Oliver White
@oliverdwwhite.bsky.social
Reading Reared Researcher
It's not the *worst* analysis of polling below.
But again, it would be nice if pundits discussed their analysis with pollsters before sending for publication.
But again, it would be nice if pundits discussed their analysis with pollsters before sending for publication.
December 20, 2025 at 12:35 PM
It's not the *worst* analysis of polling below.
But again, it would be nice if pundits discussed their analysis with pollsters before sending for publication.
But again, it would be nice if pundits discussed their analysis with pollsters before sending for publication.
Verian provided the most accurate poll of the last GE.
Take that for what you will.
Take that for what you will.
Westminster Voting Intention:
RFM: 27% (+12)
CON: 21% (-3)
LAB: 18% (-17)
LDM: 15% (+3)
GRN: 13% (+6)
Via @veriangroup.com, 12-15 Dec.
Changes w/ GE2024.
RFM: 27% (+12)
CON: 21% (-3)
LAB: 18% (-17)
LDM: 15% (+3)
GRN: 13% (+6)
Via @veriangroup.com, 12-15 Dec.
Changes w/ GE2024.
December 19, 2025 at 4:30 PM
Verian provided the most accurate poll of the last GE.
Take that for what you will.
Take that for what you will.
Not a mantra, but I'd cite:
- Runcorn and Helsby
- Caerphilly
- Runcorn and Helsby
- Caerphilly
December 19, 2025 at 2:52 PM
Not a mantra, but I'd cite:
- Runcorn and Helsby
- Caerphilly
- Runcorn and Helsby
- Caerphilly
"It's not 11 year old boys who have careers... so educating them is a distraction."
This is just utterly disgraceful and dangerous stuff from Badenoch.
It's appalling that the leader of a major party should be engaging in this sort of rhetoric
It's appalling that the leader of a major party should be engaging in this sort of rhetoric
December 19, 2025 at 8:46 AM
"It's not 11 year old boys who have careers... so educating them is a distraction."
My niece has started talking.
Her favourite word is 'Cake'.
She is saying it so much that it is annoying my Mum when babysitting.
I am very happy! 🍰😀
Her favourite word is 'Cake'.
She is saying it so much that it is annoying my Mum when babysitting.
I am very happy! 🍰😀
December 18, 2025 at 10:43 AM
My niece has started talking.
Her favourite word is 'Cake'.
She is saying it so much that it is annoying my Mum when babysitting.
I am very happy! 🍰😀
Her favourite word is 'Cake'.
She is saying it so much that it is annoying my Mum when babysitting.
I am very happy! 🍰😀
"It's a perfect opportunity to humanise their brand." said a Spokesperson from OpenAI.
OpenAI hires George Osborne to spearhead global ‘Stargate’ expansion ft.trib.al/kpZiA3a
OpenAI hires George Osborne to spearhead global ‘Stargate’ expansion
Former UK chancellor to lead start-up’s effort to spread ‘democratic’ AI across the world
ft.trib.al
December 16, 2025 at 8:43 PM
"It's a perfect opportunity to humanise their brand." said a Spokesperson from OpenAI.
Wait... Only 1 Star?
The idea of a Telegraph columnist getting a parking ticket is hilarious to me...
www.telegraph.co.uk/films/2025/1...
The idea of a Telegraph columnist getting a parking ticket is hilarious to me...
www.telegraph.co.uk/films/2025/1...
Jimmy Carr’s Downton Abbey spoof is about as funny as a parking ticket
Fackham Hall features four jokes and a cast almost entirely lacking in comedy pedigree
www.telegraph.co.uk
December 16, 2025 at 1:17 PM
Wait... Only 1 Star?
The idea of a Telegraph columnist getting a parking ticket is hilarious to me...
www.telegraph.co.uk/films/2025/1...
The idea of a Telegraph columnist getting a parking ticket is hilarious to me...
www.telegraph.co.uk/films/2025/1...
Oh, shut the hell up.
December 16, 2025 at 7:42 AM
Oh, shut the hell up.
1984, but a reality show...
Wait...
Wait...
December 13, 2025 at 9:46 AM
1984, but a reality show...
Wait...
Wait...
Prime election data right here 👇
Whitburn and Blackburn (West Lothian) by-election, most popular second preference by party:
Reform <-> Conservative
SNP <-> Green
Labour -> Lib Dem
Ind Lynch -> SNP
Lib Dem -> SNP
Ind Millar -> Ind Lynch
Reform <-> Conservative
SNP <-> Green
Labour -> Lib Dem
Ind Lynch -> SNP
Lib Dem -> SNP
Ind Millar -> Ind Lynch
December 12, 2025 at 5:45 PM
Prime election data right here 👇
This is one thing that being close to politics makes it difficult for me to understand.
The inability of some to make the 'least worse option' choice when you have a transferable vote.
The inability of some to make the 'least worse option' choice when you have a transferable vote.
Whitburn and Blackburn (West Lothian) by-election transfers, votes at final head-to-head stage:
Reform UK: 1411 (38.4%)
SNP: 1387 (37.7%)
Didn't Transfer: 877 (23.9%)
Just 24 votes in it after transfers!
Reform UK: 1411 (38.4%)
SNP: 1387 (37.7%)
Didn't Transfer: 877 (23.9%)
Just 24 votes in it after transfers!
December 12, 2025 at 5:42 PM
This is one thing that being close to politics makes it difficult for me to understand.
The inability of some to make the 'least worse option' choice when you have a transferable vote.
The inability of some to make the 'least worse option' choice when you have a transferable vote.
"All schoolboys were once obsessed with Hitler."
What is your evidence for this? Downfall memes?
What is your evidence for this? Downfall memes?
So we've gone from "he never said anything Nazi" to "well he might have said something Nazi but not in a hurtful way" to "well okay he probably did say something Nazi in a hurtful way, but didn't we all?"
December 10, 2025 at 10:30 AM
"All schoolboys were once obsessed with Hitler."
What is your evidence for this? Downfall memes?
What is your evidence for this? Downfall memes?
Reposted by Oliver White
At some point politics people are going to stop thinking military people and businessmen are magic.
You'd think a quick look at procurement would do it but...
You'd think a quick look at procurement would do it but...
Al Carns - apparently nicknamed Action Man - floated as a potential future party leader and Prime Minister at PoliticsHome
www.politicshome.com/news/article...
www.politicshome.com/news/article...
Former Marine Emerges As Surprise Name In Race To Succeed Keir Starmer
Armed forces minister Al Carns is being discussed as a wildcard candidate to succeed Keir Starmer.
www.politicshome.com
December 9, 2025 at 2:26 PM
At some point politics people are going to stop thinking military people and businessmen are magic.
You'd think a quick look at procurement would do it but...
You'd think a quick look at procurement would do it but...
Oh great...
We're divided on that as well.... 🙄
We're divided on that as well.... 🙄
Customs union 10-minute rule bill passed by MPs - on casting vote of deputy speaker after 100 votes for, 100 against tie - www.theguardian.com/politics/liv...
December 9, 2025 at 3:20 PM
Oh great...
We're divided on that as well.... 🙄
We're divided on that as well.... 🙄
"... we're all dead." - Keynes.
December 8, 2025 at 5:51 PM
"... we're all dead." - Keynes.
Once again, begging for the Commentariat to realise,
that not every political leader needs (or deserves) an '-ism'.
that not every political leader needs (or deserves) an '-ism'.
December 5, 2025 at 4:14 PM
Once again, begging for the Commentariat to realise,
that not every political leader needs (or deserves) an '-ism'.
that not every political leader needs (or deserves) an '-ism'.
Obviously, the purpose here is *not* to mend her legacy.
No reasonable ex-PM trying to do so would use the term "counter-revolution".
No reasonable ex-PM trying to do so would use the term "counter-revolution".
Britain’s shortest-serving Prime Minister Liz Truss is launching her own YouTube show.
She wants it to be the home of a “counter-revolution.”
She wants it to be the home of a “counter-revolution.”
From prime minister to shock jock: Liz Truss gets her own YouTube show
“The Deep State tried to destroy me but now I’m back and excited to launch this show,” former PM says.
www.politico.eu
December 5, 2025 at 1:45 PM
Obviously, the purpose here is *not* to mend her legacy.
No reasonable ex-PM trying to do so would use the term "counter-revolution".
No reasonable ex-PM trying to do so would use the term "counter-revolution".
He didn't need to specify that he had no shame...
Robert Jenrick: ‘I’m unashamedly provincial in my attitudes’ on.ft.com/44Sho0O
Robert Jenrick: ‘I’m unashamedly provincial in my attitudes’
The UK shadow justice secretary on embracing populism, his political ambitions — and whether there will be an alliance with Reform
on.ft.com
December 5, 2025 at 12:47 PM
He didn't need to specify that he had no shame...
Think Find Out Now should be taken as indication of 'keenness' to go out and vote for a party.
Westminster Voting Intention:
RFM: 31% (=)
CON: 20% (+2)
GRN: 18% (+1)
LAB: 14% (-1)
LDM: 11% (-1)
SNP: 3% (=)
Via @findoutnow.bsky.social, 3 Dec.
Changes w/ 26 Nov.
RFM: 31% (=)
CON: 20% (+2)
GRN: 18% (+1)
LAB: 14% (-1)
LDM: 11% (-1)
SNP: 3% (=)
Via @findoutnow.bsky.social, 3 Dec.
Changes w/ 26 Nov.
December 4, 2025 at 2:43 PM
Think Find Out Now should be taken as indication of 'keenness' to go out and vote for a party.
Sorry, but who on earth signed off on this description:
"Exclusive data findings show 50 seats the Greens can win on current polling"
When many of the 50 seats that they would currently 'Win' have them coming 2nd or 3rd!!!
"Exclusive data findings show 50 seats the Greens can win on current polling"
When many of the 50 seats that they would currently 'Win' have them coming 2nd or 3rd!!!
December 2, 2025 at 7:46 PM
Sorry, but who on earth signed off on this description:
"Exclusive data findings show 50 seats the Greens can win on current polling"
When many of the 50 seats that they would currently 'Win' have them coming 2nd or 3rd!!!
"Exclusive data findings show 50 seats the Greens can win on current polling"
When many of the 50 seats that they would currently 'Win' have them coming 2nd or 3rd!!!
Lady on the train reading 'The Lathe of Heaven' by Ursula Le Guin.
There is hope...
There is hope...
December 1, 2025 at 8:45 PM
Lady on the train reading 'The Lathe of Heaven' by Ursula Le Guin.
There is hope...
There is hope...
What is particularly notable:
- 56% support Rejoining
- 48 & 49% support joining the Customs Union and Single Market respectively
At the same time, Rejoining has greater opposition as well.
Details of the EU's two most important economic institutions still evading most Britons?
- 56% support Rejoining
- 48 & 49% support joining the Customs Union and Single Market respectively
At the same time, Rejoining has greater opposition as well.
Details of the EU's two most important economic institutions still evading most Britons?
Starmer declaring “we have to keep moving towards a closer relationship with the EU” is a significant moment.
Reflects transformation in public opinion + need for economic growth.
Reflects transformation in public opinion + need for economic growth.
December 1, 2025 at 2:04 PM
What is particularly notable:
- 56% support Rejoining
- 48 & 49% support joining the Customs Union and Single Market respectively
At the same time, Rejoining has greater opposition as well.
Details of the EU's two most important economic institutions still evading most Britons?
- 56% support Rejoining
- 48 & 49% support joining the Customs Union and Single Market respectively
At the same time, Rejoining has greater opposition as well.
Details of the EU's two most important economic institutions still evading most Britons?
Or "That's an indication of a monopoly which needs to be busted."
On every public policy committee I sat on - gambling, drugs, animal experiments, law of homicide and others - someone would ask ‘But what would the Daily Mail say about our recommendations?’ I now regret that we never gave the right answer. ‘We shouldn’t care.’
November 30, 2025 at 9:43 AM
Or "That's an indication of a monopoly which needs to be busted."
How can you have entryism for a new party?!?
Chaos has engulfed the first 24 hours of the inaugural 'Your Party' conference in Liverpool, with Zarah Sultana boycotting the first day of the event, Jeremy Corbyn facing "witch-hunt" allegations, and an entryism row
@siennarodgers.bsky.social & @tomscotson.bsky.social report from Merseyside
@siennarodgers.bsky.social & @tomscotson.bsky.social report from Merseyside
“End The Witch-hunt”: The First 24 Hours At The Chaotic ‘Your Party’ Conference
Chaos has engulfed the first 24 hours of the inaugural conference of ‘Your Party’, the new political party being founded by Jeremy Corbyn, Zarah Su...
www.politicshome.com
November 29, 2025 at 7:44 PM
How can you have entryism for a new party?!?
If there was ever a poll to indicate the chaos of FPTP under a multiparty system...
UK (GB), BMG Research poll:
REFORM~NI: 30% (-5)
LAB-S&D: 22% (+2)
CON~ECR: 20% (+3)
LDEM-RE: 12% (-1)
GREENS-G/EFA: 12% (+5)
SNP-G/EFA: 2%
+/- vs. 26-28 August 2025
Fieldwork: 26-27 November 2025
Sample size: 1,548
➤ europeelects.eu/uk
REFORM~NI: 30% (-5)
LAB-S&D: 22% (+2)
CON~ECR: 20% (+3)
LDEM-RE: 12% (-1)
GREENS-G/EFA: 12% (+5)
SNP-G/EFA: 2%
+/- vs. 26-28 August 2025
Fieldwork: 26-27 November 2025
Sample size: 1,548
➤ europeelects.eu/uk
November 29, 2025 at 10:11 AM
If there was ever a poll to indicate the chaos of FPTP under a multiparty system...