Oliver White
@oliverdwwhite.bsky.social
580 followers 210 following 720 posts
Reading Reared Researcher
Posts Media Videos Starter Packs
Excellent piece.

Just wondering about this though👇

Is an 'encore' traditional in Saudi Arabia? I'm making the assumption that stand-up is relatively new in the country.
FoN were quite accurate at the last election, as I understand it.

But for the reasons listed below, this is why their polls look like outliers now.
Given FindOutNow polls keep making news it's worth saying a bit more about their methodology.

Unlike other online pollsters it doesn't use a panel of people who've signed up to do polls. Instead they ask a small number of Qs to people playing the Pick my Postcode lottery. (Thread)
Reposted by Oliver White
Given FindOutNow polls keep making news it's worth saying a bit more about their methodology.

Unlike other online pollsters it doesn't use a panel of people who've signed up to do polls. Instead they ask a small number of Qs to people playing the Pick my Postcode lottery. (Thread)
Reposted by Oliver White
DK PARTY SURGES TO MASSIVE 12 POINT LEAD IN NEW POLL
From the cross tabs - these figures are equally newsworthy but I think a much better reflection of vote intention

Don't know 34%
Conservative 10%
Labour 9%
Liberal Democrats 7%
Reform UK 22%
Green Party 9%
Scottish National Party (SNP) 2%
Plaid Cymru 1%
Other 5%
📊 Ref lead of 15pts
‼️ Labour and Greens tied
Westminster voting intention

REF: 32% (-)
CON: 17% (-)
GRN: 15% (-)
LAB: 15% (-2)
LDEM: 12% (-)

via @FindoutnowUK, 45945
Chgs. w/ 08 Oct
britainelects.com
This is why quality of support in election also matters.
Yes, its massive and you can see it across polling (tho FoN is worst for it).

Should be a big concern, particularly with activists not enthused for GOTV
Reposted by Oliver White
From the cross tabs - these figures are equally newsworthy but I think a much better reflection of vote intention

Don't know 34%
Conservative 10%
Labour 9%
Liberal Democrats 7%
Reform UK 22%
Green Party 9%
Scottish National Party (SNP) 2%
Plaid Cymru 1%
Other 5%
📊 Ref lead of 15pts
‼️ Labour and Greens tied
Westminster voting intention

REF: 32% (-)
CON: 17% (-)
GRN: 15% (-)
LAB: 15% (-2)
LDEM: 12% (-)

via @FindoutnowUK, 45945
Chgs. w/ 08 Oct
britainelects.com
Britain Elects | Substack
Cutting through the noise with Ben Walker. Click to read Britain Elects, a Substack publication with thousands of subscribers.
britainelects.com
Not quite; I am cynical enough to think there would be certain journalists who would publish a misleading article anyway! 😅
Perhaps my solution was a little heavy handed.

I suppose it is just part of the frustration of not seeing the repercussions for poor reporting.
I only had experience of checking the press releases too.

There were a few instances where newspapers would also check things, but I do think it needs to be more stringent / a requirement.

I realise all the difficulties that may entail, but these situations are a little ridiculous.
Before publication, to be clear.
I genuinely think we are reaching a stage where pollsters should be reviewing the articles that are produced on their work.
Some people still hate Labour for Iraq...
Labour MPs reckon that if the ceasefire holds it will be harder for opponents to mobilize against them over the Israel-Palestine issue in the next election. There are concerns though about whether the fragile agreement will hold. More in London Playbook PM.
London Playbook PM: Has he Don Keir a favor?
Presented by Rolls-Royce By EMILIO CASALICCHIO with NOAH KEATE PRESENTED BY Send tips here | Subscribe for free | Listen to Playbook and view in your browser SCOOP — LOBBY TO LOBBIED: Sky News Poli…
www.politico.eu
In the technical words of the WTO Dispute Settlement mechanism, which allows punitive tariffs for unfair trade practices...

...this is bollocks.
The numbers holding for the Greens and Lib Dems (+ 2 last wave, +1 wave before that) are probably the most interesting findings here.
Our latest Westminster voting intention (12-13 Oct) has the Greens on their highest figure ever recorded by YouGov

Reform UK: 27% (no change from 5-6 Oct)
Labour: 20% (=)
Conservatives: 17% (=)
Lib Dems: 16% (-1)
Greens: 13% (+1)
SNP: 3% (-1)

yougov.co.uk/topics/polit...
Taxes in heaven would disprove omnipotence.
Now do least favourite!
On the centenary of her birth, Margaret Thatcher is Britons' top choice for best PM of the last 50 years

Margaret Thatcher: 29%
Tony Blair: 12%
Harold Wilson: 6%
Boris Johnson: 4%
Gordon Brown: 3%
David Cameron: 3%
John Major: 2%

yougov.co.uk/topics/polit...
As for Membership, it matters.

By quantity will always outmatch quality in terms of voting.
You won't win over all people.

You'll win over other leftists.
watching the UKs green party elect an actual unafraid leftist into leadership and see party membership double in under a month is once again endless proof that if you stand up for leftist causes and treat the electorate like adults, you’ll win people over easily
"Integral" might be a better choice of words.
There is no evidence of this taking place at the protests.
Laura Kuenssberg, "Jenrick supports a person who burnt a Quran. Would it be ok if they burnt the Torah?"

Priti Patel, "As far as I know that's taken place in many of these protests that we see"
Although a Harwood post, retweeted by Hodges is, of course, cursed.
I hate this.

I journalist asking politicians 'yes' or 'no' questions, when they know, given the circumstance, that they are not going to give that type of answer.
LBC @lbc.co.uk · 6d
'Why can't you say yes or no?'

Foreign Secretary Yvette Cooper swerves @nickferrarilbc.bsky.social's question on whether Donald Trump should win the Nobel Peace Prize.
Reposted by Oliver White
Three cheers for Article 10 of the ECHR. Right, Mr Jenrick?