Steve Burtch
@stephenburtch.bsky.social
1.8K followers 880 following 16K posts
Trying to not exceed whatever rate limits exist on this app. Hockey. Science. Politics. Education. Other BS. In whatever order occurs to me at the time. Just sharing my opinions.
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stephenburtch.bsky.social
Response I got was sort of a shrug?

It felt very weird.
stephenburtch.bsky.social
Tried to make the point that if we provide AI generated content to students, and it is mistaken, we can't penalize students for learning the *wrong* things... and it will be that much harder to undo what they have learned.
stephenburtch.bsky.social
And they are pushing AI further and further into education.

Had my first AI PD last Friday.

Minimal pushback from anyone (I was the only person that raised concerns in the meeting).
stephenburtch.bsky.social
Note that the September CPI report from the US BLS will be published on Oct 24th and afterwards they won't be publishing anything until the government shutdown ends.

*Convenient*
stephenburtch.bsky.social
Hard hit % is a big gap though:

TOR 23.1%
SEA 39.1%
stephenburtch.bsky.social
So far in the ALCS

TOR
xWOBA .317
WOBA .205
BABIP .137
ISO .066
SLG .197

SEA
xWOBA .329
WOBA .337
BABIP .310
ISO .214
SLG .457

Most of the gap offensively is literally WHERE the hits are travelling after the Jays hit them vs where the Ms have.

Mainly luck. Not skill. Small samples can suck.
stephenburtch.bsky.social
In 6 IP, he has 9 Ks.

He has literally struck out half the batters he has gotten out, 36% of the batters he has faced.
stephenburtch.bsky.social
His HR/FB ratio of 42.9% in the playoffs which is more absurdly bad luck than anything.

Of the 3 HRs, the Judge one was just absurd. Virtually no hitter other than Judge could get to that, hit it that hard AND keep it fair.

Like on some level you can't criticize that.
stephenburtch.bsky.social
Just with TOR his xFIP was 3.08... which was 2nd best on the team behind only Tommy Nance.
Reposted by Steve Burtch
mikegianella.bsky.social
overwhelmingly, teams that spend money are vastly more successful once they get to the playoffs than teams that do not

it isn’t universal but the correlation over the last 20 years is far too high for it to simply be random happenstance
stephenburtch.bsky.social
The crazy part is the CF tips it off his glove/the wall virtually simultaneously, preventing a HR... But didn't actually catch it... Just wild.
stephenburtch.bsky.social
Gallium is very critical as metals for circuit design go... And outside of China (or their satellites) there is only 1 obvious western aligned source.

Seems pretty rare!
stephenburtch.bsky.social
The only other country with deposit volumes of bauxite comparable to the top 3 is Vietnam... Which is very much within China's sphere of influence.

Guess which country has made the most inroads to trading with Guinea (thanks to the belt road initiative)?... China (Surprise!).

So... Australia.
stephenburtch.bsky.social
This really isn't entirely accurate.

China dominates Gallium production, but Gallium isn't naturally occurring. It is processed from bauxite & zinc.

<10% of global deposits of Gallium contained in bauxite and zinc are recoverable though, and only *3 countries* prod. significant amounts of bauxite.
Rare earth [metals] aren't literally "rare"; their value lies in complex, costly and polluting separation and purification processes. China has cornered the industry, helped by industry policies and subsidies. China accounts for 60-70% of all mining and more than 90% of rare earth [metals] refining.
stephenburtch.bsky.social
The '96 Yankees came back to win the World Series over the Braves in 6 games after losing G1 and G2 at home by a combined score of 16-1.

It isn't impossible.
Reposted by Steve Burtch
robin-j-brooks.bsky.social
A lot is being made of the fact that China's exports are stable even though exports to the US are down sharply. But the only way it can export all this stuff to countries other than the US is to discount heavily. Huge negative shock to China's exporters...

robinjbrooks.substack.com/p/chinas-dec...
Reposted by Steve Burtch
robin-j-brooks.bsky.social
The US trade deficit with Vietnam (rhs) has within a few months in 2025 surpassed our deficit with Mexico (lhs). This is the closest to a "smoking gun" there is in global trade for evidence of transshipment of Chinese goods to the US. The US didn't suddenly in 2025 decide it loves Vietnamese goods.
Reposted by Steve Burtch
slangsonsports.bsky.social
In postseason history, teams taking a 2-0 lead in any best-of-seven series have gone on to take that series 78 of 93 times (83.9%)

In series with the current 2-3-2 format, teams winning both Games 1 and 2 on the road have prevailed in the series 24 of 27 times (88.9%)