Probable Pattern
@probablepattern.com
Former Marine, Musician, Professor, and Vintner
Financial Economist using R/Python and Linux
si omnibus rebus, nihil rebus
Views are not those of my employer
Financial Economist using R/Python and Linux
si omnibus rebus, nihil rebus
Views are not those of my employer
Alameda ferry departing the SF terminal. 48mm
January 15, 2026 at 4:54 PM
Alameda ferry departing the SF terminal. 48mm
Small craft advisory on the bay and the ferry is a bit splashy. The swell can’t be more than a few feet though.
January 5, 2026 at 4:46 PM
Small craft advisory on the bay and the ferry is a bit splashy. The swell can’t be more than a few feet though.
SFO and OAK air traffic control having an exciting morning with a low ceiling and almost as many planes as fleet week.
January 5, 2026 at 4:36 PM
SFO and OAK air traffic control having an exciting morning with a low ceiling and almost as many planes as fleet week.
Few if any Trump admin folks seem to be aware of the meaning of the Caribbean phrase “run Venezuela” 😄
January 4, 2026 at 3:46 PM
Few if any Trump admin folks seem to be aware of the meaning of the Caribbean phrase “run Venezuela” 😄
Macallan Rare Cask Black
January 4, 2026 at 4:33 AM
Macallan Rare Cask Black
The vibe shift between the Disney Christmas parade and the ICE commercials is jarring.
December 25, 2025 at 7:51 PM
The vibe shift between the Disney Christmas parade and the ICE commercials is jarring.
All clear at Nakatomi Plaza.
December 25, 2025 at 1:18 AM
All clear at Nakatomi Plaza.
Monarch Bear Grove at Golden Gate Park
December 21, 2025 at 10:05 PM
Monarch Bear Grove at Golden Gate Park
When gas is scarce and it’s hard to find parking in the apocalypse.
November 15, 2025 at 3:19 PM
When gas is scarce and it’s hard to find parking in the apocalypse.
The sky is slightly brighter but no other signs of the geomagnetic storm in Alameda.
November 12, 2025 at 5:51 AM
The sky is slightly brighter but no other signs of the geomagnetic storm in Alameda.
Happy Birthday Marines!
youtu.be/6Vw0jTk4rqQ...
youtu.be/6Vw0jTk4rqQ...
250th Marine Corps Birthday message
youtu.be
November 11, 2025 at 2:20 AM
Happy Birthday Marines!
youtu.be/6Vw0jTk4rqQ...
youtu.be/6Vw0jTk4rqQ...
Mamdani is officially America’s mayor.
November 5, 2025 at 2:43 AM
Mamdani is officially America’s mayor.
I can confirm that the gold is still in the NY Fed vault. It is indeed shiny :)
October 21, 2025 at 9:15 PM
I can confirm that the gold is still in the NY Fed vault. It is indeed shiny :)
Reposted by Probable Pattern
they are so close to understanding the entire point of trade
BREAKING: The US is rolling back tariffs on “products that cannot be grown, mined, or naturally produced in the United States," per WSJ
October 20, 2025 at 12:23 AM
they are so close to understanding the entire point of trade
You may wonder why the HOA hired workers to come pressure wash the property in the rain on a holiday, but just don’t ask at the monthly meeting. #DefundtheHOA
October 13, 2025 at 8:30 PM
You may wonder why the HOA hired workers to come pressure wash the property in the rain on a holiday, but just don’t ask at the monthly meeting. #DefundtheHOA
Reposted by Probable Pattern
Dill & Dingler is a shop in Portland that sells artisanal pickles and bespoke dinner bells.
October 11, 2025 at 12:30 AM
Dill & Dingler is a shop in Portland that sells artisanal pickles and bespoke dinner bells.
French Prime Minister
October 11, 2025 at 12:15 AM
French Prime Minister
Cherryblock! Sebastriani winery
October 5, 2025 at 11:20 PM
Cherryblock! Sebastriani winery
I’m just an economist, standing in front of the BLS, asking for the jobs report.
October 4, 2025 at 3:42 AM
I’m just an economist, standing in front of the BLS, asking for the jobs report.
Vice President Plastic Bertrand screaming “I am the King of the divan!”
October 4, 2025 at 1:40 AM
Vice President Plastic Bertrand screaming “I am the King of the divan!”
30 minutes These guys won’t get on the ferry and don’t have a radio. No police or coast guard in sight.
October 4, 2025 at 12:24 AM
30 minutes These guys won’t get on the ferry and don’t have a radio. No police or coast guard in sight.
Stuck in the middle of San Francisco Bay because some fools broke the mast on their Weta trimaran and didn’t bring a paddle.
October 4, 2025 at 12:17 AM
Stuck in the middle of San Francisco Bay because some fools broke the mast on their Weta trimaran and didn’t bring a paddle.
Saw a fat guy wearing a shirt that says “16:9” as in wide aspect ratio. Respect for the humor and ownership.
September 25, 2025 at 12:46 AM
Saw a fat guy wearing a shirt that says “16:9” as in wide aspect ratio. Respect for the humor and ownership.