Dan Cassino
@dancassino.bsky.social
Political scientist at FDU, Executive Director of the FDU Poll, studying masculinities and research methods.
I still think Gill has the inside track in NJ11, but if Mejia can clear a progressive lane, she’ll has a shot.
Heck, there’s enough candidates that the winner is going to need, what, 25% to win?
Heck, there’s enough candidates that the winner is going to need, what, 25% to win?
Proud to announce that @sanders.senate.gov is endorsing our campaign for Congress!
I worked with Bernie in 2020 for the same reasons I'm running now: to un-rig the economy and make it work for working people, not billionaires and corporations.
A better world is possible. Let's win this.
I worked with Bernie in 2020 for the same reasons I'm running now: to un-rig the economy and make it work for working people, not billionaires and corporations.
A better world is possible. Let's win this.
November 25, 2025 at 9:13 PM
I still think Gill has the inside track in NJ11, but if Mejia can clear a progressive lane, she’ll has a shot.
Heck, there’s enough candidates that the winner is going to need, what, 25% to win?
Heck, there’s enough candidates that the winner is going to need, what, 25% to win?
Saw people posting about Rothrock news, and got real excited (it’s a soccer player, apparently).
a man in a blue jacket is holding a large wooden stick
ALT: a man in a blue jacket is holding a large wooden stick
media.tenor.com
November 25, 2025 at 8:26 PM
Saw people posting about Rothrock news, and got real excited (it’s a soccer player, apparently).
Reposted by Dan Cassino
It has been expected that Analilia Mejia would be running in the increasingly crowded Democratic field to replace Gov-Elect Sherrill in NJ-11. Mejia, like several of the Dems running, is a highly qualified candidate, the kind Democrats are generally trying to recruit.
I’m running for Congress in NJ-11 to save our democracy, because ‘blue no matter who’ just won’t cut it.
We need real, unbought leadership to fight the oligarchy, stand up to Trump, and make our economy work for working people. 1/
We need real, unbought leadership to fight the oligarchy, stand up to Trump, and make our economy work for working people. 1/
November 25, 2025 at 2:28 PM
It has been expected that Analilia Mejia would be running in the increasingly crowded Democratic field to replace Gov-Elect Sherrill in NJ-11. Mejia, like several of the Dems running, is a highly qualified candidate, the kind Democrats are generally trying to recruit.
Yep. If only wealthy schools teach humanities, they quickly become desirable class markers.
My hot take is that over the next 10 years, we're going to see more emphasis on and investment in the humanities at Ivy League and other fancy schools just as state schools and small privates continue to decimate and even eliminate the humanities.
"While other universities report that the humanities are shrinking, at Berkeley, the opposite is true. The music major is the fastest-growing major on campus. We are finding bigger classrooms because film is exploding. English is back to the numbers we saw 15 years ago. We are hiring" bit.ly/4ohKuOe
November 24, 2025 at 1:19 AM
Yep. If only wealthy schools teach humanities, they quickly become desirable class markers.
William Carlos Williams is writing about Paterson, and has no time for anywhere else.
November 24, 2025 at 1:01 AM
William Carlos Williams is writing about Paterson, and has no time for anywhere else.
A movie that takes pace where you’re from.
November 23, 2025 at 6:23 PM
A movie that takes pace where you’re from.
Reposted by Dan Cassino
New episode of @crosstabspodcast.com just dropped featuring @kwcollins.bsky.social discussing his work at Survey 160 looking at the limits of AI in survey research + a brief discussion about popularism and its (also limited) uses. It's available already on Spotify: open.spotify.com/episode/1SW1...
Intelligence Is Not Wisdom, with Kevin Collins
open.spotify.com
November 22, 2025 at 5:05 PM
New episode of @crosstabspodcast.com just dropped featuring @kwcollins.bsky.social discussing his work at Survey 160 looking at the limits of AI in survey research + a brief discussion about popularism and its (also limited) uses. It's available already on Spotify: open.spotify.com/episode/1SW1...
The Montclair School funding referendum has attracted its first lawsuit even before the vote, with the plaintiffs arguing (correctly, I think) that the clear language of the questions is asking voters to have a referendum, rather than approving money.
November 22, 2025 at 1:00 PM
The Montclair School funding referendum has attracted its first lawsuit even before the vote, with the plaintiffs arguing (correctly, I think) that the clear language of the questions is asking voters to have a referendum, rather than approving money.
Reposted by Dan Cassino
Just saw someone described as an "ontologist" and now I want Clinical Ontologist to be a job title.
Welcome to the Department of Clinical Ontology. Let's go over your chart. I see that you are. Are you still as you were or are you otherwise? For your case of being, I prescribe becoming.
Welcome to the Department of Clinical Ontology. Let's go over your chart. I see that you are. Are you still as you were or are you otherwise? For your case of being, I prescribe becoming.
November 21, 2025 at 5:25 PM
Just saw someone described as an "ontologist" and now I want Clinical Ontologist to be a job title.
Welcome to the Department of Clinical Ontology. Let's go over your chart. I see that you are. Are you still as you were or are you otherwise? For your case of being, I prescribe becoming.
Welcome to the Department of Clinical Ontology. Let's go over your chart. I see that you are. Are you still as you were or are you otherwise? For your case of being, I prescribe becoming.
@benjaminpercy.bsky.social Just finished the first issue of “The End Times,” and I haven’t had this much fun with a story in years. The little hints of what’s happened, mixed in with the quotidian makes for a heady brew.
You sure we have to wait a month for the next one?
You sure we have to wait a month for the next one?
November 22, 2025 at 3:05 AM
@benjaminpercy.bsky.social Just finished the first issue of “The End Times,” and I haven’t had this much fun with a story in years. The little hints of what’s happened, mixed in with the quotidian makes for a heady brew.
You sure we have to wait a month for the next one?
You sure we have to wait a month for the next one?
Survey numbers have turned strongly against Trump, but a lot of that is selective non-response among Republicans, rather than attitude change. Pro-Trump Republicans just don’t want to pick up the phone and talk about Epstein right now.
November 21, 2025 at 5:04 PM
Survey numbers have turned strongly against Trump, but a lot of that is selective non-response among Republicans, rather than attitude change. Pro-Trump Republicans just don’t want to pick up the phone and talk about Epstein right now.
Reposted by Dan Cassino
I have eaten
The Uncrustables
That we bought for my toddler
They were so expensive
And he inexplicably
Stopped liking them
The Uncrustables
That we bought for my toddler
They were so expensive
And he inexplicably
Stopped liking them
November 20, 2025 at 9:40 PM
I have eaten
The Uncrustables
That we bought for my toddler
They were so expensive
And he inexplicably
Stopped liking them
The Uncrustables
That we bought for my toddler
They were so expensive
And he inexplicably
Stopped liking them
Reposted by Dan Cassino
And now the NYT is joining in on coverage of Montclair State’s reorg proposal (gift link).
Does negative media coverage matter to administrators? The board of trustees? Who knows.
But it definitely matters to the parents of prospective students.
www.nytimes.com/2025/11/19/n...
Does negative media coverage matter to administrators? The board of trustees? Who knows.
But it definitely matters to the parents of prospective students.
www.nytimes.com/2025/11/19/n...
November 20, 2025 at 2:52 AM
And now the NYT is joining in on coverage of Montclair State’s reorg proposal (gift link).
Does negative media coverage matter to administrators? The board of trustees? Who knows.
But it definitely matters to the parents of prospective students.
www.nytimes.com/2025/11/19/n...
Does negative media coverage matter to administrators? The board of trustees? Who knows.
But it definitely matters to the parents of prospective students.
www.nytimes.com/2025/11/19/n...
My book on crypto doesn't come out until February, so I need the market to hold off on collapsing until then, thanks.
NEW: Cryptocurrencies have lost >$1 TRILLION in market value since Oct. 6.
www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
Crypto World Wipes Out $1 Trillion as Bitcoin Plunges Anew
The great crypto crash of 2025 entered a new phase on Wednesday, as Bitcoin plunged to its lowest level in seven months, extending the more than $1 trillion wipeout across the digital‑asset world.
www.bloomberg.com
November 19, 2025 at 11:20 PM
My book on crypto doesn't come out until February, so I need the market to hold off on collapsing until then, thanks.
I know this looks like a wave electon coming for Democrats.
But it's actually worse for Republicans than that. In a wave election, candidate selection effects mean that the opposition party significantly *outperforms* the generic ballot.
But it's actually worse for Republicans than that. In a wave election, candidate selection effects mean that the opposition party significantly *outperforms* the generic ballot.
November 19, 2025 at 1:41 PM
I know this looks like a wave electon coming for Democrats.
But it's actually worse for Republicans than that. In a wave election, candidate selection effects mean that the opposition party significantly *outperforms* the generic ballot.
But it's actually worse for Republicans than that. In a wave election, candidate selection effects mean that the opposition party significantly *outperforms* the generic ballot.
Reposted by Dan Cassino
Oh my Gd you could write a whole nother thesis just on gender and this book cover
November 19, 2025 at 12:15 AM
Oh my Gd you could write a whole nother thesis just on gender and this book cover
Reposted by Dan Cassino
Happy "Yes, There's Another Election in New Jersey" Season to all who celebrate...
newjerseyglobe.com/congress/she...
newjerseyglobe.com/congress/she...
Sherrill will resign from House on Thursday, November 20 - New Jersey Globe
Gov.-elect Mikie Sherrill will resign from the U.S. House of Representatives at 11:59 p.m. this Thursday, November 20, she announced today in her letter
newjerseyglobe.com
November 18, 2025 at 9:50 PM
Happy "Yes, There's Another Election in New Jersey" Season to all who celebrate...
newjerseyglobe.com/congress/she...
newjerseyglobe.com/congress/she...
Reposted by Dan Cassino
Lots of talk about the shift back among Gen Z men and Latino voters toward Democrats in this month's off-year elections. But the bigger story is Gen Z women: 8 in 10 broke for Dems. In a word, MAGA holds no appeal. See my latest using @prri.org data:
prri.substack.com/p/maga-and-g...
prri.substack.com/p/maga-and-g...
MAGA and Gen Z Women: Far From a Marriage Made in Heaven
Democrats enjoyed a resounding victory this month, sweeping the major electoral prizes, including the governorships of Virginia and New Jersey, by large margins.
prri.substack.com
November 18, 2025 at 8:05 PM
Lots of talk about the shift back among Gen Z men and Latino voters toward Democrats in this month's off-year elections. But the bigger story is Gen Z women: 8 in 10 broke for Dems. In a word, MAGA holds no appeal. See my latest using @prri.org data:
prri.substack.com/p/maga-and-g...
prri.substack.com/p/maga-and-g...
Reposted by Dan Cassino
Also yeah, survey research was already confined to a small set of people who could finance it and now that pool of folks is about to get way smaller.
Important paper. So far most of the potential solutions I've seen mentioned (in-person surveys, high-quality/validated panels, address-based sampling) cost lots of money and will thus deepen divides based on resources. Something that we'll also need to grapple with.
www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/55uok...
www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/55uok...
November 18, 2025 at 9:06 PM
Also yeah, survey research was already confined to a small set of people who could finance it and now that pool of folks is about to get way smaller.
Oh, I hope it’s an NJ-11 Special Election survey!
November 18, 2025 at 7:20 PM
Oh, I hope it’s an NJ-11 Special Election survey!
Reposted by Dan Cassino
This would herald the end of opt-in panel-based survey methods, since like Gresham's law or Akerlof's market for lemons, without being able to distinguish between real and fake respondents, fake respondents will drive the market price for real responses to zero.
We can no longer trust that survey responses are coming from real people.”
A Researcher Made an AI That Completely Breaks the Online Surveys Scientists Rely On
We can no longer trust that survey responses are coming from real people.”
www.404media.co
November 18, 2025 at 1:54 AM
This would herald the end of opt-in panel-based survey methods, since like Gresham's law or Akerlof's market for lemons, without being able to distinguish between real and fake respondents, fake respondents will drive the market price for real responses to zero.
Reposted by Dan Cassino
Gov-Elect Mikie Sherrill's victory will create a rare open seat in NJ's 11th CD--and already there's a mad scramble, with 11 Democrats (so far) already or expected to launch campaigns in a hotly-contested special election.
youtu.be/hWGk5fZoFas?...
youtu.be/hWGk5fZoFas?...
NJ Spotlight News: November 17, 2025
YouTube video by NJ Spotlight News
youtu.be
November 18, 2025 at 1:34 AM
Gov-Elect Mikie Sherrill's victory will create a rare open seat in NJ's 11th CD--and already there's a mad scramble, with 11 Democrats (so far) already or expected to launch campaigns in a hotly-contested special election.
youtu.be/hWGk5fZoFas?...
youtu.be/hWGk5fZoFas?...
Not the sort of attention Montclair State wants to be getting.
"[admin]...who regard the...students of their own universities with such contempt as to be undeserving of the education that in many cases those administrators themselves, or their parents, or their children received...are an enemy of the educational enterprise"
🎁 link
www.wsj.com/opinion/mont...
🎁 link
www.wsj.com/opinion/mont...
Opinion | Montclair State’s Inhumanity to the Humanities
Goodbye, English department. Hello, Institute for Complex Systems and Algorithmic Infused Societies.
www.wsj.com
November 18, 2025 at 12:00 AM
Not the sort of attention Montclair State wants to be getting.