Tobias Fella
@tobiaspfella.bsky.social
Project Director & Senior Researcher @ifshhamburg.bsky.social I Military Affairs I Strategy I Deterrence I Risk Reduction I Trump I Berlin
Capitalism will save neither democracy nor truth. "Truth Social's Perplexity search comes with Trump-friendly media sources", www.axios.com/2025/08/06/t...
Truth Social's Perplexity search comes with Trump-friendly media sources
Increasingly, where you ask matters as much as what you ask.
www.axios.com
November 10, 2025 at 8:02 AM
Capitalism will save neither democracy nor truth. "Truth Social's Perplexity search comes with Trump-friendly media sources", www.axios.com/2025/08/06/t...
Must read! Jon Wolfsthal reviews "House of Dynamite", www.defenseone.com/ideas/2025/1...
What ‘House of Dynamite’ gets right and wrong about nuclear command and control
The Netflix film is good on process and tech, but has one major flaw.
www.defenseone.com
November 6, 2025 at 12:53 PM
Must read! Jon Wolfsthal reviews "House of Dynamite", www.defenseone.com/ideas/2025/1...
Reposted by Tobias Fella
Can we please not?🙄
North Korea poised for nuclear test on Kim’s orders
South Korean intelligence believes a test could be conducted quickly if Kim were to order it.
www.newsweek.com
November 6, 2025 at 11:10 AM
Can we please not?🙄
"Nach der Ankündigung von US-Präsident Trump zu möglichen Atomtests folgt nun die Antwort des russischen Präsidenten: Sollten die USA dies tun, würde Russland nachziehen. Vorbereitungen habe er bereits angeordnet, so Putin." www.tagesschau.de/ausland/asie...
Nach Trumps Ankündigung: Putin erwägt Wiederaufnahme von Atomtests
Nach der Ankündigung von US-Präsident Trump zu möglichen Atomtests folgt nun die Antwort des russischen Präsidenten: Sollten die USA dies tun, würde Russland nachziehen. Vorbereitungen habe er bereits...
www.tagesschau.de
November 6, 2025 at 7:28 AM
"Nach der Ankündigung von US-Präsident Trump zu möglichen Atomtests folgt nun die Antwort des russischen Präsidenten: Sollten die USA dies tun, würde Russland nachziehen. Vorbereitungen habe er bereits angeordnet, so Putin." www.tagesschau.de/ausland/asie...
The Europeans must fundamentally reconsider their policy toward America. It is completely clear that this will not happen overnight. However, the process must be set in motion, because even a strategy of maximum alignment comes with significant costs. www.tagesschau.de/ausland/amer...
Trump wirft Russland und China heimliche Atomwaffentests vor
US-Präsident Trump hat sich erneut zu geplanten US-Atomwaffentests geäußert. Dabei warf er Russland und China heimliche Tests vor, deshalb müssten die USA reagieren. Sein Energieminister präzisierte d...
www.tagesschau.de
November 3, 2025 at 1:12 PM
The Europeans must fundamentally reconsider their policy toward America. It is completely clear that this will not happen overnight. However, the process must be set in motion, because even a strategy of maximum alignment comes with significant costs. www.tagesschau.de/ausland/amer...
Reposted by Tobias Fella
In a first reaction to #Trump's musings about #nuclear testing, Dmitry Peskov explains to the US president that the recent #Burevestnik test did not constitute a nuclear (explosive) test
The Russians seem just as confused by Trump's post as everyone else
tass.ru/politika/254...
The Russians seem just as confused by Trump's post as everyone else
tass.ru/politika/254...
October 30, 2025 at 12:36 PM
In a first reaction to #Trump's musings about #nuclear testing, Dmitry Peskov explains to the US president that the recent #Burevestnik test did not constitute a nuclear (explosive) test
The Russians seem just as confused by Trump's post as everyone else
tass.ru/politika/254...
The Russians seem just as confused by Trump's post as everyone else
tass.ru/politika/254...
"Trump tells Pentagon to immediately resume testing US nuclear weapons". It is high time that people realize the path we are currently on. For Europe, the strategy of maximum alignment with the US will not work, or at best, will come with very serious long-term costs, www.reuters.com/world/china/...
www.reuters.com
October 30, 2025 at 6:51 AM
"Trump tells Pentagon to immediately resume testing US nuclear weapons". It is high time that people realize the path we are currently on. For Europe, the strategy of maximum alignment with the US will not work, or at best, will come with very serious long-term costs, www.reuters.com/world/china/...
"U.S. military officials involved with President Trump's expanding operations in Latin America have been asked to sign non-disclosure agreements [...] a development that raises new questions about a military buildup that Venezuela fears may lead to an invasion." www.reuters.com/world/americ...
Exclusive: US military officials required to sign NDAs tied to Latin America mission, sources say
U.S. military officials involved with President Donald Trump's expanding operations in Latin America have been asked to sign non-disclosure agreements, three U.S. officials say, a development that raises new questions about a military buildup that Venezuela fears may lead to an invasion.
www.reuters.com
October 29, 2025 at 9:32 AM
"U.S. military officials involved with President Trump's expanding operations in Latin America have been asked to sign non-disclosure agreements [...] a development that raises new questions about a military buildup that Venezuela fears may lead to an invasion." www.reuters.com/world/americ...
Reposted by Tobias Fella
Very good example I hope more European media will follow.
A next useful step to get the media ecosystem away from X would be to quote bsky/threads/Mastodon whatever post instead of X from politicians where they are available.
A next useful step to get the media ecosystem away from X would be to quote bsky/threads/Mastodon whatever post instead of X from politicians where they are available.
Zwar die kleinste Änderung auf der gedruckten Titelseite, aber ab morgen sind wir quasi BlueSky-Zeitung und tragen den größten und relevantesten Standard-Communities Rechnung - abseits des Standard-Forums selbst.
October 24, 2025 at 6:55 AM
Very good example I hope more European media will follow.
A next useful step to get the media ecosystem away from X would be to quote bsky/threads/Mastodon whatever post instead of X from politicians where they are available.
A next useful step to get the media ecosystem away from X would be to quote bsky/threads/Mastodon whatever post instead of X from politicians where they are available.
"Can Europe’s liberal democracies afford to be security dependent on an increasingly authoritarian United States? I think not." Lengthy interview with Web.de, web.de/magazine/pol... @joerglau.bsky.social, @dhnexon.bsky.social @atrupar.com @alexgabuev.bsky.social
Experte über Absage des Putin-Treffens: "Die Europäer müssen sich eine Frage stellen"
Doch kein Treffen in Budapest: Donald Trump hat das geplante Treffen mit dem russischen Machthaber Wladimir Putin abgesagt. Wieso hat der US-Präsident so entschieden? Ein Experte erkennt darin gleich ...
web.de
October 24, 2025 at 6:59 AM
"Can Europe’s liberal democracies afford to be security dependent on an increasingly authoritarian United States? I think not." Lengthy interview with Web.de, web.de/magazine/pol... @joerglau.bsky.social, @dhnexon.bsky.social @atrupar.com @alexgabuev.bsky.social
Reposted by Tobias Fella
Ukraine wants security guarantees. What is it asking for exactly, why hasn't it gotten what it wants, and what's it likely to get in the future? New @crisisgroup.org explainer lays it out.
High Stakes Promises: The Challenge of Security Guarantees for Ukraine | International Crisis Group
Ukraine is asking its partners for security guarantees – ideally now, but certainly before it makes any deal with Russia. In this Q&A, Crisis Group experts explain why this topic is so fraught for Ukr...
www.crisisgroup.org
October 23, 2025 at 10:36 AM
Ukraine wants security guarantees. What is it asking for exactly, why hasn't it gotten what it wants, and what's it likely to get in the future? New @crisisgroup.org explainer lays it out.
I was interviewed by "RedaktionsNetzwerk Deutschland" on the "drone wall" (in German), www.rnd.de/politik/span...
Das Problem mit dem Drohnenwall: Die Errichtung ist technisch höchst kompliziert
Die Länder an der Ostflanke der Nato drängen darauf, sich mit einem Drohnenwall gegen feindliche Flugobjekte zu wappnen. Baltische Start-ups stehen in den Startlöchern, doch die EU bremst. Denn so ein...
www.rnd.de
October 9, 2025 at 7:54 AM
I was interviewed by "RedaktionsNetzwerk Deutschland" on the "drone wall" (in German), www.rnd.de/politik/span...
I was interviewed by @weltspiegel.bsky.social on drone flights in NATO airspace, www.ardmediathek.de/video/weltsp...
Weltspiegel: Gefahr im Anflug - Wie Drohnen Europa bedrohen - hier anschauen
Plötzlich geht kein Flug mehr: Drohnen stehen über europäischen Flughäfen in der Luft, in Kopenhagen und in München. Die werden daraufhin aus Sicherheitsgründen geschlossen. Woher die Drohnen genau ko...
www.ardmediathek.de
October 8, 2025 at 8:49 AM
I was interviewed by @weltspiegel.bsky.social on drone flights in NATO airspace, www.ardmediathek.de/video/weltsp...
On RadioEins @rbb24.de I put the recent drone sightings over Europe into the wider NATO‑Russia signaling picture (Interview in German), www.ardaudiothek.de/episode/urn:...
Podcast: Drohnen über Europa - was hat es damit auf sich?
Polen, Dänemark, Schleswig-Holstein: Immer wieder wurden in den vergangenen Tagen und Wochen Drohnen in der Nähe von Kritischer Infrastruktur gesichtet. Dr. Tobias Fella forscht am Institut für Friede...
www.ardaudiothek.de
October 4, 2025 at 12:03 PM
On RadioEins @rbb24.de I put the recent drone sightings over Europe into the wider NATO‑Russia signaling picture (Interview in German), www.ardaudiothek.de/episode/urn:...
Reposted by Tobias Fella
Why the impact of Poland and its NATO allies' decision to shoot down Russian drones may well be stabilizing. Expanding a bit on my Bluesky thread from yesterday with an entry in the @crisisgroup.org Analyst's Notebook series.
Drones over Poland | International Crisis Group
Crisis Group expert Olga Oliker analyses the implications of the decision by Poland and its NATO allies to shoot down Russian drones over Polish territory on 9 September
www.crisisgroup.org
September 11, 2025 at 10:35 AM
Why the impact of Poland and its NATO allies' decision to shoot down Russian drones may well be stabilizing. Expanding a bit on my Bluesky thread from yesterday with an entry in the @crisisgroup.org Analyst's Notebook series.
Reposted by Tobias Fella
Whatever was behind the Russian drones entering Poland via Belarus (recce? probe? error?), we're seeing some pretty smart responses from, so far, Warsaw, NATO (& some individual allies), & Minsk. A quick 🧵 1/7
September 10, 2025 at 9:57 AM
Whatever was behind the Russian drones entering Poland via Belarus (recce? probe? error?), we're seeing some pretty smart responses from, so far, Warsaw, NATO (& some individual allies), & Minsk. A quick 🧵 1/7
Reposted by Tobias Fella
Germany’s defence debate is stuck in a numbers game – more tanks, jets, and spending. @tobiaspfella.bsky.social and I argue that what’s missing is a genuine strategic debate. We illustrate this by examining the newly introduced category of “Medium Forces.”
The Strategic Void in Germany’s Defense Debate
The debate on the Medium Forces can serve as an example of both the progress and the challenges of the German defense debate.
nationalinterest.org
September 10, 2025 at 8:20 AM
Germany’s defence debate is stuck in a numbers game – more tanks, jets, and spending. @tobiaspfella.bsky.social and I argue that what’s missing is a genuine strategic debate. We illustrate this by examining the newly introduced category of “Medium Forces.”
I spoke to @deutschlandfunk.de.web.brid.gy about the possible motives and negotiation approaches of the US, Russia & Europe ahead of tomorrow’s Trump–Putin summit, www.deutschlandfunk.de/zukunft-der-...
Zukunft der Ukraine: Putin oder Europa - auf wen hört Trump?
Gestern hat sich US-Präsident Trump mit den Europäern ausgetauscht. Morgen folgt das Treffen mit Putin. Und: Papst Leo ist heute genau 100 Tage im Amt.
www.deutschlandfunk.de
August 14, 2025 at 4:37 PM
I spoke to @deutschlandfunk.de.web.brid.gy about the possible motives and negotiation approaches of the US, Russia & Europe ahead of tomorrow’s Trump–Putin summit, www.deutschlandfunk.de/zukunft-der-...
What could Europe have done differently to have more say in its own security today? I discussed this with Web.de News in context of the upcoming Putin-Trump summit in Alaska, web.de/magazine/pol...
Die Großen reden – und die EU schaut zu
Bundeskanzler Friedrich Merz (CDU) hat im Vorfeld des Putin-Trump-Treffens in Alaska zu Vorbereitungsgesprächen geladen – unter anderem mit US-Präsident Donald Trump. Denn die Europäer treibt vor alle...
web.de
August 14, 2025 at 12:09 PM
What could Europe have done differently to have more say in its own security today? I discussed this with Web.de News in context of the upcoming Putin-Trump summit in Alaska, web.de/magazine/pol...
Germany and Europe are doing their utmost to maintain influence over US-Ukraine policy. But the context is not a good one — a collapsing/fundamentally changing world order. Here’s my interview with WeltTV, www.welt.de/politik/ausl...
Ukraine-Krieg: „An sich ist der Fünf-Punkte-Plan vernünftig, aber der Kontext ist kein guter“ - Video - WELT
Dr. Tobias Fella analysiert die Chancen des Fünf-Punkte-Plans der Europäer im Ukraine-Konflikt. „Die Europäer haben keine strategische Identität geschaffen“, sagt der Experte für Sicherheitspolitik be...
www.welt.de
August 14, 2025 at 5:51 AM
Germany and Europe are doing their utmost to maintain influence over US-Ukraine policy. But the context is not a good one — a collapsing/fundamentally changing world order. Here’s my interview with WeltTV, www.welt.de/politik/ausl...
I was interviewed by @zdfde.bsky.social (ZDFheute) about current discussions on territorial concessions ahead of the upcoming Trump-Putin meeting in Alaska. www.zdfheute.de/video/heute-...
Diskussion um Gebietsabtretungen
Vor den Gipfeln zu Wegen hin zu einem möglichen Frieden sorgt der Vorschlag von ukrainischen Gebietsabtretungen in der EU mehrheitlich für Ablehnung.
www.zdfheute.de
August 13, 2025 at 7:50 AM
I was interviewed by @zdfde.bsky.social (ZDFheute) about current discussions on territorial concessions ahead of the upcoming Trump-Putin meeting in Alaska. www.zdfheute.de/video/heute-...
I was interviewed by the Pforzheimer Zeitung and made the argument that we are currently in a phase of nuclear rearmament. www.pz-news.de/politik_arti...
Am nuklearen Scheideweg: 80 Jahre nach Hiroshima warnt ein Experte im PZ-Gespräch - Politik - Pforzheimer-Zeitung
Pforzheim/Hiroshima. Es ist 8:16 Uhr an jenem 6. August 1945, als der Tod in Hiroshima vom Himmel fällt. Rund 80.000 Menschen sterben in einem ...
www.pz-news.de
August 7, 2025 at 12:31 PM
I was interviewed by the Pforzheimer Zeitung and made the argument that we are currently in a phase of nuclear rearmament. www.pz-news.de/politik_arti...
„Wir sind wieder im atomaren Wettrüsten“, sagt Ulrich Ulrich Kühn @taz.de. Volle Zustimmung zu dieser Feststellung taz.de/Friedensfors...
Friedensforscher zur Atomwaffendebatte: „Wir sind wieder im atomaren Wettrüsten“
Eine Rüstungskontrolle ist kaum mehr möglich, sagt Friedensforscher Ulrich Kühn. Die Eskalation um US-Atom-U-Boote bereitet ihm aber keine Sorgen.
taz.de
August 5, 2025 at 6:49 AM
„Wir sind wieder im atomaren Wettrüsten“, sagt Ulrich Ulrich Kühn @taz.de. Volle Zustimmung zu dieser Feststellung taz.de/Friedensfors...
I was interviewed by Jutta Sonnewald via @zdfde.bsky.social about the idea of a drone wall on NATO’s eastern border. www.zdfheute.de/politik/deut...
Drohnen-Schutzschirm an der Nato-Ostflanke: Was hinter der Idee deutscher Start-Ups steckt
Rüstungsfirmen aus Deutschland wollen einen Schutzschirm aus Drohnen an der Nato-Ostflanke. Was steckt dahinter? Und was sagt die Bundeswehr?
www.zdfheute.de
July 13, 2025 at 9:39 AM
I was interviewed by Jutta Sonnewald via @zdfde.bsky.social about the idea of a drone wall on NATO’s eastern border. www.zdfheute.de/politik/deut...
I gave an interview to @rbb24.de about US policy on Ukraine. I explained why it’s of limited value to focus only on single Trump administration decisions. What matters is the structural transformation of the US and its consequences. www.inforadio.de/rubriken/int...
Sicherheitsexperte: Trump bleibt Klarheit schuldig
Russland und die Ukraine sind von einem Frieden weit entfernt – was auch US-Präsident Trump frustriert. Der Sicherheitsexperte Tobias Fella sieht darin jedoch keine Wende in der Ukraine-Politik der US...
www.inforadio.de
July 10, 2025 at 6:54 AM
I gave an interview to @rbb24.de about US policy on Ukraine. I explained why it’s of limited value to focus only on single Trump administration decisions. What matters is the structural transformation of the US and its consequences. www.inforadio.de/rubriken/int...