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Mike Madowitz

@mikemadowitz.bsky.social

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Mike Madowitz @mikemadowitz.bsky.social · Sep 12

Refreshed this

Ping if I missed you!

Reposted by Mike Madowitz

Ned Resnikoff @resnikoff.bsky.social · 1h

Some thoughts on SB 79 and how YIMBYs finally did it: publiccomment.blog/p/happy-hour...

Happy Hour Power

Why YIMBYs just won big in California

publiccomment.blog

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Mike Madowitz @mikemadowitz.bsky.social · 1h

Huge propaganda error invading cities full of people cooler than you during Spirit Halloween Season

GHOULLIKEHELLMACHINE @golikehellmachine.com · 1h

the inflatable costume thing is an extremely smart tactic

GHOULLIKEHELLMACHINE @golikehellmachine.com · 1h

my father (a retired white engineer who has been in oklahoma for 40 years) is my weathervane for what normal people who just watch the news periodically think, and he was like “so, they want to call the guard out on a bunch of kids wearing frog suits? is that true?”, the admin is losing the PR war

Reposted by Mike Madowitz

Daniel Zhao @danielzhao.bsky.social · 2d

September CPI will be released in two weeks on Friday, Oct 24, 2025 at 8:30 AM ET to accommodate the SSA COLA adjustments despite the government shutdown.

Jobs report won't be released though

www.bls.gov/bls/092025-c...

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Mike Madowitz @mikemadowitz.bsky.social · 2d

Don’t despair it’s not just academia! Expertise slightly closer to policy making has been tough sledding since the financial crisis got worse since 2016 and is especially bleak lately

Reposted by Mike Madowitz

Aaron Sojourner @aaronsojourner.org · 2d

If your research aligns with @upjohninstitute.bsky.social's mission, we would consider hosting. Lots of great folks here.
www.upjohn.org/about

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Mike Madowitz @mikemadowitz.bsky.social · 3d

I know this is inconvenient , but I’m probably not asking you to break any federal laws or anything

Mike Madowitz @mikemadowitz.bsky.social · 3d

I mean, it is important!
But so is collection!

Mike Madowitz @mikemadowitz.bsky.social · 3d

IDK, I’m neither sourced nor a shutdown expert. Really hope he gets to phone a friend

Mike Madowitz @mikemadowitz.bsky.social · 3d

Do they get to pull people off furlough to help? This is, like, a hyper-specific anxiety dream of mine

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Mike Madowitz @mikemadowitz.bsky.social · 3d

A statistical release Army of One!

Quite literally! The entire BLS is furloughed except the Comissioner* per contingency plan

www.dol.gov/sites/dolgov...

*acting commissioner

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Mike Madowitz @mikemadowitz.bsky.social · 4d

Always fun to get an @andrewvandam.bsky.social read like this

Column | Why this one area of cities is usually the poorest

Research reveals industrial pollution’s historical link to urban poverty, with eastern parts of cities often more impoverished because of prevailing winds.

wapo.st

Mike Madowitz @mikemadowitz.bsky.social · 8d

We used to be a country

Mike Madowitz @mikemadowitz.bsky.social · 9d

I mean, they really nailed the headline this time

The Jobs Report That Wasn’t Leaves Economists Guessing

www.nytimes.com

Mike Madowitz @mikemadowitz.bsky.social · 9d

queso, what are we, monsters?

Reposted by Mike Madowitz

Aaron Sojourner @aaronsojourner.org · 10d

"The government shutdown is expected to delay the Labor Dept. report, leaving more questions about the health of the economy.

"Labor economist [me] said the jobs report... is the 'most important economic data release in the world. Period.'”
foxbaltimore.com/news/nation-...

The government shutdown is expected to delay the Labor Department report, leaving more questions about the health of the economy.

Labor economist Aaron Sojourner said the jobs report from the government, which comes out the first Friday of each month, is the “most important economic data release in the world. Period.”

Those monthly updates on the health of the American labor market are closely watched by investors to understand how the economy is changing.

“Billions of dollars of investment sort of shift on this report,” Sojourner said. “It's not perfect. It's an estimate. It's incredibly challenging to measure the 160 million, roughly, jobs in the economy in real time.”

But he said it’s the best available information at the time it’s released.

And the shutdown-induced delay in the release of the jobs data “clouds everyone's view of the economy.”

“Everybody is making high-stakes decisions with sort of worse information, worse visibility into what's happening around them,” said Sojourner, who works for the W.E. Upjohn Institute for Employment Research.

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Reposted by Mike Madowitz

Conor Sen @conorsen.bsky.social · 10d

Challenger hiring intentions for September way down vs last September — once employers hear that Congress cut taxes months ago I’m sure that’ll change:

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Mike Madowitz @mikemadowitz.bsky.social · 10d

This is quote isn't super germane to the article, but you gotta respect @nicktimiraos.bsky.social for getting good material into a great writeup!

www.wsj.com/politics/pol...

Mike Madowitz @mikemadowitz.bsky.social · 10d

"So you're saying there's a chance!"
-Kevin Hassett

MarketTwits @markettwits.bsky.social · 10d

HASSETT WANTS FED TO KEEP CUTTING RATES AGGRESSIVELY - PUNCHBOWL

Mike Madowitz @mikemadowitz.bsky.social · 10d

Matches BLS trend for the last 3 months.

The weird part is it doesn't make sense w/ HH survey--I wrote this up briefly for the limbic October jobs day rooseveltinstitute.org/blog/mixed-s...

Mixed Signals on Job Gains for Women - Roosevelt Institute

One of the bigger economic puzzles of 2025 is what is going on with women in the labor market. The monthly Employment Situation report uses two separate surveys—one for households and one for business...

rooseveltinstitute.org

Mike Madowitz @mikemadowitz.bsky.social · 11d

Remember, it’s not a bubble til @elsevierconnect.bsky.social introduces vibe peer review

Microsoft launches ‘vibe working’ in Excel and Word

Vibe working is all about Office’s new Agent Mode.

www.theverge.com

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Mike Madowitz @mikemadowitz.bsky.social · 11d

Have played this tool,
Have worked with Austin

Can confirm both are cool!

Austin Clemens @austinclemens2.bsky.social · 11d

This coming Monday, October 6th, I'm doing a 1 hour event talking about @equitablegrowth.bsky.social's inequality tracker and new gov data on inequality. Anyone can join, come check it out! (registration link in the next skeet)

A stacked bar graph showing the evolution of income for bottom 50% households over the course of the last economic expansion (2009-2019). It shows that these households saw their income growth by a bit less than 30%, compared to about 41% for top 10% households.

The stacked bars show what components of income made up this growth. About half was from wages, with most of the rest from increased transfer payments.

Mike Madowitz @mikemadowitz.bsky.social · 11d

You: panicking about noosy ADP data
Me:
www.nytimes.com/2025/09/30/b...

Mike Madowitz @mikemadowitz.bsky.social · 11d

If you care about public access to the best data in the world, you owe some thanks to Bill Beech, @ericagroshen.bsky.social and Friends of BLS today

www.friendsofbls.org/updates/2025...

Statement of the Friends of BLS on the White House’s Withdrawal of Dr. Antoni’s Nomination — The Friends of the Bureau of Labor Statistics

Following the withdrawal of Dr. Antoni’s nomination, the Friends of BLS urges President Trump to find a new nominee who possesses the key characteristics identified by the Friends in our statement of ...

www.friendsofbls.org

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Reposted by Mike Madowitz

David Wessel @davidmwessel.bsky.social · 11d

Former Fed staffer(now ISI/Evercore) John Roberts' model-based analysis of Fed’s latest economic projections finds median SEP outlook reverses hawkish tilt introduced in June & is more clearly consistent with an approach of “looking through” the effects of tariffs on inflation.

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Reposted by Mike Madowitz

Elizabeth Weber Handwerker @elizwebhand.bsky.social · 11d

And now I start working my way through that list. I'm glad to have some extra time for home production in the middle of my holiday season, but frustrated to be forced to pause what I was in the middle of doing yesterday.

And I really don't like the look of this: kalshi.com/markets/kxgo...

Days of government shutdown | Trade on Kalshi

Track what Kalshi's markets predict for "Days of government shutdown", or trade it yourself.

kalshi.com

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