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Hanna Notte @hannanotte.bsky.social · 1d

When asked why Russia isn't represented at the Sharm El Sheik peace summit, Lavrov says Russia doesn't "impose its mediation services" on anyone

The Russia-Arab summit planned for Wedn also had to be postponed

Not since intervening in Syria in 2015 has Russia been so sidelined in Mideast diplomacy

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Hanna Notte @hannanotte.bsky.social · 12d

10 years ago this week, Russia intervened in Syria to save Assad.

His ouster last December dealt a serious blow to Putin.

But Russia is not done in Syria. It's turning adversity into opportunity.

My essay in @foreignaffairs.com
www.foreignaffairs.com/russia/russi...

Russia Isn’t Done With Syria

How Moscow has retained influence in the post-Assad era.

www.foreignaffairs.com

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Foreign Affairs @foreignaffairs.com · 11d

Even if Russia succeeds in maintaining its military presence in Syria, it is unlikely to play a significant role in shaping the country’s future, writes Hanna Notte.

Russia Isn’t Done With Syria

How Moscow has retained influence in the post-Assad era.

www.foreignaffairs.com

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Hanna Notte @hannanotte.bsky.social · 12d

10 years ago this week, Russia intervened in Syria to save Assad.

His ouster last December dealt a serious blow to Putin.

But Russia is not done in Syria. It's turning adversity into opportunity.

My essay in @foreignaffairs.com
www.foreignaffairs.com/russia/russi...

Russia Isn’t Done With Syria

How Moscow has retained influence in the post-Assad era.

www.foreignaffairs.com

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Reposted by Hanna Notte

Hanna Notte @hannanotte.bsky.social · 28d

In my latest for @warontherocks.bsky.social I look at what Africa Corps is up to and what its activities suggest about Russia‘s long-term strategy in the Sahel and beyond

warontherocks.com/2025/09/russ...

Russia Is Shrewdly Playing the Long Game in Africa

What if Moscow’s most dangerous moves right now aren’t in Europe, but along the Gulf of Guinea? With its resources sunk deep into Ukraine, the Russian

warontherocks.com

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War on the Rocks @warontherocks.bsky.social · 26d

What began as a Wagner replacement is turning into something much larger.

Russia Is Shrewdly Playing the Long Game in Africa

What if Moscow’s most dangerous moves right now aren’t in Europe, but along the Gulf of Guinea? With its resources sunk deep into Ukraine, the Russian

warontherocks.com

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Reposted by Hanna Notte

War on the Rocks @warontherocks.bsky.social · 27d

After Ukraine, Moscow may turn its attention south. Africa Corps is already paving the way.

Russia Is Shrewdly Playing the Long Game in Africa

What if Moscow’s most dangerous moves right now aren’t in Europe, but along the Gulf of Guinea? With its resources sunk deep into Ukraine, the Russian

warontherocks.com

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Hanna Notte @hannanotte.bsky.social · 28d

In my latest for @warontherocks.bsky.social I look at what Africa Corps is up to and what its activities suggest about Russia‘s long-term strategy in the Sahel and beyond

warontherocks.com/2025/09/russ...

Russia Is Shrewdly Playing the Long Game in Africa

What if Moscow’s most dangerous moves right now aren’t in Europe, but along the Gulf of Guinea? With its resources sunk deep into Ukraine, the Russian

warontherocks.com

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Reposted by Hanna Notte

Marcel Dirsus @marceldirsus.com · Sep 9

This week in the newsletter: @hannanotte.bsky.social on Russian foreign policy. What does Putin want? We discuss China, North Korea, Iran and Trump.

thehundred.substack.com/p/interview-...

Interview: What Putin Wants

#91: With Hanna Notte

thehundred.substack.com

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Hanna Notte @hannanotte.bsky.social · Aug 26

"Die Ukraine ist in Putins Mär Dreh- und Angelpunkt eines angeblichen Systemkampfes," schreibe ich in einem Essay für @zeit.de

DIE ZEIT @zeit.de · Aug 26

Klein beigegeben ist für Wladimir Putin im Krieg gegen die Ukraine keine Option. Denn von seinem Ausgang hängt der künftige internationale Status Russlands ab.

Krieg in der Ukraine: Warum Putin sich gezwungen sieht, seinen Krieg weiterzuführen

Klein beigegeben ist für Wladimir Putin im Krieg gegen die Ukraine keine Option. Denn von seinem Ausgang hängt der künftige internationale Status Russlands ab.

www.zeit.de

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Hanna Notte @hannanotte.bsky.social · Aug 26

Klein beigegeben ist für Putin im Krieg gegen die Ukraine keine Option. Auch, weil er Russlands gesamte außenpolitische Bestimmung von seinem Ausgang abhängig gemacht hat.

Ein etwas anderer Blick auf Russlands Krieg in meinem @zeitonline.bsky.social Essay

www.zeit.de/politik/ausl...

Krieg in der Ukraine: Warum Putin sich gezwungen sieht, seinen Krieg weiterzuführen

Klein beigeben ist für Wladimir Putin im Krieg gegen die Ukraine keine Option. Denn von seinem Ausgang hängt der künftige internationale Status Russlands ab.

www.zeit.de

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Hanna Notte @hannanotte.bsky.social · Aug 26

"Die Ukraine ist in Putins Mär Dreh- und Angelpunkt eines angeblichen Systemkampfes," schreibe ich in einem Essay für @zeit.de

DIE ZEIT @zeit.de · Aug 26

Klein beigegeben ist für Wladimir Putin im Krieg gegen die Ukraine keine Option. Denn von seinem Ausgang hängt der künftige internationale Status Russlands ab.

Krieg in der Ukraine: Warum Putin sich gezwungen sieht, seinen Krieg weiterzuführen

Klein beigegeben ist für Wladimir Putin im Krieg gegen die Ukraine keine Option. Denn von seinem Ausgang hängt der künftige internationale Status Russlands ab.

www.zeit.de

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Hanna Notte @hannanotte.bsky.social · Aug 26

Klein beigegeben ist für Putin im Krieg gegen die Ukraine keine Option. Auch, weil er Russlands gesamte außenpolitische Bestimmung von seinem Ausgang abhängig gemacht hat.

Ein etwas anderer Blick auf Russlands Krieg in meinem @zeitonline.bsky.social Essay

www.zeit.de/politik/ausl...

Krieg in der Ukraine: Warum Putin sich gezwungen sieht, seinen Krieg weiterzuführen

Klein beigeben ist für Wladimir Putin im Krieg gegen die Ukraine keine Option. Denn von seinem Ausgang hängt der künftige internationale Status Russlands ab.

www.zeit.de

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Hanna Notte @hannanotte.bsky.social · Aug 19

After all the hype re: Alaska & Washington diplomacy, the fundamentals are unchanged:

Putin won't revise his aims.
Ukraine & Europe will resist.
The war remains Russia's strategic cul de sac & limits its throw-weight elsewhere, as I argued in @nytopinion.nytimes.com

www.nytimes.com/2025/08/15/o...

Opinion | Putin Should Be Careful What He Wishes For

www.nytimes.com

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New York Times Opinion @nytopinion.nytimes.com · Aug 15

“Mr. Putin has long insisted that Ukraine will be his,” Hanna Notte writes. “But in a world shaped by Mr. Trump’s mercurial temperament and might-is-right principles, his obsession may cost Russia more than he has bargained for.”

Opinion | Trump Is Not Likely to Hand Ukraine to Putin in Alaska

Russia’s president has long insisted that Ukraine will be his. But his obsession may cost Russia more than he has bargained for.

nyti.ms

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Hanna Notte @hannanotte.bsky.social · Aug 16

Putin "won", played Trump in #Alaska?

Fact is, despite the summit hype/optics, the Ukraine war remains a strategic cul de sac for Russia

Putin will it keep going - but he'll make Russia ill-prepared for an increasingly unruly Trumpian world, as I write:
www.nytimes.com/2025/08/15/o...

Opinion | Putin Should Be Careful What He Wishes For

www.nytimes.com

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Hanna Notte @hannanotte.bsky.social · Aug 16

Putin "won", played Trump in #Alaska?

Fact is, despite the summit hype/optics, the Ukraine war remains a strategic cul de sac for Russia

Putin will it keep going - but he'll make Russia ill-prepared for an increasingly unruly Trumpian world, as I write:
www.nytimes.com/2025/08/15/o...

Opinion | Putin Should Be Careful What He Wishes For

www.nytimes.com

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Reposted by Hanna Notte

CSIS Europe, Russia, and Eurasia Program @erep.csis.org · Aug 15

✍️ "Putin Should Be Careful What He Wishes For," writes
@hannanotte.bsky.social in her new piece in @nytimes.com.
Don't miss her full essay below––outlining why the stakes of today's #TrumpPutinSummit may be higher for Russia than meets the eye:
www.nytimes.com/2025/08/15/o...

Opinion | Putin Should Be Careful What He Wishes For

www.nytimes.com

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Hanna Notte @hannanotte.bsky.social · Aug 15

No, a world shaped by Trump’s mercurial temperament & might-is-right principles actually isn’t good for Putin - for as long as he indulges his illusion of total victory in Ukraine.

The Alaska summit won't change that.

My essay in @nytimes.com

www.nytimes.com/2025/08/15/o...

Opinion | Putin Should Be Careful What He Wishes For

www.nytimes.com

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Hanna Notte @hannanotte.bsky.social · Aug 15

No, a world shaped by Trump’s mercurial temperament & might-is-right principles actually isn’t good for Putin - for as long as he indulges his illusion of total victory in Ukraine.

The Alaska summit won't change that.

My essay in @nytimes.com

www.nytimes.com/2025/08/15/o...

Opinion | Putin Should Be Careful What He Wishes For

www.nytimes.com

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Hanna Notte @hannanotte.bsky.social · Aug 6

Fascinating reporting on Russia's efforts to preserve influence in post-Assad Syria, including:
-dangling prospect of defense cooperation
-intensified mil. activities in northeast and contacts with SDF
-contacts with remnants of old regime (for leverage)
(in Arabic)
www.majalla.com/node/326725/...

وفد سوري رفيع في روسيا... أفق الزيارة ورسائلها

محادثات عسكرية وسياسية لوزيري الخارجية والدفاع، ولقاء بوتين، وإعادة تفعيل اللجنة المشتركة بين البلدين، ورغبة روسية في التوصل إلى تفاهمات استراتيجية على مستويات عدّة مع سوريا الجديدة

www.majalla.com

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Olya Oliker aka Dr. Olga Oliker (she/her) @olyaoliker.bsky.social · Jul 28

The always insightful @hannanotte.bsky.social joined me on this season's last episode of @crisisgroup.org's War & Peace podcast to discuss how Russia's role in the Middle East is & is not changing: A great ep, from implications of Iran & Syria events to the vagaries of Russian-Israeli relations.

Down, But Not Out? Russia’s Shifting Role in a Turbulent Middle East | International Crisis Group

This week on War & Peace, Olga is joined by Hanna Notte, Director for Eurasia at the James Martin Center for Nonproliferation Studies and Senior Associate at CSIS, to examine Russia’s shifting role in...

www.crisisgroup.org

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Hanna Notte @hannanotte.bsky.social · Jul 27

Last week, on the anniversary of the Trinity Test, I was fortunate to join Nobel Laureates and colleagues from the nuclear expert community in Chicago.
Our declaration to reduce the risk of nuclear war by implementing 13 achievable recommendations: nobelassembly.org/declaration/

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Thomas de Waal @tomdewaal.bsky.social · Jul 12

My article on how the Philharmonic Orchestra in #Odesa/#Odessa has played on through all the travails of wartime, and the story of its amazing American conductor, Hobart Earle, who has been with them since 1991.
In today’s FT magazine (sorry, behind a paywall). www.ft.com/content/9dc6...

How Odesa’s Philharmonic Orchestra played on through the war

A Ukrainian orchestra and their American conductor withstood Russian missiles to bring music to the city

www.ft.com

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Hanna Notte @hannanotte.bsky.social · Jul 7

After research trips to over a dozen countries and many months of writing, I just sent off the finished manuscript for:

WE SHALL OUTLAST THEM
Putin's Global Campaign to Defeat the West

Out with W. W. Norton in 2026

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