and the most common explanation was voters hating inflation.
Today inflation is much lower. And Merz, Starmer & Trump are all deeply unpopular.

While in Germany 2 weeks ago, a friend that works as English-language teacher said that after trying for 9 years to make one-week visits to the UK work, her school will stop this year due to the visas. Everybody is sad.

Bringing back Erasmus and any youth mobility program is just a win-win for all.
UK aims to secure agreement to rejoin Erasmus student exchange scheme
Britain quit EU programme after Brexit, when Boris Johnson claimed it did not offer good value for money
www.theguardian.com

Reposted by Federica Genovese

Such a silly question. In fact, for all its failings, for all the drop off in enforcement activity, I think the SM has proven remarkably resilient. Not least if you think about the barriers on trade member states rushed to impose in the 1970s.
‘The whodunnit for modern Brussels: who killed the single market dream?’
on.ft.com/3M7d0oo
Who killed Europe’s single market dream?
A decades-long effort to tear down internal trade barriers has stalled, leaving the EU economy ‘tagging along behind’
on.ft.com

Just a reminder that these U-turns and "mea culpas" are not new in the history of the EU-skeptics side of UK politics.
Arguably some of the Trump regime's closest allies right now are hydrocarbon-rich Gulf state autocrats willing to bribe him. This shit ain't about the Battle of Kosovo 700 years ago, ok?

Reposted by Federica Genovese

+ don't forget how much the super rich and their political allies (and the media parroting this prediction) spent on making the defeat as stark as it was.

Reposted by Jussi T. Eronen

not to forget that revenue from this tax would have been earmarked for climate-related spending.

young socialists proposing to finance climate policy through redistribution from super wealthy? in Switzerland?! 🙅🙅🙅
On wealth taxes and whether the Budget was a missed opportunity, the recent referendum failure in Switzerland on a tax that only the very wealthy would pay shows that what might seem on the face of it very popular turns out not always to be so.

www.ft.com/content/f03f...
Swiss voters reject 50% inheritance tax for the super-rich
Overwhelming majority opposed wealth tax in contentious referendum
www.ft.com
On wealth taxes and whether the Budget was a missed opportunity, the recent referendum failure in Switzerland on a tax that only the very wealthy would pay shows that what might seem on the face of it very popular turns out not always to be so.

www.ft.com/content/f03f...
Swiss voters reject 50% inheritance tax for the super-rich
Overwhelming majority opposed wealth tax in contentious referendum
www.ft.com

We are giving way too much online oxygen to Your Party
Lol, Zillow tried to rate the climate risks facing individual properties. The real estate industry *hated* it, precisely because it worked -- it made selling risky properties more difficult. So they rebelled & Zillow caved.

Don't look up!
Zillow Removes Climate Risk Scores From Home Listings
www.nytimes.com

esp. good for int’l news to do this as I would not expect the same type of climate attribution to emerge in local news in Sumatra (island with lots of coal) right now:

bsky.app/profile/fgen...
Many reasons to like this research, which seems to support my and co-authors prior that fossil fuel intensive regions (most of which are currently located in Global South) could be the cradle of climate politicization if it wasn’t for the v serious and targeted fossil fuel political activism there.

Aljazeera gets it:

“The flooding tolls in Indonesia and Thailand rank among the highest in those countries in recent years. Climate change has affected storm patterns, including the duration and intensity of the (monsoon) season, leading to heavier rainfall, flash flooding and stronger wind gusts“
Indonesia floods death toll rises to 442 as people hunt for food and water
At least two areas of the worst-affected Sumatra island still unreachable, as authorities struggle to deliver aid.
www.aljazeera.com

that’s a whole other level - sugar AND civic education :)

If this academic career implodes, I do great gingerbread houses

After a youth, adolescence and young adulthood politically dominated by Berlusconi, I now expect my mid-life to be utterly defined by Meloni
🇮🇹📊 Sondage @ipsosgroup.bsky.social oour le @mm-corriere-bot.bsky.social en Italie :

⚫ FDI 28%
🟣 PD 21,5%
🟣 M5S 13,5%
⚫ LEGA 9%
🔵 FI 8,5%
🟢 AVS 6,5%
🟡 Az 3%
🟡 IV 2,5%
🟡 +E 1,5%

⚫🔵 Coalition Meloni 47,5%
🟣🟢 PD+M5S+AVS 41,5%
🟣🟢🟡 Campo largo 48,5%

www.corriere.it/politica/25_...
www.corriere.it
🇮🇹📊 Sondage @ipsosgroup.bsky.social oour le @mm-corriere-bot.bsky.social en Italie :

⚫ FDI 28%
🟣 PD 21,5%
🟣 M5S 13,5%
⚫ LEGA 9%
🔵 FI 8,5%
🟢 AVS 6,5%
🟡 Az 3%
🟡 IV 2,5%
🟡 +E 1,5%

⚫🔵 Coalition Meloni 47,5%
🟣🟢 PD+M5S+AVS 41,5%
🟣🟢🟡 Campo largo 48,5%

www.corriere.it/politica/25_...
www.corriere.it