David Manning
dlmanning.bsky.social
David Manning
@dlmanning.bsky.social
No one of consequence
Yeah I mean that’s absolutely true.
November 16, 2025 at 12:37 PM
The most baffling thing to me about the rush to embrace “AI” is how corporate IT departments have seemingly jettisoned four decades of cultivated paranoia in the span of a couple years.
November 16, 2025 at 12:16 PM
*yawn*
November 12, 2025 at 7:50 PM
Yep. Since they have no actual path to profitability, the game is to compete with one another over-leveraging themselves to see who can win a government bailout by becoming a threat to the national (and global) economy.

Evolution of “get acquired by Google” as a business plan.
November 11, 2025 at 5:25 PM
This confirms my anecdotal observations that every thing became stupid in 2016.
November 11, 2025 at 3:09 PM
My instinct is that it’s because “reasoning” models are actually fine-tuned toward specific outputs that indicate “reasoning.” (E.g. “Oh! Now I see”)

This has the effect of helping “walk-through” some multi-step solutions at the expense of one-shot correctness.

I know I saw a paper about this…
November 10, 2025 at 4:30 PM
I think there’s actually a known trade-off there between models optimized for “agentive” flows and those optimized for one-shot correctness.
November 10, 2025 at 4:23 PM
Still?
November 10, 2025 at 4:56 AM
That’s the body heat from all the other stranded people.
November 10, 2025 at 2:56 AM
Can you get that done in time to throw the GOP out of the house a year from now?
November 10, 2025 at 2:08 AM
I hear you, I’m just not sure it’s an unalloyed good.
November 9, 2025 at 8:05 PM
So aside from current capabilities, my original point is that if there comes a day on which one of these things can crank out a bespoke OS for your grandma, the entire notion of an “OS” has probably stopped being relevant.
November 9, 2025 at 8:03 PM
I guess I’m not sure how else to interpret “bespoke desktop and mobile environments?”

I use Claude enough to hit the weekly usage limits on the max plan.

I think you’re underestimating how much current agents depend on either infra or the skill of their uses to fill the gaps
November 9, 2025 at 7:56 PM
I’m not sure what sort of skill this hypothetical AI that can make you an OS based on your favorite color etc needs you to have.

Yeah sure a current “agent” can orchestrate those steps, but you’re not using it to do that unless you already know how to do it manually.
November 9, 2025 at 7:48 PM
Because even though you can probably generate the app most people don’t have the skill to deploy in a useful place, maintain it or even clarify what they want. They’d prefer the packaged version. Curren AI can’t do all that for even a simple app.
November 9, 2025 at 7:42 PM
Like at that point we’ll all just be burping requests to the omnibox.
November 9, 2025 at 7:37 PM
This doesn’t make sense to me tbh. If you have AI that can “grow bespoke applications and operating systems” based on a few questions to a non-expert, you probably do not need those applications or operating systems in the first place.
November 9, 2025 at 7:36 PM
I’m a software engineer. If they start putting “AI” systems in charge of air traffic control, do not get on a plane.
November 9, 2025 at 3:42 PM
This is great. I swear I’ve tried to explain this exact point to people in a less well-developed way.

This is an actually interesting avenue we might be pursuing with language models if we weren’t setting our heads on fire trying to replace human labor.
November 9, 2025 at 2:47 PM
I’ll go the barricades over this one.
November 9, 2025 at 12:30 AM
New Subway spokesperson just became available.
November 6, 2025 at 9:39 PM