Jos Olivier
@josolivier.bsky.social
Retired scientist* on greenhouse gas emission sources and energy use: estimates, trends, targets, climate, mitigation & science (incl global pollution). RT ≠ endorsement. Born ±315 ppmv CO2.
*Formerly at Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency (#PBL).
*Formerly at Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency (#PBL).
Pinned
Jos Olivier
@josolivier.bsky.social
· Dec 29
IPCC chart that provides the road map for an escape from catastrophe. It assesses with extraordinary clarity the potential for emissions cuts of more than 40 options:
The narwhals stop calling’: how the noise from ships is silencing wildlife in the Arctic5.
Narwhals near Baffin Island!.
Evidence that the whales and other marine animals are particularly vulnerable to sound is driving calls for quieter vessels.
www.theguardian.com/environment/...
Narwhals near Baffin Island!.
Evidence that the whales and other marine animals are particularly vulnerable to sound is driving calls for quieter vessels.
www.theguardian.com/environment/...
‘The narwhals stop calling’: how the noise from ships is silencing wildlife in the Arctic
Evidence that the whales and other marine animals are particularly vulnerable to sound is driving calls for quieter vessels
www.theguardian.com
December 11, 2025 at 5:50 PM
The narwhals stop calling’: how the noise from ships is silencing wildlife in the Arctic5.
Narwhals near Baffin Island!.
Evidence that the whales and other marine animals are particularly vulnerable to sound is driving calls for quieter vessels.
www.theguardian.com/environment/...
Narwhals near Baffin Island!.
Evidence that the whales and other marine animals are particularly vulnerable to sound is driving calls for quieter vessels.
www.theguardian.com/environment/...
Economic growth no longer linked to carbon emissions in most of the world, study finds.
Analysis marking 10 years since Paris climate agreement underscores effectiveness of strong government policies.
www.theguardian.com/environment/...
Analysis marking 10 years since Paris climate agreement underscores effectiveness of strong government policies.
www.theguardian.com/environment/...
Economic growth no longer linked to carbon emissions in most of the world, study finds
Analysis marking 10 years since Paris climate agreement underscores effectiveness of strong government policies
www.theguardian.com
December 11, 2025 at 5:38 PM
Economic growth no longer linked to carbon emissions in most of the world, study finds.
Analysis marking 10 years since Paris climate agreement underscores effectiveness of strong government policies.
www.theguardian.com/environment/...
Analysis marking 10 years since Paris climate agreement underscores effectiveness of strong government policies.
www.theguardian.com/environment/...
Reposted by Jos Olivier
In a new article over at Carbon Brief, I explore why the past three years – 2023, 2024, and 2025 – have been exceptionally warm. The main culprits turn out to be a combination of El Nino and internal variability, declining aerosols, and a strong solar cycle: www.carbonbrief.org/...
December 11, 2025 at 4:34 PM
In a new article over at Carbon Brief, I explore why the past three years – 2023, 2024, and 2025 – have been exceptionally warm. The main culprits turn out to be a combination of El Nino and internal variability, declining aerosols, and a strong solar cycle: www.carbonbrief.org/...
Reposted by Jos Olivier
In @nytopinion.nytimes.com
“America’s defense industry, like so much of the economy, has lost the ability to build quickly and effectively,” the editorial board writes. Here’s how they argue that it can be fixed.
“America’s defense industry, like so much of the economy, has lost the ability to build quickly and effectively,” the editorial board writes. Here’s how they argue that it can be fixed.
Opinion | America Can’t Make What the Military Needs
The U.S. defense industry has lost the ability to build quickly and effectively.
nyti.ms
December 11, 2025 at 5:30 PM
In @nytopinion.nytimes.com
“America’s defense industry, like so much of the economy, has lost the ability to build quickly and effectively,” the editorial board writes. Here’s how they argue that it can be fixed.
“America’s defense industry, like so much of the economy, has lost the ability to build quickly and effectively,” the editorial board writes. Here’s how they argue that it can be fixed.
Reposted by Jos Olivier
Ahead of the 1st plenary of the Intergovernmental Science-Policy Panel on Chemicals, Waste and Pollution (ISP-CWP) in Feb 2026, #IPCC Chair Jim Skea contributed to today´s discussion at #UNEA7 side event, offering relevant examples and experiences from the IPCC that the new Panel could build on.
December 11, 2025 at 5:30 PM
Synthetic chemicals in food system creating health burden of $2.2tn a year, report finds.
Scientists issue urgent warning about chemicals, found to cause cancer and infertility as well as harming environment.
www.theguardian.com/environment/...
Scientists issue urgent warning about chemicals, found to cause cancer and infertility as well as harming environment.
www.theguardian.com/environment/...
Synthetic chemicals in food system creating health burden of $2.2tn a year, report finds
Scientists issue urgent warning about chemicals, found to cause cancer and infertility as well as harming environment
www.theguardian.com
December 11, 2025 at 5:31 PM
Synthetic chemicals in food system creating health burden of $2.2tn a year, report finds.
Scientists issue urgent warning about chemicals, found to cause cancer and infertility as well as harming environment.
www.theguardian.com/environment/...
Scientists issue urgent warning about chemicals, found to cause cancer and infertility as well as harming environment.
www.theguardian.com/environment/...
Italiaanse sterauteur Giuliano da Empoli: ‘De Europese reactie op de machtspolitiek van de VS is ronduit beschamend’.
www.nrc.nl/nieuws/2025/...
www.nrc.nl/nieuws/2025/...
Italiaanse sterauteur Giuliano da Empoli: ‘De Europese reactie op de machtspolitiek van de VS is ronduit beschamend’
Giuliano da Empoli | politicoloog en schrijver: De Italiaans-Zwitserse politicoloog en schrijver Giuliano da Empoli kent de internationale politiek van binnen en buiten. Tot zijn frustratie reageert E...
www.nrc.nl
December 11, 2025 at 12:44 PM
Italiaanse sterauteur Giuliano da Empoli: ‘De Europese reactie op de machtspolitiek van de VS is ronduit beschamend’.
www.nrc.nl/nieuws/2025/...
www.nrc.nl/nieuws/2025/...
Is this a real or fake meßage??? This must be a.porady!!!!
I just read this out loud to my wife. If you have a spouse or partner, try it, especially if they don’t know what’s coming. Hearing it out loud makes the bonkers-ness sink in.
Reading this to unsuspecting people should be a TikTok meme.
Reading this to unsuspecting people should be a TikTok meme.
Every part of this is bonkers. The intro is bonkers. The transition to his health is bonkers. The mention that other presidents didn't need cognitive exams is bonkers. The claim that this screening test is somehow hard is bonkers. The idea that criticism of him is treason is bonkers. All of it.
December 10, 2025 at 10:09 AM
Is this a real or fake meßage??? This must be a.porady!!!!
Reposted by Jos Olivier
I just read this out loud to my wife. If you have a spouse or partner, try it, especially if they don’t know what’s coming. Hearing it out loud makes the bonkers-ness sink in.
Reading this to unsuspecting people should be a TikTok meme.
Reading this to unsuspecting people should be a TikTok meme.
Every part of this is bonkers. The intro is bonkers. The transition to his health is bonkers. The mention that other presidents didn't need cognitive exams is bonkers. The claim that this screening test is somehow hard is bonkers. The idea that criticism of him is treason is bonkers. All of it.
December 10, 2025 at 3:27 AM
I just read this out loud to my wife. If you have a spouse or partner, try it, especially if they don’t know what’s coming. Hearing it out loud makes the bonkers-ness sink in.
Reading this to unsuspecting people should be a TikTok meme.
Reading this to unsuspecting people should be a TikTok meme.
Eén op de drie Nederlanders ziet de overheid als winstbelust bedrijf.
Nederland vinden vooral „anti-institutionele” complottheorieën over bijvoorbeeld klimaatverandering een vruchtbare bodem. Dit past volgens experts in „toegenomen wantrouwen van burgers in de overheid”.
www.nrc.nl/nieuws/2025/...
Nederland vinden vooral „anti-institutionele” complottheorieën over bijvoorbeeld klimaatverandering een vruchtbare bodem. Dit past volgens experts in „toegenomen wantrouwen van burgers in de overheid”.
www.nrc.nl/nieuws/2025/...
Eén op de drie Nederlanders ziet de overheid als winstbelust bedrijf
Complotdenken: In Nederland vinden vooral „anti-institutionele” complottheorieën over bijvoorbeeld klimaatverandering een vruchtbare bodem. Dit past volgens experts in het „toegenomen wantrouwen van b...
www.nrc.nl
December 10, 2025 at 8:35 AM
Eén op de drie Nederlanders ziet de overheid als winstbelust bedrijf.
Nederland vinden vooral „anti-institutionele” complottheorieën over bijvoorbeeld klimaatverandering een vruchtbare bodem. Dit past volgens experts in „toegenomen wantrouwen van burgers in de overheid”.
www.nrc.nl/nieuws/2025/...
Nederland vinden vooral „anti-institutionele” complottheorieën over bijvoorbeeld klimaatverandering een vruchtbare bodem. Dit past volgens experts in „toegenomen wantrouwen van burgers in de overheid”.
www.nrc.nl/nieuws/2025/...
Reposted by Jos Olivier
10 years after the Paris Agreement, we have reached a '3-year average global temperature anomaly of +1.5°C in 2 or more datasets'!
And we can't blame El Niño for this, as ENSO was on average negative during this period.
The Paris Agreement was doomed from the start..
And we can't blame El Niño for this, as ENSO was on average negative during this period.
The Paris Agreement was doomed from the start..
December 9, 2025 at 5:46 PM
10 years after the Paris Agreement, we have reached a '3-year average global temperature anomaly of +1.5°C in 2 or more datasets'!
And we can't blame El Niño for this, as ENSO was on average negative during this period.
The Paris Agreement was doomed from the start..
And we can't blame El Niño for this, as ENSO was on average negative during this period.
The Paris Agreement was doomed from the start..
Reposted by Jos Olivier
'Food and fossil fuel production causing $5bn of environmental damage an hour’.
UN GEO report says ending this harm key to global transformation required ‘before collapse becomes inevitable’.
www.theguardian.com/environment/...
UN GEO report says ending this harm key to global transformation required ‘before collapse becomes inevitable’.
www.theguardian.com/environment/...
‘Food and fossil fuel production causing $5bn of environmental damage an hour’
UN GEO report says ending this harm key to global transformation required ‘before collapse becomes inevitable’
www.theguardian.com
December 9, 2025 at 5:57 PM
'Food and fossil fuel production causing $5bn of environmental damage an hour’.
UN GEO report says ending this harm key to global transformation required ‘before collapse becomes inevitable’.
www.theguardian.com/environment/...
UN GEO report says ending this harm key to global transformation required ‘before collapse becomes inevitable’.
www.theguardian.com/environment/...
Meer stikstofuitstoot toegestaan bij de bouw van infrastructuur voor elektriciteit: nieuw EU-plan kan grote gevolgen hebben.
Als het voorstel doorgaat, kan het grote gevolgen hebben voor Nederland, waar honderden energieprojecten vertragingen oplopen.
www.nrc.nl/nieuws/2025/...
Als het voorstel doorgaat, kan het grote gevolgen hebben voor Nederland, waar honderden energieprojecten vertragingen oplopen.
www.nrc.nl/nieuws/2025/...
Meer stikstofuitstoot toegestaan bij de bouw van infrastructuur voor elektriciteit: nieuw EU-plan kan grote gevolgen hebben
Stikstof: Als het voorstel doorgaat, kan het grote gevolgen hebben voor Nederland, waar honderden energieprojecten vertragingen oplopen door vergunningen die te maken hebben met stikstof.
www.nrc.nl
December 9, 2025 at 6:59 AM
Meer stikstofuitstoot toegestaan bij de bouw van infrastructuur voor elektriciteit: nieuw EU-plan kan grote gevolgen hebben.
Als het voorstel doorgaat, kan het grote gevolgen hebben voor Nederland, waar honderden energieprojecten vertragingen oplopen.
www.nrc.nl/nieuws/2025/...
Als het voorstel doorgaat, kan het grote gevolgen hebben voor Nederland, waar honderden energieprojecten vertragingen oplopen.
www.nrc.nl/nieuws/2025/...
Reposted by Jos Olivier
In @nytopinion.nytimes.com
“When our attention is held for hours each day by black-box algorithms that feed us not what we want so much as what we find it hard to look away from, we are being, in a sense, deformed,” our columnist Ezra Klein writes.
“When our attention is held for hours each day by black-box algorithms that feed us not what we want so much as what we find it hard to look away from, we are being, in a sense, deformed,” our columnist Ezra Klein writes.
Opinion | Can We Stop Our Digital Selves From Becoming Who We Are?
Pay attention to how you pay attention.
nyti.ms
December 8, 2025 at 8:50 AM
In @nytopinion.nytimes.com
“When our attention is held for hours each day by black-box algorithms that feed us not what we want so much as what we find it hard to look away from, we are being, in a sense, deformed,” our columnist Ezra Klein writes.
“When our attention is held for hours each day by black-box algorithms that feed us not what we want so much as what we find it hard to look away from, we are being, in a sense, deformed,” our columnist Ezra Klein writes.
Reposted by Jos Olivier
I'm not entirely sure why ENTSO-E thinks we don't need major changes in the upcoming grids package, especially after reading this @auroraer.bsky.social research published last Friday.
One key finding: grid congestion has risen 26% over the last 4 years.
cms-production.auroraer.com/wp-content/u...
One key finding: grid congestion has risen 26% over the last 4 years.
cms-production.auroraer.com/wp-content/u...
cms-production.auroraer.com
December 8, 2025 at 8:57 AM
I'm not entirely sure why ENTSO-E thinks we don't need major changes in the upcoming grids package, especially after reading this @auroraer.bsky.social research published last Friday.
One key finding: grid congestion has risen 26% over the last 4 years.
cms-production.auroraer.com/wp-content/u...
One key finding: grid congestion has risen 26% over the last 4 years.
cms-production.auroraer.com/wp-content/u...
Reposted by Jos Olivier
This thread about the European Commissioners still all posting on X, now all written up as a blog post: euroblog.jonworth.eu/musk-wants-t...
December 8, 2025 at 8:52 AM
This thread about the European Commissioners still all posting on X, now all written up as a blog post: euroblog.jonworth.eu/musk-wants-t...
Europa is zijn toekomst kwijtgeraakt.
Een democratische Europese toekomst hangt af van een zekere mate van autonomie, en dat is moeilijk voor elkaar te krijgen op een continent dat nog niet beseft hoe radicaal de tijden zijn veranderd, schrijft Philipp Blom.
www.nrc.nl/nieuws/2025/...
Een democratische Europese toekomst hangt af van een zekere mate van autonomie, en dat is moeilijk voor elkaar te krijgen op een continent dat nog niet beseft hoe radicaal de tijden zijn veranderd, schrijft Philipp Blom.
www.nrc.nl/nieuws/2025/...
Opinie | Europa is zijn toekomst kwijtgeraakt
Europa: Een democratische Europese toekomst hangt af van een zekere mate van autonomie, en dat is moeilijk voor elkaar te krijgen op een continent dat nog niet beseft hoe radicaal de tijden zijn veran...
www.nrc.nl
December 8, 2025 at 9:07 AM
Europa is zijn toekomst kwijtgeraakt.
Een democratische Europese toekomst hangt af van een zekere mate van autonomie, en dat is moeilijk voor elkaar te krijgen op een continent dat nog niet beseft hoe radicaal de tijden zijn veranderd, schrijft Philipp Blom.
www.nrc.nl/nieuws/2025/...
Een democratische Europese toekomst hangt af van een zekere mate van autonomie, en dat is moeilijk voor elkaar te krijgen op een continent dat nog niet beseft hoe radicaal de tijden zijn veranderd, schrijft Philipp Blom.
www.nrc.nl/nieuws/2025/...
‘De Donbas afstaan is pure waanzin. Dan valt Rusland de volgende regio aan’.
Maryna Vorotyntseva en Denys Kazansky De Russische oorlog in Oekraïne begon in 2014, niet in 2022. Dat betogen twee Oekraïense auteurs in een boek, waarin ze uiteenzetten hoe Rusland...
www.nrc.nl/nieuws/2025/...
Maryna Vorotyntseva en Denys Kazansky De Russische oorlog in Oekraïne begon in 2014, niet in 2022. Dat betogen twee Oekraïense auteurs in een boek, waarin ze uiteenzetten hoe Rusland...
www.nrc.nl/nieuws/2025/...
‘De Donbas afstaan is pure waanzin. Dan valt Rusland de volgende regio aan’
Maryna Vorotyntseva en Denys Kazansky: De Russische oorlog in Oekraïne begon in 2014, niet in 2022. Dat betogen twee Oekraïense auteurs in een boek, waarin ze uiteenzetten hoe Rusland eerst met propag...
www.nrc.nl
December 7, 2025 at 10:20 PM
‘De Donbas afstaan is pure waanzin. Dan valt Rusland de volgende regio aan’.
Maryna Vorotyntseva en Denys Kazansky De Russische oorlog in Oekraïne begon in 2014, niet in 2022. Dat betogen twee Oekraïense auteurs in een boek, waarin ze uiteenzetten hoe Rusland...
www.nrc.nl/nieuws/2025/...
Maryna Vorotyntseva en Denys Kazansky De Russische oorlog in Oekraïne begon in 2014, niet in 2022. Dat betogen twee Oekraïense auteurs in een boek, waarin ze uiteenzetten hoe Rusland...
www.nrc.nl/nieuws/2025/...
Why are diagnoses of ADHD soaring? There are no easy answers – but empathy is the place to start - Gabor Maté:
Some say it’s overdiagnosis, others say it’s greater recognition. But it’s clear we must think about how our society is impacting human development.
www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...
Some say it’s overdiagnosis, others say it’s greater recognition. But it’s clear we must think about how our society is impacting human development.
www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...
Why are diagnoses of ADHD soaring? There are no easy answers – but empathy is the place to start | Gabor Maté
Some say it’s overdiagnosis, others say it’s greater recognition. But it’s clear we must think about how our society is impacting human development, says author and retired physician Gabor Maté
www.theguardian.com
December 7, 2025 at 11:31 AM
Why are diagnoses of ADHD soaring? There are no easy answers – but empathy is the place to start - Gabor Maté:
Some say it’s overdiagnosis, others say it’s greater recognition. But it’s clear we must think about how our society is impacting human development.
www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...
Some say it’s overdiagnosis, others say it’s greater recognition. But it’s clear we must think about how our society is impacting human development.
www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...
Reposted by Jos Olivier
🚨 Friday ice update - #Arctic sea ice extent is currently the lowest on record (JAXA data)
• about 840,000 km² below the 2010s mean
• about 1,380,000 km² below the 2000s mean
• about 2,070,000 km² below the 1990s mean
• about 2,530,000 km² below the 1980s mean
Graphics zacklabe.com/arctic-sea-i...
• about 840,000 km² below the 2010s mean
• about 1,380,000 km² below the 2000s mean
• about 2,070,000 km² below the 1990s mean
• about 2,530,000 km² below the 1980s mean
Graphics zacklabe.com/arctic-sea-i...
December 5, 2025 at 2:19 PM
🚨 Friday ice update - #Arctic sea ice extent is currently the lowest on record (JAXA data)
• about 840,000 km² below the 2010s mean
• about 1,380,000 km² below the 2000s mean
• about 2,070,000 km² below the 1990s mean
• about 2,530,000 km² below the 1980s mean
Graphics zacklabe.com/arctic-sea-i...
• about 840,000 km² below the 2010s mean
• about 1,380,000 km² below the 2000s mean
• about 2,070,000 km² below the 1990s mean
• about 2,530,000 km² below the 1980s mean
Graphics zacklabe.com/arctic-sea-i...
Reposted by Jos Olivier
Antarctica’s future beyond 2100: high emissions would drive major long-term ice loss, finds new PIK study. The West Antarctic Ice Sheet’s long-term collapse becomes virtually certain under high emissions; strong mitigation would limit sea-level rise contribution.
www.pik-potsdam.de/en/news/late...
www.pik-potsdam.de/en/news/late...
Antarctica’s future beyond 2100: high emissions would drive major long-term ice loss
05.12.2025 - The future of the Antarctic ice sheet, Earth’s largest store of freshwater ice, will play a decisive role in long-term sea level rise, finds a new study led jointly by the Potsdam Institu...
www.pik-potsdam.de
December 5, 2025 at 11:11 AM
Antarctica’s future beyond 2100: high emissions would drive major long-term ice loss, finds new PIK study. The West Antarctic Ice Sheet’s long-term collapse becomes virtually certain under high emissions; strong mitigation would limit sea-level rise contribution.
www.pik-potsdam.de/en/news/late...
www.pik-potsdam.de/en/news/late...
High levels of ‘forever chemical’ found in cereal products across Europe – study.
Pesticide Action Network Europe study finds average concentrations 100 times higher than in tap water.
www.theguardian.com/environment/...
Pesticide Action Network Europe study finds average concentrations 100 times higher than in tap water.
www.theguardian.com/environment/...
High levels of ‘forever chemical’ found in cereal products across Europe – study
Pesticide Action Network Europe study finds average concentrations 100 times higher than in tap water
www.theguardian.com
December 6, 2025 at 10:31 PM
High levels of ‘forever chemical’ found in cereal products across Europe – study.
Pesticide Action Network Europe study finds average concentrations 100 times higher than in tap water.
www.theguardian.com/environment/...
Pesticide Action Network Europe study finds average concentrations 100 times higher than in tap water.
www.theguardian.com/environment/...
Artificial intelligence research has a slop problem, academics say: ‘It’s a mess’.
AI research in question as author claims to have written over 100 papers on AI that one expert calls a ‘disaster’.
www.theguardian.com/technology/2...
AI research in question as author claims to have written over 100 papers on AI that one expert calls a ‘disaster’.
www.theguardian.com/technology/2...
Artificial intelligence research has a slop problem, academics say: ‘It’s a mess’
AI research in question as author claims to have written over 100 papers on AI that one expert calls a ‘disaster’
www.theguardian.com
December 6, 2025 at 8:05 PM
Artificial intelligence research has a slop problem, academics say: ‘It’s a mess’.
AI research in question as author claims to have written over 100 papers on AI that one expert calls a ‘disaster’.
www.theguardian.com/technology/2...
AI research in question as author claims to have written over 100 papers on AI that one expert calls a ‘disaster’.
www.theguardian.com/technology/2...
Russia launches attacks across Ukraine as Miami peace talks continue:
More than 650 drones target locations across Ukraine including western regions with sirens sounding in eastern Poland.
www.theguardian.com/world/2025/d...
More than 650 drones target locations across Ukraine including western regions with sirens sounding in eastern Poland.
www.theguardian.com/world/2025/d...
Russia launches attacks across Ukraine as Miami peace talks continue
More than 650 drones target locations across Ukraine including western regions with sirens sounding in eastern Poland
www.theguardian.com
December 6, 2025 at 8:02 PM
Russia launches attacks across Ukraine as Miami peace talks continue:
More than 650 drones target locations across Ukraine including western regions with sirens sounding in eastern Poland.
www.theguardian.com/world/2025/d...
More than 650 drones target locations across Ukraine including western regions with sirens sounding in eastern Poland.
www.theguardian.com/world/2025/d...