Dan Haile
@danhaile.bsky.social
Economist @instituteforgovernment.org.uk
Reposted by Dan Haile
Big pre-budget @financialtimes.com story...
Read it...
And then listen again to last week's @instituteforgovernment.org.uk budget about chancellors and the art of pitch-rolling their budget announcements.
www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/podcast/insi...
Read it...
And then listen again to last week's @instituteforgovernment.org.uk budget about chancellors and the art of pitch-rolling their budget announcements.
www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/podcast/insi...
November 14, 2025 at 8:20 AM
Big pre-budget @financialtimes.com story...
Read it...
And then listen again to last week's @instituteforgovernment.org.uk budget about chancellors and the art of pitch-rolling their budget announcements.
www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/podcast/insi...
Read it...
And then listen again to last week's @instituteforgovernment.org.uk budget about chancellors and the art of pitch-rolling their budget announcements.
www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/podcast/insi...
Reposted by Dan Haile
Reform-led Worcestershire County Council (WCC) have published a briefing about their financial position, explaining why they might have to raise council tax by 10%
It's a pretty perfect encapsulation of the extreme financial pressures facing most local authorities
Key points 👇
It's a pretty perfect encapsulation of the extreme financial pressures facing most local authorities
Key points 👇
October 24, 2025 at 9:48 AM
Reform-led Worcestershire County Council (WCC) have published a briefing about their financial position, explaining why they might have to raise council tax by 10%
It's a pretty perfect encapsulation of the extreme financial pressures facing most local authorities
Key points 👇
It's a pretty perfect encapsulation of the extreme financial pressures facing most local authorities
Key points 👇
Reposted by Dan Haile
This is also a story of failing to learn lessons- ten years ago (!) I worked on an energy efficiency scheme at the Treasury, the Green Deal Home Improvement Fund. That was also ripe for fraud and poor quality work, and the NAO found that the "lack of consistency... could increase the long-term cost"
Two points in this appalling story of Government failure. Firstly, solid wall insulation is by some degree the most expensive form of insulation. This means that these measures are now guaranteed to cost more than they would ever save.
www.theguardian.com/environment/...
www.theguardian.com/environment/...
Almost all external insulation fitted under Tory scheme needs repair or replacing, report finds
Homeowners who took advantage of government programmes left with cladding likely to cause damp
www.theguardian.com
October 14, 2025 at 9:15 AM
This is also a story of failing to learn lessons- ten years ago (!) I worked on an energy efficiency scheme at the Treasury, the Green Deal Home Improvement Fund. That was also ripe for fraud and poor quality work, and the NAO found that the "lack of consistency... could increase the long-term cost"
Reposted by Dan Haile
There’s not much to say about the solid wall insulation failures that hasn’t already been said. A diabolical policy failure that wasted money and harmed people.
But one thing I will add is: I think it highlights the need for more state delivery capacity on warm homes, not just regulation
🧵
But one thing I will add is: I think it highlights the need for more state delivery capacity on warm homes, not just regulation
🧵
Almost all external insulation fitted under Tory scheme needs repair or replacing, report finds
Homeowners who took advantage of government programmes left with cladding likely to cause damp
www.theguardian.com
October 14, 2025 at 9:25 AM
There’s not much to say about the solid wall insulation failures that hasn’t already been said. A diabolical policy failure that wasted money and harmed people.
But one thing I will add is: I think it highlights the need for more state delivery capacity on warm homes, not just regulation
🧵
But one thing I will add is: I think it highlights the need for more state delivery capacity on warm homes, not just regulation
🧵
Reposted by Dan Haile
if Mayors ask to be allowed to levy tourist taxes, let them - @instituteforgovernment.org.uk blog by me and @tompope.bsky.social www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/comment/rach... - time to end HMT control freakery
Rachel Reeves should allow local tourist taxes | Institute for Government
If mayors use the ‘right to request’ to call for tourist taxes, then the government should say yes.
www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk
July 30, 2025 at 8:34 AM
if Mayors ask to be allowed to levy tourist taxes, let them - @instituteforgovernment.org.uk blog by me and @tompope.bsky.social www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/comment/rach... - time to end HMT control freakery
Reposted by Dan Haile
How can government legislate better to deliver major infrastructure projects? Fantastic new paper from @instituteforgovernment.org.uk on how to improve the little-known hybrid bill procedure! www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/publication/...
Hybrid bills: Parliament’s role in delivering major infrastructure | Institute for Government
How to improve the hybrid bill legislative process.
www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk
July 24, 2025 at 9:56 AM
How can government legislate better to deliver major infrastructure projects? Fantastic new paper from @instituteforgovernment.org.uk on how to improve the little-known hybrid bill procedure! www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/publication/...
Reposted by Dan Haile
BIG UK RENEWABLE NEWS
⌛Next govt auction will hand out 20y CfDs, not 15y (lower £/MWh)
🔎Govt can change budget after auction to get GW they want
✅Offshore wind without full planning consent can apply
📝Withdrawn GW can't reapply in AR7
🏗️Onshore wind repowering can apply
1/2
⌛Next govt auction will hand out 20y CfDs, not 15y (lower £/MWh)
🔎Govt can change budget after auction to get GW they want
✅Offshore wind without full planning consent can apply
📝Withdrawn GW can't reapply in AR7
🏗️Onshore wind repowering can apply
1/2
July 15, 2025 at 2:04 PM
BIG UK RENEWABLE NEWS
⌛Next govt auction will hand out 20y CfDs, not 15y (lower £/MWh)
🔎Govt can change budget after auction to get GW they want
✅Offshore wind without full planning consent can apply
📝Withdrawn GW can't reapply in AR7
🏗️Onshore wind repowering can apply
1/2
⌛Next govt auction will hand out 20y CfDs, not 15y (lower £/MWh)
🔎Govt can change budget after auction to get GW they want
✅Offshore wind without full planning consent can apply
📝Withdrawn GW can't reapply in AR7
🏗️Onshore wind repowering can apply
1/2
Reposted by Dan Haile
Our @instituteforgovernment.org.uk spending review analysis is out! Take a read here www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/comment/spen...
Our key takeaways: 1/7
Our key takeaways: 1/7
Spending review 2025: Six key things we learned from Rachel Reeves' announcement | Institute for Government
IfG experts set out the six things they learned from the spending review.
www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk
June 11, 2025 at 5:59 PM
Our @instituteforgovernment.org.uk spending review analysis is out! Take a read here www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/comment/spen...
Our key takeaways: 1/7
Our key takeaways: 1/7
Reposted by Dan Haile
Some top level views on the SR from me and other @instituteforgovernment.org.uk colleagues 1/2
June 11, 2025 at 3:45 PM
Some top level views on the SR from me and other @instituteforgovernment.org.uk colleagues 1/2
Reposted by Dan Haile
Most of the focus ahead of the SR has been on how much money depts get. That's understandable, money makes a difference
But it's not just about the amount of money, but how departments spend it
Here's a summary of how we think the govt can spend money on public services more effectively
But it's not just about the amount of money, but how departments spend it
Here's a summary of how we think the govt can spend money on public services more effectively
June 10, 2025 at 8:23 AM
Most of the focus ahead of the SR has been on how much money depts get. That's understandable, money makes a difference
But it's not just about the amount of money, but how departments spend it
Here's a summary of how we think the govt can spend money on public services more effectively
But it's not just about the amount of money, but how departments spend it
Here's a summary of how we think the govt can spend money on public services more effectively
Reposted by Dan Haile
'But just as we can move mountains when out liberties are threatened and we will have to fight for our lives, so can we when the future of our London is at stake. If only we will.'
New on Substack, my post on the 1943 County of London Plan:
municipaldreams.substack.com/p/the-county...
New on Substack, my post on the 1943 County of London Plan:
municipaldreams.substack.com/p/the-county...
May 17, 2025 at 7:33 AM
'But just as we can move mountains when out liberties are threatened and we will have to fight for our lives, so can we when the future of our London is at stake. If only we will.'
New on Substack, my post on the 1943 County of London Plan:
municipaldreams.substack.com/p/the-county...
New on Substack, my post on the 1943 County of London Plan:
municipaldreams.substack.com/p/the-county...
Reposted by Dan Haile
The Climate Change Committee presents a blunt assessment of the government’s failure to prepare adequately for the impacts of climate change.
Making it a core value for money issue for departments could help www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/comment/clim...
Making it a core value for money issue for departments could help www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/comment/clim...
The government has been warned: climate adaptation isn’t working | Institute for Government
There is little evidence that the Labour government is making adaptation significantly more of a priority than its predecessor.
www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk
May 2, 2025 at 9:53 AM
The Climate Change Committee presents a blunt assessment of the government’s failure to prepare adequately for the impacts of climate change.
Making it a core value for money issue for departments could help www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/comment/clim...
Making it a core value for money issue for departments could help www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/comment/clim...
Reposted by Dan Haile
We know only a little about why Spain and Portugal's blackout occurred on Monday, but enough to what went wrong and what should have happened but didn't.
Javier Blas's conference call with REE gives us the clues
1/
Javier Blas's conference call with REE gives us the clues
1/
May 1, 2025 at 10:18 AM
We know only a little about why Spain and Portugal's blackout occurred on Monday, but enough to what went wrong and what should have happened but didn't.
Javier Blas's conference call with REE gives us the clues
1/
Javier Blas's conference call with REE gives us the clues
1/
Reposted by Dan Haile
✍️I visited British Steel last week - just as workers were discovering that the plant's Chinese owners were effectively planning to starve the blast furnaces to death.
It was a strange, unsettling experience. With deep ramifications. Some thoughts: edconway.substack.com/p/the-strang...
It was a strange, unsettling experience. With deep ramifications. Some thoughts: edconway.substack.com/p/the-strang...
The Strange, Unsettling Story of British Steel
Why the fate of a blast furnace in Scunthorpe might have much deeper implications for this country
edconway.substack.com
April 12, 2025 at 6:17 AM
✍️I visited British Steel last week - just as workers were discovering that the plant's Chinese owners were effectively planning to starve the blast furnaces to death.
It was a strange, unsettling experience. With deep ramifications. Some thoughts: edconway.substack.com/p/the-strang...
It was a strange, unsettling experience. With deep ramifications. Some thoughts: edconway.substack.com/p/the-strang...
Reposted by Dan Haile
Here is our @instituteforgov.bsky.social take on the Spring Statement, covering key questions we were looking out for on how the economic forecast would move and how Reeves would respond
Some key takeaways 1/5
www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/comment/rach...
Some key takeaways 1/5
www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/comment/rach...
Rachel Reeves' spring statement 2025: The IfG's verdict | Institute for Government
What did we learn from the chancellor's 'update'?
www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk
March 26, 2025 at 5:07 PM
Here is our @instituteforgov.bsky.social take on the Spring Statement, covering key questions we were looking out for on how the economic forecast would move and how Reeves would respond
Some key takeaways 1/5
www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/comment/rach...
Some key takeaways 1/5
www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/comment/rach...
Reposted by Dan Haile
Additional capital spending (mainly to meet the defence commitment) shows the effect of a new set of fiscal rules that distinguish between day-to-day and investment spend.
If the old debt rule was still binding, capital would have been an easy candidate for cuts
If the old debt rule was still binding, capital would have been an easy candidate for cuts
March 26, 2025 at 12:52 PM
Additional capital spending (mainly to meet the defence commitment) shows the effect of a new set of fiscal rules that distinguish between day-to-day and investment spend.
If the old debt rule was still binding, capital would have been an easy candidate for cuts
If the old debt rule was still binding, capital would have been an easy candidate for cuts
Reposted by Dan Haile
What are the current UK fiscal rules?
Here's what you need to know ahead of today's spring statement www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/explainer/cu...
Here's what you need to know ahead of today's spring statement www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/explainer/cu...
Current UK fiscal rules | Institute for Government
What are the government’s current fiscal rules and is it on track to meet them?
www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk
March 26, 2025 at 10:25 AM
What are the current UK fiscal rules?
Here's what you need to know ahead of today's spring statement www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/explainer/cu...
Here's what you need to know ahead of today's spring statement www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/explainer/cu...
Reposted by Dan Haile
📣New report from me & @brionya.bsky.social
MCAs’ decision-making is often limited by unanimous voting rules
Effective decision making for key strategic plans requires a shift to simple majority voting alongside greater capacity and accountability
www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/publication/...
MCAs’ decision-making is often limited by unanimous voting rules
Effective decision making for key strategic plans requires a shift to simple majority voting alongside greater capacity and accountability
www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/publication/...
How the government can support better decision making in mayoral combined authorities | Institute for Government
Making England’s ‘devolution revolution’ a reality.
www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk
March 14, 2025 at 11:02 AM
📣New report from me & @brionya.bsky.social
MCAs’ decision-making is often limited by unanimous voting rules
Effective decision making for key strategic plans requires a shift to simple majority voting alongside greater capacity and accountability
www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/publication/...
MCAs’ decision-making is often limited by unanimous voting rules
Effective decision making for key strategic plans requires a shift to simple majority voting alongside greater capacity and accountability
www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/publication/...
Reposted by Dan Haile
Govt is getting rid of NHS England.. the @instituteforgov.bsky.social back catalogue has a couple of top studies by @nicholastimmins.bsky.social on its creation and functioning www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/publication/... and www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/publication/...
Never Again? The story of the Health and Social Care Act 2012 | Institute for Government
The story of how the Health and Social Care Act 2012 – by far the most controversial piece of NHS legislation in more than two decades – became law.
www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk
March 13, 2025 at 12:19 PM
Govt is getting rid of NHS England.. the @instituteforgov.bsky.social back catalogue has a couple of top studies by @nicholastimmins.bsky.social on its creation and functioning www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/publication/... and www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/publication/...
Reposted by Dan Haile
TODAY: What is Keir Starmer’s new plan for government reform?
Join us at 13:00 for our expert analysis of the PM’s plans to overhaul the state.
@drmatthewgill.bsky.social @hannahkeenan.bsky.social @jillongovt.bsky.social @cathhaddon.bsky.social www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/event/keir-s...
Join us at 13:00 for our expert analysis of the PM’s plans to overhaul the state.
@drmatthewgill.bsky.social @hannahkeenan.bsky.social @jillongovt.bsky.social @cathhaddon.bsky.social www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/event/keir-s...
March 13, 2025 at 7:32 AM
TODAY: What is Keir Starmer’s new plan for government reform?
Join us at 13:00 for our expert analysis of the PM’s plans to overhaul the state.
@drmatthewgill.bsky.social @hannahkeenan.bsky.social @jillongovt.bsky.social @cathhaddon.bsky.social www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/event/keir-s...
Join us at 13:00 for our expert analysis of the PM’s plans to overhaul the state.
@drmatthewgill.bsky.social @hannahkeenan.bsky.social @jillongovt.bsky.social @cathhaddon.bsky.social www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/event/keir-s...
Really good summary of a policy debate that is both intimidatingly complex and really matters!
Here’s @adambell.bsky.social on the great energy debate dividing economists “a debate so ferocious it has occasionally spilled out of the rarefied air of wonk land and into the media”
Locational Or National Pricing: The Great Energy Debate Dividing Experts
Do we tackle climate change via locational or national pricing? Adam Bell, director of policy at Stonehaven, explains the increasingly fraught deba...
www.politicshome.com
February 23, 2025 at 1:37 PM
Really good summary of a policy debate that is both intimidatingly complex and really matters!
Reposted by Dan Haile
The new industrial strategy and multiyear spending review provide an opportunity to prioritise public resources to achieve the government's objectives - they will be most effective if the Treasury considers tax reliefs alongside spending
www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/comment/tax-...
www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/comment/tax-...
Tax reliefs should be considered in the spending review and industrial strategy | Institute for Government
The Treasury needs to hold itself to the same standards it demands of other departments.
www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk
February 7, 2025 at 11:51 AM
The new industrial strategy and multiyear spending review provide an opportunity to prioritise public resources to achieve the government's objectives - they will be most effective if the Treasury considers tax reliefs alongside spending
www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/comment/tax-...
www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/comment/tax-...
Reposted by Dan Haile
How flawed data is leaving the UK in the dark on.ft.com/4hOfMcI
How flawed data is leaving the UK in the dark
[FREE TO READ] Trouble at the Office for National Statistics means policymakers cannot rely on key economic numbers, including on employment
on.ft.com
February 7, 2025 at 10:35 AM
How flawed data is leaving the UK in the dark on.ft.com/4hOfMcI
Reposted by Dan Haile
NEW: The @instituteforgov.bsky.social has today published exclusive interviews with nine former Scottish and Welsh Ministers.
The transcripts are full of insights into brexit, the pandemic, and government breakdowns.
But what advice did they have for their fellow ministers?
The transcripts are full of insights into brexit, the pandemic, and government breakdowns.
But what advice did they have for their fellow ministers?
Today we've published a devolution special Ministers Reflect featuring candid interviews with former ministers from Scotland and Wales.
Interviews include former first ministers
@nicolasturgeon.bsky.social @humzayousaf.bsky.social, Mark Drakeford www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/ministers-re...
Interviews include former first ministers
@nicolasturgeon.bsky.social @humzayousaf.bsky.social, Mark Drakeford www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/ministers-re...
![“Firstly, remember that you're the decision maker, so listen, take advice, but don't outsource your decisions to officials or political advisers. […] You're accountable, you're elected, you're the one that has to stand or fall on your decisions.”
Nicola Sturgeon, former first minister of Scotland.](https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:d656x5rt365ylfpbzpwgpl4i/bafkreidxvf55ckhdzkc2msjim6mt4ujnwpqt55gxatp2436x5vwiah4gmi@jpeg)
January 31, 2025 at 12:55 PM
NEW: The @instituteforgov.bsky.social has today published exclusive interviews with nine former Scottish and Welsh Ministers.
The transcripts are full of insights into brexit, the pandemic, and government breakdowns.
But what advice did they have for their fellow ministers?
The transcripts are full of insights into brexit, the pandemic, and government breakdowns.
But what advice did they have for their fellow ministers?
Reposted by Dan Haile
Thread for Brexit memorial day
I want to highlight 2 big open questions about the economic consequences of Brexit
1. Why did Brexit reduce UK output growth?
2. How bad has the TCA been for UK trade? 1/
I want to highlight 2 big open questions about the economic consequences of Brexit
1. Why did Brexit reduce UK output growth?
2. How bad has the TCA been for UK trade? 1/
January 31, 2025 at 8:12 AM
Thread for Brexit memorial day
I want to highlight 2 big open questions about the economic consequences of Brexit
1. Why did Brexit reduce UK output growth?
2. How bad has the TCA been for UK trade? 1/
I want to highlight 2 big open questions about the economic consequences of Brexit
1. Why did Brexit reduce UK output growth?
2. How bad has the TCA been for UK trade? 1/