Marcel Dirsus
banner
marceldirsus.com
Marcel Dirsus
@marceldirsus.com
Political scientist and author of How Tyrants Fall: And How Nations Survive. Writing The Hundred, a politics newsletter. www.marceldirsus.com
Pinned
Big news! I've launched a podcast to talk to people about politics and history. The first episode is now live and you can listen to it on YouTube, Spotify, Apple or wherever else you get your podcasts. I'm still learning but it's really fun. Check it out!

youtu.be/l5gnmitRUl0?...
Why America Invaded Iraq | Steve Coll
YouTube video by The Next Best with Marcel Dirsus
youtu.be
Reposted by Marcel Dirsus
Putin is not invincible.

Listen to the guy who literally wrote the book. Tyrants fall.
November 27, 2025 at 12:13 PM
Looking for a new podcast? I have a completely unbiased recommendation: The Next Best with Marcel Dirsus (me). In the first episode, we talk about Saddam Hussein's childhood, chemical weapons and a series of miscalculations that ultimately led to war:

www.youtube.com/watch?v=l5gn...
Why America Invaded Iraq | Steve Coll
YouTube video by The Next Best with Marcel Dirsus
www.youtube.com
November 27, 2025 at 11:27 AM
There are arguments against helping Ukraine, but I just don't buy that Ukraine's "inevitable defeat" is one of them. They're not going to march on Moscow, but with the right support they're clearly capable of inflicting incredibly high costs on Russia
November 27, 2025 at 9:29 AM
GDP per capita in Madagascar is roughly the same now as it was in 1950
November 27, 2025 at 8:36 AM
For some reason I always thought that social media was uniquely insane but now that I have a YouTube channel, I can confirm that the comment section over there is at least as mad as this place. We might be doomed
November 26, 2025 at 8:17 PM
Reposted by Marcel Dirsus
This is a highly interesting conversation. Well done, @marceldirsus.com!
Big news! I've launched a podcast to talk to people about politics and history. The first episode is now live and you can listen to it on YouTube, Spotify, Apple or wherever else you get your podcasts. I'm still learning but it's really fun. Check it out!

youtu.be/l5gnmitRUl0?...
Why America Invaded Iraq | Steve Coll
YouTube video by The Next Best with Marcel Dirsus
youtu.be
November 26, 2025 at 5:23 PM
Big news! I've launched a podcast to talk to people about politics and history. The first episode is now live and you can listen to it on YouTube, Spotify, Apple or wherever else you get your podcasts. I'm still learning but it's really fun. Check it out!

youtu.be/l5gnmitRUl0?...
Why America Invaded Iraq | Steve Coll
YouTube video by The Next Best with Marcel Dirsus
youtu.be
November 26, 2025 at 3:49 PM
More than 3 years into Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine and we still can't agree to use Russia's frozen assets to buy weapons for Kyiv
November 24, 2025 at 1:10 PM
25. September 2001: Vladimir Putin gives a speech (in German) in Germany's Bundestag. His speech is followed by minutes of applause
November 24, 2025 at 11:08 AM
Politics is about power. Us Europeans can complain about being ignored until it's time to pay, but we did this to ourselves. If we want to be taken seriously, we need to be able to build & use tanks, rockets and drones. I wish the world worked differently but it doesn't
November 24, 2025 at 10:31 AM
"The German government announced on Monday that it was ending the partial suspension of weapons deliveries to Israel for use in Gaza."

www.dw.com/en/germany-t...
Germany to lift partial weapons embargo on Israel – DW – 11/17/2025
As the shaky ceasefire in Gaza continues, Germany is planning to lift its partial suspension of weapons exports to Israel.
www.dw.com
November 17, 2025 at 12:41 PM
If you're wondering why Germany works the way it does, here's a big part of the answer. Young people have little influence, acting against the interests of older voters is political suicide
Eligible German voters by age (in %), 2025
November 17, 2025 at 10:18 AM
After 8 million think tank papers and about as many speeches about the importance of European strategic autonomy, the French and the Germans can't agree to build a plane together

Source: FT
November 17, 2025 at 9:34 AM
A little update on European strategic autonomy:
»Another person close to the project said Dassault “simply doesn’t want to engage in a real partnership”. (...) “The feeling is ‘we have funds like we’ve never had before on defence’ so if we need to do it without the French let’s just do it,” said a person with knowledge of the thinking in Berlin.«
Berlin and Paris discuss scrapping joint fighter to focus on air ‘combat cloud’
Proposed downsizing of €100bn flagship defence project follows feuding by Airbus and Dassault
www.ft.com
November 17, 2025 at 9:25 AM
Keir Starmer is extremely unpopular
November 17, 2025 at 9:19 AM
Eligible German voters by age (in %), 2025
November 17, 2025 at 9:09 AM
Why has Erdogan supported Hamas?

"It would be very strange if he didn’t support Hamas."

thehundred.substack.com/p/making-sen...
November 12, 2025 at 3:53 PM
This week in the newsletter, I speak to @selimkoru.bsky.social to make sense of Turkey's foreign policy. It's complicated! And interesting

open.substack.com/pub/thehundr...
Making Sense of Turkish Foreign Policy
#100: With Selim Koru
open.substack.com
November 12, 2025 at 3:29 PM
I deleted social media off my phone in like 2023 and I can honestly say it's been one of the best decisions I've made in the last few years. Bluesky is less bad than Twitter but I just don't think humans are made for 24/7 social media
November 12, 2025 at 1:28 PM
"The UK is no longer sharing intelligence with the US about suspected drug trafficking vessels in the Caribbean because it does not want to be complicit in US military strikes and believes the attacks are illegal, sources familiar with the matter told CNN."

edition.cnn.com/2025/11/11/p...
Exclusive: UK suspends some intelligence sharing with US over boat strike concerns in major break | CNN Politics
The United Kingdom is no longer sharing intelligence with the US about suspected drug trafficking vessels in the Caribbean because it does not want to be complicit in US military strikes and believes ...
edition.cnn.com
November 11, 2025 at 3:18 PM
"The prosecutor in Turkey's biggest city has accused popular mayor Ekrem Imamoglu of 142 corruption offences that command jail terms ranging from 828 to 2,352 years."

www.bbc.com/news/article...
Turkey demands more than 2,000 years' jail for popular Istanbul mayor Imamoglu
Istanbul's chief prosecutor accused Ekrem Imamoglu and 400 others of running a corruption network.
www.bbc.com
November 11, 2025 at 2:21 PM
Just another normal day for Chinese diplomacy: After Japan’s new prime minister Sanae Takaichi said Japan may intervene if Beijing attacks Taiwan, China's consul general in Osaka threatened to behead her

www.theguardian.com/world/2025/n...
November 11, 2025 at 11:28 AM
Reposted by Marcel Dirsus
According to regional budget data, Russia continues to recruit approximately 30,000 men per month. This may explain why Russia is willing to lose thousands of soldiers each month in its assault on Ukraine, essentially treating its soldiers as "living munitions."
November 11, 2025 at 11:00 AM
For what it's worth, I don't get the sense that many German voters care about Nord Stream being blown up. If you're already opposed to helping Ukraine it might be useful to mobilise, but I don't think it'll hurt Kyiv too much with people who are generally supportive
November 11, 2025 at 10:42 AM