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Europe Elects @europeelects.bsky.social · 5m

Poland, Opinia24 poll:

KO-EPP|RE|G/EFA: 31.5% (-3)
PiS-ECR: 30.5% (+1.5)
Kon-ESN|PfE: 15.5%
KKP-NI: 7% (new)
Lewica-S&D: 5.5% (-3)
Razem-LEFT: 5.5% (+1.5)
PSL-EPP: 2% (new)
PL2050-RE: 2% (new)

+/- vs. 06-07 May 2025

Fieldwork: 13-14 October 2025
Sample size: 1,001

➤ europeelects.eu/poland

Europe Elects @europeelects.bsky.social · 36m

Poland, United Surveys poll:

KO-EPP|RE|G/EFA: 32%
PiS-ECR: 31%
Kon-ESN|PfE: 15% (-1)
Lewica-S&D: 8%
KKP-NI: 7% (+3)
PSL-EPP: 4% (-1)
Razem-LEFT: 3% (+1)
PL2050-RE: 2%

+/- vs. 26-28 September 2025

Fieldwork: 10-12 October 2025
Sample size: 1,000

➤ europeelects.eu/poland

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Europe Elects @europeelects.bsky.social · 2h

Finland, Verian poll:

SDP-S&D: 25%
Kok.-EPP: 18%
Kesk.-RE: 16%
PS-ECR: 13% (+2)
Vas.-LEFT: 9% (−1)
Vihr.-G/EFA: 9%
SFP-RE: 4%
KD-EPP: 3%
Liik.~NI: 2% (+1)

+/− vs. August–September 2025

Fieldwork: 15 September–12 October 2025
Sample size: 3,598

➤https://europeelects.eu/finland

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Europe Elects @europeelects.bsky.social · 12h

UK (GB), YouGov poll:

REFORM~NI: 27%
LAB-S&D: 20%
CON~ECR: 17%
LDEM-RE: 16% (-1)
GREENS-G/EFA: 13% (+1)
SNP-G/EFA: 3% (-1)
PC-G/EFA: 1%

+/- vs. 5-6 October 2025

Fieldwork: 13-14 October 2025
Sample size: 2,321

➤ europeelects.eu/uk

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Europe Elects @europeelects.bsky.social · 15h

Portugal, Pitagórica poll:

Presidential election

Gouveia e Melo (*): 27% (-9)
M. Mendes (*-EPP): 20.5% (-5)
Seguro (PS-S&D): 18.5% (+4.5)
Ventura (CH-PfE): 14% (+1)
Cotrim (IL-RE): 9% (new)
...

+/- vs. 23-27 February 2025

Fieldwork: 06-10 October 2025
Sample size: 625

➤ europeelects.eu/portugal

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Europe Elects @europeelects.bsky.social · 15h

Portugal, Intercampus poll:

Presidential election

Gouveia e Melo (*): 22% (+3)
M. Mendes (*-EPP): 20% (+4)
Ventura (CH-PfE): 19% (+5)
Seguro (PS-S&D): 10% (-4)
Cotrim (IL-RE): 10% (+1)
...

+/- vs. 07-14 August 2025

Fieldwork: 01-08 October 2025
Sample size: 802

➤ europeelects.eu/portugal

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Europe Elects @europeelects.bsky.social · 15h

Portugal, final election result:

Local elections, mayorships won

PSD-EPP: 135 (+21)
PS-S&D: 127 (-21)
Ind.-*: 20 (+1)
CDU-LEFT|G/EFA: 12 (-7)
CDS-EPP: 7 (+1)
CH-PfE: 3 (+3)
NC-*: 2 (+2)
JPP-RE: 1
L-G/EFA: 1

+/- vs. 2021 election

➤ http://europeelects.eu/portugal

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Europe Elects @europeelects.bsky.social · 15h

Portugal, Final election result:

Local election

PSD+ (EPP): 34.3% (+2.2)
PS+ (S&D): 33.1% (-4.0)
CH (PfE): 11.9% (+7.7)
CDU (LEFT|Greens/EFA): 5.7% (-2.5)
Ind. (*): 5.6% (+0.1)
IL (RE): 1.6% (+0.3)
CDS+ (EPP): 1.3% (-0.6)
...

+/- vs. Last election result

➤ europeelects.eu/portugal

1 1 3

Europe Elects @europeelects.bsky.social · 16h

Portugal, Final election result:

Lisbon city council seat projection

PSD/CDS/IL-EPP|RE: 8 (+1)
PS/L/BE/PAN-S&D|G/EFA|LEFT: 6 (-2)
CH-PfE: 2 (+2)
CDU-LEFT|G/EFA: 1 (-1)

+/- vs. Last election result

➤ europeelects.eu/portugal

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Europe Elects @europeelects.bsky.social · 16h

Portugal, Final election result:

Lisbon mayoral election

Moedas (PSD/CDS/IL-EPP|RE): 41.7% (+2.0)
Leitão (PS/L/BE/PAN-S&D|G/EFA|LEFT): 34.0% (-9.6)
Mascarenhas (CH-PfE): 10.1% (+5.5)
J. Ferreira (CDU-LEFT|Greens/EFA): 10.1% (-0.8)
...

+/- vs. Last election result

➤ europeelects.eu/portugal

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Europe Elects @europeelects.bsky.social · 16h

Italy (Tuscany): Eugenio Giani (PD-S&D) wins the election with 53.9% of the vote against Alessandro Tomasi (FdI-ECR).

The left-wing alliance (S&D|LEFT|RE|Greens/EFA) retains the presidency of the region

➤ europeelects.eu/italy

#Toscana #Regionali2025

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Europe Elects @europeelects.bsky.social · 20h

Netherlands, Verian poll:

Seat projection national parliament

PVV-PfE: 31 (-3)
GL/PvdA-G/EFA|S&D: 25 (+2)
CDA-EPP: 23
VVD-RE: 14
D66-RE: 14 (+3)
JA21~ECR: 13 (+2)
FvD-ESN: 5 (+1)
...

+/- vs. 26-29 September 2025

Fieldwork: 10-13 October 2025
Sample size: 1,566

➤ europeelects.eu/netherlands

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Europe Elects @europeelects.bsky.social · 21h

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Europe Elects @europeelects.bsky.social · 21h

Italy, Final election result:

Tuscany regional presidential election

Giani (PD-S&D): 53.9% (+5.3)
Tomasi (FdI-ECR): 40.9% (+0.4)
Bundu (*~LEFT): 5.2% (+3.0)

+/- vs. 2020 election result

➤ europeelects.eu/italy

#Toscana #Regionali2025

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Europe Elects @europeelects.bsky.social · 1d

Italy, Tuscany regional elections:

2356/3922 polling stations counted

Giani (PD-S&D): 54.0%
Tomasi (FdI-ECR): 40.9%
Bundu (*~LEFT): 5.2%

➤ http://europeelects.eu/italy

#Toscana #Regionali2025

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Europe Elects @europeelects.bsky.social · 1d

Spain, SocioMétrica poll:

PP-EPP: 34% (-1)
PSOE-S&D: 27% (+1)
VOX-PfE: 17% (+1)
Sumar-LEFT|G/EFA: 6% (-1)
Podemos-LEFT: 4%
ERC-G/EFA: 2%
Junts-NI: 2%
SALF-ECR|NI: 2%
EH Bildu-LEFT: 1% (-1)
...

+/- vs. 26-29 August 2025

Fieldwork: 06-10 October 2025
Sample size: 900

➤ europeelects.eu/spain

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Europe Elects @europeelects.bsky.social · 1d

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Europe Elects @europeelects.bsky.social · 1d

Italy, Tuscany regional elections:

795/3922 polling stations counted

Giani (PD-S&D): 54.0% (+5.4)
Tomasi (FdI-ECR): 40.9% (+0.4)
Bundu (*~LEFT): 5.1% (+2.9)

+/- vs. 2020 election result

➤ europeelects.eu/italy

#Toscana #Regionali2025

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Europe Elects @europeelects.bsky.social · 1d

Italy, 2nd Opinio projection

Tuscany regional presidential election

Giani (PD-S&D): 54.9% (+0.3)
Tomasi (FdI-ECR): 40.1% (-0.5)
Bundu (*~LEFT): 5.0% (+0.2)

+/- vs. 1st projection

➤ europeelects.eu/italy

#Toscana #Regionali2025

7

Europe Elects @europeelects.bsky.social · 1d

Italy, 2nd SWG projection:

Tuscany regional presidential election

Giani (PD-S&D): 55.0% (-0.8)
Tomasi (FdI-ECR): 39.2% (+0.2)
Bundu (*~LEFT): 5.8% (+0.6)

+/- vs. 1st projection

➤ http://europeelects.eu/italy

#Toscana #Regionali2025

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Europe Elects @europeelects.bsky.social · 1d

Serbia, CRTA poll:

Scenario: Vučić list (SNS+-EPP) vs. student list

Student list-*: 51%
SNS+-EPP: 37%

Fieldwork: 13-27 September 2025
Sample size: 2020

➤ europeelects.eu/serbia

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Europe Elects @europeelects.bsky.social · 1d

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Europe Elects @europeelects.bsky.social · 1d

Italy, Tuscany regional elections yesterday and today:

Final Turnout

1995: 85.1%
2000: 74.63%
2005: 71.35%*
2010: 60.71%*
2015: 48.28%
2020: 62.60%*
2025: 47.73%(-14.87)*

*Election held in two days

Source: Ministero dell'Interno

➤ europeelects.eu/italy

#Toscana #Regionali2025

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Europe Elects @europeelects.bsky.social · 1d

Italy, SWG projection:

Tuscany regional presidential election

Giani (PD-S&D): 55.8% (+7.2)
Tomasi (FdI-ECR): 39.0% (-1.5)
Bundu (*-LEFT|S&D): 5.2% (+3.0)

+/- vs. 2020 election result

➤ europeelects.eu/italy

#Toscana #Regionali2025

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Europe Elects @europeelects.bsky.social · 1d

Italy, Opinio projection:

Tuscany regional presidential election

Giani (PD-S&D): 54.6%
Tomasi (FdI-ECR): 40.6%
Bundu (*-LEFT|S&D): 4.8%

➤ europeelects.eu/italy

#Toscana #Regionali2025

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