Brian Sapient
briansapient.bsky.social
Brian Sapient
@briansapient.bsky.social
On a journey to live the most fact-based life I can possibly live. Atheist, humanist, tree-hugger, educator, golfer, and science advocate. Philly sports lover. Kinda into stocks.

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Reposted by Brian Sapient
NYTimes projecting a net shift of 14 points from 2024 with these variations between the counties

Turnout in 2022 here was ~180k, tonight is going to come in at most marginally under (currently ~168k with a little left to count)

that's a hell of an electorate to swing this much
December 3, 2025 at 2:48 AM
That was the one person I blocked today
December 3, 2025 at 2:10 AM
Making you laugh is like my favorite thing that I've ever done on social media.
December 2, 2025 at 11:25 PM
You mean OMB DDirector?
December 2, 2025 at 11:00 PM
Down goes the dollar and tlt.
December 2, 2025 at 8:44 PM
a cartoon drawing of a man with braces
ALT: a cartoon drawing of a man with braces
media.tenor.com
December 2, 2025 at 8:43 PM
Dumb And Dumber Comedy GIF
ALT: Dumb And Dumber Comedy GIF
media.tenor.com
December 2, 2025 at 8:33 PM
Here I am seeing dollar bottoming signals in mid July (that ended up being right). I'm seeing the opposite today.

bsky.app/profile/bria...
There were also bearish candles that didn't fit the bill of bearish engulfing. Some opened low and kept falling. FXE, FXB, and FXF fall into that category. Finally the dollar bounced! I have it peeking its head above an important level with a bullish RSI divergence and a macd cross.
December 2, 2025 at 8:12 PM
"Ahh Brian sounds like a dollar bear."

Below I noted the base in the dollar & positioned for dollar up in Sep after being bearish all yr. I'm looking at signals to fully unwind that view. Pondering possibility the dollar has another leg higher though!

bsky.app/profile/bria...
Are bearish engulfing candles forming on #gold, #silver, and #copper while the dollar moves higher and surprises nearly everyone with a move higher in the dollar?

Note bullish RSI divergence as the dollar formed a base with a positive MACD at the moment. #econsky @seanbrodrick.bsky.social
December 2, 2025 at 8:10 PM
I'm not commenting on reserve currencies, but I'll note that the Euro is destroying the dollar this year. I bought multiple tranches, sold it all 107.50-110, and after a bearish RSI divergence on the dollar, I'm considering re-entering FXE. Just sold 90% of my international hedged, to buy unhedged.
December 2, 2025 at 8:06 PM
Even the signs have Trump's lisp.
December 2, 2025 at 5:56 PM
When you say flips both do you mean the Senate and the house?

Because to flip the Senate I think we'd need to win Texas and Iowa.
December 2, 2025 at 3:58 AM
AI could solve the debt crisis if Republicans actually listened to it instead of trying to retrain it to be Hitler.
December 2, 2025 at 3:14 AM
It's a dip that I bought.
December 2, 2025 at 12:37 AM
Because...
December 1, 2025 at 8:53 PM
But that's not all he got. I know, I was one of the many people engaging with him thoughtfully.
December 1, 2025 at 1:49 PM
All of them.
December 1, 2025 at 1:43 PM
I think this take runs the risk of reducing the value of my point with @elerianm.bsky.social. It's likely to be seen as outlandish.
December 1, 2025 at 1:32 PM