David Manning
dlmanning.bsky.social
David Manning
@dlmanning.bsky.social
No one of consequence
We’re all so screwed.
October 20, 2025 at 8:29 PM
October 18, 2025 at 10:33 PM
GenAI: Expectation vs Reality
August 20, 2025 at 12:15 PM
I understand that they probably had to do something like this given the current startup climate, but it makes me sad.

I liked Warp and had recommended it to people.

But we don’t get to have nice things anymore, I guess.
June 24, 2025 at 6:08 PM
Also this guy is almost definitely full of shit and just generating hype for his company.
June 24, 2025 at 5:56 PM
This what we’re doing?
June 17, 2025 at 7:56 PM
Days since I’ve brought up The School of Athens during a daily standup: 0
May 23, 2025 at 12:32 PM
May 9, 2025 at 4:10 AM
April 3, 2025 at 4:24 AM
Best reply
March 17, 2025 at 10:51 PM
March 12, 2025 at 12:58 AM
Hint: Egypt doesn’t care about the Palestinians. They just don’t want to deal with the refugees.
February 8, 2025 at 12:11 AM
You mean how much you can improve on a single targeted benchmark when you have all the money and compute time in the world to throw at it?
December 20, 2024 at 9:30 PM
Yep. We don’t even see consistent improvement across benchmarks in the same domain. For example, 22% improvement on SWE Bench Verified (a benchmark OpenAI themselves defined in August) doesn’t show up on Livebench results:
December 20, 2024 at 9:20 PM
Remember when o1 came out with slides showing amazing gains on specific benchmarks and how that didn’t exactly hold up?

Even in their own slides we don’t see the “amazing” improvement on SWE Bench evident in Livebench.
December 20, 2024 at 9:17 PM
I can’t find data on all car accidents, but the rate of fatalities from motor vehicle accidents per vehicle has not increased. You have a source for that?

injuryfacts.nsc.org/motor-vehicl...
December 8, 2024 at 9:00 PM
September 16, 2024 at 1:33 PM
Also in subgroup analyses 3/4 categories in those who didn’t have PASC did not find significance.

A great deal of this is in those reporting Long COVID from infections early in the pandemic and without vaccination.
August 17, 2024 at 2:58 AM
July 30, 2024 at 1:21 AM
Well then
July 18, 2024 at 3:59 AM
The spike moderate and regional. I’m literally looking at the graph.

And kindly miss me with your misunderstood and cherry-picked articles permanent brain damage. All viral infections have risks of sequelae. With COVID the data pretty clearly shows correlation with severity and immune naivety.
June 28, 2024 at 2:31 AM
I got you
June 3, 2024 at 1:31 AM
I don’t know how many hospitals actually changed their practices, or whether that actually applies to reports of deaths, but the data isn’t inconsistent with the trend:
June 3, 2024 at 1:29 AM
So you’re gonna look at this graph and tell me there was a peak in March and another right now?
June 2, 2024 at 8:21 PM