Aaron Schatz
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aaronschatz.com
Aaron Schatz
@aaronschatz.com
Chief Analytics Officer, FTN Fantasy. ESPN NFL writer. Former radio DJ. Founder of Football Outsiders, creator of DVOA, All-Pro/MVP voter.
First two games actually drag them down, so yes, they're better in weighted DVOA which gives more weight to recent games.
November 10, 2025 at 8:24 PM
Yes
November 10, 2025 at 8:23 PM
I've played with the idea.
November 10, 2025 at 7:33 PM
Surprisingly no, but SOS is a lot of it.
November 10, 2025 at 6:07 PM
They were at -13.8% at 7-3 after 10 games.
November 10, 2025 at 6:07 PM
The Commanders defense is way worse when you remove opponent adjustments. They've played good offenses during this terrible five weeks of defense.

And yet they still aren't as bad as the Bengals.
November 10, 2025 at 3:32 PM