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Jonathan Marshall @jmarshallnz.bsky.social · 1h

Hmm, I wondered why the wellington prelim results hadn't been published (along with a heap of other areas electionz controls...) Was supposed to be yesterday.

Reposted by Jonathan Marshall

David Hood @thoughtfulnz.bsky.social · 2h

A general population shift (both within age cohorts and from older to younger) is very consistent to the increasing opposition to getting rid of the Treaty in the New Zealand Election Study

bsky.app/profile/thou...

David Hood @thoughtfulnz.bsky.social · Aug 21

The New Zealand Election Study data for the 2023 general election is now out, and available publicly at dataverse.

I have remade my Treaty graph, replacing 2020 with 2023. The long term trend towards Toitū Te Tiriti is unchanged.

The same colours is the same age group with 21 years of change. Different colours are people of different ages at the same point in time.

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Jonathan Marshall @jmarshallnz.bsky.social · 19h

On prelim results Palmy now has 2 Green and 1 Labour. Yesterday it was 1 Green, 2 Labour. Either way a slight shift right with Fitzgerald elected. Could change again on specials as it’s pretty close.

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Jonathan Marshall @jmarshallnz.bsky.social · 22h

Nat candidate in 2011. Maybe changed tune, though she was the only no vote on Māori wards early in 24.

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Jonathan Marshall @jmarshallnz.bsky.social · 23h

Wood, Hapeta.

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Jonathan Marshall @jmarshallnz.bsky.social · 23h

Yep: Two of them ran to be Nat MPs!

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Jonathan Marshall @jmarshallnz.bsky.social · 23h

Suspect this is a fairly constant shift across the country. Just some areas started at an even lower baseline.

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Jonathan Marshall @jmarshallnz.bsky.social · 1d

Wood, Arnott and Fitzgerald for starters :(

Reposted by Jonathan Marshall

Paul_BarlowNZ @paulbarlownz.bsky.social · 1d

One final bit of good news - 234600 people across the motu voted to remove Māori wards, 245800 to keep them - 51.1% of all votes were to keep them, 48.9% not to. The majority of the country that voted were in favour so suck it coalition!

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Jonathan Marshall @jmarshallnz.bsky.social · 1d

Horizons is up in horizons.govt.nz GWRC not yet.

Reposted by Jonathan Marshall

Rebecca Matthews @rebeccamatthews.bsky.social · 1d

Looks like I am back team. Thank you all for your support 💚

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Jonathan Marshall @jmarshallnz.bsky.social · 1d

Smashed it. Fantastic!

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Jonathan Marshall @jmarshallnz.bsky.social · 1d

Palmy keeps

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Jonathan Marshall @jmarshallnz.bsky.social · 1d

Cooker Fitzgerald made it onto Palmy Council. One less Green as well :( Māori ward kept though.

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Jonathan Marshall @jmarshallnz.bsky.social · 1d

Hopefully not too much longer before they up it to 10kw

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Reposted by Jonathan Marshall

Jessica de Heij @jdeheij.bsky.social · 1d

Margin is a 100 votes!!! And they are still counting, so not final yet. 🫣

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Reposted by Jonathan Marshall

Jessica de Heij @jdeheij.bsky.social · 1d

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Jonathan Marshall @jmarshallnz.bsky.social · 1d

Unsolicited pic nic

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Reposted by Jonathan Marshall

Dan @danxduran.bsky.social · 2d

I'm doing live updates on the local election results this afternoon on RNZ, if you want to be the first to know how much of a crushing victory 'did not vote' had across the country

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Reposted by Jonathan Marshall

the Juice Media @thejuicemedia.com · 2d

The Government of New Zealand has made a new tourism ad and it's surprsingly honest and informative!

Honest Government Ad | Visit New Zealand!

YouTube video by thejuicemedia

www.youtube.com

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Jonathan Marshall @jmarshallnz.bsky.social · 2d

I'd note that AI detection by a human in some fields is still fairly reliable and being done. CompSci and Stats are fairly reliably detected (at least the absence of learning copy/paste direct out of AI chatbot stuff). It takes a huge amount of time and effort though by said humans.

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Jonathan Marshall @jmarshallnz.bsky.social · 2d

Kapiti does not though. Only 5 drop boxes total. (Palmy has heaps like Welly central).

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Michael Friendly @datavisfriendly.bsky.social · 4d

Great post by @andrew.heiss.phd on animating #rstats {dplyr} operations

www.andrewheiss.com/blog/2024/04...

Visualizing {dplyr}’s mutate(), summarize(), group_by(), and ungroup() with animations | Andrew Heiss

Visually explore how {dplyr}’s more complex core functions work together to wrangle data

www.andrewheiss.com

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Reposted by Jonathan Marshall

Toby Morris @xtotl.bsky.social · 5d

People Watching: Metlifecare Bayswater Retirement Village, Mt Maunganui, at lunchtime on a sunny Thursday

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Reposted by Jonathan Marshall

Te Ara Paerangi Com - Research Advocacy Capability @te-ara-paerangi.community · 5d

We'd love to have a huge turn out for Nic's talk. Please help spread the word. There are downloadable pdf adverts in the link below. They can be emailed or printed. If you work in a public space (e.g. Library) you could help by printing and posting one of the flyers. Ngā mihi nui!

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