Bence Nemeth
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bencenemeth.bsky.social
Bence Nemeth
@bencenemeth.bsky.social
170 followers 200 following 9 posts
Senior Lecturer (Associate Professor) at the Defence Studies Department of King’s College London | Defence Cooperation, Defence Innovation, Defence Management | Author: ‘How to Achieve Defence Cooperation in Europe?’
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Reposted by Bence Nemeth
tnsr.org
How much does the specific administration in the White House matter for alliance resilience? @bencenemeth.bsky.social argues that leadership is a critical "situational factor," noting a sharp contrast in cooperation trends between recent presidencies. #Geopolitics #GrandStrategy #NATO
January 23, 2026 at 6:02 PM
Reposted by Bence Nemeth
tnsr.org
In 1956, the Suez Crisis revealed the limits of British power. Could a similar event hollow out the US alliance system today? Bence Nemeth — @bencenemeth.bsky.social — applies his "five factor theory of defense cooperation" to answer this critical question on our latest episode.
US Military Primacy and Alliance Resilience with Bence Nemeth | Horns of a Dilemma on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, YouTube, and Amazon Music
January 20, 2026 at 6:04 PM
Reposted by Bence Nemeth
tnsr.org
@bencenemeth.bsky.social warns that a failure to deter or defeat China in the Pacific would do more than damage credibility—it could fundamentally hollow out the logic of American leadership.

tnsr.org/2025/12/how-...

#Alliances #IndoPacific #Strategy
How a US "Suez Moment" Could Hollow the US Alliance System - Texas National Security Review
This article contends that while the United States still fields potent military capabilities, the narrowing military balance with China means that a future Indo-Pacific clash in which Beijing gains a ...
tnsr.org
January 16, 2026 at 6:56 PM
Reposted by Bence Nemeth
tnsr.org
It doesn't take a massive war to break an alliance system—just a crisis to shatter the illusion of power.

@bencenemeth.bsky.social's article uses the 1956 Suez analogue to examine how a setback in the Indo-Pacific could force a brutal recalibration in allied capitals. #GrandStrategy #NatSec
"What the example of Suez reveals is that it is not the scale of the military engagement itself that is critical, but the way in which a crisis reshapes allied perceptions of American reliability, capacity, and strategic will." Quote from "How a US “Suez Moment” Could Hollow the US Alliance System" by Bence Nemeth
December 10, 2025 at 6:34 PM
Reposted by Bence Nemeth
tnsr.org
Is the US approaching a “Suez moment” in the Indo-Pacific? The military balance with China is narrowing, and a public exposure of capability shortfalls could shatter alliance confidence.
December 8, 2025 at 4:17 PM
Reposted by Bence Nemeth
tnsr.org
In our latest article, Bence Nemeth (@bencenemeth.bsky.social) explores whether the US alliance system would hollow out or adapt in the face of a major setback. tnsr.org/2025/12/how-...
How a US "Suez Moment" Could Hollow the US Alliance System - Texas National Security Review
This article contends that while the United States still fields potent military capabilities, the narrowing military balance with China means that a future Indo-Pacific clash in which Beijing gains a…
tnsr.org
December 8, 2025 at 4:17 PM
Reposted by Bence Nemeth
warstudieskcl.bsky.social
Dr @bencenemeth.bsky.social highlights a marked shift in perceptions of the Chinese military. Once seen as large but outdated, it is now “either reached or is nearing military parity” with the US in key areas, marking a “dramatic shift.”

🔗Read more: bit.ly/4n6i61p

#ChinaMilitary #IndoPacific
August 27, 2025 at 3:59 PM
Reposted by Bence Nemeth
dsdkings.bsky.social
How can Europe balance urgent defence needs with complex cooperation?

@bencenemeth.bsky.social argues that time, not funding, is the key constraint, suggesting frontline states to boost national capabilities first and then integrate them into NATO and the EU.

Explore his insights:
bit.ly/45CM47t
June 5, 2025 at 1:31 PM
Reposted by Bence Nemeth
warstudieskcl.bsky.social
Congratulations to Dr @bencenemeth.bsky.social

@NATO has featured his co-authored research paper in its #StrategicForesight manual. A fantastic example of how academic research from @KingsCollegeLon is shaping real-world #DefencePolicy.

Full story 👉 bit.ly/43yxY4m

#OurDividedPlanet
How a King's academic's research is changing NATO's approach to planning for the future
NATO has featured a paper co-authored by Dr Bence Nemeth, Senior Lecturer in the Defence Studies Department, as the key case study in a new handbook advising all its institutions and member states on ...
bit.ly
May 28, 2025 at 1:23 PM
Reposted by Bence Nemeth
dsdkings.bsky.social
Congratulations to Dr @bencenemeth.bsky.social

@NATO has featured his co-authored research paper in its #StrategicForesight manual. A fantastic example of how academic research from @KingsCollegeLon is shaping real-world #DefencePolicy.

Full story 👉 bit.ly/43yxY4m

#OurDividedPlanet
How a King's academic's research is changing NATO's approach to planning for the future
NATO has featured a paper co-authored by Dr Bence Nemeth, Senior Lecturer in the Defence Studies Department, as the key case study in a new handbook advising all its institutions and member states on ...
bit.ly
May 28, 2025 at 1:20 PM
Reposted by Bence Nemeth
kingscollegelondon.bsky.social
A new NATO handbook advising how to carry out strategic foresight activities has featured Dr @bencenemeth.bsky.social's research as a key case study.

Read more about how Dr Nemeth's work is helping to train alliance members for future planning 👇

#OurDividedPlanet

www.kcl.ac.uk/news/how-a-k...
How a King's academic's research is changing NATO's approach to planning for the future
NATO has featured a paper co-authored by Dr Bence Nemeth, Senior Lecturer in the Defence Studies Department, as the key case study in a new handbook advising all its institutions and member states on ...
www.kcl.ac.uk
May 28, 2025 at 11:59 AM
Reposted by Bence Nemeth
warstudieskcl.bsky.social
US peace talks hit setbacks after Zelenskyy refused to recognise Russia’s control over Crimea. Dr @bencenemeth.bsky.social describes it a “significant downgrading” of negotiations.

“The US is not positioning itself as a neutral mediator,” adds Dr Németh.

Read more:
bit.ly/3Gqun0E
Trump slams Zelenskyy for rejecting Ukraine-Russia negotiations, saying a deal was 'very close'
High-level talks in London aimed at bringing a pause to fighting in Ukraine disintegrated after Secretary of State Marco Rubio and special envoy Steve Witkoff pulled out.
bit.ly
April 24, 2025 at 3:17 PM
Reposted by Bence Nemeth
dsdkings.bsky.social
With key envoys pull out, can the US still lead peace efforts if it’s no longer seen as neutral?

"This is not just about diplomacy fatigue. It also signals a hard pivot: The US is not positioning itself as a neutral mediator." - Dr @bencenemeth.bsky.social

Read:
bit.ly/3Gqun0E
Trump slams Zelenskyy for rejecting Ukraine-Russia negotiations, saying a deal was 'very close'
High-level talks in London aimed at bringing a pause to fighting in Ukraine disintegrated after Secretary of State Marco Rubio and special envoy Steve Witkoff pulled out.
bit.ly
April 24, 2025 at 3:17 PM
Reposted by Bence Nemeth
uk.theconversation.com
Putting a European in place as the leader of Nato forces might seem like an easy option, but there are several major issues.
Why it matters for European security if an American no longer commands Nato troops – by a former Trident sub commander
Putting a European in place as the leader of Nato forces might seem like an easy option, but there are several major issues.
tcnv.link
April 11, 2025 at 4:21 PM
Reposted by Bence Nemeth
dsdkings.bsky.social
What does the US-South Korea shipbuilding deal mean for naval power?

"The US Navy will benefit from increased availability of ships...it could accelerate the growth of its fleet. This can help Washington maintain its global maritime dominance." - Dr @bencenemeth.bsky.social

Read:
bit.ly/42D9FTI
US and South Korean warship makers sign deal that could help narrow naval race with China | CNN Business
America’s largest military shipbuilder has signed a deal with a South Korean company that experts say could be a big step in helping the US Navy build new warships to keep pace with rival China in fle...
bit.ly
April 9, 2025 at 3:06 PM
Reposted by Bence Nemeth
pesumatti.bsky.social
"Instead of building forces for a range of potential scenarios across multiple theaters, allies are being asked to focus primarily on fulfilling roles earmarked to them under the operational plans."

www.atlanticcouncil.org/in-depth-res...
Why NATO’s Defence Planning Process will transform the Alliance for decades to come
The NATO Defence Planning Process (NDPP) is little known outside defense ministries. But today this process is driving the most consequential shift in European and Canadian defense in the last two gen...
www.atlanticcouncil.org
April 1, 2025 at 9:53 AM
Reposted by Bence Nemeth
maxbergmann.bsky.social
I think 2 months ago this would be seen as a disaster. An American SACEUR is direct link to POTUS and thus the bomb. Seen as critical for credibility of US extended deterrence. But now, I think worst case is an uncommitted US remaining in NATO as is but blocking Euros from organizing themselves. 1/
March 19, 2025 at 11:16 AM
Reposted by Bence Nemeth
gesineweber.bsky.social
New Geopolitical Europe Pulse is out!

Europe alone?

Compilation of articles, feat. @maxbergmann.bsky.social, @lscazzieri.bsky.social, @bencenemeth.bsky.social, and @rafaelloss.bsky.social:

geopoliticaleurope.substack.com/p/geopolitic...
Geopolitical Europe Pulse: Europe alone?
7 March 2025
geopoliticaleurope.substack.com
March 7, 2025 at 11:40 AM
bencenemeth.bsky.social
"Without the United States as a steadfast ally, Europe faces a turbulent security environment where dangers can originate not only from Russia but also from the missteps of Western policies themselves." Just got quoted by The Sun: www.thesun.co.uk/news/3366763...
Battle tanks, missiles & howitzers - what weapons has Trump pulled plug on
UKRAINE’S war chest has taken a massive hit after Donald Trump paused US military aid — halting the supply of billions of dollars’ worth of battle tanks, long-range missiles, and air defense …
www.thesun.co.uk
March 4, 2025 at 1:37 PM
Reposted by Bence Nemeth
kingscollegelondon.bsky.social
Without the USA as a steadfast ally, European nations are rethinking their security strategies, which bencenemeth.bsky.social of @dsdkings.bsky.social says offers opportunities as well as challenges.
▶️ www.kcl.ac.uk/a-new-geopol...
Also see his previous article on defending NATO without the US 🔽
Quote from Dr Bence Nemeth on the opportunities and challenges for Europe from the change in US policy since Trump took office for a second term.
March 4, 2025 at 12:51 PM
bencenemeth.bsky.social
In my RAND paper on defending NATO Eastern Flank without the US, I argued that we need 3 EUR DIV (45k troops) in the Baltics to generate credible deterrence. This highlights its difficulties, let alone doing it with a peacekeeping mission in Ukraine simultaneously.
kclpure.kcl.ac.uk/portal/en/pu...
Defending NATO without the Americans
kclpure.kcl.ac.uk
March 4, 2025 at 11:29 AM
bencenemeth.bsky.social
“Every U.S. president has pressured Europeans on defense since Truman. The policy didn’t change, the style has changed.”
Got quoted in @wsj.com on how Trump’s approach is shaking up NATO spending.
www.wsj.com/world/europe...

@dsdkings.bsky.social
Trump, Not Putin, Forces Europe to Get Serious About Defense
European nations are rushing to spend more as America threatens to withdraw its longstanding protection.
www.wsj.com
February 25, 2025 at 8:14 PM
Reposted by Bence Nemeth
andysaulim.com
North Korean provocations since 1953, by U.S. administrations.

Source: beyondparallel.csis.org/database-nor... (from @korea.csis.org)
January 23, 2025 at 4:52 AM
Reposted by Bence Nemeth
randeurope.org
🌍🛡️ The Future of Defence 🛡️🌍

Nine essays on critical strategic topics, including:
-The evolving roles of the UK and NATO in global defence.
- The strategic implications of China's rising influence.
- Ongoing tensions with Russia, North Korea, and Iran.

rand.org/pubs/perspec...

#UKDefence #RAND
Strategic Commentaries
These nine essays discuss strategic issues concerning the UK, NATO, China, Russia, North Korea and Iran, and are intended to stimulate reflection, further thinking and discussion within the UK Ministr...
rand.org
January 2, 2025 at 12:17 PM
Reposted by Bence Nemeth
warinthefuture.bsky.social
An update from @covertshores.bsky.social on #Ukraine’s uncrewed maritime strike systems.
covertshores.bsky.social H I Sutton @covertshores.bsky.social · Dec 20
***UPDATE***
Here-> www.hisutton.com/Russia-Ukrai...

Added the latest #Ukrainian Navy maritime drone (USV) to the guide. #OSINT
December 21, 2024 at 7:58 PM