Avner Strulov-Shlain 🎗️
@avnershlain.bsky.social
Assistant professor of Marketing @ChicagoBooth. Behavioral economist. PhD @BerkeleyEcon. Husband and father. Improv. www.AvnerShlain.com
No wonder retailers ignore left digit bias. Indoctrination against it starts in school!
Cc:
@justinsydnor.bsky.social @nicolacetera.bsky.social
Cc:
@justinsydnor.bsky.social @nicolacetera.bsky.social
March 10, 2025 at 1:35 AM
No wonder retailers ignore left digit bias. Indoctrination against it starts in school!
Cc:
@justinsydnor.bsky.social @nicolacetera.bsky.social
Cc:
@justinsydnor.bsky.social @nicolacetera.bsky.social
An instant hit paper claimed that "Decisions under Risk Are Decisions under Complexity".
Re-analysis shows no evidence in support of the claim, and perhaps even the opposite:
- The experimental design causes noise to generate the results.
- For non-confused participants risk != complexity.
Re-analysis shows no evidence in support of the claim, and perhaps even the opposite:
- The experimental design causes noise to generate the results.
- For non-confused participants risk != complexity.
February 7, 2025 at 6:02 AM
An instant hit paper claimed that "Decisions under Risk Are Decisions under Complexity".
Re-analysis shows no evidence in support of the claim, and perhaps even the opposite:
- The experimental design causes noise to generate the results.
- For non-confused participants risk != complexity.
Re-analysis shows no evidence in support of the claim, and perhaps even the opposite:
- The experimental design causes noise to generate the results.
- For non-confused participants risk != complexity.
In summary:
- Higher expectations increase goals (A) and performance (C).
- Goals reflect expectations but do not affect them (!B).
- Having a goal improves performance (D) but the level does not matter (!E).
Check the paper for more details and findings papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
- Higher expectations increase goals (A) and performance (C).
- Goals reflect expectations but do not affect them (!B).
- Having a goal improves performance (D) but the level does not matter (!E).
Check the paper for more details and findings papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
February 5, 2025 at 10:28 PM
In summary:
- Higher expectations increase goals (A) and performance (C).
- Goals reflect expectations but do not affect them (!B).
- Having a goal improves performance (D) but the level does not matter (!E).
Check the paper for more details and findings papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
- Higher expectations increase goals (A) and performance (C).
- Goals reflect expectations but do not affect them (!B).
- Having a goal improves performance (D) but the level does not matter (!E).
Check the paper for more details and findings papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
How do goals & expectations affect what participants do?
Easy practice & simply setting a goal both improve performance.
Goal level itself matters less once expectations are set.
Participants care about the goal (see bunching), but only locally.
Easy practice & simply setting a goal both improve performance.
Goal level itself matters less once expectations are set.
Participants care about the goal (see bunching), but only locally.
February 5, 2025 at 10:28 PM
How do goals & expectations affect what participants do?
Easy practice & simply setting a goal both improve performance.
Goal level itself matters less once expectations are set.
Participants care about the goal (see bunching), but only locally.
Easy practice & simply setting a goal both improve performance.
Goal level itself matters less once expectations are set.
Participants care about the goal (see bunching), but only locally.
Do goals shape expectations? We find that expectations drive goal-setting.
Manipulating expectations changes goals, but tweaking goal difficulty doesn't significantly affect expectations.
Manipulating expectations changes goals, but tweaking goal difficulty doesn't significantly affect expectations.
February 5, 2025 at 10:28 PM
Do goals shape expectations? We find that expectations drive goal-setting.
Manipulating expectations changes goals, but tweaking goal difficulty doesn't significantly affect expectations.
Manipulating expectations changes goals, but tweaking goal difficulty doesn't significantly affect expectations.
What goals do people choose?
Participants typically set goals they expect to hit ~78% of the time. Few choose goals they think are less than 50% likely to be achieved.
Participants typically set goals they expect to hit ~78% of the time. Few choose goals they think are less than 50% likely to be achieved.
February 5, 2025 at 10:28 PM
What goals do people choose?
Participants typically set goals they expect to hit ~78% of the time. Few choose goals they think are less than 50% likely to be achieved.
Participants typically set goals they expect to hit ~78% of the time. Few choose goals they think are less than 50% likely to be achieved.
In this new working paper we use a real-effort experiment to study the relationship between self-set goals and expectations, and how they affect performance.
Do goals affect or reflect expectations? Do goals affect performance, conditional on expectations?
Do goals affect or reflect expectations? Do goals affect performance, conditional on expectations?
February 5, 2025 at 10:28 PM
In this new working paper we use a real-effort experiment to study the relationship between self-set goals and expectations, and how they affect performance.
Do goals affect or reflect expectations? Do goals affect performance, conditional on expectations?
Do goals affect or reflect expectations? Do goals affect performance, conditional on expectations?
As @joshtdean.bsky.social figured out — Nighshade is of no help here.
January 25, 2025 at 5:31 PM
As @joshtdean.bsky.social figured out — Nighshade is of no help here.
The best kind of Sufganiyot is Beignets.
Happy Hanukkah!
Happy Hanukkah!
December 27, 2024 at 10:08 PM
The best kind of Sufganiyot is Beignets.
Happy Hanukkah!
Happy Hanukkah!
So also say Donnelly @giocompiani.bsky.social and Evers
December 13, 2024 at 5:14 AM
So also say Donnelly @giocompiani.bsky.social and Evers
A very disturbing logo
November 25, 2024 at 3:17 AM
A very disturbing logo
Look at this cute little angle
November 20, 2024 at 6:08 PM
Look at this cute little angle
1983 Jerry Seinfeld tells Judd Apatow his vehicle for more exposure is doing quality work. He also says that doing quality work is for his own sake.
This is the correct advice for PhD students (and beyond).
This is the correct advice for PhD students (and beyond).
November 14, 2024 at 5:29 PM
1983 Jerry Seinfeld tells Judd Apatow his vehicle for more exposure is doing quality work. He also says that doing quality work is for his own sake.
This is the correct advice for PhD students (and beyond).
This is the correct advice for PhD students (and beyond).
What? Anti-Israeli sentiment leads to antisemitic violence? I’m shocked. Shocked! Who would’ve thought?
October 29, 2023 at 8:35 PM
What? Anti-Israeli sentiment leads to antisemitic violence? I’m shocked. Shocked! Who would’ve thought?
www.youtube.com/watch?v=B8YY...
Those who know the region and understand what's happening also know who's responsible for the suffering in Gaza. I recommend taking a few minutes to listen to what Mosab Hassan Yousef has to say.
Those who know the region and understand what's happening also know who's responsible for the suffering in Gaza. I recommend taking a few minutes to listen to what Mosab Hassan Yousef has to say.
October 27, 2023 at 8:55 PM
www.youtube.com/watch?v=B8YY...
Those who know the region and understand what's happening also know who's responsible for the suffering in Gaza. I recommend taking a few minutes to listen to what Mosab Hassan Yousef has to say.
Those who know the region and understand what's happening also know who's responsible for the suffering in Gaza. I recommend taking a few minutes to listen to what Mosab Hassan Yousef has to say.
🌼New WP 📉📈
How does receiving subsidized in-home care affects the health of sick elders? How does it affect the labor supply and income of their adult children? 🧵
with @dzeltzer.bsky.social and Yuval Ofek-Shanny
papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
How does receiving subsidized in-home care affects the health of sick elders? How does it affect the labor supply and income of their adult children? 🧵
with @dzeltzer.bsky.social and Yuval Ofek-Shanny
papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
October 25, 2023 at 7:41 PM
🌼New WP 📉📈
How does receiving subsidized in-home care affects the health of sick elders? How does it affect the labor supply and income of their adult children? 🧵
with @dzeltzer.bsky.social and Yuval Ofek-Shanny
papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
How does receiving subsidized in-home care affects the health of sick elders? How does it affect the labor supply and income of their adult children? 🧵
with @dzeltzer.bsky.social and Yuval Ofek-Shanny
papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
If you want to free Gaza you need to free it from Hamas.
Reminder (or news): Israel left Gaza in 2005. Hamas took over in 2006 and since then did everything in its power to harm Israelis and Gazans alike.
It is not fighting for freedom. It’s fighting only for the annihilation of Israel.
Reminder (or news): Israel left Gaza in 2005. Hamas took over in 2006 and since then did everything in its power to harm Israelis and Gazans alike.
It is not fighting for freedom. It’s fighting only for the annihilation of Israel.
October 23, 2023 at 4:54 PM
If you want to free Gaza you need to free it from Hamas.
Reminder (or news): Israel left Gaza in 2005. Hamas took over in 2006 and since then did everything in its power to harm Israelis and Gazans alike.
It is not fighting for freedom. It’s fighting only for the annihilation of Israel.
Reminder (or news): Israel left Gaza in 2005. Hamas took over in 2006 and since then did everything in its power to harm Israelis and Gazans alike.
It is not fighting for freedom. It’s fighting only for the annihilation of Israel.
Bring them back
October 22, 2023 at 11:04 PM
Bring them back
Each empty seat is a hostage. Each one pain, and fear, and praying for their safety, and the resolve to bring them back.
Kids, babies, elders, teenagers, friends, cousins, brothers, sisters, nieces, nephews, grandmas, grandpas, parents.
The pain is beyond comprehension. A dark hole in the soul.
Kids, babies, elders, teenagers, friends, cousins, brothers, sisters, nieces, nephews, grandmas, grandpas, parents.
The pain is beyond comprehension. A dark hole in the soul.
October 19, 2023 at 3:22 PM
Each empty seat is a hostage. Each one pain, and fear, and praying for their safety, and the resolve to bring them back.
Kids, babies, elders, teenagers, friends, cousins, brothers, sisters, nieces, nephews, grandmas, grandpas, parents.
The pain is beyond comprehension. A dark hole in the soul.
Kids, babies, elders, teenagers, friends, cousins, brothers, sisters, nieces, nephews, grandmas, grandpas, parents.
The pain is beyond comprehension. A dark hole in the soul.
Happy 3rd birthday to the goodest Bo
October 19, 2023 at 1:32 AM
Happy 3rd birthday to the goodest Bo
Wouldn’t matter for those who blame Israel for everything anyway, and doesn’t reduce the suffering of those affected, but good to get corroboration from the National Security Council.
October 18, 2023 at 3:05 PM
Wouldn’t matter for those who blame Israel for everything anyway, and doesn’t reduce the suffering of those affected, but good to get corroboration from the National Security Council.
Ha. There’s a steep gradient though
October 17, 2023 at 11:59 AM
Ha. There’s a steep gradient though
There’s this one but it’s a bit simplistic
October 11, 2023 at 8:13 PM
There’s this one but it’s a bit simplistic
Yes with mental support resources for students.
October 9, 2023 at 7:31 PM
Yes with mental support resources for students.
Guess where
September 28, 2023 at 1:52 AM
Guess where