dog lover #BTposse
An anti-migrant movement backed by Reform and Conservative politicians and regularly invited onto news channels is funded by a far-right group and has platformed a Neo-Nazi activist, @nicolakellywrites.bsky.social reports
An anti-migrant movement backed by Reform and Conservative politicians and regularly invited onto news channels is funded by a far-right group and has platformed a Neo-Nazi activist, @nicolakellywrites.bsky.social reports
Ukraine can and must WIN. Listen to their needs.
Slava Ukraini! 🇺🇦💙💛🇺🇦💪
Slava Zelenskyy! 🇺🇦💙💛🇺🇦💪
Ukraine can and must WIN. Listen to their needs.
Slava Ukraini! 🇺🇦💙💛🇺🇦💪
Slava Zelenskyy! 🇺🇦💙💛🇺🇦💪
1. legal precedents exist,
2. history contradicts fear claims,
3. and the narrative closely matches Moscow’s messaging.
And now, you know.
1. legal precedents exist,
2. history contradicts fear claims,
3. and the narrative closely matches Moscow’s messaging.
And now, you know.
When someone says:
“This has never been done before” → verify.
“Even WWII didn’t do this” → check history.
“Russia cannot lose” → ask who benefits from that story.
“Retaliation will last for eternity” → analyze where that language comes from.
When someone says:
“This has never been done before” → verify.
“Even WWII didn’t do this” → check history.
“Russia cannot lose” → ask who benefits from that story.
“Retaliation will last for eternity” → analyze where that language comes from.
That is how intimidation becomes policy language.
That is how intimidation becomes policy language.
A Western leader can:
✔️ face real pressure
✔️ have legitimate negotiating aims
but still...
A Western leader can:
✔️ face real pressure
✔️ have legitimate negotiating aims
but still...
This is worst-case amplification, not grounded policy analysis.
He then admits the core issue: Belgium doesn’t want to absorb the risk alone —
This is worst-case amplification, not grounded policy analysis.
He then admits the core issue: Belgium doesn’t want to absorb the risk alone —
So the risk is not symmetrical.
He escalates hypothetical fear:
“And what if Belarus and China seize our assets too?”
Belarus is negligible.
So the risk is not symmetrical.
He escalates hypothetical fear:
“And what if Belarus and China seize our assets too?”
Belarus is negligible.
He warns Russia could retaliate by seizing Western assets:
“Euroclear has 16 billion in Russia.”
But this reverses the real asymmetry:
Russia has ~€185–210bn stuck in Belgium.
He warns Russia could retaliate by seizing Western assets:
“Euroclear has 16 billion in Russia.”
But this reverses the real asymmetry:
Russia has ~€185–210bn stuck in Belgium.
“Moscow has told us Belgium and I will feel consequences ‘for eternity.’”
So he is acknowledging direct intimidation, but by repeating the quote publicly he amplifies it.
The threat jumps from private leverage → public psychological pressure.
“Moscow has told us Belgium and I will feel consequences ‘for eternity.’”
So he is acknowledging direct intimidation, but by repeating the quote publicly he amplifies it.
The threat jumps from private leverage → public psychological pressure.
“It’s not desirable for Russia to lose — nuclear instability!”
This aligns with another Kremlin talking point: “A Russian defeat = nuclear chaos, so don’t push too hard.”
Again: persuasive fear messaging, not fact.
“It’s not desirable for Russia to lose — nuclear instability!”
This aligns with another Kremlin talking point: “A Russian defeat = nuclear chaos, so don’t push too hard.”
Again: persuasive fear messaging, not fact.
This matches a Russian strategic narrative: “Victory is impossible for Ukraine; accountability is pointless.”
But it contradicts the EU’s stated position and ongoing aid and realities on the ground.
This matches a Russian strategic narrative: “Victory is impossible for Ukraine; accountability is pointless.”
But it contradicts the EU’s stated position and ongoing aid and realities on the ground.
Yes — that is confiscation, just through post-war settlement rather than pre-judgment.
He illustrates the principle while denying it exists.
Then comes the geopolitical leap:
Yes — that is confiscation, just through post-war settlement rather than pre-judgment.
He illustrates the principle while denying it exists.
Then comes the geopolitical leap:
So this line is factually wrong.
Mid-paragraph, he accidentally describes reparations practice accurately:
So this line is factually wrong.
Mid-paragraph, he accidentally describes reparations practice accurately:
He doubles down:
“Even during World War II, Germany’s money wasn’t confiscated.”
Germany’s own Bundesbank contradicts this.
He doubles down:
“Even during World War II, Germany’s money wasn’t confiscated.”
Germany’s own Bundesbank contradicts this.
“Stealing frozen assets… has never been done before.”
This is false.
History gives multiple precedents:
Iraq (1991–2003): frozen state assets transferred to a UN escrow fund to pay war reparations.
“Stealing frozen assets… has never been done before.”
This is false.
History gives multiple precedents:
Iraq (1991–2003): frozen state assets transferred to a UN escrow fund to pay war reparations.
⬇️⬇️⬇️
But can we walk through his claims point-by-point — and compare them to history, law, and observable facts?
Yes, we can.
🧵👇
⬇️⬇️⬇️
But can we walk through his claims point-by-point — and compare them to history, law, and observable facts?
Yes, we can.
🧵👇
But can we walk through his claims point-by-point — and compare them to history, law, and observable facts?
Yes, we can.
🧵👇
📷: Allegedly, Russian shadow fleet tankers at sea
📷: Allegedly, Russian shadow fleet tankers at sea
The Ukrainian direction is no longer just 'hints.'According to BlackSeaNews/the Institute for Black Sea Strategic Studies,at least 107 attacks on ports in the Odesa region & on the region's infrastructure ⤵️
The Ukrainian direction is no longer just 'hints.'According to BlackSeaNews/the Institute for Black Sea Strategic Studies,at least 107 attacks on ports in the Odesa region & on the region's infrastructure ⤵️
In the south, Russia is conducting an open sea-air campaign against Ukrainian ports and logistics. In the north, it is covertly testing the vulnerabilities of NATO countries' underwater infrastructure: power cables and telecom lines
In the south, Russia is conducting an open sea-air campaign against Ukrainian ports and logistics. In the north, it is covertly testing the vulnerabilities of NATO countries' underwater infrastructure: power cables and telecom lines