Eric Maugendre about emissions
@data.yt
Data scientist. I calculate and discuss what sends carbon into the air.
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Eric Maugendre about emissions
@data.yt
· Nov 17
Enabling climate acceleration are economic sectors such as land use, China coal, Saudi Aramco, Coal India, Gazprom (Russia), National Iranian Oil — in that order.
Study: data.yt/projections/...
#China #coal #footprint #GHG #CO2 #carbon #economy #industry #energy #emissions #climateChange
Study: data.yt/projections/...
#China #coal #footprint #GHG #CO2 #carbon #economy #industry #energy #emissions #climateChange
Reposted by Eric Maugendre about emissions
New Nature Ecology & Evolution paper out today @natecoevo.nature.com!
We find that models deviate from observations in the weighting of important soil processes. This mismatch has important implications for developing soil carbon models and improving predictions of soil carbon fate in the future 🌍
We find that models deviate from observations in the weighting of important soil processes. This mismatch has important implications for developing soil carbon models and improving predictions of soil carbon fate in the future 🌍
Soil microbes grow, respire, die. Because their biomass eventually becomes necromass, and necromass can be stabilized in soil, growth rate emerges as a powerful predictor of soil carbon: www.nature.com/articles/s41...
Microbial growth rate is a stronger predictor of soil organic carbon than carbon use efficiency - Nature Ecology & Evolution
Microbial carbon use efficiency is a strong predictor of soil organic carbon stocks. Here the authors reveal that the microbial growth rate is a more reliable and informative predictor, and that model...
www.nature.com
February 6, 2026 at 3:23 PM
New Nature Ecology & Evolution paper out today @natecoevo.nature.com!
We find that models deviate from observations in the weighting of important soil processes. This mismatch has important implications for developing soil carbon models and improving predictions of soil carbon fate in the future 🌍
We find that models deviate from observations in the weighting of important soil processes. This mismatch has important implications for developing soil carbon models and improving predictions of soil carbon fate in the future 🌍
Reposted by Eric Maugendre about emissions
Being unemployed is associated with *much* higher risk of being a victim of homicide. Unemployed people are 16 times more likely to be victims of homicide than the population as a whole. Unemployed men aged 30–49 make up 0.9% of the population but 16% of all homicide victims.
January 27, 2026 at 3:00 PM
Being unemployed is associated with *much* higher risk of being a victim of homicide. Unemployed people are 16 times more likely to be victims of homicide than the population as a whole. Unemployed men aged 30–49 make up 0.9% of the population but 16% of all homicide victims.
Reposted by Eric Maugendre about emissions
We discuss how non-native English speakers face invisible labour, higher rejection rates, and limited access to resources and networks, reinforcing structural asymmetries. We also reflect on how open science can unintentionally reproduce inequalities.
January 29, 2026 at 11:58 AM
We discuss how non-native English speakers face invisible labour, higher rejection rates, and limited access to resources and networks, reinforcing structural asymmetries. We also reflect on how open science can unintentionally reproduce inequalities.
Reposted by Eric Maugendre about emissions
🌳 🌱 Nature doesn’t need decades to take root — sometimes just a few years and a little space.
That's what Jocelyn Timperley found when she visited some of the growing network of #WeeForests springing up across Scotland, by NatureScot and Earthwatch Europe.
www.bbc.co.uk/future/artic...
That's what Jocelyn Timperley found when she visited some of the growing network of #WeeForests springing up across Scotland, by NatureScot and Earthwatch Europe.
www.bbc.co.uk/future/artic...
How Japanese 'tiny forests' are sweeping Scotland
Grown using the Miyawaki method, fast-growing miniature forests in the middle of cities can bring surprisingly big benefits for people and the environment.
www.bbc.co.uk
September 17, 2025 at 8:00 AM
🌳 🌱 Nature doesn’t need decades to take root — sometimes just a few years and a little space.
That's what Jocelyn Timperley found when she visited some of the growing network of #WeeForests springing up across Scotland, by NatureScot and Earthwatch Europe.
www.bbc.co.uk/future/artic...
That's what Jocelyn Timperley found when she visited some of the growing network of #WeeForests springing up across Scotland, by NatureScot and Earthwatch Europe.
www.bbc.co.uk/future/artic...
Reposted by Eric Maugendre about emissions
And this graphic published recently by @zacklabe.com shows how extremely overheated the Arctic is at all levels of the atmosphere. Especially high up where the polar vortex and jet stream operate.
Vertical cross-section of temperature trends in the lower atmosphere during the month of January.
The bottom of the y-axis is the lower troposphere, and the upper portion is reaching into the stratosphere. The x-axis is latitude. Data is provided by @copernicusecmwf.bsky.social ERA5 reanalysis.
The bottom of the y-axis is the lower troposphere, and the upper portion is reaching into the stratosphere. The x-axis is latitude. Data is provided by @copernicusecmwf.bsky.social ERA5 reanalysis.
January 31, 2026 at 2:43 PM
And this graphic published recently by @zacklabe.com shows how extremely overheated the Arctic is at all levels of the atmosphere. Especially high up where the polar vortex and jet stream operate.
Reposted by Eric Maugendre about emissions
A global synthesis of >600 studies finds that across agro-ecosystems, grasslands and forests in temperate and tropical zones, increasing plant diversity has a consistently positive effect on plant performance and the suppression of antagonists 🧪 www.nature.com/articles/s41...
Global evidence that plant diversity suppresses pests and promotes plant performance and crop production - Nature Ecology & Evolution
A global synthesis of >600 studies finds that across agro-ecosystems, grasslands and forests in temperate and tropical zones, increasing plant diversity has a consistently positive effect on plant ...
www.nature.com
January 29, 2026 at 9:09 AM
A global synthesis of >600 studies finds that across agro-ecosystems, grasslands and forests in temperate and tropical zones, increasing plant diversity has a consistently positive effect on plant performance and the suppression of antagonists 🧪 www.nature.com/articles/s41...
Reposted by Eric Maugendre about emissions
Changing which crops you plant only works if you have some idea what the climate will give you this year.
Rainfall isn't just changing, it's becoming much more erratic.
Rainfall isn't just changing, it's becoming much more erratic.
Successive storms have submerged farms across the UK. This is going to increase so we must adapt. But adaptation without phase out of fossil fuels risks being pointless.
www.jamesgdyke.info/bbc-radio-4-...
www.jamesgdyke.info/bbc-radio-4-...
BBC Radio 4 discussion on UK farming resilience - James Dyke
Large swathes of UK farmland is underwater - again. Rural flooding is increasing as a result of more periods of intense rainfall. In this section I explained how warming leads to more climate change i...
www.jamesgdyke.info
January 30, 2026 at 3:16 PM
Changing which crops you plant only works if you have some idea what the climate will give you this year.
Rainfall isn't just changing, it's becoming much more erratic.
Rainfall isn't just changing, it's becoming much more erratic.
Reposted by Eric Maugendre about emissions
New preprint in Earth System Dynamics: When will the northern high latitudes become a net carbon source?
We evaluate using policy relevant SSP scenarios including overshoot, explicitly representing permafrost🌳❄️🔥🏔️
➡️ doi.org/10.5194/egus...
@njsteinert.bsky.social @mathisoncamilla.bsky.social
We evaluate using policy relevant SSP scenarios including overshoot, explicitly representing permafrost🌳❄️🔥🏔️
➡️ doi.org/10.5194/egus...
@njsteinert.bsky.social @mathisoncamilla.bsky.social
Northern high latitudes could become a net carbon source below 2 °C global warming
Abstract. Under historical warming, terrestrial ecosystems within the northern high latitudes have been a net carbon sink, providing vital mitigation against anthropogenic emissions of CO2. However, t...
doi.org
January 23, 2026 at 10:55 AM
New preprint in Earth System Dynamics: When will the northern high latitudes become a net carbon source?
We evaluate using policy relevant SSP scenarios including overshoot, explicitly representing permafrost🌳❄️🔥🏔️
➡️ doi.org/10.5194/egus...
@njsteinert.bsky.social @mathisoncamilla.bsky.social
We evaluate using policy relevant SSP scenarios including overshoot, explicitly representing permafrost🌳❄️🔥🏔️
➡️ doi.org/10.5194/egus...
@njsteinert.bsky.social @mathisoncamilla.bsky.social
Reposted by Eric Maugendre about emissions
Since added flame retardants, e.g., in insulation materials, can account for more than 10% of CO2 equivalents, it is worth considering ways to avoid or replace them in construction.
The current practice of using as many plastics as possible, both in homes and as homes, cannot be sustainable 1/3
The current practice of using as many plastics as possible, both in homes and as homes, cannot be sustainable 1/3
It raises that less flammable materials, such as wool or hempcrete, are available. These wouldn't need to be so heavily treated with chemical flame retardants as research indicates they have a natural resistance to fire.
www.fidra.org.uk/news/use-of-...
3/8
www.fidra.org.uk/news/use-of-...
3/8
Use of flame retardants and the dangers of increased fire smoke toxicity to UK firefighters’ health - Fidra
‘The use of certain chemical flame retardants in UK consumer products, including furniture, mattresses, textiles, electronics and building construction materials, increases fire smoke toxicity, posing...
www.fidra.org.uk
December 29, 2025 at 3:11 PM
Since added flame retardants, e.g., in insulation materials, can account for more than 10% of CO2 equivalents, it is worth considering ways to avoid or replace them in construction.
The current practice of using as many plastics as possible, both in homes and as homes, cannot be sustainable 1/3
The current practice of using as many plastics as possible, both in homes and as homes, cannot be sustainable 1/3
Reposted by Eric Maugendre about emissions
First time I've come across a dataset that is down for Christmas... ☃️
December 19, 2025 at 2:01 PM
First time I've come across a dataset that is down for Christmas... ☃️
Reposted by Eric Maugendre about emissions
The Net Zero Commission’s report on coal mining in NSW is out - and it’s very clear. There’s no more room for coal in NSW.
www.smh.com.au/environment/...
www.smh.com.au/environment/...
NSW should end coal expansions to meet net zero targets
A state government agency has declared that NSW cannot meet its climate targets if it keeps approving new coal mine extensions.
www.smh.com.au
December 11, 2025 at 9:25 PM
The Net Zero Commission’s report on coal mining in NSW is out - and it’s very clear. There’s no more room for coal in NSW.
www.smh.com.au/environment/...
www.smh.com.au/environment/...
Extractive Capitalism, @lalehkhalili.bsky.social argues, is the system by which commodities (oil, ore, bauxite, coal, sand) are excavated, transported, processed and sold at markups that funnel profits to a narrow investor class while externalising costs on to workers, communities & the environment.
Laleh Khalili’s Extractive Capitalism: A beautiful map of the entangled global economy
The University of Exeter academic's book exposes how essential commodities, data and labour exploitation fuel wealth that is increasingly concentrated in the hands of an elite
www.middleeasteye.net
December 12, 2025 at 9:38 PM
Extractive Capitalism, @lalehkhalili.bsky.social argues, is the system by which commodities (oil, ore, bauxite, coal, sand) are excavated, transported, processed and sold at markups that funnel profits to a narrow investor class while externalising costs on to workers, communities & the environment.
Reposted by Eric Maugendre about emissions
AI does not reason. It applies probabilities.
It’s like eating an apple and assuming that everything will be as tasty: http://data.yt/kit/how-ai-is-made.html
It’s like eating an apple and assuming that everything will be as tasty: http://data.yt/kit/how-ai-is-made.html
November 17, 2025 at 10:32 AM
AI does not reason. It applies probabilities.
It’s like eating an apple and assuming that everything will be as tasty: http://data.yt/kit/how-ai-is-made.html
It’s like eating an apple and assuming that everything will be as tasty: http://data.yt/kit/how-ai-is-made.html
Reposted by Eric Maugendre about emissions
The biggest misunderstanding of Carbon Dioxide Removal (CDR), IMHO, is that many assume it is a replacement for emissions reductions. As in, more CDR, less emission reductions. No. Emissions need to go down as fast as possible, even faster, no matter how much (~feasible) CDR you have.
2/
2/
November 25, 2025 at 9:10 PM
The biggest misunderstanding of Carbon Dioxide Removal (CDR), IMHO, is that many assume it is a replacement for emissions reductions. As in, more CDR, less emission reductions. No. Emissions need to go down as fast as possible, even faster, no matter how much (~feasible) CDR you have.
2/
2/
Reposted by Eric Maugendre about emissions
Look around you. Do you see policies being implemented at scale? Do you see the end of investment into new fossil energy? Do you see phasing out of existing fossil infrastructure? Do you see massive renewables deployment and the lowering of demand for energy and materials?
You do not.
3/n
You do not.
3/n
December 12, 2025 at 12:54 PM
Look around you. Do you see policies being implemented at scale? Do you see the end of investment into new fossil energy? Do you see phasing out of existing fossil infrastructure? Do you see massive renewables deployment and the lowering of demand for energy and materials?
You do not.
3/n
You do not.
3/n
Reposted by Eric Maugendre about emissions
The accumulated waste of generations of mass consumption is decaying in landfill, + the chemicals those goods were drenched in - lead, mercury, cadmium, PFAS, PCBs - are seeping slowly back out into water, soil + air.
Our report with @investigate-europe.eu:
euobserver.com/eu-political...
Our report with @investigate-europe.eu:
euobserver.com/eu-political...
Europe’s landfill crisis exposed: new map reveals toxic cocktail of environmental risks
Thousands of landfills across Europe lie in flood-risk zones, areas which could endanger drinking water or sensitive conservation sites, Investigate Europe and Watershed Investigations can reveal in t...
euobserver.com
December 4, 2025 at 5:21 PM
The accumulated waste of generations of mass consumption is decaying in landfill, + the chemicals those goods were drenched in - lead, mercury, cadmium, PFAS, PCBs - are seeping slowly back out into water, soil + air.
Our report with @investigate-europe.eu:
euobserver.com/eu-political...
Our report with @investigate-europe.eu:
euobserver.com/eu-political...
Reposted by Eric Maugendre about emissions
At #COP30, the failed economic orthodoxies embedded in the financial architecture got little attention.
Embracing the role of the state and industrial policy are 🗝️ to scaling up climate action, as explained in this @the-breakdown.bsky.social piece:
www.break-down.org/real-constra...
Embracing the role of the state and industrial policy are 🗝️ to scaling up climate action, as explained in this @the-breakdown.bsky.social piece:
www.break-down.org/real-constra...
Real Constraints
Finance for climate action is limited by orthodoxy, not reality
www.break-down.org
December 2, 2025 at 10:14 PM
At #COP30, the failed economic orthodoxies embedded in the financial architecture got little attention.
Embracing the role of the state and industrial policy are 🗝️ to scaling up climate action, as explained in this @the-breakdown.bsky.social piece:
www.break-down.org/real-constra...
Embracing the role of the state and industrial policy are 🗝️ to scaling up climate action, as explained in this @the-breakdown.bsky.social piece:
www.break-down.org/real-constra...
Reposted by Eric Maugendre about emissions
From the regulator's report: Why add more coal-fired capacity when the existing capacity is under-utilised?
December 3, 2025 at 2:33 PM
From the regulator's report: Why add more coal-fired capacity when the existing capacity is under-utilised?
Reposted by Eric Maugendre about emissions
"While many developed countries, China and India have obtained net forest gains domestically, they have also increased the deforestation embodied in their imports […]. Consumption patterns of G7 countries drive an average loss of 3.9 trees per person per year".
via @esavakkilainen.bsky.social
via @esavakkilainen.bsky.social
Mapping the deforestation footprint of nations reveals growing threat to tropical forests
Nature Ecology & Evolution - The authors use economic input–output modelling to reveal how consumption patterns contribute to deforestation domestically and internationally across nations.
www.nature.com
November 18, 2025 at 11:18 AM
"While many developed countries, China and India have obtained net forest gains domestically, they have also increased the deforestation embodied in their imports […]. Consumption patterns of G7 countries drive an average loss of 3.9 trees per person per year".
via @esavakkilainen.bsky.social
via @esavakkilainen.bsky.social
Reposted by Eric Maugendre about emissions
I should write the argument up properly somewhere, but I think this is fundamentally wrong. A decisive fraction of the capitalist class does oppose addressing the climate crisis, but *not* because it would be bad for profits. If anything, a green New Deal type program would raise aggregate profits.
Yes, this is correct. And the reason is because our capitalist classes have decided that it is not sufficiently profitable, so they're not going to do it.
We must understand this reality. Capital *cannot* be relied upon to address the climate crisis.
We must understand this reality. Capital *cannot* be relied upon to address the climate crisis.
November 10, 2025 at 4:18 PM
I should write the argument up properly somewhere, but I think this is fundamentally wrong. A decisive fraction of the capitalist class does oppose addressing the climate crisis, but *not* because it would be bad for profits. If anything, a green New Deal type program would raise aggregate profits.
Reposted by Eric Maugendre about emissions
Filming at an abandoned uranium mine in Arizona. The mining waste is uncontained, open to the winds. Professor Kearfott, University of Michigan, telks me the Geiger counter readings I took here are similar to those remaining around Chernobyl.
vimeo.com/ondemand/thi...
vimeo.com/ondemand/thi...
November 17, 2025 at 7:05 PM
Filming at an abandoned uranium mine in Arizona. The mining waste is uncontained, open to the winds. Professor Kearfott, University of Michigan, telks me the Geiger counter readings I took here are similar to those remaining around Chernobyl.
vimeo.com/ondemand/thi...
vimeo.com/ondemand/thi...
Reposted by Eric Maugendre about emissions
I’m really surprised this isn’t bigger news. Just under 10 million people live in Tehran. Where can they go? Where else in Iran will have enough water? This will undoubtedly strain the country’s and the region’s politics, finances and governance capacity.
'Iran’s capital must be moved because the country “no longer has a choice,” President Masoud Pezeshkian said on Thursday in remarks carried by state media, warning that severe ecological strain has made Tehran impossible to sustain'
#Iran 🇮🇷
#Iran 🇮🇷
Iran president says capital move now a necessity as water crisis deepens
Iran’s capital must be moved because the country “no longer has a choice,” President Masoud Pezeshkian said on Thursday in remarks carried by state media, warning that severe ecological strain has mad...
www.iranintl.com
November 21, 2025 at 8:13 PM
I’m really surprised this isn’t bigger news. Just under 10 million people live in Tehran. Where can they go? Where else in Iran will have enough water? This will undoubtedly strain the country’s and the region’s politics, finances and governance capacity.
Reposted by Eric Maugendre about emissions
[9/10] Fabienne Barataud insiste sur la valeur des expérimentations locales, même limitées. Elles n’inversent pas seules le système global, mais elles nourrissent des imaginaires collectifs indispensables à une transformation écologique. #geography #prospective #food #agriculture
April 5, 2025 at 5:14 AM
[9/10] Fabienne Barataud insiste sur la valeur des expérimentations locales, même limitées. Elles n’inversent pas seules le système global, mais elles nourrissent des imaginaires collectifs indispensables à une transformation écologique. #geography #prospective #food #agriculture
Reposted by Eric Maugendre about emissions
📢 New paper on the impacts of AMOC collapse on European hydroclimate. 🌊
We find an AMOC collapse would exacerbate drought conditions across Europe, linked to reduced precipitation. In combination with climate change droughts are expected to become more frequent and severe.
doi.org/10.5194/hess...
We find an AMOC collapse would exacerbate drought conditions across Europe, linked to reduced precipitation. In combination with climate change droughts are expected to become more frequent and severe.
doi.org/10.5194/hess...
Changing European hydroclimate under a collapsed AMOC in the Community Earth System Model
Abstract. The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) is expected to weaken or even collapse under anthropogenic climate change. Given the importance of the AMOC in the present-day climate,...
doi.org
November 21, 2025 at 2:41 PM
📢 New paper on the impacts of AMOC collapse on European hydroclimate. 🌊
We find an AMOC collapse would exacerbate drought conditions across Europe, linked to reduced precipitation. In combination with climate change droughts are expected to become more frequent and severe.
doi.org/10.5194/hess...
We find an AMOC collapse would exacerbate drought conditions across Europe, linked to reduced precipitation. In combination with climate change droughts are expected to become more frequent and severe.
doi.org/10.5194/hess...
"The amount of heat transported to the north Atlantic is huge. […] It’s enough to warm the entire region by 4.5°C on average which means that I’m cutting the grass in November rather than shovelling snow."
drtomharris.substack.com/p/amoc-weake... by @drtomharris.bsky.social
#AMOC #climateChange
drtomharris.substack.com/p/amoc-weake... by @drtomharris.bsky.social
#AMOC #climateChange
November 22, 2025 at 9:35 PM
"The amount of heat transported to the north Atlantic is huge. […] It’s enough to warm the entire region by 4.5°C on average which means that I’m cutting the grass in November rather than shovelling snow."
drtomharris.substack.com/p/amoc-weake... by @drtomharris.bsky.social
#AMOC #climateChange
drtomharris.substack.com/p/amoc-weake... by @drtomharris.bsky.social
#AMOC #climateChange