Peter Licari
@peterlicari.bsky.social
360 followers 710 following 410 posts
Husband & Father | (Data|Social|Political) Scientist | Bad Quaker | Writer, YouTuber (http://bit.ly/2tkcGZu), & Runner | Poli Sci PhD | Often playing and overthinking things | Opinions mine; sometimes decent, always dorky
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Reposted by Peter Licari
amandamarcotte.bsky.social
For those tempted to say Young Republicans have always been this way, they really have not. When I worked on campus and did bipartisan college events after, they were very much not like this.

That’s why groups like YCT and eventually TPUSA formed — because Young Republicans weren’t radical enough.
politico.com
EXCLUSIVE: Thousands of leaked messages show leaders of Young Republican groups joking about gas chambers, slavery and rape in a private Telegram chat.

Inside rising GOP leaders’ racist chats — obtained by POLITICO and spanning more than 7 months👇
‘I love Hitler’: Leaked messages expose Young Republicans’ racist chat
Thousands of private messages reveal young GOP leaders joking about gas chambers, slavery and rape.
www.politico.com
peterlicari.bsky.social
"Warning: boundary (singular) fit"
lastbarbender.bsky.social
"Model failed to converge"

#rstats #medsky #statsky
impavid.us
In honor of spooky month, share a 4 word horror story that only someone in your profession would understand

I'll go first: Six page commercial lease.
peterlicari.bsky.social
See, this is something I would normally applaud this (or any) administration for pursuing---but I think all the pepper-spraying of priests domestically kinda erodes our moral authority and credibility on this.

www-bbc-com.cdn.ampproject.org/v/s/www.bbc....
US calls for China to release 30 leaders of influential underground church - BBC News
Zion Church, founded by pastor Jin Mingri in 2007, is one of China's largest underground church networks.
www-bbc-com.cdn.ampproject.org
peterlicari.bsky.social
In honor of spooky month, share a 4 word horror story that only someone in your profession would understand:

"Regression ran by ChatGPT"
davidryanmiller.com
In honor of spooky month, share a 4 word horror story that only someone in your profession would understand:

Model failed to converge
kevinmkruse.bsky.social
In honor of spooky month, share a 4 word horror story that only someone in your profession would understand:

Archives banned making copies.
peterlicari.bsky.social
I've said/amplified this a million times: We've all got to start posting more pets, foods, vacations, hobbies, and silliness. If you want your message to expand to others (and improve folks' sense of efficacy via diminishing dread), Bluesky has to become more than just a place about Trump.
jacobtlevy.bsky.social
One special fun thing about bluesky is that there is no volume of anti-Trump material you can post or repost in a day that will prevent the interaction:

[post about something else]

[people accuse you of being obsessed w the something else and of actively seeking to distract from the Trump crisis]
peterlicari.bsky.social
Me, coming across a niche Sci-Fi reference in a stats textbook that I'm reading for fun: "Huh, I'm beginning to think that the author of this statistics textbook is some kind of nerd"
peterlicari.bsky.social
Not gonna lie, working at a theme park can be pretty sweet most days.
peterlicari.bsky.social
Finishing @johngreensbluesky.bsky.social's "Everything is Tuberculosis" and then, coincidentally, re-reading Poe's "Annabel Lee" on the same day is sure underscoring the truth in the title of the former.
Reposted by Peter Licari
culturecrave.co
GameStop's response to one of their stores still having a 'Halo 3' mural from 2007:

"We'll take it down when something better comes out"
peterlicari.bsky.social
Spooky Pizza night! 👻
A picture of a homemade pizza in the shape of a ghost.
peterlicari.bsky.social
I tested having different AI models transcribe my chicken-scratch handwriting.

Bing Chat: 85% of the words correct, mangled some concepts.
GPT5: 90% of the words correct, less mangling.
Gemini: Basically as good as GPT5 but also said "your handwriting isn't that bad", so we have a winner.
peterlicari.bsky.social
Working at a theme park is awesome, where else in the world can you see a car with "Jesus Saves", a kim possible decalled car a car with "goth mommie", and another with ahegao faces plastered on its windows all within the same floor of the employee parking lot? Truly, the multiplicity of humanity.
Reposted by Peter Licari
randyau.com
This week on Counting Stuff. Layoffs! I'm in search for a job now! It sucks but here we are!

Now's the ideal time to give me money in exchange for time or a project. Or if you just have leads in quantitative/data/researchy positions across NYC or remotely

www.counting-stuff.com/looking-for-...
Looking for work, surprise edition
I always told my wife this newsletter was my backup plan...
www.counting-stuff.com
peterlicari.bsky.social
You're neglecting the biggest cost of all: That a smattering of people on social media with very little real-world influence will be say mean things about them.

(Not an actual excuse since the internet's toxicity is basically a constant---including when they do nothing.)
Reposted by Peter Licari
smbccomics.bsky.social
The print is back in stock, thank your patience!

smbc-store.myshopify.com/products/aut...
smbccomics.bsky.social
This print was added to our store by popular demand.

PRINT ◆ smbc-store.myshopify.com/products/aut...
ORIGINAL COMIC ◆ www.smbc-comics.com/comic/autism...
peterlicari.bsky.social
A problem with GenAI code is that you'll often get something that seems good but will fail.

That's why I'm proposing ANOTHER AI that will perfectly analyze your code and tell you, every time, exactly when that first program will terminate.

I accept venture funding in the form of blank checks.
peterlicari.bsky.social
Heavy metal fan here: I feel you.
peterlicari.bsky.social
Unsettled (Disturbed)
Maize (KoRn)
Bowline (Slipknot)
Saucepan (Skillet)
Clumsy Ben (Breaking Benjamin)

(That last one is actually pretty much how the band got its name, actually)
axialagegamer.swifties.social
Subtly downgrade a band:

The Sex Water Pistols
phosfate.bsky.social
Subtly downgrade a band:

Blandie
peterlicari.bsky.social
Some may protest that we can conclude instead that the Rapture didn't happen at all---but that would require you to incorporate *priors* into your analysis: checkmate, frequentists.
peterlicari.bsky.social
Theory: The Rapture will happen today, and the holy shall ascend into Heaven.

Hypothesis: We should see people floating into the sky.

Observation: No one is floating into the sky.

Conclusion: The Rapture happened, but God saw all our search histories so we're all stuck here.
peterlicari.bsky.social
Theory: The Rapture will happen today, and the holy shall ascend into Heaven.

Hypothesis: We should see people floating into the sky.

Observation: No one is floating into the sky.

Conclusion: The Rapture happened, but God saw all our search histories so we're all stuck here.
Reposted by Peter Licari
djnavarro.net
Against my better instincts, I have written some notes on how human probability judgements work and what you should expect from surveys that ask people to guess what proportion of the population is transgender. I hope never to speak of this matter again
Some notes on probability judgement – Notes from a data witch
For the love of fuck, literally nobody thinks that 20% of the population is transgender. Please stop sharing that ridiculous YouGov statistic
blog.djnavarro.net
peterlicari.bsky.social
Thinking about adding a question to my surveys like this except for "It's the End of the World as We Know It" and immediately disqualifying anyone who says "yes" as being a bot or a liar.
walthickey.bsky.social
had a ton of fun working on this poll with @today.yougov.com about the songs that everybody knows the lyrics to, the generational anthems are super neat

www.numlock.com/p/numlock-su...