30-50 True Outcomes✡🇵🇸🏴
titusmeyeronicus.bsky.social
30-50 True Outcomes✡🇵🇸🏴
@titusmeyeronicus.bsky.social
360 followers 950 following 670 posts
Procrastinates productively. MA in economics. Longtime baseball apologist and Dually Disloyal Jew. He/They.
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the "working class" is more likely to be a black woman working as a home health aide for $11/hour than whatever Leonhardt &c imagine. The concept only ever contains a particular kind of usually-white always-man. It's as absurd as Schumer's imaginary Bailey constituency.
Unfortunately I think this is also what people said about Trump early on
Not trying to argue, but isn't this kind of part-and-parcel of how companies have been leaning into the debt side of the debt-equity mix when raising capital for a few decades now? Or is there something even more significant about these specific bond sales happening now?
I don't think this was a career-ending injury. It was maybe season-ending.
Oh I actually graduated! I have to update my bio. Thanks for reminding me!
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This statement isn’t quite false, but it’s quite misleading. *After tax* household income of $190,000 does put you in the top decile. But in everyday English, “make” normally refers to pretax income. In which case you need more like $350,000.
If both you and your partner make $95,000/year or more, you are in the top 10% of earners.

A really underappreciated issue in American politics is that there are many rich people who do not wish to acknowledge that they are, in fact, rich.
Top 10% by income now getting half of all consumption
Ah yes Barack Obama, famously deeply experienced with NYC politics
The threat is in the unspoken part. It's "govern in such a way that you water down all of your most radical ideas, or else face intense opposition from the rest of the party." This is essentially how he approached the NBA players in 2020 when he convinced them to stop boycotting.
As a member of Knesset, Meir Vilner was a member of the Maki Party, a coalition of Jews and Palestinians who fought together for Palestinian self-determination and against Zionist imperialism.
The man in my profile picture is a Holocaust survivor
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when basic every day “governance” depends on cops and jails and raids the public gets used to state coercion and violence and then nakedly authoritarian moves feel just a *little* worse but not much of a departure (bad!)
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So important to not forget both what happened + what the prevailing feelings were while it was happening: OP was hardly alone, but this kind of reflection/memory and accountability is absolutely crucial. This, much more than being right, is the sign of a trustworthy comrade and friend
i spiraled over the fascists trying to pin the kirk shooting on us fearing it could even lead to pogroms but his death is already totally out of the news cycle. important to note when things don’t turn out as bad as they could, they’re not omnipotent
Yea I noticed they were basically tied with voters over 45 in the Marist poll
I've been trying to square this with the concern I was seeing about the initial early voting skewing older. This poll seems to anticipate the electorate being older, but it still has Mamdani up big. I'm wary about that as a claim.
More importantly, is it fine to phonebank for Zohran if I don't live in New York? I want to phonebank, but I'm worried it won't come off well if I'm calling as an outsider.
Can someone explain how all the polling showing Zohran with a commanding lead squares with the news that early voting skewed older so far?
New NYC mayoral poll from Marist, conducted Oct. 24-28, with 4.2% margin of error: maristpoll.marist.edu/polls/nyc-ma...

Zohran Mamdani - 48%

Andrew Cuomo - 32%

Curtis Sliwa - 16%
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More unemployment and poverty will likely lead to more violence. More police will not stop this.
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"Real working-class politics does not assume the worst of working-class people’s impulses. It does not launder their concerns for political points. It certainly does not argue, directly or indirectly, that a little racism is a good thing for reaching them."
Opinion | A Nazi Tattoo Exposes Democrats’ Greatest Weakness
www.nytimes.com
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The good news is the bad news! Politics is social. Coalitions can be built and rebuilt--because most people don't actually believe in anything very strongly. At least not in a way that lines up with actually existing political parties.
The problem w polling - as someone who does lots of surveys - is that surveys construct opinions that simply do not exist in nature for *huge* chunks of people and too few of the data science bros conducting campaign polling understand this very basic feature the survey response. Vibes indeed.
The existence of this photograph (which is a real photo of a real person at a Mamdani campaign event) is enough to establish for me that voters writ large have absolutely no grasp of what policy is or how any given policy impacts their lives. It's all vibes.
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Have been keeping close track of who on the center-left and left is praising and who is not praising Trump's peace plan for Gaza and overwhelmingly it's been moderate pro-Israel Democrats and Biden foreign policy alumna. Basically the total opposite of the impression Bluesky gives you.