Sam Crane
@uselesstree.bsky.social
2.7K followers 1.2K following 1.1K posts
I teach contemporary PRC politics and ancient Chinese philosophy at Williams College. Currently Director of Williams-Exeter Programme at Oxford.
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uselesstree.bsky.social
uselesstree.bsky.social
Believes PLA is in bad shape. Morale is low, incentive to actually fight is low.
But Taiwan is seriously imperilled because of extensive CCP infiltration and cooptation of KMT. Aggressive posturing by PRC could bring preemptive Taiwan collapse. That’s what Xi wants and needs politically.
3/
uselesstree.bsky.social
He probably means Shakespeare but of course he whiffed it.
atrupar.com
BESSENT: Ambassador Jamieson is a lawyer. I am not.

REPORTER: As am I.

BESSENT: I won't tell you the one thing I agreed with Lenin on
uselesstree.bsky.social
Believes PLA is in bad shape. Morale is low, incentive to actually fight is low.
But Taiwan is seriously imperilled because of extensive CCP infiltration and cooptation of KMT. Aggressive posturing by PRC could bring preemptive Taiwan collapse. That’s what Xi wants and needs politically.
3/
uselesstree.bsky.social
Also points out lack of alternative leaders. Wang Yang “lacks credibility” and doesn’t want to do it. Hi Chunhua doesn’t have sufficient backing from Party elites and military.
2/
uselesstree.bsky.social
Talk today by the indomitable Willie Wo-Lap Lam.

He predicts that, even though Xi Jinping’s health is bad and nobody in Beijing likes him, it is increasingly likely that he will go for a fourth term and stay in power until 2032.
1/
uselesstree.bsky.social
Hmmm… wonder what this might mean for the Royal Institute of Translation at Oxford?

(Babel 😉)
uselesstree.bsky.social
Since ancient times
chinarhyming.bsky.social
I feel like it’s time for the first ‘Santa’s Grotto is Really in Shenzhen’ (or variant of) story in the UK press - awaiting with bated breath…
uselesstree.bsky.social
“As family-centered holiday traditions fade…”

The continuing decline of Confucian culture in East Asia.
uselesstree.bsky.social
The only reason these fevered rantings of a lunatic matter is cowardly Congressional Republicans have abandoned their institutional duty.
uselesstree.bsky.social
Can confirm. At Oxford:

1. University sends out email to everyone celebrating fact that all - faculty, staff, and students - will be provided licenses for most recent ChapGPT.

2. Administrators assure me that AI violates regulation that “Candidates shall submit their own work for examination.
kellenhoxworth.bsky.social
Higher Ed in 2025 is opening your mailbox to see that your institution has sent you:

1. A Center for Teaching and Learning call to integrate AI into your classroom; and

2. An Office of Academic Integrity email encouraging you to crack down on students who use AI to cheat.
uselesstree.bsky.social
Excellent choice!
An inspiration to defenders of democracy everywhere, including in the US.
uselesstree.bsky.social
雙十節快樂!

Also, 39 years ago today I successfully defended my dissertation at the University of Wisconsin-Madison.
Go Badgers!
uselesstree.bsky.social
Magdalen Street, Oxford
merriam-webster.com
What’s the word where you’re from that, when pronounced exactly as it looks, identifies a tourist immediately?
uselesstree.bsky.social
So, for your interlocutors Marx is right-leaning?
uselesstree.bsky.social
My wife, as a young student nurse in 1980, was assigned to take care of Gein in the psychiatric ward of his prison. All the other Wisconsin people knew who he was, but she didn't, and they picked the unknowing New Yorker for the job. By then, he was a confused and caring man. Creepy!
uselesstree.bsky.social
I found myself on a stage in summer 2024 with Wang Hui and Jeffery Sachs at a big conference in Beijing. Wang was quite smooth and cerebral while Sachs was boorish and contemptible. Wrote an overlong unpublished piece about the experience that I'm happy to share if you're interested.
uselesstree.bsky.social
Who will be the latter day Cromwell to Trump’s Charles I?
bretdevereaux.bsky.social
So Trump is now going to try to rule like an early modern king - just avoid calling the estates general or parliament or the diet and so rule by fiat.

Maybe someone in the GOP should turn the page in book and see what happened next...oh, oh dear...oh no...oh dear ohnonono....
peark.es
Well that's not how appropriations work at all

*WHITE HOUSE TO TRANSFER TARIFF REVENUE TO FUND WIC: LEAVITT
uselesstree.bsky.social
Yes.
And let’s not forget Wang’s “Heidegger Moment.”

www.readingthechinadream.com/rong-jian-wa...
uselesstree.bsky.social
I’m so old I remember when southern conservatives were all about states’ rights. Good times!
bradmossesq.bsky.social
Texas proudly invading Illinois.

It’s hard to describe the level of potential constitutional crisis here.
uselesstree.bsky.social
This has a Deng Xiaoping vibe: when he scrambled to get troops from other provinces to invade Beijing after local troops balked in May, 1989.
Key question from this analogy: will commanders and troops themselves resist bad orders?
cathygellis.bsky.social
This is jawdropping. The idea that a state about to be invaded by out-of-state soldiers that Trump is moving around the nation like chess pieces has no standing to object to the invasion!
joshuajfriedman.com
DOJ: Well, CA NG already federalized, and ...

Judge: Anything else you want to argue?

DOJ: Yes, your honor. OR and Portland lack standing to challenge relocation of out-of-state National Guard. Only CA could possibly sue under 12406, but CA can't establish standing or irreparable harm.
uselesstree.bsky.social
Postliberalism requires lies to rationalize monarchal/autocratic power.
kevinmkruse.bsky.social
The President of the United States is lying and/or delusional, and it seems like we should be talking about this and nothing else.
ronfilipkowski.bsky.social
The protests are on one block. Nothing is burning down. His justification for sending in troops is all based on lies.