FED'S POWELL SAYS WILL NOT TRY TO PINPINT BREAKEVEN RATE OF EMPLOYMENT; STANDARD ERROR ITSELF IS PERHAPS 50K || BREAKEVEN RATE OF JOB GROWTH HAS COME DOWN A GREAT DEAL
LONG GOLD TOPS MOST CROWDED TRADES — BOFA Bank of America’s October survey shows 43% of investors see being long gold as the most crowded trade, surpassing long Magnificent Seven stocks (39%). Average gold allocation is 2.4%, with most investors holding little or no exposure.
Non-coordination agreements or cleaving a wedge between EU/NA/S.Asia would be a prize. Putting every nation under self-preservation pressure simultaneously can st least forstall coordination against CN.
“You get this sense of a change, where China’s competitiveness has gone from being about government subsidies and low wages to a tremendous number of highly skilled, educated engineers who are innovating like mad.”
My 22-25 framework is similar. The press attention and tourists piling in makes it harder to tie trend with ‘real’ demand. I wanted to mention that JPM notes a new buyer entering the market late summer - SWFs. JPM target $6k ye ’28 based on no obvious sellers in this environment.