Jonathan Marshall
@jmarshallnz.bsky.social
Statistician in Papaioea, Aotearoa. #rstats, #datascience.
Reposted by Jonathan Marshall
A Kakīānau (black swan) living life to the fullest at Western Springs this morning. 🪶🇳🇿
December 5, 2025 at 8:05 PM
A Kakīānau (black swan) living life to the fullest at Western Springs this morning. 🪶🇳🇿
Reposted by Jonathan Marshall
Paywall lifted: A trove of briefings and Cabinet documents reveals the Govt was advised its new methane target is only consistent with warming of 2-2.7C (and possibly up to 4.5C).
Climate scientists have said 2.7C would represent 'unprecedented peril'.
newsroom.co.nz/2025/12/04/g...
Climate scientists have said 2.7C would represent 'unprecedented peril'.
newsroom.co.nz/2025/12/04/g...
Govt warned new methane target aligned with 'catastrophic' warming
Newly released documents reveal the Govt's new methane target is associated with 2.7C of warming – a level labelled 'catastrophic' by the UN.
newsroom.co.nz
December 4, 2025 at 9:42 PM
Paywall lifted: A trove of briefings and Cabinet documents reveals the Govt was advised its new methane target is only consistent with warming of 2-2.7C (and possibly up to 4.5C).
Climate scientists have said 2.7C would represent 'unprecedented peril'.
newsroom.co.nz/2025/12/04/g...
Climate scientists have said 2.7C would represent 'unprecedented peril'.
newsroom.co.nz/2025/12/04/g...
Reposted by Jonathan Marshall
Scoop: A trove of briefings and Cabinet documents released under the OIA reveals the Govt was advised its new methane target is only consistent with warming of 2-2.7C (and possibly up to 4.5C).
Climate scientists have said 2.7C would represent 'unprecedented peril'.
newsroom.co.nz/2025/12/04/g...
Climate scientists have said 2.7C would represent 'unprecedented peril'.
newsroom.co.nz/2025/12/04/g...
Govt warned new methane target aligned with 'catastrophic' warming
Newly released documents reveal the Govt's new methane target is associated with 2.7C of warming – a level labelled 'catastrophic' by the UN.
newsroom.co.nz
December 3, 2025 at 7:43 PM
Scoop: A trove of briefings and Cabinet documents released under the OIA reveals the Govt was advised its new methane target is only consistent with warming of 2-2.7C (and possibly up to 4.5C).
Climate scientists have said 2.7C would represent 'unprecedented peril'.
newsroom.co.nz/2025/12/04/g...
Climate scientists have said 2.7C would represent 'unprecedented peril'.
newsroom.co.nz/2025/12/04/g...
Reposted by Jonathan Marshall
This composition had eluded me for nearly a decade, but yesterday I was finally able to capture it. A train rolled through just as the Duquesne Incline was crossing over the tracks in #Pittsburgh, creating a picture perfect winter scene. It was worth the hours and hours I've waited over the years.
December 3, 2025 at 2:06 PM
This composition had eluded me for nearly a decade, but yesterday I was finally able to capture it. A train rolled through just as the Duquesne Incline was crossing over the tracks in #Pittsburgh, creating a picture perfect winter scene. It was worth the hours and hours I've waited over the years.
Reposted by Jonathan Marshall
R Dev Days Dec 16/17 at Auckland *and remote* for people interested in contributing to the code and documentation of base R, or to infrastructure that supports such contribution.
Because timezones, there are morning and afternoon streams, join either or both
pretix.eu/r-contributo...
Because timezones, there are morning and afternoon streams, join either or both
pretix.eu/r-contributo...
December 2, 2025 at 6:29 PM
R Dev Days Dec 16/17 at Auckland *and remote* for people interested in contributing to the code and documentation of base R, or to infrastructure that supports such contribution.
Because timezones, there are morning and afternoon streams, join either or both
pretix.eu/r-contributo...
Because timezones, there are morning and afternoon streams, join either or both
pretix.eu/r-contributo...
Reposted by Jonathan Marshall
Going to the IKEA opening? You may be thinking about going by bike 🚲
⚠️ Please be careful: it's an area for experienced bike riders, with some more dangerous areas. If you're not sure, the train is an option
If you do bike there, this map shows a good approach 💡
⚠️ Please be careful: it's an area for experienced bike riders, with some more dangerous areas. If you're not sure, the train is an option
If you do bike there, this map shows a good approach 💡
December 3, 2025 at 4:15 AM
Going to the IKEA opening? You may be thinking about going by bike 🚲
⚠️ Please be careful: it's an area for experienced bike riders, with some more dangerous areas. If you're not sure, the train is an option
If you do bike there, this map shows a good approach 💡
⚠️ Please be careful: it's an area for experienced bike riders, with some more dangerous areas. If you're not sure, the train is an option
If you do bike there, this map shows a good approach 💡
Reposted by Jonathan Marshall
The statistical performance indicators data from the World Bank for 2024 has been released today, and I've been working on a little interactive explainer 📊
Check it out here: nrennie.rbind.io/statistical-...
#DataViz #ggplot2
Check it out here: nrennie.rbind.io/statistical-...
#DataViz #ggplot2
December 2, 2025 at 11:30 PM
The statistical performance indicators data from the World Bank for 2024 has been released today, and I've been working on a little interactive explainer 📊
Check it out here: nrennie.rbind.io/statistical-...
#DataViz #ggplot2
Check it out here: nrennie.rbind.io/statistical-...
#DataViz #ggplot2
Reposted by Jonathan Marshall
I felt a great disturbance in the Force, as if millions of voices saying "Great thought of yours" were suddenly silenced
December 2, 2025 at 8:28 PM
I felt a great disturbance in the Force, as if millions of voices saying "Great thought of yours" were suddenly silenced
Reposted by Jonathan Marshall
NZ Infrastructure Commission/ Te Waihanga invited submissions for its Infrastructure Priorities Programme…
…so @connorsharp.bsky.social smartly suggested revisiting light rail in Auckland💡
Breaking news: the proposal was “endorsed” as highlighting a pressing and solvable issue!👏🏼
What happens now?
…so @connorsharp.bsky.social smartly suggested revisiting light rail in Auckland💡
Breaking news: the proposal was “endorsed” as highlighting a pressing and solvable issue!👏🏼
What happens now?
Light Rail Lives On? - Greater Auckland
Earlier this year Te Waihanga, the New Zealand Infrastructure Commission, invited submissions for Round 2 of its
www.greaterauckland.org.nz
December 2, 2025 at 8:46 PM
NZ Infrastructure Commission/ Te Waihanga invited submissions for its Infrastructure Priorities Programme…
…so @connorsharp.bsky.social smartly suggested revisiting light rail in Auckland💡
Breaking news: the proposal was “endorsed” as highlighting a pressing and solvable issue!👏🏼
What happens now?
…so @connorsharp.bsky.social smartly suggested revisiting light rail in Auckland💡
Breaking news: the proposal was “endorsed” as highlighting a pressing and solvable issue!👏🏼
What happens now?
Reposted by Jonathan Marshall
Lets help wind down gas in #AoNZ
“All three [gas companies] projected flat or declining net total connections to their networks, with disconnections outpacing new consumers.”
“Firstgas and Vector had urged […] a network wind-down date in the 2040s should be in the mix.”
1/2
“All three [gas companies] projected flat or declining net total connections to their networks, with disconnections outpacing new consumers.”
“Firstgas and Vector had urged […] a network wind-down date in the 2040s should be in the mix.”
1/2
Gas networks won't grow any larger – Commerce Commission
Gas bills will rise 8 percent over two years in Auckland, under a proposal to avoid stranded assets as gas networks consider winding down. Marc Daalder reports.
newsroom.co.nz
November 29, 2025 at 7:10 PM
Lets help wind down gas in #AoNZ
“All three [gas companies] projected flat or declining net total connections to their networks, with disconnections outpacing new consumers.”
“Firstgas and Vector had urged […] a network wind-down date in the 2040s should be in the mix.”
1/2
“All three [gas companies] projected flat or declining net total connections to their networks, with disconnections outpacing new consumers.”
“Firstgas and Vector had urged […] a network wind-down date in the 2040s should be in the mix.”
1/2
Reposted by Jonathan Marshall
For those wanting to have sensible conversations about the cost of building and maintaining things, use the capital goods index in infoshare not the CPI if you want CPI equivalent discussions about how prices have risen.
December 1, 2025 at 6:28 PM
For those wanting to have sensible conversations about the cost of building and maintaining things, use the capital goods index in infoshare not the CPI if you want CPI equivalent discussions about how prices have risen.
Reposted by Jonathan Marshall
The rates cap policy seems to exclude most three waters spending which is a massive carve out given it’s a big driver of local government cost inflation.
December 1, 2025 at 5:47 AM
The rates cap policy seems to exclude most three waters spending which is a massive carve out given it’s a big driver of local government cost inflation.
Reposted by Jonathan Marshall
some joints for your viewing pleasure. 4 double hung sashes, recycled oregon timber cut out of an old 12"x 6" roof truss. these are constructed to suit a 24mm thick double glazing unit, replacing the original 1910 single glazed sashes. the glass weighs 23 kilos per sash.
December 1, 2025 at 5:44 AM
some joints for your viewing pleasure. 4 double hung sashes, recycled oregon timber cut out of an old 12"x 6" roof truss. these are constructed to suit a 24mm thick double glazing unit, replacing the original 1910 single glazed sashes. the glass weighs 23 kilos per sash.
Reposted by Jonathan Marshall
Strong floor, no ceiling.
December 1, 2025 at 2:49 AM
Strong floor, no ceiling.
Reposted by Jonathan Marshall
First in a series of #rstats blog posts about drawing charts of population growth, migration and remittance issues for Pacific island countries and territories. Today's starts with the simplest - a couple of different ways to summarise population size and growth. freerangestats.info/blog/2025/11...
November 30, 2025 at 4:12 AM
First in a series of #rstats blog posts about drawing charts of population growth, migration and remittance issues for Pacific island countries and territories. Today's starts with the simplest - a couple of different ways to summarise population size and growth. freerangestats.info/blog/2025/11...
Reposted by Jonathan Marshall
Fun job to get: can design for a new Garage Project beer celebrating the incredible work of old mates Capital Kiwi Project bringing brown kiwi back into the hills of Wellington. Legends
November 29, 2025 at 3:11 AM
Fun job to get: can design for a new Garage Project beer celebrating the incredible work of old mates Capital Kiwi Project bringing brown kiwi back into the hills of Wellington. Legends
Reposted by Jonathan Marshall
Did you know it’s illegal to have a garden in New Zealand?
November 28, 2025 at 1:32 AM
Did you know it’s illegal to have a garden in New Zealand?
Reposted by Jonathan Marshall
#30DayMapChallenge Day 28: Black.
International test match locations and results for the Black Ferns in 2025. Done in #rstats, the Pacific centred world2 map from the maps package, and ggrepel for the labels.
International test match locations and results for the Black Ferns in 2025. Done in #rstats, the Pacific centred world2 map from the maps package, and ggrepel for the labels.
November 27, 2025 at 6:34 PM
#30DayMapChallenge Day 28: Black.
International test match locations and results for the Black Ferns in 2025. Done in #rstats, the Pacific centred world2 map from the maps package, and ggrepel for the labels.
International test match locations and results for the Black Ferns in 2025. Done in #rstats, the Pacific centred world2 map from the maps package, and ggrepel for the labels.
Reposted by Jonathan Marshall
NZ has had two major reforms of subnational government so far: 1876 and 1989
As the guy who literally wrote a book on the demise of that first system, *and* as someone who generally supports more unitary authorities, my considered opinion is that this proposal is completely insane
As the guy who literally wrote a book on the demise of that first system, *and* as someone who generally supports more unitary authorities, my considered opinion is that this proposal is completely insane
No more regional councils - major shake-up of local government announced
The government says it is not a power grab, but about "making local government fit for purpose".
www.rnz.co.nz
November 25, 2025 at 7:59 AM
NZ has had two major reforms of subnational government so far: 1876 and 1989
As the guy who literally wrote a book on the demise of that first system, *and* as someone who generally supports more unitary authorities, my considered opinion is that this proposal is completely insane
As the guy who literally wrote a book on the demise of that first system, *and* as someone who generally supports more unitary authorities, my considered opinion is that this proposal is completely insane
Reposted by Jonathan Marshall
People Watching: Opening party for 'Pop to Present: American Art from the Virginia Museum of Fine Arts' at Auckland Art Gallery Toi o Tāmaki on a Friday night
November 25, 2025 at 6:43 PM
People Watching: Opening party for 'Pop to Present: American Art from the Virginia Museum of Fine Arts' at Auckland Art Gallery Toi o Tāmaki on a Friday night
Reposted by Jonathan Marshall
November 24, 2025 at 11:46 PM
Reposted by Jonathan Marshall
The Cook Islands allowed over a hundred shadow fleet tankers trafficking sanctioned Russian and Iranian oil. A Big Read from me looking at the curious case of Maritime Cook Islands with an investigation employing big data analysis and fieldwork in Raro. www.nzherald.co.nz/business/com...
The dark fleet hiding in our own backyard: How the Cook Islands sold its flag to Moscow and Tehran
SPECIAL INVESTIGATION: How shadow fleets made the Cook Islands flag inconvienent.
www.nzherald.co.nz
November 24, 2025 at 5:48 PM
The Cook Islands allowed over a hundred shadow fleet tankers trafficking sanctioned Russian and Iranian oil. A Big Read from me looking at the curious case of Maritime Cook Islands with an investigation employing big data analysis and fieldwork in Raro. www.nzherald.co.nz/business/com...
Reposted by Jonathan Marshall
Okay I just need to get these things out of my system:
"Labour are splitting the vote by running against Green candidates!!!" no they aren't, you KNOW how MMP works, and this is a shit argument when it's the other way around, so it's also a shit argument now
"Labour are splitting the vote by running against Green candidates!!!" no they aren't, you KNOW how MMP works, and this is a shit argument when it's the other way around, so it's also a shit argument now
November 23, 2025 at 6:46 AM
Okay I just need to get these things out of my system:
"Labour are splitting the vote by running against Green candidates!!!" no they aren't, you KNOW how MMP works, and this is a shit argument when it's the other way around, so it's also a shit argument now
"Labour are splitting the vote by running against Green candidates!!!" no they aren't, you KNOW how MMP works, and this is a shit argument when it's the other way around, so it's also a shit argument now
Reposted by Jonathan Marshall
At New Zealand's Kawaiican cybersecurity convention, organizers hacked together a way for attendees to track CO2 levels throughout the venue—even before they arrived. www.wired.com/story/this-h...
This Hacker Conference Installed a Literal Anti-Virus Monitoring System
At New Zealand's Kawaiican cybersecurity convention, organizers hacked together a way for attendees to track CO2 levels throughout the venue—even before they arrived.
www.wired.com
November 21, 2025 at 11:06 AM
At New Zealand's Kawaiican cybersecurity convention, organizers hacked together a way for attendees to track CO2 levels throughout the venue—even before they arrived. www.wired.com/story/this-h...
Reposted by Jonathan Marshall
Auckland’s traffic is bad because we built all our houses in Massey and Papakura to avoid upsetting the inhospitable residents of our inner city suburbs thespinoff.co.nz/society/19-1...
November 19, 2025 at 6:55 PM
Auckland’s traffic is bad because we built all our houses in Massey and Papakura to avoid upsetting the inhospitable residents of our inner city suburbs thespinoff.co.nz/society/19-1...