Being Exponential | Luke Lango
@beingexponential.bsky.social
🔍 Decode AI, tech & market trends
📈 Thrive in a world of exponential change
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https://www.youtube.com/@BeingExponential
📈 Thrive in a world of exponential change
🎙️ New episodes weekly | 🎧 Subscribe now
https://www.youtube.com/@BeingExponential
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Technical look at #AIQ.
I'm assuming that this is not a complete unwind of the AI trade since fundamentals remain supportive (AI spending still accelerating, revenue growth rates still strong, earnings estimates still rising, etc) and therefore just another correction in the still-alive AI Boom.
I'm assuming that this is not a complete unwind of the AI trade since fundamentals remain supportive (AI spending still accelerating, revenue growth rates still strong, earnings estimates still rising, etc) and therefore just another correction in the still-alive AI Boom.
February 4, 2026 at 11:11 PM
Technical look at #AIQ.
I'm assuming that this is not a complete unwind of the AI trade since fundamentals remain supportive (AI spending still accelerating, revenue growth rates still strong, earnings estimates still rising, etc) and therefore just another correction in the still-alive AI Boom.
I'm assuming that this is not a complete unwind of the AI trade since fundamentals remain supportive (AI spending still accelerating, revenue growth rates still strong, earnings estimates still rising, etc) and therefore just another correction in the still-alive AI Boom.
Really strong report from #LITE is being overlooked by market because of broad bearish sentiment.
That's a mistake. This report was really good and supports the 2026/27 bull thesis on LITE stock.
That's a mistake. This report was really good and supports the 2026/27 bull thesis on LITE stock.
February 4, 2026 at 9:02 PM
Really strong report from #LITE is being overlooked by market because of broad bearish sentiment.
That's a mistake. This report was really good and supports the 2026/27 bull thesis on LITE stock.
That's a mistake. This report was really good and supports the 2026/27 bull thesis on LITE stock.
Pretty ugly slate of economic data isn't helping stocks today.
-January ADP Employment +22k vs +45k expected / +37k prior. 12-month average job growth now sits at +23k, a 15-year low excluding Covid.
-January ISM Services New Orders Index dropped from 56.5 to 53.1.
-January ADP Employment +22k vs +45k expected / +37k prior. 12-month average job growth now sits at +23k, a 15-year low excluding Covid.
-January ISM Services New Orders Index dropped from 56.5 to 53.1.
February 4, 2026 at 4:42 PM
Pretty ugly slate of economic data isn't helping stocks today.
-January ADP Employment +22k vs +45k expected / +37k prior. 12-month average job growth now sits at +23k, a 15-year low excluding Covid.
-January ISM Services New Orders Index dropped from 56.5 to 53.1.
-January ADP Employment +22k vs +45k expected / +37k prior. 12-month average job growth now sits at +23k, a 15-year low excluding Covid.
-January ISM Services New Orders Index dropped from 56.5 to 53.1.
My first attempt at a SaaSmageddon playbook.
I don't think this is cyclical. I think this is structural. It is a regime shift. AI is flattening and obsoleting the middle software layer that multiple SaaS stocks thrived in for 10+ years. That doesn't mean all software stocks are doomed.
I don't think this is cyclical. I think this is structural. It is a regime shift. AI is flattening and obsoleting the middle software layer that multiple SaaS stocks thrived in for 10+ years. That doesn't mean all software stocks are doomed.
February 4, 2026 at 3:59 PM
My first attempt at a SaaSmageddon playbook.
I don't think this is cyclical. I think this is structural. It is a regime shift. AI is flattening and obsoleting the middle software layer that multiple SaaS stocks thrived in for 10+ years. That doesn't mean all software stocks are doomed.
I don't think this is cyclical. I think this is structural. It is a regime shift. AI is flattening and obsoleting the middle software layer that multiple SaaS stocks thrived in for 10+ years. That doesn't mean all software stocks are doomed.
All software stocks are doomed... except #PLTR... is basically what the company's monstrous Q4 earnings report suggested.
Long story short: AI is commoditizing “cognition,” and the only thing that matters now is who can operationalize it inside real organizations—fast, securely, and at scale.
Long story short: AI is commoditizing “cognition,” and the only thing that matters now is who can operationalize it inside real organizations—fast, securely, and at scale.
February 4, 2026 at 12:02 AM
All software stocks are doomed... except #PLTR... is basically what the company's monstrous Q4 earnings report suggested.
Long story short: AI is commoditizing “cognition,” and the only thing that matters now is who can operationalize it inside real organizations—fast, securely, and at scale.
Long story short: AI is commoditizing “cognition,” and the only thing that matters now is who can operationalize it inside real organizations—fast, securely, and at scale.
Elon significantly de-risked orbital data centers.
There were concerns about orbital data centers not making economic sense. They don't really -- in the near-term.
But that shouldn't stop people from trying. The learning and development along the way will far outweigh the costs.
There were concerns about orbital data centers not making economic sense. They don't really -- in the near-term.
But that shouldn't stop people from trying. The learning and development along the way will far outweigh the costs.
February 3, 2026 at 11:15 PM
Elon significantly de-risked orbital data centers.
There were concerns about orbital data centers not making economic sense. They don't really -- in the near-term.
But that shouldn't stop people from trying. The learning and development along the way will far outweigh the costs.
There were concerns about orbital data centers not making economic sense. They don't really -- in the near-term.
But that shouldn't stop people from trying. The learning and development along the way will far outweigh the costs.
I guess the farmers aren't happy...
February 3, 2026 at 9:59 PM
I guess the farmers aren't happy...
The crash in #FN looks tasty.
The company delivered fabulous results (Q2 beats across the board / guided above on everything for Q3 / revenues +36% / margins up / operating profits +40% / guide calls for all of that to continue in Q3).
The company delivered fabulous results (Q2 beats across the board / guided above on everything for Q3 / revenues +36% / margins up / operating profits +40% / guide calls for all of that to continue in Q3).
February 3, 2026 at 9:04 PM
The crash in #FN looks tasty.
The company delivered fabulous results (Q2 beats across the board / guided above on everything for Q3 / revenues +36% / margins up / operating profits +40% / guide calls for all of that to continue in Q3).
The company delivered fabulous results (Q2 beats across the board / guided above on everything for Q3 / revenues +36% / margins up / operating profits +40% / guide calls for all of that to continue in Q3).
U.S. shoots down Iranian drone approaching aircraft carrier.
The global geopolitical chessboard is getting messy. And that means higher oil prices. Which is why I'm bullish on oil stocks in 2026 (and I'm almost never bullish on oil stocks).
#XOP #SLB #HAL #VLO #MPC #XOM #CVX
The global geopolitical chessboard is getting messy. And that means higher oil prices. Which is why I'm bullish on oil stocks in 2026 (and I'm almost never bullish on oil stocks).
#XOP #SLB #HAL #VLO #MPC #XOM #CVX
February 3, 2026 at 8:32 PM
This is an epic sell-off in software stocks.
The launch of Anthopric's new legal AI tool, Claude Cowork, and Project Genie have dramatically worsened AI displacement fears across the whole software sector, and now, $IGV is essentially in one of its biggest and sharpest sell-offs of all-time.
The launch of Anthopric's new legal AI tool, Claude Cowork, and Project Genie have dramatically worsened AI displacement fears across the whole software sector, and now, $IGV is essentially in one of its biggest and sharpest sell-offs of all-time.
February 3, 2026 at 7:58 PM
This is an epic sell-off in software stocks.
The launch of Anthopric's new legal AI tool, Claude Cowork, and Project Genie have dramatically worsened AI displacement fears across the whole software sector, and now, $IGV is essentially in one of its biggest and sharpest sell-offs of all-time.
The launch of Anthopric's new legal AI tool, Claude Cowork, and Project Genie have dramatically worsened AI displacement fears across the whole software sector, and now, $IGV is essentially in one of its biggest and sharpest sell-offs of all-time.
It can't be this simple, can't it?
Bitcoin is just tracking the same price pattern it followed after the 2020 halving... and after the 2016 halving...
The arguments were that because of Trump, ETFs, institutional money, etc that the 2024 halving cycle would play out differently.
Bitcoin is just tracking the same price pattern it followed after the 2020 halving... and after the 2016 halving...
The arguments were that because of Trump, ETFs, institutional money, etc that the 2024 halving cycle would play out differently.
February 3, 2026 at 7:28 PM
It can't be this simple, can't it?
Bitcoin is just tracking the same price pattern it followed after the 2020 halving... and after the 2016 halving...
The arguments were that because of Trump, ETFs, institutional money, etc that the 2024 halving cycle would play out differently.
Bitcoin is just tracking the same price pattern it followed after the 2020 halving... and after the 2016 halving...
The arguments were that because of Trump, ETFs, institutional money, etc that the 2024 halving cycle would play out differently.
The metals bounce looks buyable to me.
Across the board, precious metals crashed 20-30% to just above their 50-day moving averages and are now bouncing strongly off those major technical supports levels with fully reset RSIs right around 50.
Looks a BTC set-up to me #SLV #PPLT #PALL #GLD #AG #PHYS
Across the board, precious metals crashed 20-30% to just above their 50-day moving averages and are now bouncing strongly off those major technical supports levels with fully reset RSIs right around 50.
Looks a BTC set-up to me #SLV #PPLT #PALL #GLD #AG #PHYS
February 3, 2026 at 7:12 PM
The family soap opera continues...
Days after reports leak that Nvidia's $100B deal with OpenAI is "on ice"... other reports leak that OpenAI is "unsatisfied" with Nvidia's AI chips and is looking for alternatives that provide better inference computing, potentially Cerebras or Groq.
Days after reports leak that Nvidia's $100B deal with OpenAI is "on ice"... other reports leak that OpenAI is "unsatisfied" with Nvidia's AI chips and is looking for alternatives that provide better inference computing, potentially Cerebras or Groq.
February 3, 2026 at 5:04 PM
The family soap opera continues...
Days after reports leak that Nvidia's $100B deal with OpenAI is "on ice"... other reports leak that OpenAI is "unsatisfied" with Nvidia's AI chips and is looking for alternatives that provide better inference computing, potentially Cerebras or Groq.
Days after reports leak that Nvidia's $100B deal with OpenAI is "on ice"... other reports leak that OpenAI is "unsatisfied" with Nvidia's AI chips and is looking for alternatives that provide better inference computing, potentially Cerebras or Groq.
The AI Super War is here.
For years, the AI Race was highly fragmented. You had lots of startups and a handful of incumbents each building their own foundational LLMs, one-upping each other with upgrade after upgrade.
That era is over.
For years, the AI Race was highly fragmented. You had lots of startups and a handful of incumbents each building their own foundational LLMs, one-upping each other with upgrade after upgrade.
That era is over.
February 3, 2026 at 4:02 PM
The AI Super War is here.
For years, the AI Race was highly fragmented. You had lots of startups and a handful of incumbents each building their own foundational LLMs, one-upping each other with upgrade after upgrade.
That era is over.
For years, the AI Race was highly fragmented. You had lots of startups and a handful of incumbents each building their own foundational LLMs, one-upping each other with upgrade after upgrade.
That era is over.
#LLY plans to invest more than $3.5B in a new injectable medicine and device manufacturing facility in Pennsylvania, adding to its massive domestic expansion (Texas, Virginia, Alabama, Indiana). Construction is expected to be finished by 2031.
February 2, 2026 at 9:59 PM
#LLY plans to invest more than $3.5B in a new injectable medicine and device manufacturing facility in Pennsylvania, adding to its massive domestic expansion (Texas, Virginia, Alabama, Indiana). Construction is expected to be finished by 2031.
#IONQ's acquisition spree continues with Seed Innovations.
Seed brings ML/AI expertise, DevSecOps infrastructure, and $175M in DoD contracts (Army, Air Force, DISA, Missile Defense Agency) to IonQ's stack.
Seed brings ML/AI expertise, DevSecOps infrastructure, and $175M in DoD contracts (Army, Air Force, DISA, Missile Defense Agency) to IonQ's stack.
February 2, 2026 at 9:00 PM
#IONQ's acquisition spree continues with Seed Innovations.
Seed brings ML/AI expertise, DevSecOps infrastructure, and $175M in DoD contracts (Army, Air Force, DISA, Missile Defense Agency) to IonQ's stack.
Seed brings ML/AI expertise, DevSecOps infrastructure, and $175M in DoD contracts (Army, Air Force, DISA, Missile Defense Agency) to IonQ's stack.
Amidst all this macroeconomic and geopolitical volatility -- from Venezuela to Greenland to Iran to a new Fed Chair to tariff threats, etc -- AI stocks remain the best trade on Wall Street.
February 2, 2026 at 8:33 PM
Amidst all this macroeconomic and geopolitical volatility -- from Venezuela to Greenland to Iran to a new Fed Chair to tariff threats, etc -- AI stocks remain the best trade on Wall Street.
Looking at the metals complex...
I like the 2026 bull thesis based on de-dollarization + AI metals supercycle. So, now it is just matter of strategic entries in what I view as short-term sell-offs. Here's how I'm looking at it:
I like the 2026 bull thesis based on de-dollarization + AI metals supercycle. So, now it is just matter of strategic entries in what I view as short-term sell-offs. Here's how I'm looking at it:
February 2, 2026 at 7:59 PM
Looking at the metals complex...
I like the 2026 bull thesis based on de-dollarization + AI metals supercycle. So, now it is just matter of strategic entries in what I view as short-term sell-offs. Here's how I'm looking at it:
I like the 2026 bull thesis based on de-dollarization + AI metals supercycle. So, now it is just matter of strategic entries in what I view as short-term sell-offs. Here's how I'm looking at it:
Oil prices are dropping on news that Iran wants to start nuclear deal talks with the U.S. soon to avoid a potential war, but I think that with geopolitical volatility globally rising, oil prices should trend higher over the next few months.
February 2, 2026 at 7:33 PM
Oil prices are dropping on news that Iran wants to start nuclear deal talks with the U.S. soon to avoid a potential war, but I think that with geopolitical volatility globally rising, oil prices should trend higher over the next few months.
With Trump launching a $12 billion critical minerals stockpile to counter China, it's clear the White House will continue to support the creation of a massive domestic rare earths industry.
Which is why short-term dips in top rare earth stocks like #MP and #USAR look like buying opportunities to me
Which is why short-term dips in top rare earth stocks like #MP and #USAR look like buying opportunities to me
February 2, 2026 at 6:17 PM